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Around SBN: Upon Further Review: Bo Knows Longreads

I’m impressed with Clint Barmes: My confession

Clint Barmes has been the whipping boy around Purple Row for some time now, and for the most part, he's totally deserved it. Coming into the 2009 season, Barmes had a nifty .263/.301/.405 stat line, was terrible prone to being an awful batter, and basically was the guy that would make the big plays but would simultaneously waste any benefit with his performances at the plate.

Now, the thing we know about Barmes is that he's a hacker who has trouble reading breaking pitches.

This season, Barmes has been a solid addition to the lineup, batting .285/.342/.494 for the season with a  .361 wOBA (with about .330 being average). What's more impressive is his plate discipline. As we see from the batting line above, he's sporting a .057 IsoD. Compared to his .041 career line, he's walking more than his normal levels. Additionally, he's slugging harder, sporting a .209 IsoP, a full .060 higher than his career numbers.

What do we attribute this to? Well, first of all, his .336 BABIP isn't terribly sustainable, but if we compare it to last year's numbers, they're not that far off of his .329 BABIP. Granted, his .297 career BABIP would suggest that he's bound to crash and burn, but then again, his '08 season was a far cry from his '05 and '06 seasons. I'd be game to suggest that his 2007 AAA .321 BABIP might be more indicative of his real contact skills, and his '08 and '09 numbers give credence to this supposition. The one thing I hope for is that he doesn't end up with some freak injury that takes him out for any amount of time. He had something good going in 2008 when Reyes' slide knocked him out, and I don't need to mention 2005. I want to see him stay "good" while staying healthy as well. Granted, he did nothing with his 2006 playing time, but something clearly fixed him in 2007, or at least lit the fire.

But wait! There's more! Join me after the jump!

Star-divide

Anyhow, looking at plate discipline numbers, we see that his Swing% of 49.9% has dropped 2% (not a massive amount, but when you consider how much of a hacker he is, it adds up) from his numbers last year, and a little under 2% from his career numbers. But what catches my eye is the fact that his Z-Swing% (Swing% inside the zone) jumped from 65% last year to 66.9% this year, and more importantly, his O-Swing has dropped from 35.7% to 31.6% - and his O-Contact has also dropped significantly, meaning that he's making less bad contact and also grounding into fewer DPs.

Basically, he's taking some of those terrible hacks at balls and turned them into actual balls. Along with his IsoD increase, his BB% has bumped from 4.1% to 6.2%.

But we know that Barmes is never really gonna be an elite bat, anything near average is gravy with his real skillset: His glove. Duh.

The way Barmes is playing 2B right now, he's worth about 1.2 wins above an average 2B (extrapolated over 150G at 2B). He is an excellent cog to the double play and he has range that nobody else on this team can really touch in the infield.

Is this article meant to campaign for Barmes as a permanent fixture in the starting lineup? Absolutely not, but I'm praising his recent patience and success at the plate and his continual ability to wow us with his glovework. I still think Nelson/Gomez/Tulo/EYJ are gonna be the future of the Middle Infield, but for now, Barmes is an excellent piece to have around.

Sadly, now might also be the best time to move him.

----------------------------------

Tidbits from around our team:

Our starting pitching staff is considered by StatCorner (the authors of tRA) to be above-average across the board, excepting Aaron Cook. Cook needs to string some more solid outings together before the advanced numbers are going to start liking him again. Leading the pack is Ubaldo Jimenez (who's surprised? Seriously?) with a 3.41 tRA and he's worth 11.1 runs above average - or basically a win above a league-average pitcher. Marquis leads the pack in longevity, having pitched well enough for an xIP of 81.7 (essentially the way he's pitched should have led to 81.7 successful innings this far).

