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Friday Rockpile: Rockies at .500, face Tracy's previous team

Rockies climb back to .500 - The Denver Post

"We are having fun now because we are playing good baseball again, like we should have been all along," Barmes said.

Inside the Colorado Rockies " Quick Hits
Among the notes Jack Etkin provides for yesterday's game, we learn that Jim Tracy is also now a .500 manager after the victory.

Pirates tenure still sore subject for Rockies' Tracy - The Denver Post
Jim Tracy's old team pays a visit to his current stomping grounds. He may have lost a team there, but he's found a team here.

Kiszla: This time, it's more than just a little magic for Rockies - The Denver Post
Basically, Kiszla argues that these Rockies are better than their 2007 brethren, but Kyle Blakeman is still helping the club. For those who don't remember Kyle Blakeman there are stories here and here.

0 recs  |  Comment 211 comments |

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Provided that Tracy doesn't try

to turn the ‘09 Rockies into the ’04 Dodgers, that’ll be a step up. No, don’t teach Dexter Fowler to be a terrible slap hitter who pounds the ball into the ground like Dave Roberts.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 8:52 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I dont know if i would go so far as to say this team is better than the 07

didnt the 07 team have the best record in baseball after may 19th or something like that? the bullpen was better than and Holliday’s bat was definitely better than anything we have now.

but that comparison really doesnt matter. this team is its own team and hopefully we are buyers in another month.

by purplesocks on Jun 19, 2009 8:54 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I think Josh Fogg is the key to our success

and I say that with a quivering lip and cheeks trying to contain a big stupid grin because I don’t mean any of that.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 8:56 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Playoff Races in the last 5 years.

with Josh Fogg 2
With out: Zero

Coincidence?

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 9:17 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Jun 19, 2009 9:20 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Power Rankings that Actually Matter

Beyond the Box Score has the Rockies in 13th, with the statistically best pitching staff in the NL, and claims that we’re the front runners for the Wild Card.

http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2009/6/18/913464/btb-power-rankings-through

Discuss.

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 9:00 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Hey good link

It fanshotted it this morning. But it’s exciting for sure. I like how he has an exclamation point by “Rockies” every time.

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Jun 19, 2009 9:03 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh damn

Sorry, about that – didn’t see it, and I don’t mean to steal your thunder. I should have figured you would’ve fanshotted it, since you posted over there :) .

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 9:16 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not a problem 'tall

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Jun 19, 2009 9:26 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Move over mlbtraderumors,

SBN just launched MLB Daily Dish, your source for daily MLB news.

"If we never try, we shall never succeed." - Abraham Lincoln

Purple Row - Covering all your Rockies needs!

by Russ Oates on Jun 19, 2009 9:06 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I'll probably visit for commentary

and I’ll have to see how fast they get news across

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 9:11 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Time to come home to Colorado, Roy!

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 9:17 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hellloooo Roy!

Goooodbyeee Dexter, CarGon, Machine, and probably McKenry or better!

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 9:22 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah probably

Though at this point in my Rockies love affair I’m getting slightly tired of high-ceiling underachievers. I know it’s very East-Coastian of me, but I’d like some winnars now.

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 9:24 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dexter Fowler is a rookie

Gonzalez is effectively a rookie

It’s not like they’ve been up for 3 years and still can’t OPS better than .700 or something.

Patience. Just because we’ve started winning doesn’t mean we should go sell the farm for one guy who might just have started being broken.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 9:29 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know that

Dex, Doom, and Shades are still developing (and Tulo, to an extent). But then I look at guys like Atkins and Barmes, and my faith in our farm system wavers a bit.

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 9:36 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Barmes?

You mean top 5 2B in MLB Barmes?

You mean best consistent IF glove we’ve had the past several years Barmes?

Yeah I know it’s just because he’s hot right now.

He was never really supposed to be the HOT PLAYER, the highest he ranked in our system was #10 in 2005.

Not every prospect pans out. What system is supposedly better? Atkins mashed for a couple years, and now he’s done for. Why? Don’t know. But how many failed prospects league-wide are there?

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 9:39 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, because Atkins was never good and Barmes isn't our second-best hitter right now.

Our farm system blows.

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 9:39 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Alright

Sorry. I forgot I know nothing about baseball.

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 9:40 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I didn't say that, I just think you're way, way off base

You lack faith in our farm system. That’s an opinion, that’s fine, but basing that opinion on the performance of Atkins and Barmes is really wrong-headed. Atkins was a damn good hitter in his prime years. RMN already touched on what Barmes is.

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 9:43 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

No, it just happens every year

Sorry to get defensive, I just get tired of my lack of ability to join the conversation. I try and have informed opinions but every year I get outsmarted about the seeming fundamentals of baseball by someone on here. I really just need to stop trying for a while. “lurk moar”, as the term goes.

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 9:45 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm sorry if I'm giving you that impression

And yeah, my first response was over-the-top snarky, but all I’m trying to say is ‘hey, you don’t have to be so worried about this organization’s ability to develop players, particularly based on the two examples you used, who actually are (or in Atkins’ case, were) pretty useful players.’

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 9:47 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're fine

part of this is to get discussions going. Not everyone will agree….or some will point out a hole in your thinking. Happens to me all the time.

Sometimes I do it with the hole in the logic just to get the discussion going.

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 9:49 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I guess my issue was more with the concept of a failed farm

I’m not entirely sure who has failed, or what the definition of “fail” is.

Typically a “successful” prospect is one who reaches and can swing in the majors. Too many views of what a “good” prospect is are being jaded by Tim Lincecum and Evan Longoria, and the like.

Barmes is actually a great example of a prospect panning out. He was never really hailed to be an elite bat, but rather an elite glove with some pop. He’s gonna play in the majors for 5 more years just because he’s a stud at SS/2B, and I’m sure you can get on board that.

Farms will produce superstars and mediocre roleplayers. Atkins has been a disappointment, but remember his ‘06 was awesome. The fact that he’s considered a major league bat who is floundering right now by most of baseball suggests that he was a farmhand that was successful, you know what I mean?

I’m concerned about the farm, too, but it’s more based on the fact that it seems to be more staggered, in the sense that Help is on the way! In 2 years…and then MORE help! ….wait….And then some more!

We don’t have a pile of superstars waiting to come up, because most of them HAVE come up, and are still with us or in Oakland (oof). It kind of comes back to the idea of a team full of 6’s and 7’s is better than a team with 2 10’s and 7 4’s.

Don’t sweat it too hard. Remember it’s the internet, it’s not real, and while it’s frustrating, who cares? Just keep commenting, and if people get all snarky, someone will eventually get your back, and you can feed off of that.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:00 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Honestly dude

you claimed the Rockies were underachieving (up until about 10 games ago) and 10 games or so ago all the fancy statistics and fundamental core numbers agreed with you.

