Rockies Review: Karma's a (Not So Nice Word)
Ouch, Rockies Nation, ouch. I don't entirely know where to begin with it, aside from: damn, that one hurt. I suppose we might have expected it, as karma has an unfortunate tendency to bite you in the butt right when you think you've gotten away with a steal, and quite frankly, here comes crunch time. We learned today how a backbreaking grand slam feels like (funnily enough, like your back being broken) and a lot more about the team that we might have preferred not to. There were culprits aplenty, whether it was Atkins looking at three straight strikes with a runner on third and one out in the top of the eighth (back in those oh-so-enjoyable times when we were only behind by one) followed by CarGo fishing in the dirt to end the inning, after his escapades in the previous frame had diddled us out of an extra run. Not to mention the normally reliable Rafael Betancourt giving up the go-ahead grand slam to Edgar Freaking Renteria (fourth homer of the year, holla!) and otherwise dooming us to one of the hardest losses to stomach all year. All we had to do in San Francisco to retain at least a two-game lead was to avoid getting swept. And... well....
It didn't go too well. In the unique and colorful parlance of Purple Row, we like to call this "fail."
Join me after the jump if you feel like analyzing the collective misery any more. I promise, it's short.
The week started with all kinds of excitement -- walk-off wins supplying possibly the most dramatic moment of the season, thanks to Spilly's 14th-inning, game-winning grand slam against the Giants on Monday. Well, after a start like that, perhaps it figures that there had to be an equally bad event at the end to balance it out. Don't discount the karma, people. It'll get you. After climbing to within two games of the Dodgers thanks to Tulo's game-winning single (this one just in the tenth) things started to take a nosedive. We lost the next two to the blue while continuing our troubling habit of leaving small villages on the basepaths, and "Buddy, Can You Spare a Run?" was the theme of the next two, as the total offensive doldrums didn't alleviate until a too-little, too-late effort in the second game of the Giants series enabled us to lose 5-3 instead of 5-0. We knew that facing Lincecum, Zito, and Cain at home was going to be a tough task, and that the Giants would have extra motivation to get us back for the pain we inflicted on them earlier in the week, but if this is a playoff-contending team, it's the kind of challenge they needed to sink their teeth into. Not get antsy and overanxious. And, well, the five-game skid is the longest since Tracy took the helm, reminding us all painfully of how bad things used to be before. It hurts more now that we've got something to lose -- our four-game lead in the Wild Card, for a start, which we had as recently as Tuesday.
There is, however, still a bright side. First, it was better to have this little choke at the end of August instead of the end of September -- assuming that a little choke is what it is and the boys proceed to get better at home against the injury-ravaged Mets. (I seem to recall there's a little revenge needing to be doled out there as well). Things had been going so well that we probably should have expected a minor funk before this, and it'll show us a lot about the mental makeup of the club if they put this nonsense behind them and return to taking care of business. After all, there are still thirty games left, maybe having some fear of God put into them will freshly galvanize them (seeing as the Wild Card, or the division, is never won in August) and as we were just painfully shown, a whole lot can happen in as little as a week. If they brush off this heartbreaker of a series and return to taking care of business as before, I think we'll be one of the eight teams not making golf reservations for the second week of October. (And it'll feel extra good to deny the Giants, amirite?)
In conclusion: yes, this hurts. If you're panicking right now, you're perfectly within your rights to do so. Five-game losing streaks against division rivals, including getting swept by your closest competitors to fall into a tie where there was once a four-game cushion, is never cause for celebration. I will say that I personally did not enjoy the weekend proceedings a whit. It was pretty darn painful to see the team play that badly.
