Friday Pebble Report:
Colorado Springs: Suspended
Rescheduled as part of a double-header on August 27th
Tulsa: W 11-1
After getting schooled by one Rangers pitching prospect the night before, Tulsa turned around and showed another one some humility, driving Neftali Feliz out after three innings and five runs. Chris Nelson had three hits and drove in four, Tony Blanco also collected three hits, and Justin Nelson hit his 16th homerun of the year. Newly acquired journeyman Gary Cates took a liking to the Texas League with a five for five night and three runs scored in his system debut. Tulsa's defensive issues continue, Nelson and Eric Young each picked up another error, and Tony Blanco, after 29 errors at third, got his 30th with the Drillers in left field. Not that errors paint a clear picture of defense, but in this case, Tulsa's Texas League leading 173 isn't lying.
Chaz Roe went seven innings allowing just four hits and a walk and one run.
Modesto: W 5-2
Simon Ferrer's knuckleball was used to decent effect last night, the ten hits he gave up in six innings is probably fairly misleading as there were only two line drives hit off him, both for singles, although he did allow a pair of extra base hits on flyballs. It otherwise looks like a lot of Texas Leaguers and seeing eye grounders though, from what I can tell.
Matt Repec, Lino Garcia and Michael McKenry all homered, McKenry also drew three walks and has a 9/1 BB/K ratio in his last ten games. That's pretty ridiculous and I might add considerably lucky, as even the best players at strike zone judgment won't get all the calls to go their way due to umpire variance alone, and McKenry's had three out of his other four months this season with K rates over 20%. I could see him taking a step forward, but I'm highly doubtful he could go so far so fast. Still, the progress underscores that McKenry's potential value has once again taken off. He's the Nuts best position prospect by a considerable margin over Daniel Mayora, the question is how highly should he be regarded among Rockies prospects overall? I guess first we have to decide how he ranks among Rockies catchers. Wilin Rosario has more potential, but McKenry's got far more polish and is a better all around defender right now at the position. I think I'm still leaving Rosario ahead because of the high ceiling, but I don't think McKenry's that far off and should crack my top ten depending on how I'm going to reconcile the injury to Hector Gomez and how far I decide to drop Nelson.
So, sort of half thinking it through, a temporary draft of my top ten Rockies prospects would probably look something like this:
- Dexter Fowler
- Jhoulys Chacin
- Christian Friedrich
- Casey Weathers
- Greg Reynolds
- Gomez
- Rosario
- Brandon Hynick
- McKenry
- Aneury Rodriguez
I've got high regard for Connor Graham, am uncomfortable dropping Nelson, figure EY2's probably somewhere in this territory now, Roe too, despite concerns about his velocity, and I'm bullish enough on Parker Frazier to have even thought of putting him up here, so I'm probably going to tinker with my list over the next couple of weeks before we have our PuRPs discussion, but as it stands this will have to do.
Asheville: L 1-4
Warren Schaeffer has a .353/.378/.529 line going for the month of August after three more hits last night, and I'm scratching my head as to where it has come from. This is, after all, the same player that put up a .485 OPS in Casper last season, but he's not the only Tourist that falls into that where-have-you-been category. Brian Lapin hit his fifth homerun of the month and is at .258/.303/.774. If you've ever seen Lapin, you'll know that prodigious power should be a part of the 6'6", 230 lb. man-beast's game, but up until this month he had just two professional homeruns in 271 professional at bats. So I guess the bigger question is that if these two are having no problems hitting of late, what's going on with the rest of the Tourists? Everth Cabrera did steal his 70th base and Bruce Billings had a quality start in the loss.
Tri-City: W 9-2
Patrick Rose is also putting together a fine August, .318/.434/.568, tripling and homering in yesterday's win. Rose was one of several Dust Devils with multiple hits, Charlie Blackmon did it (again), as did Chris Vasami, James Sims and Derek Kinzler. Kenny Durst had another strong outing, he's hanging right out there on my periphery of prospects to watch with an excellent K/BB ratio, but some otherwise mediocre indicators.
Casper: Suspended
They completed one full inning before being rained out, Ethan Hollingsworth had a perfect first with a K and Rosario a single for the only marks of distiction in the game thus far.
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Comments
Top 10 Prospects
Is Hynick really a better pitching prospect than Morales? I know Franklin has taken a (large) step back this year, but reports say his velocity is back up in the mid 90s and hitting 97. Franklin still has serious issues to resolve such as walks, consistency and mental maturity. But, let us not forget that Franklin is only 22-years-old and had zero business pitching in the majors last year, and only did so as an act of desperation on behalf of the organization due to a complete lack of pitching.
So, while questions remain with Franklin, the ceiling remains high – certainly higher than any realistic expectation for Hynick. Look for Franklin to remain at Triple A for next season, where he will cut down on his walks, and establish himself as a legitimate candidate for the 2010 rotation. After last season I can’t help but feel disappointed with Franklin right now, but I think a level-headed analysis of him remains positive.
by WhatRocks on Aug 15, 2008 9:51 AM MDT 0 recs
I was wondering
the same thing. Any list of mine would have to include Morales and I would put him in the top 5 as well. As was pointed out, age is still on his side, and hard throwing lefty’s are difficult to find. I like Hynick as well, but as was pointed out in the Rosario/McKenry discussion, ceiling is so much higher w/ Morales, and for that matter even Graham.