And I agree with you too – it’s almost easier to be a fan of an outright bad team/organization (IE Astros) than it is to be a fan of a team like the Rockies that seem to be loaded with potential but plagued by some sort of weird, nebulous self-doubt (at least through Hurdle’s tenure)…

The Rockies need some oldschool purple/white striped high socks. The team’s problem is it’s lack of swagger. I feel strongly that these socks will provide the swagger necessary to tap the potential that are the Rockies.

by Resolution on Jun 19, 2009 10:00 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Astros are run so stupidly I might just kill myself if I had to be a Stros fan

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:08 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

They should

trade Berkman and Oswalt and restaff their GM/scouting if they want to be respectable in like 5-6 years. Otherwise they’re about to enter a looooong decline (provided they don’t just increase payroll to buy talent without developing it)…

The Rockies need some oldschool purple/white striped high socks. The team’s problem is it’s lack of swagger. I feel strongly that these socks will provide the swagger necessary to tap the potential that are the Rockies.

by Resolution on Jun 19, 2009 10:12 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

ED WADE 4EVR

yeah I agree with you

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:12 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Astros

have completely neglected their farm system in recent years and it’s really starting to show.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 11:04 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

except for Hunter Pence

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 11:40 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Even a blind dog

finds the occasional bone.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 11:41 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks for your words guys

Don’t worry about me, I just get incredibly defensive incredibly easy. Yes, I know I used poor examples, and I’m sorry about that. I never meant any of that to say that I thought that the Rockies had a poor farm.

RMN, I never said the Rockies had a “failed farm” anywhere. I said my faith wavers a bit. But that’s just me being a lousy and uninformed fan, not a claim that the team has a bad farm. And while I know it’s “just the internet”, I still want to at least be well enough informed that I’m not laughed out of the room at the next BBQ. I just get frustrated that I never seem to be. I’d make a joke here comparing myself to a prospect who never panned out, but I’ll leave that to you guys to fill in the blanks (since if I did it myself I’d probably use the wrong player :P ).

PR always seems to have the most intelligent baseball discussion on the planet, and so for those of us that don’t instantly “get” it, it’s a bit intimidating feeling like the one in the room wearing the dunce cap.

Anyway, sorry again for all of that – didn’t mean to start everyone’s Friday off with awkward comments and backtracking. I just get overdefensive a lot.

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 10:23 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

dude Redhawk just claimed that Adam Dunn was a bad hitter

you’re not gonna get laughed out of the room

I wasn’t so much accusing you of us having a failed farm, just kind of addressing the concept: we’re not producing a Jose Reyes or Colby Rasmus every season, therefore our farm sucks. A lot of people don’t seem to understand that having a good farm doesn’t necessarily mean an All-Star at every position – not that you said that either.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:27 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

and I still stand by that

didn’t realize saying Dunn was a bad hitter was such a radical position. He hits a lot of homers, but he strikes out almost 200 time a year, and has a career BA of .248, his OBP of .383 is fine, but it’s all or nothing with Dunn and most of his homers came in the band box in Cincinnati.

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 10:34 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's not THAT radical.

Low-average sluggers can be very useful if they’re deployed properly. The problem with Dunn is that just about everywhere he’s been, he’s been the centerpiece of the offense. When a hitter like that is hitting in the six or seven hole (like Iannetta), it’s very useful to have.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 10:45 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

You give me Dunn, I bat him third

Tell him walk as many times as he damn well pleases – knowing he’s not as likely to hit into rally-killing DPs (since he’s striking out instead) – getting on base for my clean up man, or clearing the bases himself because he’s a guaranteed 40 homers every season.

I just think it’s the most ridiculous thing that a guy who hits 40 homers every season (literally) and gets on base at an elite level can be seen as ‘not a good hitter’. That just does not compute for me.

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 10:47 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd bat him fourth

Ideally, you have a good contact/power guy in the three-hole and Dunn acting as his protector — your third hitter is going to see pitches because they definitely don’t want to pitch to Dunn.

While Dunn will never hit for a high average, it’s not as if he’s Russell Branyan.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 10:52 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

have you seen branyan this year?

awesome.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 11:07 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

That .378 BABIP is not sustainable, though. He still strikes out a lot, though it’s less than in the past.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 11:23 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

oh absolutely

But still….he’s a beast

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 11:40 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, yes he is.

I saw him blast three homers in a game in Nashville last year. His power is ridiculous.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 11:41 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know the Reds did this a bit when he was on them

but batting Dunn second makes a lot of sense.

1. you take advantage of his high OBP by having him in front of the (ideally) better 3 and 4 hitters.
2. his high slugging is good for advancing runners
3. his high strikeouts make him less prone to the DP as franchise pointed out.

Of course points 2 and 3 are dependent upon having an awesome leadoff hitter (IE one who gets on base) and point 1 is only justified by having hitters better than Dunn. But whatever…

Having someone who puts the ball in play a lot in the 2-hole can be disastrous.

The Rockies need some oldschool purple/white striped high socks. The team’s problem is it’s lack of swagger. I feel strongly that these socks will provide the swagger necessary to tap the potential that are the Rockies.

by Resolution on Jun 19, 2009 4:49 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

GAB is about as big as Coors

It’s hardly a bandbox

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 11:06 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I understand that

I know enough to know that our farm system is producing some quality players, and that a good deal of them are on the field for us right now or are coming up.

I think I take more of an issue with the notion that every season we’re sellers because of our farm. It seems assumed around here need to protect our high-ceiling prospects who may or may not pan out and that we’ll do it at the cost of players who are good now, whether they are on our team or another team. It feels like no one can get over Mike Hampton and Denny Neagle, and so the constant talk of protecting may-or-may-not pan out prospects from our farm in favor of going out and getting a pitcher like that is frustrating.

At the same time, yes, the price tag on Halladay would be humongously huge and probably not worth it. I can at least see that.

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 10:48 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

In all honesty

The Rockies have generally been good in recent years at trading players away at the right time (see: Jennings, Chacon, Preston Wilson.) They whiffed by not trading Atkins when they still could have gotten a decent return, but that’s about the only one that comes to mind.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 10:55 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

wilson was just re dumping a salary dump

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 11:08 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Right there with you

It can get quite intimidating around here sometimes, especially if you aren’t as comfortable throwing around advanced statistics.

by Muzia on Jun 19, 2009 10:27 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe we can work on that

This should be a friendly place that allows people of all types to express their opinion comfortably without fear of being pushed to a corner

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Jun 19, 2009 10:58 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thank you PF

PR is friendly, but at times it feels a bit clique-ish. There are the managers/coaches who have a behind-the-scenes viewpoint help keep everyone else in line, there are those who only show up to contribute to Rockpiles and Fanposts, there are those that only show up for Game Threads, and there are lurkers.

