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Which Rockies Player Is Ricky Martin?

That's right, Ricky Martin. The Rockies must now follow the "Menudo Rule" because Charlie Monfort is cheap. Out of the following, who will have the most success if and when they leave the Rockies:

Garrett Atkins - He's my choice to have the most success if the FO can't sign him to an extension. With a couple more seasons like 2006, teams around the Majors will start counting down the days until he hits the open market (if they aren't already). Maybe the Nationals should look to sign him in the future as he's done pretty well against them. 2007 should be no different with the state of that rotation.

Aaron Cook - I definitely think Cook would have success if ever left the Rockies, but I believe he's the least likely of the four to not be with the team. He's attempting to become a proven starter in the Majors and with only 2006 as his first full season as a starter with the Rockies, his price might remain in the acceptable range after his current deal ends in 2008.

Brian Fuentes - It might be a stretch to include him in this list since he is much older than the other three. However, he has a proven track record and a change of team probably wouldn't adversely affect him.

Matt Holliday - As debated this week, his home-road splits have favored him at home but he did improve his road stats in 2006. His new home park won't offer as great an advantage as Coors does.

___

News & Notes:

Dan Kolb will not sign with the Rockies as he signed with the Pirates.

Renck now includes Taylor Buchholz as a player for a spot in the rotation.

12 days till Pitchers & Catchers report!

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Chone Figgins vs. Ben Petrick
OR....who will boom...who will bust.

I think Atkins is a flat-out hitter.  He looks like the second comming of Wade Boggs or George Brett.  And will be worth the FA money.  As of right now I like him more then Zimmerman or Wright

Holliday: Will get HUGE money.  But as debated, while I think he's in the top 10 LF's in the league, I'm not sure he will ever live up to the expectations once he leaves.  He's very nice...not Superstar.

Fuentes: Closers have a short shelf life.  

Cook:  I'm still undecieded about Cookie.  I think it depends on where he goes.  If it's to a pitchers park with a nice team around him, he could be a great #2 guy.  If he tries to be an ace of a crappy team, then he'll be a bust.  He needs hits/runs and defense even more then the average pitcher.  

For the Rockies the 64 thousand dollar question is...how replaceable are any of these guys?  

Still I don't see why the Rockies can't have a baseball average payroll.

by Redhawk on Feb 4, 2007 9:30 AM MST reply actions  

Oscar Rivera
Bad news on Rivera today:
http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/prospects/?p=24

He was shut down at the Caribbean Series before even pitching in a game with stiffness in his left lat muscle.  

The good news is that it doesn't seem to be serious (at least not yet) and the move was made knowing the kid has a chance to make a MLB club this spring (with the Rockies) and they didn't want to ruin that chance for him.

So that's the good/bad news.  Hopefully Rivera will be good to go in a few weeks when Pitchers report with no ill effects.

by sg8335aa on Feb 4, 2007 1:16 PM MST reply actions  

Troy Tulowitzki
Easily. I know he's not on your list Russ, but the bigger problem to me is with the talent in Wave Two, than it is with any of the players in wave one. Atkins, Holliday and Hawpe will all be into their declines when they hit free agency, but Tulo, Iannetta, Stewart, Morales and others are likely to just be nearing or in their peaks.

I'd rather lose all three of the players you mention as long as I knew that the problem was getting fixed in order to hang onto the next group, which I see as having more potential anyway. The one possible exception as Redhawk mentions is Atkins, but even he's no sure bet, and at 27, he's not really that equivalent to David Wright, who's just 24.

What troubles me about the Twins and Athletics models is that winning has done little to address their bigger issue of generating revenue.  Their stadium situations haven't helped, but these are teams that are competitive for the playoffs almost every year, and the Rockies (who are not competitive) are right in their ballpark with attendance. What I'd rather see from the Monforts and the front office -since they are running this team like a business- is a clear path to the higher revenues necessary to keeping core players under contract.

Controlling and expanding the Rockies brand has been a fiasco under Dan O'Dowd's watch, mostly in the beginning, as his early moves broke up the Blake Street Bombers -a very marketable aspect of the overall Rockies brand- and hampered the team with long term liabilities. Due to his moves the team was soon thereafter seen as not only directionless, but worse, hopeless. I don't mean to lay it all on his feet, as he inherited one of the worst scouting and development systems in the majors (Choo Freeman being the latest example of the previous regime's inability to find talent that would make it all the way) which he's definitely fixed. Only recently has the whole ship started to turn around, with the Gen-R group (which is a corndog and subpar nickname, I might add) coming into its own.

