Chien-Ming Wang
Joel Sherman of the NY Post writes in his blog that the Yankees would consider trading Wang and aren't super enthusiastic about signing him to a mega free agent deal.
Wang is going to be a free agent after the 2010 season so to keep him the Yankees are going to have to pay him elite dollars over a long-term to stay: He will likely have a case that he should be paid commensurate with the five years at $82.5 million bestowed A.J. Burnett. And the Yanks, internally, are not positive about going to such extents with Wang. He has pitched four seasons in the majors and two have been interrupted by injury. They wonder how a pitcher who does not strike out batters will age as he loses some bite on his sinking fastball, especially since he has been sketchy in developing the rest of his repertoire. And he would begin a new contract in 2011 at age 31, so you almost certainly are buying declining years.
Now, I'm not advocating that the Rockies consider giving Wang AJ Burnett money, and I don't think the Monforts are ready to shell out that kind of cash on a pitcher, but I think that he would be a good fit. Despite the fact that he "does not strike out batters", he has consistently posted GB in excess of 50%, doesn't walk many, and gives up very few home runs. His GB percentage has actually declined as his K/9 has increased, because he has developed a slider and learned to pitch for strikeouts a bit more. He seems like someone who could consistently post a FIP under 4 and would make a very solid #3 in the Rockies rotation behind Cook and Jimenez. In a normal year he is worth about 4-5 wins. Last year with the Cubs Marquis was worth 1.8 wins, and at this point we are all hoping and praying that he can duplicate that performance.
For the Yankees to trade Wang this year would probably mean that 1)A Rod is hurt for longer than currently expected 2)they are out of the race in July and 3)Joba and Hughes show the ability to stay healthy and be effective. But the Yankees need middle infield and catching prospects, two areas that the Rockies have a decent amount of depth. Would Rosario + Gomez + Frazier + one of our surplus corner bats like Baker be enough to get a deal done? Would it be worth it to the Rockies? I think if the Rockies are hanging around in the West come July then O Dowd has to pursue pitching, as the offense is good enough to win the division.
Eat. Drink. Be Merry. But the above FanPost does not necessarily reflect the attitudes, opinions, or views of Purple Row's staff (unless, of course, it's written by the staff [and even then, it still might not]).
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I'd be all about Wang in Denver
He’d be Aaron Cook 2: The Empire Strikes Back, however, so we shouldn’t be expecting something magical or some super ace or something.
Good thinking moomacher
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by Andrew Martin on Mar 25, 2009 10:42 PM MDT reply actions 0 recs
I like the idea
but it also strikes me as a too much of a role reversal. Typically, the Yankees are looking to acquire a big name veteran at the deadline (like Pudge Rodriguez last year or Bobby Abreu in 2006), giving prospects in return. Such a role reversal is possible, but I’m afraid 1) it’s highly unlikely and/or 2) the Yanks would demand one of the Rockies top flight prospects like Fowler, Stewart, Gonzalez or Chacin.
Aut Vincam Aut Periam
by PioneerSkies on Mar 25, 2009 11:48 PM MDT reply actions 0 recs
By the way
Good to see people using Fangraphs’ win-values, moomacher.
Everyone see that? Win values? Not “Wins”?
Big difference, boys and girls. Big difference. If we can all educate ourselves similarly, we can have a downright enlightened conversation.
Seriously, if you’ve ever been to Lookout Landing (Mariners’ SBN), you’d understand. Everyone there is pretty much statistically educated and on board, but they’re a lot more cynical there.
We could find SBN Enlightenment here.
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by Andrew Martin on Mar 26, 2009 8:24 AM MDT reply actions 0 recs
Shandler
I’m more of a disciple of Ron Shandler, although I would suspect that there is a lot of commonality in the end results.
by kosmo99 on Mar 26, 2009 8:26 AM MDT reply actions 0 recs
haven't read much of Shandler
but that’s more because I don’t really do much with Fantasy.
What can you suggest reading?
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by Andrew Martin on Mar 26, 2009 9:09 AM MDT up reply actions 0 recs
Baseball Forecaster
His annual – Ron Shandler’s Baseball Forecaster – is a good mix of player projections and analysis. Amazon seems to have the cheapest price. Shandler uses component analysis to determine which stats are due to skill, and which are due to flukes.
Shandler also writes as column for Sports Weekly and maybe USA Today? I’m certain about SW, since I subscribe.
by kosmo99 on Mar 26, 2009 11:18 AM MDT up reply actions 0 recs

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