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Instant Analysis: Beimel Trade

Using the handy-dandy Trade Value Calculator, the utility of which I've explained here, here's a breakdown of the Beimel trade from a WAR dollar value standpoint:

Joe Beimel

Beimel has established himself as a slightly above replacement-level reliever and will likely deliver about 0.2-0.5 WAR to the Rockies over the rest of this year (I'm projecting 0.3) at a cost of $800,000.

His primary value lies in his Type B free agent status, worth $2.5 million to Colorado. Here's what the calculator spit out given his contract situation and projected future production:

Year Sal (M) WAR Val (M) Net (M) Sal (M)
2009 $0.4 0.3 $1.6 $1.2 $0.4
FA Picks $2.5  
Total $0.4 0.3 $4.1 $3.7

To the Rockies, Joe Beimel is worth about the same as Rafael Betancourt as a trade chip.

UPDATE: The Rockies are only paying $400,000 to Beimel for his services, making Beimel even more valuable to the Rockies. The numbers have been adjusted accordingly.

Prospects

The Rockies gave up Ryan Mattheus and Robinson Fabian, players that weren't even graded by Sickels--basically meaning that they has very little (or, more likely, no) major league value.

Conclusion

This is effectively a salary dump for the Nationals, as they received very little in return for Beimel--who could at least be moderately useful on the field and could be much more useful in terms of a compensatory draft pick. Is Beimel the left-handed savior to the Rockies bullpen, the piece that will put them over the top into the playoffs? Probably not, but he doesn't have to be--he's the sort of final piece that contending teams add to shore up their bullpens.

While the Betancourt trade was a pretty fair swap, this Beimel deal looks like a very clear win for the Rockies. This is a great trade for Dan O'Dowd, who in my opinion should definitely be back in years to come. In addition, the Monforts should be applauded for taking on the salary necessary to shore up the bullpen.

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well that was quick.

I’m holding back some judgement to see for sure who we traded, but I think it’s an excellent deal. Optimism up.

by Justus on Jul 31, 2009 2:34 PM MDT reply actions  

That natty

bear/mullet combo adds like 1.5 WAR, right?

by moomacher on Jul 31, 2009 2:39 PM MDT reply actions  

This has to be the best hair (facial and mullett) addition ever

If tulo goes three stripes and mullett…that would be so cool

by El Paso Jeff on Jul 31, 2009 3:44 PM MDT up reply actions  

Agreed. Until we find out the minor leaguers traded, there’s no way to say who won. (and this also is dependant on who gets dropped from the bullpen). If Rincon gets DFA, then great. If they decide to send Chacin back down then its terrible.

by sg8335aa on Jul 31, 2009 2:39 PM MDT reply actions  

WE DID NOT SIGN HALIDAY

O’CLOWN CLEARLY HAS NO IDEA HOW TO MAKE A WINNING TEAM

THE CHEAPFORTS ARE KILLING US OPEN YOUR TIGHT WALLETS

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: FREE SETH SMITH
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jul 31, 2009 2:46 PM MDT reply actions  

Wrong

WE DIDN"T GET HOLLIDAY. STUPID DAN OH DUD. WE REALLY NEEDED A GOOD LEFTY IN THE PEN CAUSE STREET SUCKS. WHY DIDN"T THEY LISTEN TO WOODY. COME ON, THE GUY IS ON AROUND THE HORN. HE KNOWS MORE ABOUT BASEBALL. I WOULD HAVE EVEN TRADED ATKINS. ALTHOUGH THAT MAY BE TOO MUCH.

by mkorpal on Jul 31, 2009 2:54 PM MDT up reply actions  

Wow, I can tell you know what you're talking about

I mean, you used capitals and everything. BRING BACK HOLIDAY O’IDIOT

by djmbluemoon on Jul 31, 2009 2:58 PM MDT up reply actions  

please

it’s

O’CLOWN

get it straight

Chris Iannetta status: DOOM
Seth Smith status: FREE SETH SMITH
Matt Murton status: Prisoner Exchanged for CarGon
Mike McCoy status: FREE MIKE MCCOY

by Andrew Martin on Jul 31, 2009 2:59 PM MDT up reply actions  

O'DUD SUCKS

he traded away MATT FREAKIN HOLLIDAY

AND WHAT DID WE GET NOW? MORE WORTHLESS BULL PEN….

