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Around SBN: The Worst Team Ever Projected?

Scalding hot Rox head north to face team full of "All-Stars"

Many eyes will be on the MLB Draft each of the next three days, but June 9-11also marks a showdown between the NL's hottest team and the NL Central leader.

Sometimes the winding road leads to the top of the mountain.   After starting a disappoint 3-8, Brewers fans were left to wonder if they overrated their team just a little bit.  However, Milwaukee rebounded for first-year manager Ken Macha, winning a ridiculous 21 of 26 from April 22 to May 19, beginning with a win by tonight's starter Braden Looper. 

It was about time to switch gears again, and the NL Central leaders promptly lost 6 of 8.  So are they going up or down now?  Well, neither.  They swept Cincinnati to finish May and are 3-4 in June, with no winning or losing streak greater than 2 games.  They're actually just treading water the last week plus.  Quite frankly, it was the Rockies who gave them their 2.5 game lead in the division.

Like the Rockies, the Brewers have found themselves on the road frequently, playing 7 more games out of Wisconsin than at home.  Still their 16-9 mark at Miller Park is impressive, and only the Dodgers and Red Sox have fewer home losses in the league.

The Rockies won the season series with the Brewers last season 4-3, winning the home series and splitting the 4-game set in Milwaukee.  Colorado is 9-7 against teams from the Central divisions, 8-5 on the road.

Brew Crew Ball


Brewerslogo_medium

Milwaukee Brewers (33-24, L1, 1st) 

Tuesday-Thursday : 3-game series at Miller Park

The Bats: C

Quick...name the top two most valuable NL outfielders this season.  You probably got Raul Ibanez, who is having a fantastic year in Philly.  But I bet you didn't think Mike Cameron was #2 in the National League.  Cameron has always been a solid fielder, so a plus year offensively would figure to push him up the charts.  He has a .396 wOBA (better than every Rockie save Brad Hawpe) this season thus far despite just a .317 BABip.

Then, of course, you have Prince Fielder and Ryan Braun to deal with.  It's a high-risk, high-reward team.  Milwaukee is hitting below .250 as a team and they are sixth in MLB in striking out, but they are also tied with the Rockies for fifth with 67 HR.  Their lineup is not as barren as the Cardinals', but outside of Macha's 3-5 hitters, there really isn't much there.  Their team wOBA is just .330, which is slightly below league average.  Main culprits are Bill Hall, J.J. Hardy and Corey Hart, all of which are having very disappointing years thus far.  Rickie Weeks was on the cusp of breaking out before being injured May 17.

LINEUP Avg HR RBI
Craig Counsell  - 2B .311 1 9
J.J. Hardy  - SS
.228 5 24
Ryan Braun  - LF
.310 12 38
Prince Fielder  - 1B
.298 15 54
Mike Cameron  - CF
.278 12 30
Bill Hall  - 3B
.209 4 13
Corey Hart  - RF
.243 6 23
Jason Kendall - C
.216 0 16

Jody Gerut has only gotten two starts since being acquired from San Diego for Tony Gwynn Jr.  Mat Gamel has been starting frequently, signifying Gerut's status is the fifth outfielder. 

 

The Arms: B

Milwaukee's staff is ranked 9th in ERA with a solid 4.14 mark.  That might be surprising when seeing ERA's of 4.65, 4.66 and 6.86, but their bullpen has been a lynchpin.  With a bullpen ERA of 3.10, Ken Macha possesses the third best MLB pen by ERA.  They also lead the majors in team saves, have the fewest bullpen losses (6) and allow just a .210 average against, best in the bigs. 


Trevor Hoffman

#51 / Pitcher / Milwaukee Brewers

6-0

220

R

R

Oct 13, 1967


Only Heath Bell has more saves than Trevor Hoffman, who has no blown saves, and has allowed zero runs and 8 baserunners all year.  Throw in the fact that we miss their worst two starting pitchers by ERA - Jeff Suppan and Manny Parra - and we will be getting their best shot from the mound.

 

The D: B

Milwaukee has committed 32 errors, three less than the Rockies and good enough for middle-of-the pack.  However, note that they lead the majors in UZR/150.

 

Ballpark:  Neutral

Miller Park has a multi-year park factor of 100, the very definition of neutral.