And then there are those like me that want to contribute but can’t really break through into any of the cliques already established here. In those cases, it’s just generally better to stay out of the conversation while the “adults” talk baseball, and then we can maybe come back for a Game Thread or a post-game wrap where less thought-out reactions are more accepted.

PR is definitely friendly and has a great staff running it along with fantastic members who are really helpful. I think it’s mostly this kind of “clique” mentality that separates people here.

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 11:18 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

The "Counting Rocks" segments have been helpful for that

If you’re not that familiar with advanced stats, RMN has put up a number of good pieces about what all the advanced stats mean and how they’re useful.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 11:00 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That does help

but the problem with the “advanced stats” is there are so many of them. And most aren’t intuitive by just looking at their abbreviation to figure out what the stat is measuring.

I don’t like most of them honestly because they seem to be finding new fangled ways of saying the grass is green. I’ll go with “green” (but that doesn’t show what shade of green it is at 7am)

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 11:06 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think you're overgeneralizing a bit

but that’s why we’re trying to narrow down to wOBA, tRA, and then WAR

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 11:09 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

and I have no idea

what 2 of those are and couldn’t tell you how any of those are calculated.

However I can tell you how Batting Average is calculated, and can do it myself.

(and yes I’ve read your counting rocks columns)

That doesn’t make me less baseball knowledgeable, or stupid, or simple or any other negative. But that is implied by those that use them a lot or so it seems to those that don’t get them. It can be intimidating. (I’m not intimidated by much)

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 11:16 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I dont think it's intimidating

I don’t know that much about any of these advanced metrics either, but I know that not everything useful about a player can be derived from batting average as well.

When I read that player X has a good statistic Y, I just take it as a good point about the player, all the FO’s are using these sabermetrics, so it’s got to mean something.

A statistic is what it is, it can’t be argued with, and clearly they show something about a players baseball ability or else they wouldn’t be in use

by djmbluemoon on Jun 19, 2009 11:21 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sure they're in use but there are so damn many of them

the thing I dont like about saber is that there seems to be a new hot stat come along every single year.

i like just using the traditional BA/OBP/SLG and then looking at their situational and split numbers. That and the eyeball test.

by purplesocks on Jun 19, 2009 11:30 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

and you'll notice that I still use

the BA/OBP/SLG split regularly.

wOBA is just trying to roll everything into one number so you could take a quick look and say “this guy is better than that guy” when they have completely different skillsets and are hard to compare otherwise.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 11:43 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

statistics

50% of Statistics Can Be Made to Say Anything 90% of the Time

Or to paraphrase Mr. Simpson:
Statistics can be used to prove any point, 49% of all people know that

by Rox R Champs on Jun 19, 2009 3:01 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought it was

forfty percent

The Rockies need some oldschool purple/white striped high socks. The team’s problem is it’s lack of swagger. I feel strongly that these socks will provide the swagger necessary to tap the potential that are the Rockies.

by Resolution on Jun 19, 2009 5:00 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's only forfty percent

thirfty percent of the time.

Watching the purple row from high atop the big brown monolith on California Ave

by Mondogarage on Jun 19, 2009 5:12 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

interestingly enough

I only wrote about one of them.

Jabbs is doing WAR in his PR Academy articles, I did tRA a couple weeks back, and PF covered wOBA while I was in Toronto

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 12:17 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm a fan of sabermetrics

although it can get dizzying. The good news is that after a while there are 3 or 4 that get talked about while the rest generally left aside except for rare and/or special instances -so it makes it easier to focus on. A sort of pragmatic-based statistical natural selection.

And batting average gets bashed a lot, often in a holier-than-thou way, but I will say this: one thing that is not mentioned enough is that when people are expounding the benefits of OBP and SLG, what’s always left out is that these statistics are fueled by batting average to a large degree.

The Rockies need some oldschool purple/white striped high socks. The team’s problem is it’s lack of swagger. I feel strongly that these socks will provide the swagger necessary to tap the potential that are the Rockies.

by Resolution on Jun 19, 2009 5:04 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Counting Rocks

has been incredibly helpful, yes. But if you don’t know how to use them to gain insightful analysis they lose their luster and you fall behind on people that actually have the practice and experience. It’s like when I take a math class here at the university – I know the basics, but I’ll still need a calculator and to take some time to figure out the tough problems. When the whiz kids come in, solve the problem, and have erased the blackboard in favor of the next problem before you’ve got 2+2 down…it’s intimidating.

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 11:12 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Quite frankly, I don't understand all the details of advanced metrics either

wOBA is about the only one I know how to calculate, and that’s because I had to research it to write about it. I like to include some of them, but only if they’ve been covered by Counting Rocks before. And even then, just a vague understanding of what they represent is sufficient. You shouldn’t have to include tRA in a comment to be taken seriously.

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Jun 19, 2009 11:29 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Shouldn't have to, no

And usually you don’t, but sometimes it does feel that way.

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 11:34 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

So if a comment is made like previously about Chris Ianetta being poor because of a .220 batting average

People will argue against that and use the statistics to prove their point. If the statistics weren’t used, then there would be no way of proving he wasn’t a bad player from that average, which is demonstrably not true.

by djmbluemoon on Jun 19, 2009 11:32 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

OBP and SLG

are quite enough to show that Iannetta is not a bad player.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 11:36 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not saying statistics shouldn't be used!

Aargh, this is why I should just keep my mouth shut. I didn’t mean for this to become a stats debate because stats are both important and relevant. All I wanted to say was that it’s occasionally hard to be taken seriously around here unless you have a mile of sabermetric tape behind you. Not all the time, and not for everything, but some of the people here occasionally feel this way – that’s all.

I’m really sorry this has degenerated so far.

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 11:39 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

heh, it's good that you're bringing it up

because I’m sure there’s a lot of posters who want to voice this as well

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 11:46 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I have gotten that vibe increasingly of late.

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Jun 19, 2009 11:48 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

No it's good - don't fret

Baseball is a statistics game. They will be always used in debate and evaluations – the difference is the type people are comfortable with. And we should strike a balance between accurate, forward-thinking stats and traditional ones we all understand so that the most people can feel comfortable talking about this game and team. Thank you for voicing

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Jun 19, 2009 11:50 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

oh, and if you're intimidated by this level of statistics and such

don’t go to Lookout Landing.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 11:50 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

The things is

that I like stats. I’ve been trying to come up with a good way for me to get real-time WPA at the ballpark all year now. And even because I know what WPA is I’m already lightyears ahead of the DP commenters and most of my baseball friends. But coming here, it seems like WPA is child’s play.

