Rockies Review: We outsail the Pirates, but can't catch the Fish
It's been a quiet week in Lake Woebegon, if by quiet you mean winning a series at home against the woeful Bucs, but dropping one on the road to the hot Fish. It doesn't exactly have the excitement of a divisional clash, but the Marlins are on our tail for the Wild Card, and at one point today, it looked as if we might have to start THE SKY IZ FALLIN chants. Fortunately, a 7-3 win in the second game of the doubleheader enabled the Rox to escape the approaching Tropical Storm Claudette (man, living in Florida would suck, wouldn't it?) with a 1-2 start to the six-game road trip. While it might be a bumpy flight up to Washington, where they're heading to commence three against the Nationals, the proceedings will hopefully smooth out from here. It won't, however, be as easy as you'd think. While the Nats are still solidly in the cellar of the NL East, with a frankly embarrassing 43-75 record, they've been red-hot. After an eight-game winning streak, they dropped a pair to the Braves and one to the Reds, but recovered to take the next three from Cincinnati. Now that they're just getting the hang of this whole winning business, they'll be understandably eager to compensate for the three wins we picked up at their expense back in July. They've also helpfully equipped us with Joe Beimel since that time, but in all honesty, I see no reason to pay back the favour. We have an off-day tomorrow, then Ubaldo Jimenez opens the series against Craig Stammen on Tuesday at 5:05 pm MT, and I don't give a damn about being altruistic. The Nats need to be squashed like, well, Gnats. GRRAAARGH!!!
That blood-and-brimstone moment (brought to you by Carl's Jr) aside, let's take a look at the past week. Monday started us off with a bang, as we completed the series against the Cubs by taking three of four, posting back-to-back 11-5 scores in the last two games. And oh yeah, some guy named Troy hit for the cycle, although he may have benefited from the hometown scorer on the triple (then again, it's not the hometown scorer's fault that the Cubs really suck at playing defense). Racking up tacos on his own accord with his 5-for-5, 7 RBI performance, Tulo solidified his position on the cleanup spot, where he's been wreaking holy terror on almost everybody. As Jim Tracy noted, it creates matchup problems for the opposition by splitting the spectacularly solid Helton and still-slumping Hawpe. Tulo, meanwhile, is just hitting .339 for August, slugging an eye-popping .695, which takes into account his 4 round-trippers, 3 three-baggers, and 3 two-baggers. In addition, his BB/K split before the break was 39/64; it's 15/25 thus far in the second half. As a number of articles have taken the liberty of pointing out, Tulo's performance can act as a fairly general barometer of the team's. Well, he's going now, which is why we have, despite losing the series to the Marlins, maintained our 1.5 game lead in the Wild Card. (The Mets helped us out by beating the Giants today. The Giants themselves have dropped to 4-6 in their last ten games, have one more against the Mets tomorrow, then get to go feast on Cincinnati. Let's hope that that crappy team that also wears red will prove to be a help).
All this excitement, however, must have led to the lot of them having hangovers, which is really the only way to excuse Wednesday's 7-3 loss to the Pirates. It was the sort of sloppy game that the Rockies haven't played (thankfully) in quite some while, an unwelcome blast to the past when they didn't pitch well, didn't hit well, and didn't look sharp in general. This is the sort of misstep they must avoid against creampuffs, and fortunately the embarrassment led to them exacting revenge in the next two, as they buried the Pirates by a combined score of 18-1. But as it was the Pirates, and that's what you're supposed to do to them, I'd rather take a closer look at the Marlins series. They were a hot team coming in, we had to contend with the long flight to Florida and suspect Miami weather, and the fact that the first game featured the patently unfair matchup of Jason Hammel against Marlins ace Josh Johnson. (True story: A few nights ago, I had a dream about Jason Hammel. He was talking to my sister and I, and he'd made a list of "Top Ten Things About Jason Hammel." Entries six and ten on the list, both underlined several times, were, "I must pitch better!") So were we being set up to fail, was it an excusable slip, or was it a troubling misstep against a contending team?