But in the end, there are still two things to take from it: one, the aforementioned thirty-one games remaining on the slate, and the fact that this is, plain and simple, the nature of the game that we all love so much. There are hot streaks and there are cold streaks. Sometimes it's a mistake -- you leave the fastball up and Edgar Renteria makes you pay. Sometimes you do your best, you throw the pitch where you wanted it and it still goes yard. Sometimes it's out of your hands (usually when Angel Campos is on the umpiring crew). Sometimes you make a perfect play on the tough grounder, then sling it into the stands. Sometimes you lay out to make the catch and it squirts out of your glove. Sometimes you strike out 11 in 8 innings and your team doesn't give you a stinking run. It all adds up into the peculiar beauty, and the peculiar pain, of baseball. And as bad as the bad times hurt, just as good do the good times feel. Remember how you all felt after Spilly's grand slam? You will feel that good again this season, I promise.
Basically, sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, and sometimes it rains.
Geez, I wish it had rained.
***
P.S. By the time this posts, I will be on my way to DIA, heading back to New York. I'll be back in Colorado for Christmas, but it's uncertain if I'll be coming back after I leave in January (I'm moving out of state). And this has made me realize that a whole generation of my life is coming to an end, and a new one is starting. I grew up with the Rockies, got away from them for a few years, and came back for good in 2006. I've been attending school out of state, but at least I've had the summers to spend time with my purple obsession. I've been to a whole lot of games. I've seen the aforementioned good times, the aforementioned bad times. To think of that coming to an end is strange. I honestly don't know when I'll get to another Rockies game at Coors Field, and that's a strange thought. For better or worse (currently worse) there aren't a whole lot of things on this earth that I love more than this baseball team, and now I'll be commencing my (permanent, at least for a while) absentee fan time. You guys back in Colorado, you enjoy those October games, and everything after -- in 2010 and beyond. I stand by my assertion that we'll still get there. And I'll get back eventually. Hopefully it won't be years.
Go Rockies.
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I do not approve. This lacks substantial amounts of Star Wars references.
Where’s the question about the Rockies finding a Sun Crusher before the season is over?
"If we never try, we shall never succeed." - Abraham Lincoln
Purple Row - Covering all your Rockies needs!
I made a Star Trek reference
in the post game wrap.
and everyone one knows that Star Trek > Star Wars
—runs for door
Ooh, the original series, too
And Spock with the goatee.
Leave Dexter alone! You're lucky he even performs for you!
Mirror Universe
I’m actually optimistic. I still like the Rockies chances…1st place in the Wild Card with a ton of games at home, against crappy teams, and our offense showed a pulse today.
And Franchise26 is the pessimist
That is so backward from where we usually are…I have to be in the Mirror Universe. But I don’t feel Evil……so does that mean my other universe self is the evil one? I mean neither of us has a goatee, so it’s hard to tell.
as much as I'm not inclined
to get into a nerd war, Star Wars dominates. Period. Star Trek is for suckaz.
by Teekalong on Aug 30, 2009 11:04 PM MDT up reply actions 1 recs
Russ, no one wants to hear about your stupid Klingons! Gosh!
Eschew Obfuscation!
by Jeff Aberle on Aug 30, 2009 11:19 PM MDT up reply actions
voted for #2
i was so frustrated for the most of the weekend but i’ve cooled off and realized everything else in my life is going right at the moment and we are still tied for the WC and have a favorable schedule the rest of the way…do it rockies
we seem to have gotten over that HURDLE
"TuLoRocks2008 had the most comments I've seen in any game thread this year (322)...Can such a feat be eclipsed?" ..... Bring it on!!
Well, uhm, sad panda here
I honestly don’t know when I’ll get to another Rockies game at Coors Field
I sincerely hope it’s sooner rather than later. Good luck to you, my dear. Making the big move away from home is always scary. Did it years ago and I’ve never regretted it, but I know what a big jump it is.
As for the Rox, well, we’ll be ok I think. If we can light it up in September as we should, we’ll be playing in Rocktober II.
I'll have another beer, please.
Lot of votes for panicked.
If we can shake this off, we’ll be just fine. Still plenty of games to play.
RUN FOR YOUR LIVES WE"RE ONLY TIED FOR THE WILD CARD LEAD.
Seriously folks, calm down.
Eschew Obfuscation!