Probable Pitchers:

Tonight, 6:05 pm MDT


W-L ERA WHIP K BB
2009 - Jason Hammel 2-3 4.50 1.60 31 14


W-L ERA WHIP K BB
2009 - Braden Looper 5-3 4.65 1.39 35 21


Wednesday, June 10, 6:05 pm MDT


W-L ERA WHIP K BB
2009 - Jorge De La Rosa 1-6 5.28 1.42 64 28


W-L ERA WHIP K BB
2009 - Yovani Gallardo 6-2 2.84 1.08 71 28


Thursday, June 11, 12:05 MDT


W-L ERA WHIP K BB
2009 - Aaron Cook 4-3 4.50 1.40 32 26

Brewers pitcher YTD.  Dave Bush suffered an injury in his last  start and has yet to be given a green light for Thursday.

 

 

33_15_10---fire-flame-texture_web_medium

Prince Fielder is always a terrifying human being, but lately especially.  He is 11-for-21 the past week with HR and 4 BBs.  That figures to be a 1.790 week OPS, just for fun.  Ryan Braun is 8-for-25 in that same span, also with 3 HR.  And as noted above, Trevor Hoffman has yet to allow a run all season in 17 appearances.

 

IceJ.J. Hardy, Corey Hart, Bill Hall, and Mike Cameron are all struggling.  The four batters have combined for just nine hits in the past week.

 

 

Bandaid_mediumRickie Weeks (wrist) is still on the 15-day DL for an injury he suffered in May 17's game.  David Riske was placed on the 60-day DL the first week of the season, yet the Brewers bullpen has managed just fine in his absence.  Dave Bush (elbow) is listed as probable for Thursday's start.

Poll
How much will this momentum carry over?
Completely - this team is unstoppable...Miracle in Milwaukee?
17 votes
An 8-game streak is too much to ask, but we're going to take this thing
37 votes
St. Louis was overrated and so was that series. We'll come back to earth and drop this series
20 votes
A better team, and their best three starters agaisnt our worst three. Sounds like a setup for a sweep to me
16 votes

90 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 12 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Trevor Hoffman

I always enjoy watching him try and pitch against the Rockies. Sure he’s got 57 saves against us (that’s his job) but he also has 7 BS, and a 6-7 record. Not to mention Todd Helton OWNS him: AVG/OBP/SLG .565/.600/.826.

I know these stats don’t mean much but I always have hope for the Rockies when Hoffman pitches.

"We made too many wrong mistakes." ~Yogi Berra
"The ballplayer who loses his head, who can't keep his cool, is worse than no ballplayer at all." ~Lou Gehrig
JFK

by jrockies on Jun 9, 2009 12:57 PM MDT reply actions  

Counsell and Kendall have been around FOREVER

Also, the Rockies rank dead last in BP’s defensive efficiency.

Eschew Obfuscation!

by Jeff Aberle on Jun 9, 2009 12:59 PM MDT reply actions  

And optimism sets in -

at least for a little while.

"Don't tell me about the world. Not today. It's springtime and they're knocking baseballs around fields where the grass is damp and green in the morning and the kids are trying to hit the curve ball." -Pete Hamill

by Bryce on Jun 9, 2009 1:15 PM MDT reply actions  

Triva quiz....

In the game made famous by Tony Gwynn Jr’s game-tying triple off Hoffman, some other lesser lights also played prominent roles.

A) Who had the game-winning hit in extra innings for the Brewers? (He only has five big-league hits in his career).

B) The winning and losing pitchers were former college teammates, Both had started the season in the Brewer organization. Who are they and what college did they attend? (Hint: a current Rockies player has the same alma mater).

by alex colfax on Jun 9, 2009 1:18 PM MDT reply actions  

Joe Dillon?

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Jun 9, 2009 1:21 PM MDT up reply actions  

The correct answer to A is Vinny Rottino.

And that’s off the top of my head.

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 9, 2009 1:21 PM MDT up reply actions  

And my guess on B:

Winner: Mitch Stetter
Loser: Joe Thatcher

School: Indiana State
Rockies player who shares the alma mater: Clint Barmes

(The hint kind of did give it away for me, but that’s still a hell of a tough question.)

Staying on the sunny side of Blake Street since 1993.
The Shawn Chacon Experience - Life as a Rockies fan, one day at a time: Because we're all still recovering from those nine blown saves.

by Franchise26 on Jun 9, 2009 1:23 PM MDT up reply actions  

Mad props on that one

My hat is off to you sir

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Jun 9, 2009 1:30 PM MDT up reply actions  

You're 2-for-2...nice going.

You’re right…that was a tough one. No sense asking easy questions here.

by alex colfax on Jun 9, 2009 1:34 PM MDT up reply actions  

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