There's certainly no shame in being dominated by Josh Johnson, as we were (he took a no-hitter into the seventh inning before Garrett Atkins broke it up, and the shutout, with a solo homer) and in fact we staged a furious rally in the ninth, clawing to within a run on Chris Iannetta's three-run bomb, but fell flat, 6-5. The attempt to dig out was heartening, but the trouble here was with the pitching. Jason Hammel might know he has to do better, but he didn't show it, allowing 6 hits and 3 runs, all earned, to go with four walks and three strikeouts in his four innings, labouring through 95 pitches to get 12 outs. Adam Eaton, called up to replace Jhoulys Chacin, didn't fare particularly better, as he allowed 3 hits and 2 runs in his three innings. Joe Beimel allowed a run in his inning of work, and ultimately, this proved to be the one run too many.
Chacin himself was demoted after walking six in his inaugural start against the Pirates, which may have dampened some of the calls to have him replace Hammel in the rotation. Eaton isn't going to offer anything quantifiably different, so it looks like we're going to have to pin our hopes on Hammel suddenly figuring something the hell out. In six post-break starts, he's 2-3 with a 5.65 ERA, allowing 45 (!) hits and 18 runs in 28 innings, along with two homers, 5 hit-by-pitches, 8 walks, and 23 strikeouts. While the walk figure is better than some of his others (it works out to about three walks per nine innings) it doesn't matter too much if he's just going to let them hit their way on. Hammel's a fifth starter, of course, and a fifth starter doesn't need to be world-beating, but it would be better if he wasn't a risk for a massive blowup every time you ran him out there. Thus far, he's managed to weeble and wobble his way out of serious trouble, but I have to say, he's still not engendering a lot of confidence. With Josh Fogg chipping in 3.2 innings of scoreless relief in the first game of the doubleheader today, I wonder if we'll start hearing calls for the Dragonslayer to be stretched out and stuck back in there. Us older Rowbots may remember the general bellyaching that accompanied Fogg's starts in 2006 and most of 2007, but he is, at least, a fairly predictable commodity.
However, Hammel wasn't the only starter to struggle, and the slightly more disturbing development from the first game of the doubleheader (and the reason Fogg needed to come in at all) was that Aaron Cook did likewise. Making his first start back from a jammed big toe, Cook wasted no time in proving that maybe he wasn't quite ready. The Marlins pinballed him for 8 hits and 7 runs, three walks and two homers, in just 2.1 innings. Then again, they did that to Matt Daley and Joe Beimel as well. As soon as the Rockies' official site featured an article on Daley's successes, he promptly had a one-inning, four-hit, two-run bellyflop, helping push the Marlins' lead to 9-3. Beimel himself had a second consecutive choppy outing, as he allowed three hits and a run himself in his inning of work. I'd say that the Marlins series definitely exposed some soft undersides, that or everyone just chose it for a communal off-day. The offense isn't exempt from blame, as getting only one run off Chris Volstad (their version of Jason Hammel) won't earn you any gold stars on the merit chart. I have to say, being reminded of how the guys used to play wasn't particularly enjoyable. After losing the first game by a closer-than-expected score, I was actually expecting them to go out and bounce back, not endure the 10-3 pasting that followed. At least they salvaged the third game. But having Cook struggle like that is never a good thing. Troy Renck believes that if he goes down, and/or isn't exactly Cook, our playoff chances take a fairly significant hit. At least the other important cog, Jason Marquis, who had his first truly bad outing against his former club in Saturday's 6-5 loss against the Cubs, returned to form with 7 innings of 1-run ball against the Pirates. (Yeah, yeah, I know, it's the Pirates. But still).
Fortunately, there were some bright spots to take away as we forsake Florida for the feds. First, aside from Tulo, is there a hotter hitter in the lineup than Carlos Gonzalez? He's hitting .390 in August alone (.413 OBP, .732 SLG -- no, those are not typos) with 3 homers and 9 RBIs, an effort which has jacked his post-break performance to 4/10/.381/.414/.714. Nor is he a Coors Field creation, as his home and road stat lines look quite similar: .280/.316/.560 on Blake Street, .278/.357/.431 elsewhere. (Speaking of which, I can't be the only one taking a deep and vindictive thrill in the fact that our old friend Matt Holliday, freed from the Oakland boneyard, has returned to All-Star form and is tearing up everything in sight in St. Louis. Nah, we can't ever know how good a guy is in Coors, right? Asshats).