Coming out of the pen, and this one REALLY surprised me, but our best reliever (in terms of tRA, pRAA, AND xIP) is Manny Corpas, posting a 3.01 tRA and 4.4 pRAA over 29.5 xIP. And it kind of adds up, as he has a lot of zeroes and several BIG innings, and he's still posting a 19:5 K:BB with 52.7% GB. We've seen him settling down as of late, and seen some flashes of '07 Corpas. The problem is that he's not getting a lot of the lineouts-directly-to-someone and the defense maybe hasn't turned the plays they should have - not in the sense of errors, but Corpas gets the grounders and they aren't always converted the way I'd like to see. It should also be noted that Matt Daley is already at 4.0 pRAA in about 1/3 the xIP. (Technically, Joel Peralta and Randy Flores have lower tRA's but they haven't cracked 10 xIP yet so I'm gonna go ahead and hold off hailing them as the salvation of the pen.)

Interestingly enough, our best batting pitcher this season isn't Jason Marquis, nor is it Aaron Cook. It's Ubaldo Jimenez, clocking in at a screaming .311 wOBA, only suffering -0.4 bRAA. That wOBA puts him as a better batter than: Yorvit Torrealba, Troy Tulowitzki, Garrett Atkins, the rest of the pitchers, and David Ortiz.

That's it for this week, fair RowBots. Next week: Breaking down the effect that baggy pants have on a player's grit and hustle-to-it-ness.

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Barmes

is 30, so I don’t think he’d be the future at the position in any event. Though I agree with the conclusions—he’s a “useful piece to have around.”

I never really understood why Barmes gets bashed so hard. He’s not as good a hitter as he is this year, not nearly as bad as he was in 2006, and he’s perhaps a tad better than his career numbers as a result. While you’d hope to have a better starter at 2nd, esp. given the emergence of strong offensive players at the position elsewhere in the majors, he’s not a bad fallback option, as he seems to have been the past couple years. That he can field both middle infield spots well for a team with a lot of pitch to contact types is important.

Despite the reported interest of the Red Sox in Spilly and the wishcasting of their interest in Hawpe, I thought Barmes should be their target. Their starting shorstop (Lugo) has a bad knee and is fielding horribly, their 2nd shortstop (Lowrie) will be coming back from wrist surgery, and we can see how well their players do after wrist injuries (Garciaparra, Ortiz), and their 3rd shortstop, the guy with the most starts there (Green), isn’t really a shortstop. Supposedly they’ve instead been sniffing around JJ Hardy and Orlando Cabrera.

by FooMan on Jun 10, 2009 12:13 PM MDT reply actions  

Baserunning

People bust on his baserunning, too, but FWIW, Bpro has him above avg (by a run or two; the spread on the stat is generally within minus 10 to plus 10-12 runs/yr) in each of his years where he’s gotten playing time (2006, 2006, 2008, 2009, I didn’t check the other years).

by FooMan on Jun 10, 2009 12:21 PM MDT reply actions  

Intentional?
I’d be game to suggest

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Jun 10, 2009 12:38 PM MDT reply actions  

I have been impressed with Barmes this year as well since I've never been a fan of him in the starting lineup.

Always felt he would be the perfect utility guy but his results this year have been impressive.

Baseball players are smarter than football players. How often do you see a baseball team penalized for too many men on the field?
Author: Jim Bouton

by pedalpusher on Jun 10, 2009 12:46 PM MDT reply actions  

Jose Reyes

is such a punk!

"DAMMIT! No, calm down. Learn to enjoy losing." --Hunter S. Thompson

by PioneerSkies on Jun 10, 2009 12:52 PM MDT reply actions  

+1

"We made too many wrong mistakes." ~Yogi Berra
"The ballplayer who loses his head, who can't keep his cool, is worse than no ballplayer at all." ~Lou Gehrig
JFK

by jrockies on Jun 10, 2009 12:59 PM MDT up reply actions  

What's the equivalent if you completely disagree?

-1000? Reyes isn’t a punk, he clearly loves to play the game and is as exciting a player as there is.

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 10, 2009 1:22 PM MDT up reply actions  

I mean

it wasn’t a dirty slide or anything, but whatever extent I liked Reyes went out the window when he spiked Clint. It’s probably nothing more than the visceral kneejerk disgust from seeing one of my Rockies getting hurt.

"DAMMIT! No, calm down. Learn to enjoy losing." --Hunter S. Thompson

by PioneerSkies on Jun 10, 2009 1:26 PM MDT up reply actions  

Franchise is right...

Reyes is no punk and he’s a great player to watch.