Start Seth Smith! Free Eric Young Jr.!

by Redhawk on Jul 31, 2009 4:02 PM MDT up reply actions  

This thread is so full of win

I laughed so hard I couldn’t explain what was up to my wife.

Oh, and um, fire the lot of them, trade Tulo and Stewart for Halladay, resign Holliday for whatever the cost.

Does that work here?

by Arimaris on Jul 31, 2009 5:01 PM MDT up reply actions  

We gave up just about nothing

I imagine the compensation pick alone is worth more than the two we gave up combined.

by mkorpal on Jul 31, 2009 3:14 PM MDT up reply actions  

This might be overstating things...

I think the trade’s a clear win for the Rockies, but those players are a little more valuable than others mentioned in trade rumors around here.

by Rox Girl on Jul 31, 2009 3:51 PM MDT up reply actions  

To be honest, I don't think that it is...

Mattheus and Fabian in my opinion have close to zero major league value. The compensation pick is worth more than Beimel is, actually.

Eschew Obfuscation!

by Jeff Aberle on Jul 31, 2009 3:58 PM MDT up reply actions  

It sounds harsh to say

but you may be right now.

Had his arm not given way on him, Mattheus would have been something of a household name around here, considering what the bullpen was doing while he sat on the sidelines. Mattheus may have been able to put to good use his power sinker that sat around 93 and had reached 97, as well as a pretty solid slider. Mattheus had a violent delivery, giving him solid deception, but command his pitches well.

That said, you’re right, there’s little major league value right now in him, at least from the Rockies’ standpoint. Maybe he makes sense for Washington as a bullpen arm for 2011, when they may have a use for him, but given his minor league service time, he’s always going to be an at risk player of being bounced or plucked from a roster. He could have been intriguing, I thought he had a body similar to Witasik, and could have been a similar seventh inning type, but I’d now chalk him up to attrition similar to the fate befallen Darren Clarke.

Not to up on Fabian, expect for he was quite frustrating as a 23 year old getting bombed nightly in Low A. His road to the bigs is quite steep.

by David OhNo on Jul 31, 2009 7:15 PM MDT up reply actions  

Beimel Trade

Hynick seems to be off the Sky Sox roster. Any reason?

by pitcherwatcher on Jul 31, 2009 3:24 PM MDT reply actions  

Good question...

any other trades out there?

I got nothing.

by nkrause on Jul 31, 2009 3:43 PM MDT up reply actions  

Good move

It is great to see

a) the Rockies use some of thier minor league depth in trades

and

b) some team give up a decent big league player to acquire said minor league depth.

Not sure how large of an impact Beimel will have but I can definitely live with giving up these two players (especially with Mattheus still not back to 100%) in order to acquire a useful veteran reliever at the deadline (when such acquisitions tend to require massive overpayment).

by MADness on Jul 31, 2009 3:51 PM MDT reply actions  

A very useful reliever, I would think

I know this season statistically he doesn’t look as good as years past…

From a personal memory stand point, I hated when he would come in for the Dodgers and I’m quite happy to see him enter the game on our side now.

We were very interested in him this off season, but didn’ t want to pay the price he thought he could get…And then if memory serves, he wasn’t signed for a while into spring training or right before and then for not close money wise or years to want he was originally asking…

So he is more affordable now and as a rental, I’d take him out on the town

by El Paso Jeff on Jul 31, 2009 4:10 PM MDT reply actions  

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