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Cook stellar as Rockies clinch playoff spot, team's patience shines through in season and game

Colorado Rockies outfielders Dexter Fowler, left, and Carlos Gonzalez celebrate after the Rockies' 9-2 victory over the Milwaukee Brewers to clinch a spot in the National League playoffs, in Denver on Thursday, Oct. 1, 2009. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

More photos » David Zalubowski - AP

4 months ago: Colorado Rockies outfielders Dexter Fowler, left, and Carlos Gonzalez celebrate after the Rockies' 9-2 victory over the Milwaukee Brewers to clinch a spot in the National League playoffs, in Denver on Thursday, Oct. 1, 2009. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

So here's more about the game, here are some key takeaways, 3 up, 3 down style: 

3 (plus one) Up

  1. The Rockies won this one like they've been winning them all season when they're good, by bludgeoning opposing pitchers into submission with their patience. This includes three bases loaded walks, including two by pitcher Aaron Cook. The final pitch tally for the game was 207 for the Brewers, 109 for the Rockies. Not giving away outs, making pitchers bleed for every one they come up with is what makes this offense go when it's working. Cook's efficiency stands as a sharp contrast, as it only took him 85 pitches to breeze through eight innings.
  2. Troy Tulowitzki and Garrett Atkins finished with three hits, Clint Barmes with two (Todd Helton to, but I'm focusing on right handers here). Chris Iannetta also got aboard three times via hit or walk. If the Rockies are to face Philadelphia in the NLDS, and at this point all signs are still pointing that direction, they will need effective right handed hitting beyond Tulo and Yorvit Torrealba. That Atkins, Iannetta and Barmes all up today against a left handed pitcher is a big step. Ryan Spilborghs and Dexter Fowler weren't quite as productive, but there's less a sense of vulnerability now. Against Clayton Kershaw and Randy Wolf this weekend, the Rockies will get two more chances to show this southpaw proficiency is a trend rather than a one and done.
  3. The defense was a smooth, mistake free operation, the team seems in playoff  mode when it comes to executing on that side of the ball. 
  4. Doh, wait, one more up, attendance for the game was 38,098, for the season (unofficially), 2,665,080. It's close, but the Rockies do finish ahead of last season's 2,650,218

 

3 Down

 

  1. Franklin Morales continues to be inconsistent. Dazzling one minute, losing control or leaving hanging pitches the next. We need him to be a weapon, a silver bullet capable of taking down some pretty scary beasts (such as Chase Utley or Ryan Howard) and yet right now, he's a pretty scary beast himself.
  2. There always seems to be an issue when you go from playing a team that's throwing it in for the rest of the season to one that still has something to play for. The Braves were able to take care of the Nationals, who are long left for dead, but couldn't up their level of competition to face the Marlins, who seem to be relishing their spoiler status. The Rockies have to be careful of not falling into the same trap, Milwaukee looked like it wanted the season done last week this series. 
  3. Brad Hawpe redeemed himself quite well with a two run home run in the eighth inning to add some insurance runs, but four strikeouts early leaves the open question of if he's the best left handed hitting Rockies outfielder to start against left handed pitchers. Seth Smith is batting .259/.368/.500 against LHP's in 2009, Carlos Gonzalez, .294/.356/.510. Hawpe is now at .248/.343/.447. 

 

*****

A little about the playoff scenarios, the day's rather undramatic FanGraph, and the Roll Call after the jump.

Star-divide

 

First of all, nothing short of a road sweep over the team with currently the best record in the National League (not to mention one which we currently sport a 3-12 record against on the season) will get the Rockies a lot better than the wild card, let's not pretend that will be easy or even likely. That said though, there are some scenarios that could mean Denver sees more of Rocktober than usual if it does happen.

As things stand now, the Rockies are two games behind Los Angeles, 1.5 games in back of Philadelphia, and even with St. Louis when it comes to the best record in the National League. The Phillies get the Marlins at home while the Cardinals meet up with this Brewers squad that the Rockies just swept at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals are more or less a moot issue in terms of how they finish, if the Rockies sweep the Dodgers, the best they can do is stay even with Colorado and they'd lose the head to head tiebreaker. Philadelphia, on the other hand, would need to lose three out of their last four (including the game underway to the Astros tonight) to fall behind the Rockies, or else Colorado loses in tiebreakers with them. 

One of the more interesting scenarios involves a three way tie between the Rockies, Phillies and Cardinals for the NL's best record at 94-68, in which case, the Phillies would have the home field advantage throughout the playoffs by virtue of their 8-3 record against the other two teams (the Rockies were 8-5), but would draw Los Angeles as a wild card opponent. The Rockies in that scenario would have the home field advantage over the Cardinals in the NLDS and possibly the Dodgers if Los Angeles could win their series against Philly.

The most likely wild card scenario still suggests that the Rockies would have to play Philadelphia, and cede the home field advantage to them, as they hold a similarly dominant record over the Cardinals this season that we have, meaning St. Louis would either actually have to sweep Milwaukee or the Phillies get swept by the Marlins for the Cardinals to move ahead. 

