Wednesday Pebble Report: Samuel Deduno does mostly good things
by Russ Oates on Jul 29, 2009 7:31 AM MDT
in Pebble Report
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PrintColorado Springs, L 3-4
Matt Wilhite was unable to hold things down in the bottom of the ninth, allowing a Joe Borchard walk-off three-run homer. Adam Eaton turned in a good start after pitching 5 2.3 innings, allowing only a run, and striking out four. Matt Belisle struck out four in two innings.
Chris Frey hit a sac fly and Sal Fasano had an RBI single in the second. Matt Miller singled in a run in the seventh.
Tulsa, W 3-2
The offense came from the back of the lineup as the first four batters combined for no hits in 14 AB's. Well, Anthony Jackson did drive in a run despite not recording a hit. Ryan Harvey drove in the other two runs on a two-out double in the fourth, and Michael McKenry collected three hits and threw out two runners.
Samuel Deduno picked up his 10th win of the season, though he walked five. Other than those five walks, he performed quite well: 6 IP, 1 R/ER, 8 K. Edgmer Escalona struck out five in two innings of work before Andrew Johnston recorded his 26th save.
Modesto, L 1-5
Hector Gomez hit fifth homer of the season in the ninth inning to score the only run for the Nuts. Kenny Durst pitched solidly for 7 1/3 innings. having allowed only two runs (one earned). Chris Malone, on the other hand, allowed three runs in the bottom of the eighth (and the Durst's second run).
Asheville was postponed due to rain. Double header today.
Tri-City, W 3-1
Rex Brothers picked up his second win after pitching two innings of relief and striking out four. Josh Hungerman started and allowed a solo homer in 4 2/3 innings. Charlie Ruiz struck out two on the way to his ninth save.
Ben Paulsen went 2-for-4 with two runs scored, a triple, and an RBI. Kent Matthes and Joe Sanders drove in the other runs. Tim Wheeler had two singles.
Casper, L 5-8
Chris Balcom-Miller continues his strong performance in the Pioneer League, pitching six innings, allowing no runs on three hits, and striking out five. His GO-FO was 9-4. Edwar Cabrera struck out two in the seventh before giving way to the collapse of the bullpen in the eighth. Alejandro Barraza and Leuris Gomez allowed eight runs in the eighth on five hits and two errors.
Avery Barnes went 2-for-4 with a double and two RBI (Casper Star-Tribune story on him); Jared Clark had two hits and an RBI; Chandler Laurent struck out four times; and Angelys Nina collected two singles and an RBI.
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I read "Chris Balcom-Miller "
as “Chris Bacon-Miller” and laughed a little bit
Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: FREE SETH SMITH
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY
Everyone picks on Rox Girl
so here is one of Russ’s mistakes:
Tim Wheeler had to singles.
Good job and thanks for the update (that goes to everyone who writes Pebble Reports).
"We made too many wrong mistakes." ~Yogi Berra
"The ballplayer who loses his head, who can't keep his cool, is worse than no ballplayer at all." ~Lou Gehrig
JFK
i also assume
Wilhite was UNable to hold it down, since he gave up a 3 run hr
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein
by Andrew T. Fisher on Jul 29, 2009 8:57 AM MDT via mobile up reply actions
Now you're just making things up. ;-)
"If we never try, we shall never succeed." - Abraham Lincoln
Purple Row - Covering all your Rockies needs!
So where do people see Balcom-Miller as a prospect?
He just turned 20 in March, meaning he’s just ten months older than Chacin was at Casper but he’s dominating to a degree not even Chacin could, more than Hynick and Deduno did in their solid seasons there as well.
Just to repeat, this is what BA had said about him leading into the draft:
Balcom-Miller has an impressive frame and excellent stuff. His low-90s fastball and plus changeup enabled him to strike out 106 batters in 83 innings in 2009. His slider regressed as his changeup took charge, but he has shown the ability to spin one in the past.
The fastball comes with downhill movement, as evidenced by his 66.7% GB rate. FanGraphs gives him an FIP of 2.94, minorleaguesplits says 3.79, although for some reason they have him pitching an extra inning with three more walks and one more hit than what’s showing up in the official record, so the FanGraphs number is probably closer to reality.