I don’t mean to direct this at you or any posters in particular, it just seems like there’s a disconnect between the fans here.

Though I definitely prefer intelligent Rockies fans (and in our case, rabidly so) to lackadaisical ones.

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 11:58 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

nonononono

if you’re getting on board with WPA, you’re getting into stuff that I’m working with. I’m still trying to wrap my head around it, and I’m thinking we’ll have a CR article at least giving a brief overview of WPA in the next couple of weeks.

by the LL thing I just meant you couldn’t have this discussion, they’re just call you [profanities/obscenties here] and you’d leave feeling stupider than you EVER would here.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 12:00 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Stats

I think you and I are somewhat similar when it comes to stats, but with slightly different viewpoints. For me, I don’t understand many of the stats, but that’s mostly because I’m just not interested enough to take the time to learn them.

I skim over some of the analysis to the bottom line (i.e., how valuable a player is or isn’t) and I appreciate that additional analysis, but I have no interest in actually doing it myself. But that doesn’t necessarily make me less knowledgeable of a fan.

by holly96 on Jun 19, 2009 1:02 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

but isn't that the point here?

you say it’s “demonstrably not true” Which means you can demonstrate that a .220 Batting Average is not a bad hitter, by using stats that don’t makes sense to people….which isn’t demonstrating anything to that person.

(And a .220 Batting Average for the record is not and never will be good, no matter how you spin it. What you are really arguing/demonstrating is it’s not as bad as it looks)

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 11:39 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Like someone said above

You can use other more common metrics like OBP and SLG to prove that Ianetta is a good hitter. He might not have a good batting average but batting average isn’t everything.

by wolf213 on Jun 19, 2009 11:41 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Batting Average isn’t the only thing, but if a player doesn’t hit..that to me means to he doesn’t hit. Goes to the definition of being a hitter to me…you know…hitting.

Sorry there is a jump in logic that I don’t get on the “he doesn’t hit, but he’s a good hitter, just look at everything but his hitting” arguement

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 11:46 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe

I see the argument your trying to use, but there is more to hitting then just how many hits he gets per at bat. I think a good hitter i someone who can drive the ball, can work a count and get on base. Batting average isn’t worthless, but it shouldn’t be the end all of evaluating if a hitter is a good hitter or not.

by wolf213 on Jun 19, 2009 11:47 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Singles can involve a lot of luck

and bad defense, and a lot of other factors.

Doubles tend to be better hit balls. We all know doubles are better than singles. Duh.

The point of all this is that a singles hitter isn’t as valuable as a doubles hitter unless that singles hitter is like Willy Taveras or someone like that. Iannetta is very slow, and so while I’d like to see more hits, period, he’s still incredibly valuable because when he gets a ball he can hit well, he hits it well, as opposed to squeaking out a single. He’s not really a contact hitter, he’s a “wait on it, wait on it…..concourse” hitter.

Yeah, .220 ain’t great, but that’s why he’s still batting 8th, because he gets on base well so at least we can turn over the lineup. If he were batting .260, his slash stats would probably suggest he should bat 6th.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 11:50 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

The bigger point

is that simply because he’s hitting .228 right now does not mean that he will hit .228 all year. What we’re more interested in is what he’s going to do for the rest of the year. And it’s not like this is a JD Closser situation where the guy is contributing absolutely nothing.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 11:50 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Let me fix that for you

‘He doesn’t hit, but he’s a good hitter, just look at his ability to command the strike zone and work pitchers for walks, which counts as a baserunner just the same as a 25-hopper through the middle does, and his ability to make his hits count by hitting them into the gap and over the fence.

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 11:50 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

don't equate hits and walks

walks don’t drive in a runner from 2B.

But your point stands.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 11:55 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's why I was careful

to say “walk=baserunner” and not “walk=hit”.

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 12:38 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

So you are saying

Eddy Gaedel is the greatest hitter of all time? I mean he does have on base percentage of 1.000 %

I’m being light hearted of course as I point out that on base percentage does not equal “hitting”

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 12:58 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

sample size

draw as many puns as you need to

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 2:33 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hiyooooooo

The Rockies need some oldschool purple/white striped high socks. The team’s problem is it’s lack of swagger. I feel strongly that these socks will provide the swagger necessary to tap the potential that are the Rockies.

by Resolution on Jun 19, 2009 5:06 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

ask questions

Ask me any questions anytime, I don’t think I’ve ever taken a serious question and mocked the asker.

I’m more than happy to take extra time to help people understand all the abstract numbers that I hang my hat on.

Email me if you want, that’s cool too.

What fries me isn’t people who don’t “get” the advanced metrics, it’s the people who refuse to “get” them, and then just write them off as being stupid, and miss the entire point of them.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 11:45 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

No, you don't need to lurk at all

Just be like me and inject witty asides, without actually trying to say anything, with the occasional piece of troll-bait tossed out there. Works for me.

Watching the purple row from high atop the big brown monolith on California Ave

by Mondogarage on Jun 19, 2009 11:57 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

SHUT UP QUIT POSTING LURK MORE

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 12:01 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think I'll quote my friends over at 2+2

“more poasts like this one”

Watching the purple row from high atop the big brown monolith on California Ave

by Mondogarage on Jun 19, 2009 12:02 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lack of faith?

or lack in the model?

For me, I’m not sold on the “grow your own” team model the way the Rockies are doing it.

Of the group we have now, some will never make “average” they will be “busts” it happens. While the team has to wait to find out. Also having to just keep the amount of talent coming in is tough. Look around now, and you see holes in the pipe line already.

I have no problem trading some of these “maybes” for a Roy Halladay. Which is a need the Rockie have (front line starter)

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 9:47 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

But you don't just trade or give up on guys

because they ‘might not’ make it. Especially premium talents like Fowler, Gonzalez, and Stewart – those are 4 and 5 star prospects, and position prospects (who have a higher success rate than pitching prospects in the first place). If you get scared of letting young guys get better at the big league level, then you end up doing really stupid things.

I’d never call a pitching prospect untouchable in a deal, but top-tier position prospects are worth holding on to and trying to develop. Imagine if we had given up on Iannetta after he didn’t hit in 2006? That would have been pretty stupid, wouldn’t it?

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 9:50 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

you mean

.228 hitting Iannetta? Hate to point out…but he’s not hitting NOW.

Which actually makes one of my points. Everyone here thinks CDI is amazing. He’s not hitting to league average at his position. (.255). Why get married to all these players that are not even league average?