Even so, columns like this make the Rockies seem whiny and reactionary rather than proactive when it comes to fixing the underlying issues. Obviously that's not the case, they were attempting to move Helton, but the $7.5 million per season they would have saved would only be able to help them keep maybe one guy. That's still not a long term solution. I think it's more important right now rather than focusing on individual players, that the team has a real strategy in place to increase the revenue stream other than just bumping up ticket prices every couple of seasons and hoping the next group of prospects leads to more fans in the seats. As Minnesota and Oakland show, winning doesn't always translate to increased attendance.

To me, this means the Rockies have to continue to be active in keeping the LoDo neighborhood vibrant, they have to be a lot better with publicity and marketing (I know "R you in?" is a common poker phrase, but it's also a terrible unintentional sexual double entendre suggesting something pathetic and somebody should have recognized that) and they need to tie winning and pride to the franchise rather than to its players. PR wise, they need to control the media cycle and they need to have Charlie Monfort stop talking to the press until he understands the importance of prepared talking points to go back to.

They let themselves get hammered by the Denver media for the Jason Jennings trade, which was clearly a superior deal for the Rockies, and that led to this reaction for trying to move Todd Helton, which had they got Hansen and/or Delcarmen would also have been a solid baseball move. They can't let that happen anymore.

I have no problem with ownership wanting to be prudent with its investment, and I understand that by sticking to the bottom line on payroll each year they will be able to increase the money doled out incrementally and that someday this strategy will pay off very well, but they can accelerate the process with a little more creativity and proactivity in other aspects of the business. And they have to find a way to be able to keep Tulo and Iannetta when the time comes.

by Rox Girl on Feb 4, 2007 2:13 PM MST reply actions  

Increasing revenue
A professional team only has a few areas of revenue:
  1. Attendence-This is the obvious one.  With the Rockies history and the Denver fan is very willing to buy tickets (Avs have a record string of Sell outs, and now the Nuggets are selling out. Even the Crush are in the tops of the AFL in attendence).  But raising ticket prices is a tricky balancing act...but winning sells tickets.  The Rockies should be about middle of the pack with a respectable team, the "average" buys into.
  2. Stadium lease: This is a complex one.  It included concessions, arena/park ad space, suites, parking, etc. (which all could be broken out seperately) And how much a team gets to keep.  A lot again is tied to how many REAL butts go through the turnstile. i.e.: sell more tickets, and you sell more beer, and nachos.  I assume the lease for the Rockies is at least average, and the Rockies get to keep an average amount per each item sold. Parking revenue sucks as there isn't much though more then the Giants or the Cardinals have.
TV/Radio:  Locally sold based on local media market.  Denver is a little below national average here, but with a strong Spanish radio market, and a sweet heart part owner deal with Fox Sports, the Rockies probably get about league average here.

Ads: those big billboards don't come cheap. But as I looked around last year I thought there was a lot of trade out space.  The Denver Post ad is a trade out for ads in the Post, etc.  This is limited to the stadium.  You can only put up so many signs.

Merchandise: Caps, shirts, big pens shaped like bats.  I don't see much Rockies stuff around.  What I do see is old...But this isn't the difference in a player or two.

So if the big 3 (attendence, Media, Concessions/lease) are average, then I see no reason payroll shouldn't be average.  UNLESS all the other teams are operating in the red OR the media in the big markets IS that much supiour that they can be in the black, but those below at "average" levels are in the red due to the drop off.

But wave 1, 2 or 15, the bottom line is if the Rockies can't keep SOME talent, then we really are a minor league farm team for the Yankees and Red Sox.

by Redhawk on Feb 4, 2007 4:01 PM MST up reply actions  

Just to be fair
the last permutation of the Helton deal I saw had the Rockies only shelling out 20 million after this season on Todd, which makes for quite a bit more than a 7.5 million savings.  

While I don't disagree that improving/using revenue streams is a major piece of the puzzle, let's not downplay how huge an albatross Helton and his contract are.

by David "ohno" on Feb 4, 2007 6:41 PM MST up reply actions  

DOES ANYBODY KNOW IF......
The On Deck Prospects ratingshttp://www.ondeckbaseball.com/rockies.html            will be done in 2007?

by 86 wins in 07 on Feb 4, 2007 5:39 PM MST reply actions  

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