From a mainstream stats view, he leads the Pioneer League in ERA by over a full run over his closest competitor, and his WHIP is much lower than anybody else’s as well. I think he’s made a pretty clear case for top 20 status in our system at least. Top 10 isn’t out of the question either if you value projection over advancement.
I'm looking forward to the next PuRPs list...I assume we're waiting until August 17?
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein
by Andrew T. Fisher on Jul 29, 2009 9:22 AM MDT up reply actions
At this stage/level, with this sort of pitcher
isn’t the biggest factor the assessment of his raw ability? (General athletic ability, ability to repeat his delivery, arm strength and stamina, any natural movement on his pitches, etc.) I end up relying totally on sources like BA and PR for this type of info.
Sometimes guys with an excellent offspeed pitch really dominate in the lower levels, but don’t have the velocity/movement to keep performing as they reach the higher levels. Then again, sometimes they turn out to be Sid Fernandez.
Leave Dexter alone! You're lucky he even performs for you!
I think this is more a reply about Balcom-Miller than my allusion to Matzek, correct?
That’s exactly why I brought up the BA report first. CB-M has the over 90’s stuff, and a potential three pitch mix which should speak to a mid-rotation ceiling. What the professional stats really seem to be showing is that the fastball has a lot of deceptive movement, and that he has plus command of his pitches, and this is why there’s ample reason to be excited about him.
Plus the projectablility
Given his age and supposedly good frame at 6’2 and 190. You’d have to assume there’s still some room to grow, if not in increased velo but sustained velo.
by David OhNo on Jul 29, 2009 10:30 AM MDT via mobile up reply actions
This is true...
The downside that FooMan’s pointing out of a pitcher with an advanced change-up rolling over the Pioneer League but later stagnating against better competition would be somebody like Will Inman, who’s currently with the Padres. The upside would be somebody like the Angels Sean O’Sullivan if Balcom-Miller’s found his slider again. Both have been rated pretty highly as prospects in their systems.
Definitely 100% Balcom-Miller
Sorry. sometimes I put the reply further down the tree even if replying to an earlier post…it’s can be a little difficult to follow the replies if the “branches” go deep.
Leave Dexter alone! You're lucky he even performs for you!
Pretty high on Balcom-Miller
We’ll see where he finishes, but Top 10 is a certain possibility and he will replace Graham’s rung on the ladder.
Also, considering draft placement and upside, Paulsen is passing Roling on my first base depth chart. I’m a big fan and consider him one of our better pure hitters.
by David OhNo on Jul 29, 2009 10:03 AM MDT via mobile up reply actions
How are you feeling so far about Sanders and Mathes?
They seem to be a little disappointing so far. Also I noticed Dominguez hit his 7th HR last night, I wish we could have signed him.
It takes a big man to cry, but it takes a bigger man to laugh at that man.
So are the Rockies miolding Brothers into a reliever
Or is this just temporary, Brothers in the bullpen?
He projects best as a reliever, and that was the plan when drafted, iirc
You can bet they’d find room for him in the Tri City rotation if they wanted him to start
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein
by Andrew T. Fisher on Jul 29, 2009 9:56 AM MDT up reply actions
Even the starters there are getting short outings, though,
I think the Rockies are just basically using the Tri-City staff as a testing ground similar to what you see in minor league camp during Spring training. It’s true that Brothers looks likely to be on a fast track to the bullpen, though.
Dear Casey Weathers
You haven’t updated in 3 months. Get on it.
Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: FREE SETH SMITH
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY
Any new thoughts on Massey?
He seems to be hitting the ball well lately, but still not much power. Does he project to have some power?
It takes a big man to cry, but it takes a bigger man to laugh at that man.
It's hard to say how much stock to put into his hitting lately
It’s mostly driven by a pretty big spike in his BABIP, which optimistically we’d say was a sign of him adjusting as a hitter to the SAL, pessimistically you’d look at it as a function of luck since his line drive rate’s lower than it was in June, the truth’s probably somewhere in the middle of that. He projects for power, but given the parks in Modesto and Tulsa and his age, we might not see it until he’s at Colorado Springs or even Coors Field. I’m still somewhat optimistic about his chances since his contact ability is so advanced already. 20% K’s might seem like a lot, but for his age range, it’s really promising.
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