Is the hitting a fluke or are the rockies this good--I thought I would do a position by position analysis.
C--Ardoin/Ojeda--Ardoin is a career .206 hitter in the majors--he's unlikely to get better, but couldn't get much worse. Maybe time to bring back Closser
1B--Helton-.323/.482/.585--typical Helton--but he was out for a while, so production from 1b should improve.
2B--Carroll/Smith/Gonzalez--Carroll and Smith are playing over their heads, Gonzalez is slumping--overall a little better than expected, but not much.
3B--Atkins--huge improvement over last years numbers, but had some good years in the minors. Can he keep it up? My guess probably not, but I also don't expect him to drop back to last year's numbers either.
SS--Barmes--not a good start, but keep in mind he only had one good year in the minors, so he isn't a sure thing. Nonetheless, he should improve some.
LF--Holliday--he simply isn't this good--never hit more than 16 HRs or 28 2Bs in the minors--on pace for 45 and 50. He's due for a let-down.
CF--Sullivan--huge improvement over last year, but he hit in the minors (including a lot of 2Bs) and skipped AAA last year. The improvement may or may not be a fluke.
RF--Hawpe can hit as evidenced by his minor league records, but this is a bit ridiculous. I expect a decline, but not to 2005 levels.
So my guess--
From this point on, the rockies get more production out of the C, SS, 1B positions.
Similar production from 2B, CF
Small, but significant production drop from 3B, RF
Huge production drop out of LF
I fully expected when I started this, that I would conclude that the Rockies performance so far is a fluke, but now I'm not so sure. My guess, is that overall run production will go down a little, but not much the rest of the season. What does everyone else think?
Run production will be...
about the same (3 votes)
lower during the rest of the season (2 votes)
higher (0 votes)
5 total votes