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Sunday Pebble Report:

David Ohno reminded me last night that it's about time to update the PuRPs poll, so I think we'll have a general discussion thread tomorrow and start the polling on Wednesday.

Colorado Springs: L14-3

One person who figures to drop a little bit in the poll is Franklin Morales, who gave up ten runs on eight hits and seven walks in just four innings last night. At this point in the season, Morales was supposed to be doing for the Rockies what Greg Reynolds did last night, instead, we're left wondering if his mechanical problems will find a fix. At this point, it doesn't look like said fix will be easy, that's for sure.

Seth Smith and Ian Stewart both homered, Stewart finished with a pair of hits and a pair of RBI, Smith with three hits. Stewart's road OPS is now at .913 and still climbing.


Tulsa: W 12-8

There were a couple of late comebacks in the system last night, this being one of them. Tulsa scored seven in the eighth inning, most of them coming from a Daniel Carte grand slam. It was Carte's fifth homerun of the season. Carte's had a slow upward progression in his OPS at each level without taking a really great leap forward. He's got skills that suggest he should be a quality prospect, but a lack of plate discipline that keeps him from reaching his full potential. He's running out of time to take that necessary leap -at his age in Tulsa you'd be looking for the type of season Ryan Spilborghs had in 2005- but he's close enough and has the skills that would make it seem possible. There's just that one switch left to turn on for Carte, but if it does, he should be quick to get to an MLB level of play.

Jeff Kindel's another guy who's not quite at the level that makes an MLB projection comfortable, but going seven for ten in two games in Springfield helps. Bringing this up makes me just want to go through a list of other Tulsa position players that seem to be near MLB worthy at this point:

  • Dexter Fowler - This should be obvious, he's right now the best prospect on the team.
  • Eric Young - I've always been in his camp, but he seemed to be having a legitimate breakout campaign when he went down with an injury. And let me just make this very clear: a .185 isolated slugging percentage in the Texas League doesn't happen for slap hitters, and EY2's not that old either. Now, a broken wrist is a huge deal, and that power he's shown isn't likely to come back as quickly as we'd like, but I really think it would be a mistake to give up on him.
  • Corey Wimberly - Wimberly's game has to be based on getting on base and then using his speed, plus being able to adequately play multiple positions. An OBP of .414 is a huge plus in the first category, a 77% success rate on stolen bases is fine for the second, his defense needs quite a bit of work for the third.
  • Matt Miller - He's too old for the league, but the Rockies have been having to cut decent outfielders in Colorado Springs anyway because there's no space. At any rate, Miller's got nothing left to show at the AA level.

You'll note the absence of Chris Nelson. Thus far he seems to have taken a big step backwards in Tulsa and seems further away from being ready for MLB play than we thought at the beginning of the year.

Okay, sorry for the interruption. Anyway, Brandon Hynick's start would have looked a lot better if it weren't for the three extra base hits he gave up, including two two run homers. Cutting out mistakes like that will be his next challenge.


Modesto: W 8-4

The Nuts scored their runs in clumps, with six coming in the fourth and two more off a Michael McKenry homer in the seventh. Cole Garner is keeping his May hit machine in working order with two more last night, he has 25 total so far this month. Simon Ferrer had a pretty terrific start, which is nice to see, pitching one hit, one walk baseball through six before running into trouble in the seventh with two more BB's and a single.

Asheville: W 5-2

Cory Riordan had a sort of yeoman's effort last night without his best stuff, but it was still enough to get a quality start and keep some impressive numbers in his camp.  To me, that's a really good sign. Riordan went seven innings, allowing eight hits and two runs, striking out five and walking none.

I've not really spent much time praising Darin Holcomb lately, but that doesn't mean he's been any less impressive than he was in April, he had another two hits including his thirteenth double to crack the 20 extra base hit mark relatively early. He's on pace to come close to the 50/25 mark for doubles and HR's in a season, which is very impressive, even in Asheville. I was skeptical of him after Tri-City and Gonzaga last year because the scouts and coaches who talk to Baseball America didn't seem to like him that well, but after seeing him myself and seeing what he's doing this season, he's definitely in my top twenty. Everth Cabrera had two more stolen bases to cut Emeel Salem's lead at the top of the SAL to one.

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Velazquez

Though the Rockies appear to be giving Velder every chance to succeed in Asheville, he appears to be over-matched and may benefit from more time in Tri-City.
The Tourists could use better production from the position in the second half and if they make the playoffs.
Warren Schaeffer is an organizational guy and should stay in the utility role that he is in.