Catcher is another position I think the Rockies need to look at upgrading.

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 9:55 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Iannetta OBP: .360 Iannetta SLG: .504 Iannetta OPS+: 120

Hate to tell you, but he is hitting, and he is above league average.

</wags finger like Dikembe Mutombo in his prime>

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 9:58 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

SGL %

just means when he hits it goes far.

Doesn’t mean he can hit.

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 10:00 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

By this logic

Adam Dunn can’t hit, either.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 10:02 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

he can't

has he ever made a team better?

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 10:04 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

ok stop

you’re better than that, that’s incredibly faulty logic

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:04 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm sorry

but I don’t like Dunn at all. Really. He hits home runs….but doesn’t hit enough other stuff. i would hate to have Dunn as a center piece of any team.

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 10:06 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not as a center piece

But, in this analogy, Iannetta is not the centerpiece of our offense.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 10:07 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Go tell an MLB pitcher

that Dunn can’t hit. See what they say.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 10:05 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is one of the five dumbest arguments in the history of baseball

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 10:05 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

With this logic

Willy T was twice as valuable as Iannetta?

by mkorpal on Jun 19, 2009 10:04 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

oh please don't ever say that

it hurts my soul

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:04 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

SLG is more than just that

SLG is important because it has the potential to advance batters along the basepaths. Which is why you won’t see him hitting higher than 6 as long as we have more balanced hitters like Hawpe above him.

OPS was designed to combine the more basic stats and quantify it into a run-creating metric. OBP = how well you create opportunities for you to get plated. SLG = how well you can advance runners already on base.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:04 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Um, right

How many catchers have a .504 SLG? Iannetta also has a .228 BABIP, which is ridiculously low, particularly for a guy who hits the ball with that much authority.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 9:58 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're gonna have to move past the concept

that Batting Average is king.

Iannetta isn’t gonna have a high batting average, ever. But he gets on base well.

I AM NOT EQUATING A WALK TO A SINGLE.

He’s an efficient batter who doesn’t waste outs, as evidenced by his OBP, and when he gets one to hit, he hits it hard.

He’s excellent defensively, and very good offensively. Once that average comes up a bit (and yes, it DOES play a part, I’ll admit that), it’ll boost his OBP and SLG as well and he’ll be back to being a top-5 catcher.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:03 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I read on fangraphs I think

that he for whatever reason had been using like a ridiculous uppercut swing this year. Thats why he’s hitting for a ton of power and a lot of flyball outs. His linedrive rate suffered because of that. If he finds some happy medium he should be much better avg wise.

Also I still stand by the fact that he doesn’t protect with 2 strikes nearly as well as he should and that if he learned to foul off pitches better his avg would raise a lot.

The Rockies need some oldschool purple/white striped high socks. The team’s problem is it’s lack of swagger. I feel strongly that these socks will provide the swagger necessary to tap the potential that are the Rockies.

by Resolution on Jun 19, 2009 10:09 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Iannetta's realistic batting line

Would look something like .260/.380/.500

Give or take .010 on the average, and adjust the OBP/SLG accordingly

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:10 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

For whatever reason

I think mostly from looking at his minor league numbers, I pretty much refuse to believe that .260 would be his normal ability. I don’t know why but I think if he trims his k rate and learns to hit more line-drives, he could be a .280 hitter.

But not with his current contact rate. Is there a way to see his minor league contact rate?

The Rockies need some oldschool purple/white striped high socks. The team’s problem is it’s lack of swagger. I feel strongly that these socks will provide the swagger necessary to tap the potential that are the Rockies.

by Resolution on Jun 19, 2009 10:15 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

minorleaguesplits.com

is my only source

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:27 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

true that

The Rockies need some oldschool purple/white striped high socks. The team’s problem is it’s lack of swagger. I feel strongly that these socks will provide the swagger necessary to tap the potential that are the Rockies.

by Resolution on Jun 19, 2009 5:07 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

But I should add that

if he doesn’t reach my optimistic/blind hope batting average projection but instead averages that slash line you posted, that would be sick.

The Rockies need some oldschool purple/white striped high socks. The team’s problem is it’s lack of swagger. I feel strongly that these socks will provide the swagger necessary to tap the potential that are the Rockies.

by Resolution on Jun 19, 2009 10:17 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ok I'm going to say it

What is the need for the Rockies getting a front line starter? We made the playoffs in 2007 without a front line starter (though Francis was pretty good), and I’m going to go out and say it.

Ubaldo Jiminez is the Rockies Front Line Starter and I would put him up against just about any other ace a team has.

by wolf213 on Jun 19, 2009 10:41 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes young

but also yes, they haven’t produced at league average for their position yet. And..I’d guess one of our youngsters wont’ ever.

Don’t get married to under achievers

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 9:36 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dex is actually a shade abover average at CF

all things considered

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 9:40 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, geez, those guys are totally underachievers

I mean, Fowler hasn’t even produced at a league average in three months worth of a big league career! He’ll never get any better.

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 9:40 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

easy tiger, friendly discussion

Gonzalez and Fowler are hard to get a read on, as they are incredibly young, and it’s clear that AAA isn’t going to help them mature as players (well, Dex’s LHB swing, but that’s a separate issue)

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 9:42 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just think it's ridiculous

That people around here want to sell 23 and 24 year old players with less than a season and a half worth of big league time down the river. It’d be called ‘concern trolling’ if this were a political blog like 538.com in September and October of 2008 (when I was fairly addicted to that blog and visited it as often as I visited here.)

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 9:44 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Right now

these players futures are just “maybes”. Could they be great? yeah….but they could just as well be busts.

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 9:51 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I bet you've folded A-K suited in Texas Hold 'Em before

With a mindset like that.

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 9:52 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

after the flop

yes.

There is a point to know when a player is not what you want it to be. Holding on to Angel Berroa or Khalil Greene a year two long waiting for potential to happen is not the way to manage resources (players)

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 9:57 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

And that point is a year? A year and a half?

Are you kidding me?

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 9:59 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's before it's too late

once you know that a guy is a bust…so does everyone else, and he has no value. You trade them before you know they are busts….and I’m telling you…of those players you are in love with…some are going to be busts. Law of averages.

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 10:02 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Texas Rangers had a guy for two years

And in his first 206 big league at bats, he batted .229/.272/.401. This player was a very highly thought of prospect, a former top draft choice, but Texas gave up on him and traded him and another player for Adam Eaton.

Think they wish they hadn’t given up so fast on Adrian Gonzalez?

And I’m ready to find more examples if you’re going to keep making this ridiculous argument.

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 10:04 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with you

But can we stop being so combative?

