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Best Colorado Rockies Draft Picks of the 00s

Writing a "best of" piece just after the decade ended (or maybe it didn't end if you're the kind of person who actually thinks about things like that) doesn't offer much perspective. But insta-history is always the rage (just take a look at the number of books that have come out on the 2008 presidential election and the current financial crisis in the recent months (and I believe it's still too early to actually understand the end of the Cold War, but twenty years later and counting we're starting to understand it)).

That being said, it's a bit easier to write such "best of" pieces for the sports world. The results are already tangible for the most part. So, let's take a look at the best Rockies draft picks this decade and then decide who is the best one.

Because neither Christian Friedrich (2008) nor Tyler Matzek (2009) have appeared in the majors yet they are eliminated from this discussion. When this topic is revisited in a few years, hopefully they'll be in the discussion.

First, some players who don't make it into the discussion: Matt Harrington (2000), Jayson Nix (2001), Chris Nelson (2004), Greg Reynolds (2006), and Casey Weathers (2007). Harrington became a never was; Nix has underwhelmed and no longer plays for the Rockies; Chris Nelson is working his way up the ladder but has yet to reach the majors; Reynolds is Reynolds; and Weathers may have a productive ahead of him, but doesn't fit within the current framework.

Who does make it?

 

Player Round Year Position
Garrett Atkins 5 2000 3B
Clint Barmes 10 2000 2B/SS
Brad Hawpe 11 2000 RF
Jeff Francis 1 2002 LHP
Ryan Spilborghs 7 2002 OF
Ian Stewart 1 2003 3B
Eric Young Jr. 30 2003 INF
Seth Smith 2 2004 OF
Chris Iannetta 4 2004 C
Dexter Fowler 14 2004 CF
Troy Tulowitzki 1 2005 SS

 

Join me after the jump for a look at what puts them on the list and who is the best of them all.

Star-divide

Garrett Atkins made two brief appearances with the Rockies in 2003 and 2004 before settling in as the starting third baseman in 2005. He finished fourth in NL Rookie of the Year voting, and had 2.5 WAR. He peaked in 2006, hitting a career high 29 homers. He posted a .965 OPS and a 5.9 WAR. He was still decent in 2007 (25 HR, 2.4 WAR), but 2008 made us question how much Atkins had left in him. Two thousand and nine saw the complete collapse of Atkins and the rise of Ian Stewart at third. Atkins was non-tendered in this past offseason and latched on with the Orioles. He will play first base.

Clint Barmes has to be in the running for best injury story and best Purple Row player interview (so far). As we know, Barmes is an aggressive swinger and that has led to uneven results for him. He broke the 20-homer plateau this past season as the starting second baseman. He'll retain the starting position in 2010 while Eric Young Jr. continues to refine his skills in Triple A.

Brad Hawpe was another great late-round find for the Rockies, and Baseball America named him the Rockies' best draft pick of the last decade. While blessed with a great arm, his defense is lacking, to say the least (check this graph out if you haven't already). He came close to reaching 30 homers back in 2007 (29), but there's always been the sense that his power should give in that category. He also racks up the strikeouts in bunches. Though he made his first All-Star appearance in 2009, this past season also likely marked the beginning of the end of his tenure with the Rockies.

Jeff Francis is the first first-round pick to make an appearance on this list. His career didn't start out well as his debut in 2002 ended after he suffered a concussion from a baseball to the head while sitting on the bench. John Scikels had a good writeup on Francis after the 2003 season. I remember following Francis very closely in 2003 and was disappointed as he kept receiving loss after loss to start the season, but his second half was great. A year later, Francis was Baseball America's Minor League Player of the Year. Francis entered the Rockies' rotation in 2005 and was a mainstay there through the 2008 season. Two thousand and eight saw Jeff Francis decline dramatically, and before the start of the 2009 season he underwent exploratory shoulder surgery. He missed the entire 2009 campaign, but looks to be the fifth start for the Rockies this season. His 2007 was one of the best for a Rockies pitcher. He recorded 17 wins and a 4.1 WAR.

Ryan Spilborghs is best known for his wide variety of facial hair styles and will forever be known by Rockies fans for the SpillySlam!

Ian Stewart reached great heights in 2004 while playing for his future father-in-law (Joe Mikulik) in Asheville. He almost had a 30-20 season, but fell short with 19 stolen bases. Stewart didn't build on that success; rather, he worked on adjusting to more advanced pitching in Modesto and Tulsa. Stew then spent 2007 and 2008 in the Springs, receiving a cup of coffee with the Rockies in 2007 and half a season with the club in 2008. He spent all of 2009 with the Rockies and displaced Garrett Atkins as the starter at the hot corner. Caber still has room to improve to be a solid major league player.