I was at the game last year when Barmes was injured. It was nobody’s fault, just an unfortunate outcome. Pure and simple, it was a baseball play. I remember being sorry Barmes was hurt but never thought Reyes was to blame. Stuff happens.

by alex colfax on Jun 10, 2009 1:45 PM MDT up reply actions  

I agree with you

I collect baseball cards and I separate the best players in the game and he is definitely set apart there. I meant the +1 as sarcasm, I enjoy watching baseball and he is exciting.

"We made too many wrong mistakes." ~Yogi Berra
"The ballplayer who loses his head, who can't keep his cool, is worse than no ballplayer at all." ~Lou Gehrig
JFK

by jrockies on Jun 10, 2009 11:01 PM MDT up reply actions  

Retrospective Assessment

With Barmes producing a 1.6 WAR, and O. Hudson producing a 1.9 WAR, what is your retrospective assessment of the Rockies 2B discussion this off-season

by deacs on Jun 10, 2009 1:53 PM MDT reply actions  

interesting question

assuming Hudson signed a similar, one-year deal with the Rockies. His deal has about 4.6 million in incentives based on playing time. Since he has been healthy, he’s on track for all them (which are triggered up to PA # 632), making him about an $8M player this year.

That kind of deal seems more worthwhile for the Dodgers than Rockies, esp. when you factor in the draft pick compensation. I assume the Rockies would have given up their 2nd rounder.

It does sort of highlight the problem the Rockies have with getting better…it’s along the lines of what RoxGirl wrote when she was going through the roster, sorting the “competitive” from the .500 players. O’Dowd has done a decent job of filling in the black holes (though the bullpen did go screwy this year). It’s going to be harder to move from the averagish players to the good ones, esp. while trading away a Holliday. It highlights how important Iannetta,Tulo and Jimenez are, since they’re probably in the best position to distance themselves from the average at their position (in a good way).

by FooMan on Jun 10, 2009 2:25 PM MDT up reply actions  

is defense factored into that?

The Rockies need some oldschool purple/white striped high socks. The team’s problem is it’s lack of swagger. I feel strongly that these socks will provide the swagger necessary to tap the potential that are the Rockies.

by Resolution on Jun 10, 2009 9:13 PM MDT up reply actions  

yes

Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Chris Iannetta status: Mashing AAA
Seth Smith status: Badass
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 10, 2009 11:07 PM MDT up reply actions  

I still stand by the fact that the Rockies should have signed Hudson

But any defense of it now is mostly based on principle. I expected Barmes to do more or less what he did last season, be a 2+ WAR player, and Hudson to be worth upwards of 4-5 WAR. Hudson’s bat is carrying the MI, and I find the irony that Furcal, who was supposed to be the offensive mastermind of that infield, is struggling while Hudson and Blake are rocking opposing pitchers to the tune of 1.9 and 1.8 WAR, respectively.

Do I take it back because Barmes is batting this well? No way. I anticipated him to bat .270/.310/.430 and provide excellent defense, basically making him a lineup regular until someone bigger or better came along, and essentially, that’s what I still expect to happen. I love Barmes’ glove, and I love his pricetag, but he could bring back a nice chip the way he’s playing right now.

Honestly, I might just miss him the most.

Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Chris Iannetta status: Mashing AAA
Seth Smith status: Badass
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 10, 2009 11:07 PM MDT up reply actions  

Was the David Ortiz crack really necessary

(yes it was)

by ch3cooh1 on Jun 10, 2009 2:48 PM MDT reply actions  

Not much to contribute....

…..to the great article above. Just wanted to say that Barmes is my second favorite member of the current Rockies team (right behind Cookie). Thanks for the research – now I have some numbers to throw out when I need to follow-up after an ‘I like Barmie’ comment during the game threads (for some reason I always feel the need to caveat why I like him).

by TulsaDriller on Jun 10, 2009 6:03 PM MDT reply actions  

Well you almost need to defend it

Because he’s just been too prone to stinking for stretches. Always a solid glove, but I really, really think 2007 in the Springs helped his game.

Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Chris Iannetta status: Mashing AAA
Seth Smith status: Badass
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 10, 2009 11:02 PM MDT up reply actions  

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