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Around SBN: The Ten Worst Swings Of The 2011 Season

Friday Morning Rockpile:

Jayson Nix's black-eye from yesterday's Cuba-USA game will be nothing compared to the one the US team will take for coming home empty-handed, which looks like a very real possibility after they went down to their second defeat. Nix homered in the loss.

Todd Helton got some been there, done that advice from Randy Johnson in regards to his back pain and a referral to Johnson's spinal specialist. At this stage of Helton's career, there really can't be much middle ground. You're either going to be optimistic that some recovery can be made and Helton can regain some portion of his former ability through medical procedures, or you see the tell-tale signs of a sinking ship and flee to the lifeboats. The Rockies really only have the first option, unfortunately, as they're sort of handcuffed to steering wheel.

While most of the observers have been maintaining that only one of this year's first round hold-outs, Padres pick Allen Dykstra, is expected not to sign by today's deadline, I've been thinking for awhile now that reality's going to be different, and because of recent rule changes, it could dramatically impact the Rockies draft position for 2009.

As of right now, the unsigned first rounders include six of this year's top ten picks. Despite the Rockies currently holding the fifth worst record in the majors, our draft slot has the potential to slide three more spots to eighth overall if Pedro Avarez, Eric Hosmer and Brian Matusz fail to come to terms. The situation becomes more troubling when you consider that there are another six teams within two games that could in a worst possible scenario (all six pass us, no more first round picks sign) drop us to the eighteenth overall selection despite having a pretty wretched record. While this doomsday scenario is highly unlikely, I don't think Dykstra will be alone when it comes to 2008 first round selections re-entering next year's draft. Needless to say, I'm watching today's deadline situation with some rooting interest.

The Giants are the only other NL West team other than San Diego to fail to sign thier first round selection thus far, and if Buster Posey fails to enter the system, their 2008 draft takes a huge hit. It's already slipping in my mind just because of the delays in development they've accepted with their highest profile picks who have  signed. I was never as high as many on Roger Kieschnick to begin with, and while Brandon Crawford's a solid athlete, he's far from being a solid ballplayer. The same won't be true of Posey, who has the polish and bat to step in and perform against top minor league pitching right away assuming they can actually reel him in.

Right now, the Rockies have had the most success with their first round pick, the Dodgers Ethan Martin has missed all of the rookie league season after getting minor knee surgery, and while Daniel Schlereth has pitched well, he's also just thrown four innings in relief, so there's hardly a real sense of how good a reliever he'll be just yet. Christian Friedrich, meanwhile, pitches again tonight for Tri-City and has been sensational this month.

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The Helton article

was shocking when I read it this morning. I knew the back was bad, but I didn’t realize it was that bad. I had heard that Heton was doubtful for a return this year. I have no idea about back surgery, but it doesn’t sound good. In fact, after reading this, I thought, that the Rockies can’t count on Helton going forward. Anything he provides is a bonus.

There is a real possibility that the 09 starting line up 8 position players will be missing 4 of the starters from the 08 season (Holliday, Tavares, Atkins, Helton), 5 if you count Nix. That’s a lot of turn over, even for a team that was as bad as the 08 club was.

This off season is going to be VERY interesting.

Thought Clint Hurdle should be fired before it was cool.

by Redhawk on Aug 15, 2008 11:15 AM MDT reply actions  

Dykstra's

not exactly holding out. He agreed to a deal, but the Padres held back after discovering a problem with his hip (he had surgery on it during high school) during his physical to seal the deal.

"Keep your head down, and inch toward daylight." - Blade of Tyshalle

Purple Row - Covering all your Rockies needs!

by Russ Oates on Aug 15, 2008 11:16 AM MDT reply actions  

anyone listen to Troy Rencks interview

on the Sports Guys this morning? i had to go to work right before it aired and just caught the leadin before the commercial break. Mike Evans said that Renck was going to talk about recent comments made by the monforts that will make rockies fans cringe. Did anyone catch the interview or know what recent comments the Monforts have made? im guessing its regarding payroll

by purplesocks on Aug 15, 2008 11:53 AM MDT reply actions  

Actually, I'm pretty sure it's regarding O'Dowd and Hurdle's job security

From his article this morning:

Monfort was asked if the final six weeks would influence how he views his team, namely general manager Dan O’Dowd and manager Clint Hurdle. Both enter the final year of their contracts next season.

“Absolutely not,” Monfort repeated twice.

by Rox Girl on Aug 15, 2008 12:12 PM MDT up reply actions  

That

is cringe worthy.

by DieHardRox on Aug 15, 2008 12:13 PM MDT up reply actions  

How do you foul a ball off your eye

then blame the pitcher for going for his head?

"It's all over Fat Man"
- Tom Jackson to John Madden 1977 AFC Championship Game

"I wouldn't say he's nowhere near T.O."
- Pacman Jones on Brandon Marshall

by DesertBroncoFan on Aug 15, 2008 12:39 PM MDT reply actions  

I'm thinking Nix was squaring to bunt

And then fouled the up and in pitch defensively, but I actually haven’t seen the video yet. Davey Johnson’s reaction had me scratching my head, too.

by Rox Girl on Aug 15, 2008 1:02 PM MDT up reply actions  

If it hadn’t hit the bat, the pitch would have hit him square in the chest, given the way he was turned to bunt. Either way, ouch.

Regardless, I doubt that they would have hit Nix on purpose. It’d be stupid to load the bases with no outs.

Am I avoiding the subject, or am I doing philosophy?

by kishi on Aug 15, 2008 2:06 PM MDT up reply actions  

Anyone catch RAA from last night?

I know Spilly was answering questions from fans…any good ones?

by Squeaky on Aug 15, 2008 1:35 PM MDT reply actions  

interesting question....

Suppose the Rockies end up in the worst-case-scenario 18th pick next season, which is bumped down 6 slots from what it would be due to unsigned players. Would it make sense to intentionally not sign the pick next year so that the Rockies might get something closer to 12 in the following year? I’ve also wondered whether teams would consider taking a pass on a draft pick one year, because the draft class the next year appears to be better.

by DenverBears on Aug 15, 2008 1:59 PM MDT reply actions  

I don't know,

I guess it depends on the draft class, but I don’t think I’d punt on a first round pick any year unless the class was particularly dreadful. Matusz has signed with the Orioles, BTW, for only $3.2 million according to Baseball America’s blog via the San Diego Union Tribune. It’s a major league deal with the dollar figure $450,000 over slot. Matusz was this year’s #1 college LHP with Friedrich being #2, it might be interesting to compare the pair’s development as they climb.

by Rox Girl on Aug 15, 2008 2:40 PM MDT up reply actions  

USA! USA!

Come, on. Let’s rally, make the medal round, and win the final baseball gold medal Olympic history.

(Plus, I have you guys on my fantasy Olympic team and I need the points.)

by kosmo99 on Aug 15, 2008 2:49 PM MDT reply actions  

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