 

291001127_brewers_rockies_143947873_lbig_medium

via www.fangraphs.com


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I drink to you tonight, rox

cheers

if you're reading this, it means my undying support for your team will result in its failure.

by fantasyfencing on Oct 1, 2009 7:24 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Me too, cheers indeed

though it looked like the boys were doing just fine themselves. Will give mad props for any not hungover by first pitch tomorrow night. I’ve had many a plane ride from Denver to LA after a bender and it never ends well for me, but those fellas are made of better stuff I hope.

And I really, really want a Beimel “party robe”. Anyone who knows how to get one, well, don’t hold out…

by Teekalong on Oct 2, 2009 1:20 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Man, I totally missed this game

Didn’t know the 1:10 start time. Not that I coulda watched most of it; I’m in high school.

"I always believe there's a reason why you go through everything." -John Elway

by LACK on Oct 1, 2009 7:32 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

four words for ya

score text alerts, baby

if you're reading this, it means my undying support for your team will result in its failure.

by fantasyfencing on Oct 1, 2009 7:34 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

My mathematics teacher is such a @#$@#

He has eagle-eyes. This is why I never can be able to go to/watch weekday early-afternoon games

"I always believe there's a reason why you go through everything." -John Elway

by LACK on Oct 1, 2009 7:52 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

WOW ME TOO!!!!!

Haha and I do get score alerts for the games :) Its purdy sweet..Earlier I was on PR blogging while I was in Physics class. Haha.

Remember old folks, I'm just 17 years old =]

by GoRockies!! on Oct 1, 2009 8:10 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know!

I was watching Gameday the entire day under my desk.

Rockies -- please win.

by Rockie4Ever on Oct 1, 2009 9:36 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Haha nice.

Remember old folks, I'm just 17 years old =]

by GoRockies!! on Oct 1, 2009 9:45 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Go Rockies!

post season here we come!…but first L A here we come

we seem to have gotten over that HURDLE

ROCKTOBER HAS BEGUN!

by TuLoRocks2008 on Oct 1, 2009 7:35 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Was at work,

but I called my brother who was able to put the phone to the TV speakers so I could hear the last out.

"Don't give up the ship!" - Capt. James Lawrence

Purple Row - Covering all your Rockies needs!

by Russ Oates on Oct 1, 2009 8:03 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

It's time for more magic!

"There are only two important things in life: baseball and breathing. But at least you can survive without breathing for 3 minutes."
www.soundclick.com/hollidayrain

by Hollidayrain on Oct 1, 2009 8:10 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

i love that picture btw

the future of the Rockies OF…Cargo and Dex

we seem to have gotten over that HURDLE

ROCKTOBER HAS BEGUN!

by TuLoRocks2008 on Oct 1, 2009 8:11 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Wait,

are they old enough to be drinking? :)

by fatheadX on Oct 1, 2009 8:23 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

barely

both 23 haha

we seem to have gotten over that HURDLE

ROCKTOBER HAS BEGUN!

by TuLoRocks2008 on Oct 1, 2009 8:33 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

a lot of doubles and triples are going to die

in their gloves over the next 10 years…

and the offensive potential – CarGo has ALL STAR ++ potential

Dexter maybe a little less (lack of power potential), but he’ll do just fine..

watch this space for a soon to be created clever remark....

by RockyMtnCat on Oct 1, 2009 9:57 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

i just didn't give dex a ++

i like him just fine…………

watch this space for a soon to be created clever remark....

by RockyMtnCat on Oct 2, 2009 7:46 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hey Roxgirl

I know the Rockies beat last year’s attendance by about 15,000 but wasn’t there a game last year against the Nationals in August where we had no attendance? (The first game of a double header where tickets were refunded or something) If that’s the case did we really beat last year’s attendance or is comparing 81 games to 80 fair?

I don’t mean to be a pessimist but I’m curious how that works.

Batters who walk to first usually come running home.

by RhodeIslandRoxfan on Oct 1, 2009 11:01 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

This is a good point to keep in mind,

As there was that August 7 doubleheader game, but this is the way it officially goes down, and it is in the books as 81 games to 81. Had the gate for the August 6th rainout been included with a smaller take on the seventh (the 30,000 plus recorded attendance for Game 2 actually includes all tickets sold that day) I’m not sure what the combined impact would be. The weather and the fact that it was the Nationals against a disappointing Rockies team kept that 8/6 attendance dismal IIRC, which was a large reason why the Rockies decided to go ahead and zero it out for the double header the next day.

I would guess 2008 would still tip just ahead of 2009 at that point, but even right now, a difference of 15,000 over 81 games is pretty much neutral year to year and it would be the same in that case. The big news, however, is that because they’ve had a winning season, the Rockies haven’t been decimated at the gate by the economy in the way similar regional teams (Arizona, San Diego and Seattle, namely) have. All three of those teams are off their 2008 totals by at least 1500 fans a game, even St. Louis is down over 1,000 a game despite winning the Central division.

There were 23 teams in 2008 to average over 25,000 fans per game, 16 of them have seen a drop of 1,000 fans/game or more in 2009. The Rockies are one of five to see an increase, and only the Phillies saw a jump of more than 1,000. This is a year where neutral attendance is a definite win.

by Rox Girl on Oct 2, 2009 7:05 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

DP showed 80 games for 2008

I couldn’t figure out why. But the net impact was that the average attendance for 2009 was about 200 less than 2008 if you use 80 home games for 2008.

Happiness is October baseball

by Rawktober on Oct 2, 2009 11:26 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

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