Thursday Pebble Report: Draft Day
We'll be following the draft closely in a little bit. Right now, it seems like there's a decent shot that the Rockies will be able to get their guy in Jake Odorizzi, as only a couple of other squads ahead of them have him as a possibility with their #1 pick. Notably, watch the Cubs and Brewers, who both have had scouts at his last few starts and would be fine on taking a high school player from their backyard. My current projection has the Brewers liking Andrew Cashner more and the Cubs preferring Casey Kelly, though, so Jake should slip through to the Rockies pick.
If Odorizzi is already gone at #25, it probably means a scenario where two of the three of toolsy high school position players Brett Lawrie, Zach Collier or Anthony Hewitt (most likely the latter two) are available at the Phillies pick at #24. They'll take one and we'll take the other. I see the other name linked to the Rockies, Jason Castro, going earlier than expected due to a shortage of quality catchers in this draft; right now I have him being taken with one of the two Mets picks. One interesting mock draft I saw had Aaron Hicks dropping to the Phils and Tim Melville to the Rox. I don't think either of those two will really be available that late, but I do believe that there will be some surprising drops by a couple of talented high schoolers this year.
The note in that link to a Tanner Scheppers update by Keith Law throws another wild-card into the mix that will benefit the Rockies if true, as it looks like Scheppers has a good chance of going before Colorado's pick after all. Again a Scheppers pick comes at the expense of a high school player with upside. I'd still give the strongest odds to Odorizzi, but if we see a Hicks or Melville also available, the Rockies might change course.
Tulsa: L 4-1
It was another decent start by Brandon Hynick, and it's looking more and more like the Drillers rotation is ready to turn a corner. It's too late for a first half playoff bid, but look for the team to be a lot more competitive in the second half. Eric Young singled and walked twice. It was his first hit since returning from his wrist/hand injury, and while he's one for nine in that time, he does have five walks. I'd be very pleasantly surprised if his numbers return to the level they were pre-injury this season, but don't give up on him until we see what he can do when his swing timing fully recovers.
Modesto: W 6-5
Both of our single A affiliates rallied to 6-5 victories last night. Modesto and High Desert raced out to a 5-5 tie at the end of the fifth before suddenly deciding to switch gears and turn the game into a pitcher's duel when the bullpens came in. Five and a half more innings went by before the Nuts Victor Ferrante hit the winning single with the bases loaded in the eleventh. Read Brian VanderBeek's blog for more, including confirmation of Chaz Roe's call-up.
Asheville: W 6-5
Brian Rike hit a two run homer in the bottom of the seventh to put the Tourists in the lead, and strong relief work from Edgmer Escalona, Craig Baker and Randall Taylor held on for the win, which reduces the Tourists magic number for clinching a playoff spot to single digits, if I'm not mistaken. Any combination of nine T's wins and Charleston losses does the job with ten Tourist games remaining (Charleston has eleven left). Jeff Cunningham had two hits, including a homerun for his 52nd RBI on the season, and David Christensen hit a solo HR as well.
I'm curious if anybody who saw last night's contest know if starter Bruce Billings was changing his approach in some way to cause the 14-1 GB rate, which is fantastic, but highly uncharacteristic for him.
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I can't believe
a coach would choose his lineup in that way? Wouldn’t you want to get a hot player more AB’s to see if he can roll w/ it, and obviously the higher level prospects, but I think that is a strange way to build a lineup.
Also any word on Gomez, when will he be back?
I was going to mention that, too.
I don’t know if any of our other affiliates go to that extreme of having lineups pre-determined by spreadsheet, but the part of having organization dictated playing time targets for specific players was very revealing about the Rockies practices when it comes to player development.
For those who are out of the loop, we’re talking about a note in VanderBeek’s blog about how Weinstein chooses who’s going to play on any given night.
Please don't overreact...
Jerry does not use a computer program to choose his lineup. He keeps track of at-bats and other statistical information on a program, and uses that info to help fill out his card.
To me, the revelation here is that he makes out his lineup cards a day ahead of time, and rarely changes them once made. That was the nature of my inquiry—why Jason Van Kooten wasn’t in the lineup after a four-hit game the night before.
Yes, he does get input from the organization as to which players need to be in the lineup every day, but - in his words - “I’m not getting phone calls from anyone in Denver telling me a certain player has to be in the lineup tonight.”
That was Jerry remembering and referring to a conversation we had last year, when I spoke about how the Modesto lineup during the eight years I covered them as an Athletics’ affiliate occasionally underwent last-minute changes after a phone call from Oakland, and how there always was a coach with a cell phone in the Modesto dugout, just in case Oakland wanted to check-in.
The Dodgers’ organization is famous for this kind of “input” on minor league lineups. Colorado, by comparison, is very light-handed.
Two more notes, just in passing, and I apologize for going long. Red Sox brass will be in Lancaster this weekend to present World Series rings to the JetHawks’ coaching staff. Hmm, this is a full two months after Dan O’Dowd was in Modesto to present NL Championship rings to the Nuts’ staff. Maybe the Rockies forced the Sox’ hands?
Also, Sunday’s Modesto Bee will have my conversation with Shane Lindsay. This interview, conducted the previous week, was supposed to run last Sunday, but held at the last minute for obvious reasons. It will run Sunday with an updated introduction, but without any comment on his recent hand-breaking incident.
Oh, and about Gomez. He’s in Tucson and no longer is on the Modesto roster, not even as a member of the DL. We get no word here as to his recovery or prognosis. Mayora started at 2b on Wednesday, with Geoff Strickland at short. Strickland was pulled late in the game after his fourth strikeout. I fully expect Modesto to get a full-time SS for the second half, whether it’s Gomez returning or Cabrera coming up from Asheville.
by Brian VanderBeek on Jun 5, 2008 1:25 PM MDT up reply actions
Sorry, I may have misread
I was very much distracted this morning. Thank you for the clarification and the updates, I’ll see if I have any better luck figuring out what’s up with Gomez.
Aaron Fultz was added to Tulsa's roster.
Luis Gonzalez was removed (probably released).
Looks like Dragicevich and Bright are injured. Dragicevich hasn’t been in the lineup for several days and Bright hasn’t pitched since May 22nd.
It was also interesting to read Jerry Wienstein's
25 man rosters are overrated comment. The Rockies are masking a lot of injuries by not using the DL and keeping mum this year. I wonder why that is, exactly.
It was sort of odd
that Lapin and Davis didn’t go on Asheville’s DL earlier this year also. Both missed more than 10 days with their injuries. They also briefly went with a 24-man roster when Spence Nagy retired. Although, it’s not like there was much playing time available for any replacement players.
You follow the trends more closely than I do
but Jerry’s reaction to the short roster is exactly the response I expected from him. He wouldn’t make any excuses if he had to activate both batboys and the 70-year-old ticket-taker to put nine players on the field. That’s just his way.
The fact that the Rockies are doing the same thing on other teams, as you pointed out, is interesting.
by Brian VanderBeek on Jun 6, 2008 2:14 AM MDT up reply actions
I don't know if it's me
or are we getting hit w/ injuries throughout the organization harder than normal? I was really excited to see what Gomez would do this year too, and now Nelson. Those are 2 disappointing injuries.
I guess I mis-read about Weinstein as well, still not sure about setting the lineup the day before, but he knows more than I do.