I'm not worried
Everyone come back in a week and see where things are at then. I have a feeling that the Rockies will win more games this week, retaking the WC lead (they’re at home against the Mets/DBacks/Reds) while SF gets to travel to Philadelphia and Milwaukee.
It was nice to finally see the offense actually do something today, even Barmes had a sacrifice fly to score a run, which is better than his failings of late. I would still like to see him sit a game or two and see what EY2 can do at 2nd base, especially adding his speed in a game where Dex/Cargo are also starting, but Tracy would probably never start all three, reserving one of the speedsters for a pinch running possibility.
let's not underestimate Arizona
Mike McCoy Status: BETTER BE A SEPT CALLUP
Seth Smith Status: Part of a Good Problem
Chris Iannetta Status: OH MY GOD GET SOME HITS YOU'RE MAKING ME LOOK LIKE AN ASS
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by Andrew Martin on Aug 31, 2009 9:33 AM MDT up reply actions
Arizona
always give the Rockies a hard time
by Colsportsfan on Aug 31, 2009 11:11 AM MDT up reply actions
I blame
a lot of this past week on the long games we had at Coors against the Giants, essentially wearing out the bullpen. It was a rough week with the rash of injuries.
There is still 31 games left, basically 1/5th of the season. Against a favorable schedule. I still like our chances. Its not like the Giants and/or Dodgers haven’t gone through a small streak where they lost 4-5 in a row. The boys just need to bounce back. Tomorrow brings a much needed off day!
yep completely agree with you
everybody has there losing skids…Dodgers just had a few in the past months but they look like they are bouncing back…we’ll be fine
we seem to have gotten over that HURDLE
"TuLoRocks2008 had the most comments I've seen in any game thread this year (322)...Can such a feat be eclipsed?" ..... Bring it on!!
by TuLoRocks2008 on Aug 31, 2009 7:34 AM MDT up reply actions
I went to the games yesterday and Saturday.
It is an amazing ballpark with nice but quiet fans. When the game ended yesterday I couldn’t help but wonder if the Rockies didn’t like me. I also had a weird urge to go onto the field and teach Barmes how to bunt.
I've got to agree w/ Franchise from the post game wrap
that was some very bad baseball over the weekend, and it hurts more to lose to division rivals. However, I think that team that has played so well is still in there somewhere. I personally think they got a little high on themselves, and they were brought back to Earth in a very abrupt way. I hope they take it that way, and go out w/ some hunger and maybe a little emotion and don’t take anyone lightly the rest of the season. Hopefully they play w/ some edge the rest of the year. We still have a great chance and are in a decent position right now.
This team can come out fighting or lay down and die, and I think they still have some fight.
It takes a big man to cry, but it takes a bigger man to laugh at that man.
to worry or not to worry
Obviously we have seen the fellas play better than they have the last week and we have seen Tracy push the right buttons which he failed miserably at this week. On the one hand, a stretch like this was inevitable, and on the other hand you cannot play 4-6 against your biggest competition and come out of that with a whole lot of hope. Some major weakenesses of the Rockies were exposed and the role of the team is to compensate for those weaknesses. Here’s my recipe to carry the team to the playoffs.
1. Return to home domination. San Fran is winning at almost a 2 to1 clip at home. The Rocks must match that intensity on the home turf. Do that, and the other things may be moot.
2. Strikeouts must be cut in half the rest of the way, everyone knows that, but having three or four guys in the lineup hitting under .250 and striking out that often is ridonculous.
3. Stabilize the lineup. I know injuries have hurt, but the lineup is different everyday. That constant tinkering looking for the right mix got Hurdle into trouble and Tracy is on that same slippery slope. For the money going to Helton, he has to be 100% healthy and in the line-up everyday the rest of the way.
4. Never ask someone who is seeing the pitcher well to bunt. At least 3 times this past week (twice with Barmes and we know how that went) were players who had gotten a hit off that pitcher were asked to bunt to move guys over. That approach does not work with this team, so stop it or there will be more 1 run losses.
