Tuesday Rockpile: Rox Stars to represent NL tonight, Are the Giants a farce?

Morales would be one guy I would absolutely want from the Rockies.

I think I’d ask for Iannetta, Spilborghs, Morales, either Chacin or Rogers, and one more B-grade prospect. And I think the Rockies would have to at least mull that over, although it’s a pretty steep price.

To be fair, he did toss in Atkins in his hypothetical trade deal.

fhwee

well, I actually think Rios has more up side potential than Wells, and as pointed out recently his contract isn’t as bad, or not in the same level of badness as Wells’ contract.

I actually think think from the Blue Jays side, that is how it will play out…the will start with Wells and Halladay…and end up swapping Rios, because Rios and Halladay is more palatable (personally I think Rios has a nasty huge contract for his performance level, but it’s not as bad as Wells which is even worse) then Wells and Halladay for the other team.

As the Blue Jay GM I noticed you didn’t ask for Dinger or do you prefer to go young and get Socks the Fox from the Springs?

but I’m wary of calling somebody a bust before their career has any chance of really getting on track. That’s just me. Ricky Romero was being looked at as a bust before he broke out this season. Some guys take longer than others for various reasons. I’m not saying Reynolds will ever be an ace. But I’m not counting him out, and so I’m not calling him a bust.

Sometimes it’s just too hard to resist posting the link to it even if you know you’re playing right into the trap…

Paige isn’t this ignorant. He hides how ignorant he actually is under the shell of greater buffoonery, though. Because he can’t write something that’s reasonably intelligent on the sport, he goes to the other extreme and writes something completely inane. He can pretend to save face for a lack of wit by resorting to putting out something that’s clearly beneath him. A lot of reasonably smart people then come away with the idea that he’s a reasonably smart man himself in a clown costume, when he’s actually probably just your average college educated pretentious jerk. In a clown costume.

Tulo and Fowler looked far worse by those numbers a month ago. I pointed out recently these metrics showed smith as a far better left fielder than cargo

But they are interesting indicators.

I buy Helton’s UZR because he’s not the guy he once was playing the ball off of the bat. His strength comes in the form of picking balls from across the infield on the *-3 putout, and that’s kind of like catching and not being an easily quantifiable stat.

Hawpe would still be a positive player, because his bat is so strong. Manny is far from negated, bad defense included.

That is, Hawpe’s D doesn’t negate all his offensive contributions, just most of it relative to Smith. Smith has put up very strong offensive numbers himself—they’re pretty even according to fangraphs. (Statcorner has a little bit bigger gap, so it would be good to know how the two sites calculate wOBA and how they do their park adjustments.) Before considering defense, fangraphs has Hawpe with 13.6 more runs above replacement than Smith. (The decimal pt is an abstraction, no one really considers it that accurate.)

Smith also benefits from being compared defensively to other LFers rather than RFers, and I’d guess the LFer are a less talented a bunch as a whole. (How much do Manny and Dunn drag down the average?) Even if we regress Smiths’ score close to 0 for the small sample size (he has 422 innings in the OF in his MLB career), there’s the matter of Hawpe’s D.

Hawpe has had really bad stats in a number of defensive systems 2007-2009. It seems reasonable that he could be 10 runs below avg for the 1st half.

That would put him about a half a win above Smith.