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Monday Rockpile: "Hurt but Not Showing It?"

Charting Jeff Francis for Signs of Injury

A few days ago, Harry Pavlidis at Beyond the Boxscore charted Jeff Francis over the last two seasons to see how his injury affected him. Head over there to look at the charts, but what Harry finds from the first one on pitch speed is that:

While it looks like Francis lost a bit of velocity at the high end before going on the DL, the end speed picture doesn't match - and those numbers are more reliable from park to park*,  In any case, he looks to have recovered after the DL visit, if anything was lost to begin with.

* I'm testing my park/data correction method.  Some tests have gone very well, some not so much.

His second chart looks at pitch height at the plate; Francis's curveball, he finds, didn't hit the dirt much in 2008. If these charts don't show how his injury really affected him, what did? Something brought up in the comments (and here at some point when the papers mentioned it): Francis's arm slot was never consistent. If Francis does pitch in 2009, that's something we'll want to keep an eye on.

GB% + K/BF%=?

A few weeks ago we looked at Rich Lederer's article on strikeouts per 100 pitches. Aaron Cook was at the end of that list, lower on the list from 2007 but having improved his K/100P. But as we mentioned in the comments, Cook's success is a result of improving his strikeouts numbers and maintaining his groundball percentage. Well, Lederer checks in with an article charting pitchers for GB% and K/BF%:

Startersgbk_medium

via baseballanalysts.com


For the Rockies, Aaron Cook andd Jeff Francis are in the northwest and Ubaldo Jimenez and Jorge De La Rosa (not shown but mentioned in the article) are in the northeast. Lederer's in the camp of "Jorge De La Rosa can be very, very good for the Rockies, but he needs to walk fewer batters." And if Ubaldo Jimenez keeps improving he can join the Cy Youn Award discussion.

MLB Blackout Map

Who knows if the owners will actually ever change the blackout policy, but here's the map if you're interested:

Mlb_blackout_map1000x733_medium

via bizofbaseball.com

Look at all that unnecessary overlapping.

-----

One last thing that just came up: Jim from AZ SnakePit interviewed D'Backs GM Josh Byrnes. Part I here.

0 recs  |  Comment 22 comments |

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Nice ...

Wow, that’s easy to read :) That’s not a knock on the creator of the map, of course, but on the creator of the blackout strategy.

The Brewers get blacked out in Iowa? Seriously? I’ve lived in Iowa for 28 of my 33 years and I’m not sure that I have EVER run across a Brewers fan in the state.

by kosmo99 on Feb 9, 2009 8:43 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

Just as strange

The Reds get blacked out in most of Tennessee — I have lived in Tennessee for 19 of my 24 years and have met a grand total of one Reds fan in the state.

Equally annoying is the Braves’ decision to pull most of their games off TBS and place them on a channel that isn’t carried in Nashville. Okay, so that’s really only annoying when the Rockies play the Braves. But still…

by Tom (RFTN) on Feb 9, 2009 12:08 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

One of the mods over at Brew Crew Ball lives in Iowa. He is obviously not a big fan of the blackout, because…yeah, there aren’t many Brewers fans in the state. (I went to college in Iowa and I was the only Brewers fan I knew, even among the other people from Wisconsin. Darn Cubs.)

by morineko on Feb 9, 2009 3:29 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

I was born in Iowa

My extended family is all Cubs and Cardinals fans, with a heavy lean to the Cubbies.

"Winning doesn't really matter as long as you win." - Vinny Jones

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 9, 2009 4:04 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

My screen name says it all

   It’s easy to be a Rockies fan in Iowa! I buy the Extra Innings cable package every year but can’t get games of: Cubs, White Sox, Twins, Royals, Brewers, or Cardinals. If I could get those games who knows….. Maybe I’d start identifying with some of their players and drive the 4 hours (you pick the direction) a few times a year to see them at the ball park. As it is….. I get to see most of the Rockies games as long as they’re not playing any of the above teams. I really have no interest in the “regional” teams since I’m not even sure what their uniforms look like anymore moreless what skills their players have. And, I’m far from alone in this. A Royals hat is rare here in Iowa, but Yankees, Braves (I admit the Milwaukee connection has some influence here) and Astros (go figure) fans are all around me. Yeah, the black out policy is doing some real good for the midwest teams in Iowa.