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:07 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

First off

it’s not a “ridiculous argument”. You can try to shout me down all you want. It doesn’t make you right.

I’m not wrong here by the way. The Rockies assets to build there team is their young talent. They can stick with all the young talent and hope they all work out. (which isn’t realistic) OR they can trade some of that “talent” and sell high or on the going up side. Especially if they can upgrade a position of weakness.

Would the A’s loved to have traded Bobby Crosby 4 years ago? Or the Jays Vernon Wells?

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 10:18 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

just because you're not wrong doesn't make you right ;-)

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:28 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought I was wrong once

turned out I was just mistaken.

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 10:38 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

The problem with this mindset

is that we’re talking about players who are under the team’s control for several more years, who are not being paid a lot, and who still have options remaining.

There’s no reason to trade away such a player, unless it will really improve your team. If you think that a player like that needs to work on something, send him to the minors, but don’t let him go just because he isn’t developing as quickly as you’d like. There are plenty of examples of teams having that mindset and having it come back and bite them you know where.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 10:02 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

But would you never fold AKs preflop if....

you raised it 3.5x under the gun, and it’s repopped by the cutoff and then overshoved by the small blind, and your initial raise is about 10% of your stack?

Just sayin’.

If you can’t ever fold AKs preflop, you’re not playing optimal poker.

Watching the purple row from high atop the big brown monolith on California Ave

by Mondogarage on Jun 19, 2009 12:22 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

NEERRRRRRRDD

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 12:39 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That would be correct if you changed the caption to

“PROFITABLE POKER PLAYERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR”

;-)

Watching the purple row from high atop the big brown monolith on California Ave

by Mondogarage on Jun 19, 2009 12:43 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

what does overshoved mean?

i understand everything else but does overshoved mean the guy is bullying with his large chipstack or went all in or what?

by purplesocks on Jun 19, 2009 12:54 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes

Basically, it means someone with a larger chipstack than the current raise (or reraise) going all in over the top.

The thing is, in my scenario, that’s a 4-bet, and the 4th bet means AA or KK often enough that calling off all your chips with AKs, particularly when you’re not nearly already pot-committed, is not optimal poker.

Now, if your original raise was for a good 40% of your stack or so, that should mean you’ve made that raise willing to call off your stack in the face of greater action. But you’re doing so almost certainly no better than 50% to win, and possibly as low as 18%.

Watching the purple row from high atop the big brown monolith on California Ave

by Mondogarage on Jun 19, 2009 1:31 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

problem is, with a low payroll

we have to take these risks. We can’t just acquire all the best all the time.

Although I’d still do terrible, terrible things to get HanRam

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:06 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wouldn't they ask for CF over Chacin at this point?

if he is the new #1 pitching prospect in the system.

What if it was one of

Dex/Cargo
Chacin/CF
Rosario/McKenry

That’s a hell of a lot to give up for one player, even if he is the best in the game

by moomacher on Jun 19, 2009 9:27 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm just tossing names out that involve our BIG PROSPECTS

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 9:28 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

my understanding it the Jays want middle infield

they would also like to dump Well’s salary.

So:
Jays: Vernon Wells and Roy Halladay
Rockies: Chacin, Fredrick, one of Dex/Cargo, one of Rosario/McKenry, one of EY2/Nelson and Hector Gomez

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 9:30 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

this however

puts the Rockies payroll over $100 million a year

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 9:32 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

If we take Wells I'm not giving more than 1 hot prospect

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 9:34 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 9:37 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wondered

how much well’s contract would change things. It would make giving up Cargo/Fowler a little easier position wise.

Payroll wise is another matter.

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 9:38 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, there's no way we take on that much extra payroll

And also Wells is garbage now.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 9:41 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Buy low?

Wells has a .257 BABIP this year. Kinda like Atkins, really… you get the sense he’s fallen off a bit, but he’s probably not THIS bad.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 9:54 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm looking at his fielding

and second, where on earth do we play him?

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:08 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Left or CF

assuming either CarGo or Fowler were in this trade

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 10:23 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I demand LF

becuase he’s fallen off in CF since he’s started getting hurt

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:30 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd do it

CarGon, CF, and Rosario for Doc.

I believe Halladay is signed for a few more seasons so it wouldnt just be a one year rental. Then our staff looks like this:

Halladay
Cook
Ubaldo
Marquis
Hammel

i would say that is definitely playoff caliber rotation.

by purplesocks on Jun 19, 2009 11:24 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

So

you would give up less for Halladay for 3 years than the A’s did for Holliday for 1 year?

Need to up your price a little. The Jay’s need middle infielders not OF’ers unless you take Vernon Wells and his contract back.

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 11:35 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

i dont think we would be giving up less than the As

the Jays would get CarGon, a stud pitching prospect (we got a throw in player with smith), and rosario. i would say that trio is better than street, smith, and cargon. but if they need middle infielders (i dont think scutaro or hill are anything to scoff at) then isnt that one of our strengths on the farm?

by purplesocks on Jun 19, 2009 12:27 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

If that's what it would take

then Goodbye Roy!

Say this much for big league baseball - it is beyond question the greatest conversation piece ever invented in America. ~Bruce Catton

by pedalpusher on Jun 19, 2009 5:58 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I dunno.....THIRD BASE

ok, so I think it’s time for me to get off my chest something that has been bothering me of late, and no it’s not my lack of posting pictures of Mrs. Scott Podsednick since he was released. No,,it’s Third Base. No the bag or the position…..but our 2 um “candidates”

We all saw Ian Stewart go off, have a great week, and start this little win streak. In his last 8 starts since….He’s had a grand total of 3 hits, out of 30 at bats.(that’s a .100 BA) He’s still batting .291 for the month of June, but it really was 7 games that he’s hit. Everyone seems to think he’s the future of third base but his career BA is only .241. Which wouldn’t be that much of an issue if he was improving. But he’s not even close to his career average batting .218 for the year even with that great week

Now look at our proven vet. He of the once sweet swing, Garrett Atkins. He came into 09 with a career BA of .299. He had some struggles in recent years, being terrible for 1/2 of 07 and great the other 1/2. 08 was a respectable .286 but not at his career numbers. Down years happen, but there should be bounce back years for those under 30 years of age, like Garrett.. Since the start of June Garrett is actually batting .257.

Can the Rockies or any team be serious contenders when one of the traditional hitting spots is getting limited production? Which one of these 2 should the Rockies go with going forward? Atkins or Stewart? (and before you think this is dumb question, one has hit at the major league level at some point in his career and the other hasn’t). OR….should the Rockies really be looking inside their organization and others for a replacement?

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 9:10 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Stewart is 24

We’re selling a bit fast on that

Atkins, in the past 28 days, has OPS’d a whopping .650

We could get that out of Quintanilla.