Eric Young Jr. is the son of former Rockies Eric Young, as we all know by now. He was a draft-and-follow, signing with the Rockies before the 2004 draft. His time in the majors has been limited to thirty games. He is likely headed back to Colorado Springs with Clint Barmes entrenched at second and Melvin Mora signed as the 25th man on the roster.

Seth Smith, we usually joke, is always a bridesmaid, never a bride. He was Eli Manning's backup on the Ole Miss football team. He's now a backup outfielder for the Rockies. But Mr. Late Night has found a niche so far as a pinch hitter, first witnessed down the stretch in 2007. However, having been a successful pinch hitter makes it hard for his managers to look at him as starter. Smith's time as a starter could come in 2010 if Brad Hawpe continues to decline.

Chris Iannetta is dreamy. 'Nuff said. Or maybe not, considering the war Purple has seen over him this past season. He plays good defense and he knows how to get on base. Was 2009 a step down from what we expected of him? Yes, but he's going to be dreamy in 2010.

Dexter Fowler could have been a first-round pick, but teams thought he was going to college (he had scholarship offers from Harvard for basketball and from Miami for baseball). The Rockies took a gamble in the 14th round with nothing to lose if he didn't sign. In the 14th round, you're hoping you get a couple of seasons in the minors out of the guy. The Rockies had some money to spend on Fowler after trading fan-favorite Larry Walker to the Cardinals. Fowler spent September 2008 with the Rockies but really broke on through to the other side in 2009, winning a spot on the roster in spring training. He enters 2010 as the Rockies starting center fielder.

Troy Tulowitzki. Troy Trever Tulowitzki. T3. Our Golden Boy. The Face of the Franchise. Tulo went to Modesto to sign his pro career in 2005 and did well enough before an injury ended his season. He moved up to Tulsa in 2006, doing quite well (.291/.370/.473). Earning a call up at the very end of August in 2006, we caught only a glimpse of what he was capable of on the field and in the box. During his rookie campaign, Tulo put up a .361 wOBA, a 5.4 WAR, and finished second in the NL Rookie of the Year voting. He also turned in an unassisted triple play in a game against the Braves. He did not start 2008 off well and wound up inuring himself in a late-April game, and as a result Garrett Atkins played second base and Chris Iannetta manned third. His second half was great (.327/.389/.469). Two thousand and nine saw Tulo start off slow again, but not as slow as in 2008. He OPS'ed over a 1.000 during the second half of 2009 and finished fifth in NL MVP voting.

*                    *                    *

Now that I've run down those I consider the best draft picks of the decade, it's time to rank them. As I mentioned earlier, Baseball America named Brad Hawpe the best draft pick of the decade. As I had explained to me by someone in the know, the thinking that went into selection was probably based on production and draft position. I don't agree with that line of thinking (at least with the Rockies), so I'll break things down into several categories.

Nice to make the list, but more of a courtesy thing: Eric Young Jr. He needs more playing time, but even in the future he'll only rise a level or two above here.

"I Made the Majors, but All I Got Was the Bench": OK, this might not be the most accurate label for Seth Smith and Ryan Spilborghs, but that's what they've mostly been doing since making the majors. Smith could take a leap up, but Spilly's reached his peak as a fourth outfielder.

"I'm Getting There": The time for Dexter Fowler and Ian Stewart is now as they're both starters.

"I'm There, but I May Not Be For Much Longer": Our 2000 trio of Atkins, Barmes, and Hawpe go here. They've provided solid contributions to the Rockies as a starters, but given the recent decline of two (Atkins and Hawpe) and the adequate nature of the other (Barmes) it's hard to call any the best.

Chris Iannetta

Jeff Francis

"They Call Me the Best": Troy Tulowtizki . Sure, it's easy to pick a high draft choice as the best draft selection. They're supposed to be good. But with Tulo it's different. If Todd Helton is the soul of the Rockies, Troy Tulowitzki is the heart. He's a leader. Everyone wants to win, but Tulo has a desire to do so like no other. Two thousand and eight was his first losing season ever, and he never wanted to go through another season like that. I like to avoid counter-factual situations, but if the the Blue Jays draft Tulo (they didn't because he wouldn't switch to third) where would the Rockies be now. Tulo's brought too much to the table for the Rockies not to be their best draft pick of the 00s right now.