CarGo and Dexter Fowler, fortunately recovered from a knee injury incurred while running down a long sac fly in the last Cubs game, have proven to be the promised whirlwind on top of the lineup, as their 7-for-10 combined performance fuelled the 10-1 rout of the Pirates on Thursday. This has relegated Seth Smith to a premier pinch-hitter, which is not at all a bad problem to have. CarGo contributed homers in both halves of the doubleheader, and continues to offer his usual great defense (Smith had a few problems in his start in the first game). Combined with Huston Street's return to form after his shaky outing against the Cubs, things are starting to look even more reassuring on that front. Nobody remembers Greg Smith, and nobody really needs to. In addition, Brad Hawpe broke his umpty-zillion at-bat homerless streak with a two-run homer today, finally reaching 16 big flies for the season. (Remember when he was leading the team? Now he's muddling well behind Tulo, who leads with 23).
The other topic that needs addressing, which I meant to get to in last week's Review but didn't, is the catching. Three-run bomb on Friday aside, Chris Iannetta's still having trouble putting a comfortable separation in between himself and the Mendoza line. Iannetta's always been one of those guys who gets an extraordinarily long leash from Rowbots, and it'll continue, as we're already well aware of what Yorvit Torrealba offers on a full-time basis and aren't particularly eager to go back to it. Iannetta's defense and game-calling are both solid, and a slugging catcher is a commodity that only a few teams can boast, but still, it'd be nice if he'd stop striking out and hitting lazy fly balls. Iannetta's strength has always been his discerning eye, but his post-break OBP is a Willy Taveras-esque .300. (Yes, ouch). He's walked only 7 times in 68 ABs, against 17 Ks, has a pair of doubles and 4 HR, but is still not exactly the "Dreamy" we require. Note to Chris: Get on it.
All in all, I don't think the Marlins series was any sort of fatal misstep, especially since the Mets helped us out with the Giants, but it does show that there are a few weaknesses against contending teams that will need to be addressed before we hit that crucial ten-game stretch against the Dodgers and Giants to close out August. Our bullpen, for example, didn't look quite as inviolate as before, and there's still those continuing struggles of Hammel, and the clunker of an outing against the Pirates, and the clunker turned in by Cook in the first game today. Ideally, we'll get well against the Nats and make a 3-3 or 4-2 road trip. But, of course, there shouldn't be any overlooking them. We need to get back in the driver's seat.
Go Rockies!
16 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
Any way we
can trade in those clunkers for cash?
"If we never try, we shall never succeed." - Abraham Lincoln
Purple Row - Covering all your Rockies needs!
Great (as usual)
This last series wasn’t horrible (outside the Cook start, and a lack of offense) because the weather and other situations hurt us. I hope we can take it to Washington next as it is necessary we take these games to move ahead in the WC and gain in the Division.
"We made too many wrong mistakes." ~Yogi Berra
"The ballplayer who loses his head, who can't keep his cool, is worse than no ballplayer at all." ~Lou Gehrig
JFK
my area of concern
close to thirty strikeouts in the bookend games. Down the stretch, we have got to get baseballs in play. We will not fare well against the Dodgers and Giants striking out for half our outs in the game…we seem to have lost sight just a bit of “productive outs”
The sky is not falling, but there needs to be more concern with contact, otherwise losing 2 of 3 on the road against a good team is going to happen.
Hey look, Tracy knows too
“Getting the home run ball from [Clint] Barmes, [Brad] Hawpe and [Carlos] Gonzalez, who is really swinging the bat extremely well, is big, but we become a better team when we force the other team to make plays,” Tracy said. “In order to do that, you have to put the ball in play and we struck out too much.”
OH MY GOD IT IS SO NICE TO HAVE A MANAGER THAT GETS IT
I love Greg Reynolds. Deal with it, suckers.
by Silverblood on Aug 17, 2009 12:52 AM MDT up reply actions
while concerned about K's
The ump in the second game yesterday had a horrible zone for both teams. Johnson is a very good pitcher, ala Jimenez, so while is was frustrating I will wait to make a final judgement.
Needs some attention I think
One of the strengths of the 2007 Rox during the stretch run was their ability to win against top notch pitching. I don’t think this team is there yet. We will need to improve if we want to succeed in postseason.
"If you're going to be stupid, you'd better be tough."
Then obviously Josh Fogg should be in the rotation :)
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein
by Andrew T. Fisher on Aug 17, 2009 11:28 AM MDT up reply actions
Greg Smith
Nobody remembers Greg Smith, and nobody really needs to.
Tonight my dad asked me if I could identify the mystery Rockies player in the “staring contest with Dinger” ad. Thanks to the Row, I could.