by IowaRockie on Feb 9, 2009 4:21 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Yep

Not really hard to be a Rockies fan in Tennessee if you have MLB.TV. Tennessee’s pretty well divided, lots of Cardinals fans in west Tennessee (I admit to being a Cardinals fan when they aren’t playing the Rockies), middle Tennessee and east Tennessee are mostly Braves fans. Of course there are the ubiquitous Yankees, Red Sox, and Cubs fans, as there are pretty much everywhere.

by Tom (RFTN) on Feb 9, 2009 8:41 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Wow.

Poor Iowa…

Also, is that some Rockies blackout in So.Cal? I’m also surprised that they haven’t started to blackout more Cali games in CO.

by roxintober on Feb 9, 2009 8:49 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

That's

the Padres. They’re just a bit darker than the Rockies.

"If we never try, we shall never succeed." - Abraham Lincoln

Purple Row - Covering all your Rockies needs!

by Russ Oates on Feb 9, 2009 9:02 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Different map

That’s the Padres that you’re seeing in SoCal. It’s a slightly different shade of brown.

Eastern Montana being blacked out for SEA games is pretty strange, too. The eastern border of MT is, what, 800 miles from Seattle?

This might provide easier results (although the original image does a better job of illustrating the mess)

http://us.i1.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/p/sp/tools/med/2006/06/ipt/1150742098.jpg

by kosmo99 on Feb 9, 2009 9:01 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

Lederer

Article was pretty interesting. Worth the read for the JDLR comments.

by Hizilla on Feb 9, 2009 9:09 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

He is really an intriguing pitcher

His numbers are all backwards, it’s funny.

Follow me on Twitter! http://www.twitter.com/rockiesmagicnum

by Andrew Martin on Feb 9, 2009 10:39 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

The Rockies have some impressive search sway in New Mexico,

At least according to Google Trends, we crush the D-backs in searches there.

Given that Arizona games are still blacked out in New Mexico despite this, I think we can conclude that the majority of Nebraskans are somewhat lucky that the Rockies are only blacked out in the remote Western part of the state, as the Rockies are more popular compared to the Royals there than the D-backs are compared to the Rockies in New Mexico, and Nebraska is about equal with New Mexico in total Rockies searches.

Another interesting note, Rockies searches are a lot closer to the Dodgers in Las Vegas and San Diego than I would have thought.

by Rox Girl on Feb 9, 2009 9:46 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

War

I am planning on marching on South Dakota to take it back from the Twins. Who’s with me?

by onholliday on Feb 9, 2009 11:30 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

While we're at it

We can take Montana, Idaho, and North Dakota. Huzzah!

by Tom (RFTN) on Feb 9, 2009 12:09 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Didn't

South Park do something like this….?

"Of course, it’s downright frightening to imagine how two Adam Dunns would turn the double play." - Joe Posnanski

by DbacksSkins on Feb 9, 2009 12:38 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

We’ll give everyone here a bottle of Jagerman’s S’mores-flavored Schnapps, and the Dakotas are as good as ours.

by Tom (RFTN) on Feb 9, 2009 1:02 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Lake Michigan

     If I get a yacht with a satellite dish and park it in Lake Michigan….. Can I get all the games?

by IowaRockie on Feb 9, 2009 4:24 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

Maybe then

you’d be in Toronto’s TV market

"Of course, it’s downright frightening to imagine how two Adam Dunns would turn the double play." - Joe Posnanski

by DbacksSkins on Feb 9, 2009 4:48 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

So like

If I live in NYC and start subscribing to MLB TV, what this map is showing me is that I’ll be able to watch every team except the Mets and Yankees on MLBTV right?

by Resolution on Feb 10, 2009 7:53 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

Exactly.

"If we never try, we shall never succeed." - Abraham Lincoln

Purple Row - Covering all your Rockies needs!

by Russ Oates on Feb 10, 2009 7:56 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

thanks

Also, anyone want to roadtrip to that southwest tip of Florida and see what it’s like in MLBTV purgatory?

by Resolution on Feb 10, 2009 7:59 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

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