What is going on w/ Silano? Not as far as any list, but is he on the DL, and if so what is the injury?
by smokinRox on
Aug 15, 2008 10:05 AM MDT
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The only reason I didn't include Franklin
was because I thought he’d no longer be eligible for the list and just made it without looking it up, if he is, he’s certainly still in my top half dozen.
by Rox Girl on
Aug 15, 2008 10:11 AM MDT
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Prospects - Modesto
I note that the minor league seasons end on Sep. 1—what happens to a guy like Chacin? Does it wrap up his season?. i figure he has 2 or 3 more starts at Modesto in August.. Are there A-ball playoffs?
by DeepPurple on Aug 15, 2008 10:31 AM MDT 0 recs
There are A-ball playoffs,
I’ll be going to the playoff games in Asheville, but Modesto’s chances of making it have gotten kind of iffy after slumping badly the last three weeks. After the Nuts do wind up their season, playoffs or no, Chacin is likely to go to the Rockies camp at Tucson for the Arizona Instructional league for another month (Instructs are sort of an in-house baseball postseason boot camp) but there’s a chance that the Rockies might actually try and put him in as part of their Arizona Fall League contingent, which is a bit more prestigious and is sort of a preview showcase for players teams hope will be ready for MLB action the following season or two. Given that he’s already being limited in his pitches/innings, I’m kind of doubting they’ll push him to the AFL, though.
by Rox Girl on
Aug 15, 2008 11:10 AM MDT
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AFL...
I thought Latin guys were not really supposed to go to the AFL. I know they have before, but it is supposed to be for guys with no where else to go in the Fall/Winter.
Also, anyone hear anything about Hawaii this year? Will there be teams & when do they announce that stuff? In years past, most of the guys would know already.
by ModNut on
Aug 15, 2008 11:46 AM MDT
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good point about the AFL,
I think the Rockies might be more hesitant to let Chacin pitch in the Venezuelan League, however, if they’re already being so protective with his arm. The AFL would give them more direct supervision of his routine (not being able to monitor Morales’ offseason workouts is partially blamed for his mechanical issues this year) and I think Jhoulys has a chance to be one of those exceptions.
by Rox Girl on
Aug 15, 2008 11:58 AM MDT
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Also, forgot to add that visa issues also have a part to play
In teams not sending Latin players to the AFL, and in how long players stay stateside, and Chacin will have to return home at some point, I just get the sense that the Rockies are being very careful with him right now.
by Rox Girl on
Aug 15, 2008 12:06 PM MDT
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I was thinking about going to Lancaster next weekend to see the Nuts
Is there a way to find out who the starting pitchers will be?
"It's all over Fat Man"
- Tom Jackson to John Madden 1977 AFC Championship Game
"I wouldn't say he's nowhere near T.O."
- Pacman Jones on Brandon Marshall
by DesertBroncoFan on
Aug 15, 2008 12:23 PM MDT
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PROBABLY A. RODRIGUEZ GAME 1...S. FERRER GAME 2....AND
B. Durden game 3 but that far down the road, things can change e.g. Rogers’ blister, Ferrer has won 5 of last 6 starts and may help out in the pen as well as the infield with the abnormal sudden rash of injuries and not knowing the plans for Chacin in the final weeks. Chacin and Rogers are basically given 5 innings at this point in the season. Bullpen has been restuctured with Durden going to the rotation to replace Weiser and Johnston being called up to Tulsa which opens the closer role. C. Harris and A. Graham have been money in the set up roles as power guys.
by 91 wins in 08 on Aug 15, 2008 12:41 PM MDT 0 recs
Top 10
1. Dexter Fowler, CF
2. Jhoulys Chacin, RHP
3. Franklin Morales, LHP
4. Casey Weathers, RHP
5. Greg Reynolds, RHP
6. Christian Friedrich, LHP
7. Matt Miller, OF
8. Michael McKenry, C
9. Charlie Blackmon, OF
10. Brandon Hynick, RHP
(I’d have Seth Smith in there but I think he has too much service time in Denver to qualify)
To me it seems as though there is fairly big drop off in top end talent after Folwer and Chacin. Hopefully Gomez and Nelson will come back strong next year to help strengthen the systems higher levels. I haven’t seen any video from, nor any games played by, Wilin Rosario, so even though he has been zooming up my rankings, he hasn’t cracked my top ten yet.
by roxhead on Aug 15, 2008 4:06 PM MDT 0 recs
Miller isn't even top 30
He’s an old, Double A repeater with no power or power projection in his swing. He’s slow on the bases and a pretty poor outfielder to boot, with a below average arm, range, and way substandard in reading the ball off the bat. He’s an organizational type that makes contact and can hit for average, but will be hard pressed to help a big league team with no skills beyond contact.
by David OhNo on
Aug 16, 2008 11:52 AM MDT
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Yeah, I wouldn’t put MIller anywhere near my top ten, and I would put Rosario in McKenry’s place. Also, Charles Blackmon? Yeah, he is killing right now, but he has shown absolutely no power and doesn’t project too well.
by onholliday on
Aug 17, 2008 2:35 PM MDT
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