Leave Dexter alone! You're lucky he even performs for you!
Hammel
I think he’s about halfway between “replace him with Fogg/[fill in name of minor leaguer]” and “no worries, his FIP is still good.”
I was looking at his stats in two pieces, April through his excellent June, and July 1 (his excellent start at LA in the 0-1 loss) through his last start. The latter half is about as bad as the shorter span which Silverblood cited.
His peripherals (main components of FIP/tRA type stats) are almost exactly the same between the two periods. Yet, we’ve seen him get knocked around a bit lately (and the latest start featured some extra wildness). His line drive rate is up from the one time span to the other from 22% to 27% (based on the fangraphs BIP data in the game logs), so I don’t think the idea that he’s getting hit harder is merely the result of a selective memory.
So, while the peripherals are pretty consistent, I think there’s fair evidence that they’re not telling the entire story (his misfortune is not just a result of noise in the data or bad luck). And yet I think the consistency in the peripherals (if crappy pitching is responsible for all of that .400+ BABIP in his “bad” half, you’d think his HR rate would shoot up, too), his performance over the first 3 months, along with Fogg and Eaton’s mixed track records and Chacin’s inexperience above AA is enough to give him a couple more chances.
As is, his overall ERA isn’t too bad. It’s a smidgen below league avg for a starting pitcher, and if your 2 worst starters are still around league avg, that’s pretty good. Obviously you don’t want him to keep stinking it up, but I think it’s worth giving him a little more rope to see if he can get it back to some degree before turning to Fogg/Chacin. He’s never pitched a huge amount of innings in his career, but in his 2006 campaign with Durham (127.2 innings) he didn’t have much of a 1st half/2nd half split. So I don’t think it’s necessarily fatigue setting in already at 118 innings. (And if it is, I’d expect Apodaca and Tracy to pick up on it.)
Leave Dexter alone! You're lucky he even performs for you!
by FooMan on Aug 16, 2009 10:22 PM MDT reply actions 1 recs
I agree with the general sentiment here
(if not for the reliance on FIP), but simply because of the lack of superior options. I’m not a Fogg hater, but I think its ludicrous that he’s somehow getting the Backup QB treatment all of a sudden. As Silver notes, it aint like he left here with us crying into our beers. Indeed, I think the general sentiment was that people were terrified that he’d be re-signed. He’s a good guy to have in a pinch, and I’m not going to get melodramatic if he gets a few starts due to necessity, but he’s just not a guy that you put in unless you HAVE to. And we don’t, yet. And like most others here, I was disappointed that Chacin failed his audition, but its probably too much to ask him to be ready to go at this point, and I don’t want to rush the kid out of desperation. No, I say its Hammel Time for at least 2 more starts. But if he gets lit up by the Nats, its going to be hard to argue…
by Teekalong on Aug 17, 2009 12:14 AM MDT up reply actions 1 recs
Agree that making a move would seem like panic
Heard someone on TV/radio say his fastball seems to have flattened a bit lately. He looks a lot better when the bats are going.
"If you're going to be stupid, you'd better be tough."
...and he really seems to be having a hard time making first pitch strikes
"If you're going to be stupid, you'd better be tough."
any word on Cook??
I missed most of yesterday with weekend work and then personal stuff.
any news if his toe was bothering him, or if he was that bad??
I don’t see anything in the post this AM.
thanks!
no complaints
I didn’t hear anything about his toe bothering him. He really hit a bad luck with a broken bat hit by the pitcher, but he wasn’t sharp…missing a start and having your adreneline shut down for 24 hours after that probably didn’t help.
While he won’t mention the toe, I have heard that the turf toe type thing can really mess with a pitcher and his delivery. Just depends on how bad it really is, but I expect he will be good to go next time out.
thanks
true that 5 of the runs came on two swings of the bat – the broken bat single by the pitcher followed by the three run homer by the lead off hitter.
but he had tons of base runners., allowing those things to happen.
turf toe would be horrible for a pitcher – let’s hope it’s not that severe.
Cook
The guys on the radio said that his toe wasn’t bothering him. They thought that he was a little rusty from the time off and that he could not keep the ball down in the strikezone.
by TripleT-Rox on Aug 17, 2009 5:28 PM MDT via mobile up reply actions

by 


