Granted, his last 14 days (19PA) has him a .313/.421/.313 line, which is good in terms of OBP, but that’s all singles and walks right there.

Atkins is 29, which isn’t “Old” but it’s past the point of “development.”

He’s hitting Line Drives at a -8% rate from last season (22%-14%), he’s hitting groundballs at a +7% rate (37%-44%), and while his BB/K rate is good (0.71) it’s about the only thing he can do well.

Problem is, Stewart isn’t doing too much to make a case for himself either. Being that’s he’s a young power hitter who’s still trying to figure out his plate discipline approach (DO I SWING? DO I TAKE? DO I SWING? DO I TAKE? SWING? TAKE? SWING? TAKE AHHHAHAHREASHRHGHHHHH), I still think we go forward with Stewart if anything.

Atkins shouldn’t be batting 4th when he gets starts.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 9:21 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wonder if we could go with one our fringey AAAA bats

like McCoy for a year or two if need be. And look for corner power back in any trade.

by moomacher on Jun 19, 2009 9:24 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Any trade the Rockies make

I think should include a corner power bat. Helton will one day be gone, and well….I’m not sold on Stewart, PLUS the nature of the Rockie model is once the get to Free Agent years to let them go…which happens faster then we think.

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 9:27 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

A lot will depend on what happens with Hawpe as well

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 9:30 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

McCoy really isn't even fringy

Look at his stats at “normal” hitting environments (i.e., not Colorado Springs.)

Norfolk, 2008 (152 AB): .276/.355/.368
Memphis, 2007 (239 AB): .247/.368/.318

I would maybe consider using him for a week or two in an absolute emergency, but using him for much longer than that would be a disaster. Major league pitchers will quickly figure out how to pitch a guy who has 27 homers in an eight-year minor league career.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 9:52 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

FREEEE MIKE MCCOY

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:09 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

You make an interesting counterpoint here

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 10:09 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Allow me to suggest a couple of extra E's next time in Free, however

It may just pack a little more punch.

(I’m joking around with you, by the way, my tone here is a 180 from what it has been in the posts above)

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 10:11 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

cool

let’s try and settle at a solid 90 from above more often

believe me, I’m typically a really combative jerk, but it’s not fun if everyone’s just angry

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:12 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

his numbers make me sad

he’s trying to change my outlook by presenting evidence.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:11 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

LOL

But you ARE crazy if you honestly believe he’s better than Stewart.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 10:12 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

oh never not for a second

better than Q?…..

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:13 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Possibly.

But that’s not saying a lot.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 10:40 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Who was it that said "Tell your statistics to shut up"?

Was it a Peanuts cartoon?

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 19, 2009 10:12 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

peanuts, yeah

but I can’t find it

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 10:13 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with most all of this

really I do. With one caveat. I’m starting to seriously wonder if Stewart can and will actually step up. He needs to hit for more than a week at a time.

Luckily he is a plus defender and that gives him a reason to be on the field….cause it’s not his hitting.

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 9:25 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

It bothers me too

But I just keep repeating “he’s 24, he’s 24, he’s 24”

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 9:30 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

which means only little to me

yeah, it gives hope for improvement with experience and age, but that’s no given.

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 9:31 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

well nothing's given

Like Garrett Atkins being a career elite 3B bat!

yeah, it’s a “hope” thing and that’s all I’m riding on

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 9:35 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

When was the last time

that we had a better record than our opponent going into a series?

by mkorpal on Jun 19, 2009 9:46 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

You'll find out in a couple hours :)

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Jun 19, 2009 9:49 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

After this next road trip if

the Monforts believe the Rockies are in for a post season run, then they need to find the right balance between veterans and rookies and still get more pitching. I believe their greatest weakness last time was pitchng. I would keep Fogg, he’s got that mysterious winning thing going, keep Spils, he’s got the clubhouse vibe, and team heart .These intangibles are very important. You may have to give up a rookie, but who? Let the speculation begin, but get us some PITCHING!

by indianrox on Jun 19, 2009 10:17 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I really think we need help in the bullpen

which is what everyone thinks and why it is expensive at the deadline. But maybe a Grilli type guy who is on the outs with his current team. Or does anyone really think we can go with Daley as our second or third highest leverage reliever the rest of the way?

by moomacher on Jun 19, 2009 10:57 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wow, our pitching is number one in the NL on the tRA metric

and Fangraphs had an article earlier showing that Jorge was one of the top 5 UNLUCKIEST pitchers in the majors this year. I have to give DOD credit for the rotation he’s assembled, the trade for Hammel has looked like a very very smart manouever too. With Franky in the minors (providing he keeps his velocity) and Smith/Hirsh etc. we have guys who can step in for a while if necessary and at least compete at this level too.

by djmbluemoon on Jun 19, 2009 10:54 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Yep

And wow… looking at what Aneury Rodriguez has done this year, definite thumbs-up to DOD on that Hammel trade.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 10:56 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

nope sorry DLR sucks it's been proven and everyone knows it.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 11:09 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

my bad

I didn’t see his win-loss record at first

by djmbluemoon on Jun 19, 2009 11:16 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

well his sheer "winnitude" is lacking

and his grit and scrap and – you know, never mind. You got it.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 11:53 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed. And I don't need fancy stats to prove it

Invariably, DLR implodes somewhere in the game. IMHO, he’s a headcase who blows up when things don’t go his way. Every time I go to Coors, he’s pitching (though I’m going tonight with Marquis on the mound – yeehah!; I’m also going Sunday, and he’s pitching – sigh), and it’s infuriating. I got really ticked off a couple of weeks ago when he lolligagged it to first base on a grounder he hit. I know he has nasty (honestly the best, sickest) stuff, but he lets his emotions get the best of him and he ends being just a thrower (contrast with: pitcher).

I’d dump him in a heartbeat. The Brewers and Royals did.

by SoxRoxFan on Jun 19, 2009 11:45 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think he

was being sarcastic…which never translate will to the ’net

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 11:50 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sarcastic or not

DLR will never be someone who can consistently deliver. When he’s on, he’s great, but when his head goes wherever it goes, he’s gawd awful. For a #4 or #5, I look for a guy to eat innings and give the team a halfway fighting chance of getting some offense and win every other time he pitches – not someone who pitches 3 or 4 brilliant innings with a really, really bad inning somewhere in the middle. Yeah, he’s had starts where he’s pitched well, with no run support. But honestly, every 5th day, my stomach churns. It’s like Jekyll and Hyde. Which one will show up this time?

by SoxRoxFan on Jun 19, 2009 12:03 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd also

like to add….this is what a #5 starter looks like. There is a reason they are border line pitchers. as a #5 JDLR is actually better than most.