If Gomez makes it back by the All Star break, do you think they will send Mayora, who appears to be over-exposed in Modesto, back to the SAL?
If Gomez does not make it back, would is make more sense to give a guy like Zack Murry a chance to prove himself?

by Drewan on May 18, 2008 4:08 PM MDT reply actions  

First,

Mayora’s improving, May’s seen an up tick in most of his stats, and he’s not looking as out of place as he was in April, so demoting him seems out of the question. The Rockies are about as slow to move players down as they are moving them up within a season, and they aren’t like the Giants who will beef up their affiliate playoff squads with more advanced veterans just before the season ends.

That said, Helder’s a lot closer to the point a demotion would seem necessary, but I don’t see it happening. That would affect a young player’s psyche more than letting them play through, which is the way I’m guessing the Rockies will go with this and then just let him repeat the SAL in 2009 to get the confidence back. I think I might agree with them here particularly since the Tourists seem likely to win a playoff spot regardless that letting Velazquez play this out with Asheville is the right course for now.

Murry didn’t really show much in Casper until September last season, I doubt by his numbers that he would be ready to make a pretty tough leap from there over Tri-City to Asheville, but I haven’t seen much of his play, and none this year, so I wouldn’t know.

by Rox Girl on May 18, 2008 4:53 PM MDT up reply actions  

personally, i think

the rocks move people to slowly through the system. Helder has not been good all year. Send him to tri cities. As far as murry, i disagree on only producing in september, as he stayed consistent pretty much all year. he should have been in ashville along with pacheco as they were the two leading hitters last year. i understand pacheco is now a catchr so i guess give him a year at tri cities now, how christiansen moved is beyond me, i guess if you set the pioneer league record 2x and hit less than .200 you move up. makes no sense to me but…..cunninghame and chacin are doing great from that casper team and i think tony diaz did a nice job of preparing those with talent but it appears the rocks want to see them all in tri cities first.

by Fungoz on May 18, 2008 6:44 PM MDT reply actions  

Like I said, I'm not in any position to judge Murry's readiness

I don’t know if he was that consistent though, a .407average in June, a .256 average in July, a .244 average in August and a .385 average in September forms more of a smiley face than a straight line. But that means he showed decently in both June and September, so I should have been more careful with my words there. He definitely had a better contact rate throughout the summer than a lot of the players at Asheville right now, were they at Pasco or Casper last season. I would agree with Pacheco likely being ready if it weren’t for the position switch, which I’m eager to see how that works out. Christensen’s a tough case, Asheville’s a considerably more difficult level than Casper, but he’s not showing any regression in his stats thus far, even if there’s no improvement there, either.

I know David’s family reads the blog from time to time, or at least used to, and I don’t ever want to offend family members when I point out some of the negatives on these players, but that K rate of his certainly needs to start dropping if he expects to find success. Some older players, like Rike and Cunningham, can balance a high K rate with pretty decent overall offensive numbers, but even they’ll hit a wall at Tulsa unless they put more contact into play.

by Rox Girl on May 18, 2008 8:22 PM MDT up reply actions  

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Top 30 PuRPs

  1. Drew Pomeranz, LHP - MLB
  2. Nolan Arenado, 3B - AA
  3. Wilin Rosario, C - MLB
  4. Chad Bettis, RHP - AA
  5. Tyler Matzek, A (Adv)
  6. Alex White, AAA
  7. Kyle Parker, OF - A (Adv)
  8. Tim Wheeler, OF - MLB
  9. Josh Rutledge, SS - AA
  10. Charlie Blackmon, OF - AAA
  11. Rosell Herrera, SS/3B - A
  12. Trevor Story, SS/3B - A
  13. Edwar Cabrera, LHP - AA
  14. Tyler Anderson, LHP - unassigned
  15. Rafael Ortega, OF - A (Adv)
  16. Peter Tago, RHP, unassigned
  17. Christian Friedrich, LHP - AAA
  18. Joe Gardner, RHP - AA
  19. Corey Dickerson, OF - A (Adv)
  20. Thomas Field, 2B - AAA
  21. Will Swanner, C - A
  22. Kent Matthes, OF - AA
  23. Albert Campos, RHP - released (4/19/12)
  24. Jordan Pacheco, C/UT - AAA
  25. Cristhian Adames, SS - A (Adv)
  26. Ben Paulsen, 1B - AA
  27. Josh Slaats, RHP - A (Adv)
  28. David Kandilas, CF - A
  29. Jayson Aquino, LHP - unassigned
  30. Hector Gomez, SS - DL
HM:
Edgmer Escalona, RHP - MLB
Dillon Thomas, OF - unassigned
Sam Mende, IF - A
Mike Zuanich, 1B - AA
Dan Houston, RHP - AA

updated 10/25/2011.


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