5. Be consistent with the relievers. Relievers more than any other role on the team thrive when their role and workload is consistent and well anticipated. The only thing clear about this team is that Stret is the closer and Betancourt is exprected to be the 8th inning guy. Daley, Morales and Rincon need to have their roles more clearly defined especially with rosters expanding and the extra arms that will come up for the stretch.
6. have a winning record against the Giants and Dodgers the rest of the way.
Uh
on the other hand you cannot play 4-6 against your biggest competition and come out of that with a whole lot of hope.
Why wouldn’t you still have a lot of hope? Do the last 2 series carry that much greater weight than the previous 70-80 games?
It could have been much, much worse. If you play 7 against a team that’s been close to you all year + 3 against another team that’s been beating your brains out, what’s the expected result? 5-5? 5.2 – 4.8?
Strikeouts must be cut in half the rest of the way, everyone knows that
The team strikes out a lot, but come on. No one cuts K’s in half.
I’m not sure cutting K’s per se is something that should be encouraged. (Runners on 3rd, < 2 outs, sure.) It seems part of how the team scores runs (the team is heading for the most walks in Rockies history, leads the majors in pitches/plate appearance, and is one of the 3-4 best offensive teams in Rockies history once you add in park adjustments) as well as being something of a park effect (Coors field cuts strikeouts by over 10%).
Rockies’ strikeouts and runs/scored, as a percentage of PA’s, by month, along with # of home games:
Apr: 19.9% 5.40 R/G 9 home games of 20
May: 18.5% 4.48 R/G 14 of 29
Jun: 20.8% 5.50 R/G 9 of 28
Jul: 18.9% 4.46 R/G 16 of 26
Aug: 21.9% 5.21 R/G 14 of 28
It’s a bit hard to pull a correlation there since I’m not adjusting for home/road. But it’s also not obvious that strikeouts are the problem per se. Again, situational hitting is a different thing. June (which included the 16 of 17 streak) stands out, as you’d expect a 21-7 month to do.
Stabilize the lineup.
I dunno, this sounds like superstitious type thinking, i.e., Post hoc ergo propter hoc. Guys like Stewart, Iannetta and Barmes have been getting regular playing time. Since Tulo took the cleanup spot, Hawpe’s been a consistent #5, yet hasn’t broke out. As for Helton, he’s had more starts than anyone besides Tulo, and he’s 35. Don’t you think Helton can use an occasional day off, and that this might help him stay 100% healthy? (I don’t see how his salary is relevant.)
Be consistent with the relievers.
I don’t see the inconsistency. Yes, relievers like their roles, but if they need it defined to the inning and lead-state, they’re just not gonna get it. Aside from the closer and top set up guy, one almost never gets to that fine a definition. Tracy likes matchups, so surely guys like Daley, Morales and Beimel know that. Morales knows he’s not a mop up guy and yet, beneath Betancourt in the pecking order. Daley, too.
Leave Dexter alone! You're lucky he even performs for you!
re: lineup stabilization
Guys like Stewart, Iannetta and Barmes have been getting regular playing time
This nailed it for me. Provided the right guys (and I’m not saying they necessarily are) are getting the time, it doesn’t really matter where they bat. It’s when you have a little league everyone plays thing that lineup stability becomes a real issue.
Mike McCoy Status: BETTER BE A SEPT CALLUP
Seth Smith Status: Part of a Good Problem
Chris Iannetta Status: OH MY GOD GET SOME HITS YOU'RE MAKING ME LOOK LIKE AN ASS
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by Andrew Martin on Aug 31, 2009 11:43 AM MDT up reply actions
I feel like the only guy not getting enough starts is Smith, especially with these injuries.
I haven’t had a problem with the spot starts for Atkins or EY or Spilly (though I think he’s taken some of Smith’s starts).
That K and runs correlation sure is interesting
"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein
by Andrew T. Fisher on Aug 31, 2009 1:20 PM MDT up reply actions

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