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 12:07 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes

Go back and look at Josh Fogg’s game logs from 06/07, and you’ll see a similar pattern… some good starts, some bad. Fogg generally wasn’t as volatile as DLR (his good starts weren’t as good, and his bad starts weren’t as bad) but it’s basically the same deal.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 12:09 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

it's like a risk/reward thing

DLR has some serious stuff, and when it’s on, it’s on. He looks like an ace when his stuff is on.

When it’s not, oh dear lord.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 12:12 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Volatility

is what is hard about JDLR. Most #5’s are just steadily below average.When JDLR has had all his pitches working he’s pretty good…almost great.

When he doesn’t…well you get Tuesday night.

Would the Rockies and their fans be better off with a more typical #5 like Greg Smith was last year?

by Redhawk on Jun 19, 2009 12:13 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

In general, I agree.

I’m not looking for a #5 to be lights out. But the thing is that he has been soooo up and down. Just when you think he’s turned the corner (i.e., the last road trip), he reverts to his bad self and is attrocious. In some ways, I’d rather have a mediocre pitcher in my #5 spot who I know will consistently give me 5-6 decent innings per start rather than a guy who might go 2-3 one outing (like two nights ago) and 6-7 in another (like he did a couple of weeks ago).

by SoxRoxFan on Jun 19, 2009 12:15 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That assumes

that you can find a mediocre pitcher who will consistently give you 5-6 innings per start. Even the best pitchers have nights where they just get shelled; Johan Santana went three innings and gave up nine runs on Sunday.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 12:18 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Even the best of 'em get shelled from time to time

But I doubt that Santana (who I think is somewhat overrated) will consistently be up or down – but I keep thinking about guys like Dave Bush (MIL). He’s not great, but he’s not bad either. Wishful thinking.

by SoxRoxFan on Jun 19, 2009 12:28 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I watched him (at Coors) go 8IP, 12K, no implosion

and I’ve seen him do that similarly a lot as well.

DLR will never be a frontline starter because he’s a headcase who is INCREDIBLY prone to the big inning. He’s not a mature enough pitcher to shake off a solo shot and just keep pitching, he turns into a straight hurler and tries to overpower everyone ever.

That said, his good stuff is good enough that he warrants a starting spot. Which is why he’s our #4.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 11:53 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's interesting because it makes you wonder

since everyone is pretty much in complete agreement on 2 things 1. JDLR has the talent to be one of the better pitchers in all of baseball and 2. its his mental game that’s lacking, it really makes you wonder that if we got him to be good (IE fight off his demons) for the regular season, would he just fall apart in the playoffs?

Then it makes you wonder about how people say you can’t build a team that wins in the playoffs, issues of small sample size hold you back (or as Beane put it, the playoffs are a crapshoot and all you can do is maximize your chances of getting to the playoffs throughout the regular season).

The sample size tag will always be applied to the playoffs but it makes you wonder if there’s a way you can minimize your risk at failing during the playoffs…

The Rockies need some oldschool purple/white striped high socks. The team’s problem is it’s lack of swagger. I feel strongly that these socks will provide the swagger necessary to tap the potential that are the Rockies.

by Resolution on Jun 19, 2009 5:13 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

A lot of pitchers do that

It’s pretty common for a pitcher to half-ass it down to first on a grounder. Most managers would prefer that their pitchers not injure themselves running out a grounder, so they don’t.

by Tom (RFTN) on Jun 19, 2009 11:56 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Understood. But he practically walked back to the dugout

I’ve seen plenty o’ pitchers at least give a little effort – half-hearted at minimum. That particular play, he just quit. THAT ticked me off.

by SoxRoxFan on Jun 19, 2009 12:03 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is also what tilts me so hard

“Every time I go to Coors, he’s pitching”

Sunday will only be my 4th game of the year attending….and yet my 3rd JLDR start. Gaaaah, if I could just rearrange the rotation just a lil’ bit…

Watching the purple row from high atop the big brown monolith on California Ave

by Mondogarage on Jun 19, 2009 12:25 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Same here.

Sunday will be my 5th game, and third time he’s pitched

by SoxRoxFan on Jun 19, 2009 12:29 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm 2 for 4 with JDLR

I’ve also got one Jimenez and one Marquis in that stretch. Does anyone ever show up when Aaron Cook is on the mound?

"Admirably obsessive." - Uni Watch, March 24th, 2009
NA34 | HK | RMN

by oo_nrb on Jun 19, 2009 2:28 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

The first game I went to this year (against the Dodgers)...

he did, and was not very good.

Eschew Obfuscation!

by Jeff Aberle on Jun 19, 2009 6:15 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Same for me, too

4 games as of Sunday, and he’s been on the mound three times (the other was Hammel).

My mom isn’t happy about it, either. She said to my dad, “Honey, could we maybe take you to a different game instead of Father’s day? Let’s seek Cook or Ubaldo pitch.”

by Rockie4Ever on Jun 19, 2009 2:38 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Going tonight

Marquis is pitching. Should be fun to watch.

by SoxRoxFan on Jun 19, 2009 2:39 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've only been to two games

Both Marquis starts. And I was going to go tonight too

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Jun 19, 2009 7:03 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

This thread

is killing me. Interesting discussions, but the limitations of the thread format are really exposed. I feel like this is some sort of concentration test or something. Ugh.

by Teekalong on Jun 19, 2009 1:30 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

scrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscroll

scrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscrollscroll

that’s what it feels like.

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: Badass
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jun 19, 2009 2:34 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wow! quite a long thread here....

….probably wouldn’t be so lengthy were the rox comming of a 11 game loosing streak so I look at it as a good thing (albiet a bit annoying with all the scrolling)

Regarding the ‘stats are king’: in truth they are when discussing the merits of a player/team decision, but to echo the point made above (somewhere), PR can be a bit intimidating to the less statsmart fan. PR is setup as the SBN Rockies fansite and although a bright 6th grader could likely embarass me with my lack of statistical knowledge, few could question my fanhood of the team. I live & die with the Rockies and hope I can continued to be welcomed at PR notwithstanding my lack of mathematical rigor. I really agree here with oo_nrb’s posts titled ‘Thank You PF’ & ‘Counting Rocks’.

Although I don’t knock the value of stats (quite the opposite), I feel stat-knowledge is just one component of being a fan. To the statheads among us, I say this: keep it comming and thanks for sharing abit of your know-how, just please show some indulgence to those that aren’t. Also, in my opinion, it’s just fine not to like a player who statistically benifits the team.

by TulsaDriller on Jun 19, 2009 3:00 PM MDT reply actions   0 recs

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