Poll
Best draft pick during the 00s?
Garrett Atkins
2 votes
Clint Barmes
5 votes
Brad Hawpe
19 votes
Jeff Francis
2 votes
Ryan Spilborghs
2 votes
Ian Stewart
4 votes
Eric Young Jr.
3 votes
Seth Smith
2 votes
Chris Iannetta
4 votes
Dexter Fowler
20 votes
Troy Tulowitzki
298 votes

361 votes | Poll has closed

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Great post Russ,

I would like to know what the 3 people who didn’t vote for Tulo are thinking. I could argue that Tulo is the best draft pick in the history of the franchise, let alone the decade.

The Future:

Smith LF
Fowler CF
CarGo RF

by wolf213 on Feb 6, 2010 7:33 AM MST reply actions  

It's a tough decision

between Todd and Tulo for best draft pick in the history of the franchise.

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by Russ Oates on Feb 6, 2010 7:42 AM MST up reply actions  

Yes but here is my logic

Keep in mind I am a huge Helton Supporter, and feel he will make the HOF one day… however how many 1b out there would you take over Helton over the course of an entire career? I could make the case for the following:

Pujols
Fielder
Howard
Teixeira
Pena
Gonzales
Morneau

How many SS would you take over Tulo? I can only think of one. Hanley Ramirez

Thats why Tulo is the best draft pick in franchise history. Not because Helton isn’t a great player, because he is, its because there are a lot of other great 1b and not a whole lot SS who are better then Tulo.

The Future:

Smith LF
Fowler CF
CarGo RF

by wolf213 on Feb 6, 2010 7:55 AM MST up reply actions  

I mostly agree

with you but would have a hard time arguing for your last three on that list.

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by Russ Oates on Feb 6, 2010 9:11 AM MST up reply actions  

My take is generally something like

if your team’s best draft pick(s) of the last decade are all in the first round, then your team isn’t drafting/scouting very well.

However, it is pretty hard to pick someone who isn’t Tulo off that list. Having said that, I still voted Fowler…

"These are thin mints. I put them in the freezer. My favorites. So good."
--Reds outfielder Adam Dunn, on the girl scout cookies he keeps in his locker

by Resolution on Feb 6, 2010 9:13 AM MST up reply actions  

That's the way I look at it too.

Tulo is by far the best player, but he was also a top 10 pick and one of those “can’t miss prospects.” Not a whole lot of thought really had to go into making that pick, IMO.

But being able to get great players later on in the draft, that’s impressive…which is why I voted for Dex too. Those are the kind of picks that really make your draft, and thereby your farm system and big league club’s future.

Alanna Rizzo is my dream girl.

by Cargo's Ball Sack5 on Feb 6, 2010 11:55 AM MST up reply actions  

Dex might have been a 1st round pick

If we wasn’t expected to go to college. It wasn’t really that great of a pick, it was more of a kick the tires pick that somehow panned out.

by mkorpal on Feb 6, 2010 1:10 PM MST up reply actions  

29 other teams could have kicked those tires

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2010 1:46 PM MST up reply actions  

Yea, I realized that too

but like ATF said, 29 other teams could have done that.

Similarly though the Dex pick doesn’t really demonstrate any good scouting, just a total gamble.

Probably Hawpe or Iannetta represent the best post first round, non-premium talent picks…

"These are thin mints. I put them in the freezer. My favorites. So good."
--Reds outfielder Adam Dunn, on the girl scout cookies he keeps in his locker

by Resolution on Feb 6, 2010 2:20 PM MST up reply actions  

1st round picks themselves are no lock

the list above that russ pointed out proves that there are a lot of busts taken in the first. so i think you should be able to include first rounders.

i mean think about it. right now were talking about how greg reynolds is a bust and we could have had the opportunity to draft lincecum or longoria. those two would have been great draft picks and would make this list. instead we took reynolds which now appears to be a terrible pick.

as you probably guessed, i voted for tulo

by purplesocks on Feb 6, 2010 2:25 PM MST up reply actions  

Oh I'm well aware of the first round busts, just look at the Pirates for the past 20 years

Like people have brought up though, are we examining best drafted player or best draft pick? Tulo stands out on that list head and shoulders above everyone else, and while there’s no denying it was a smart pick and a pick that’s (hopefully) going to pay huge dividends for the Rockies for years to come (and most likely more so than any other pick there), I don’t think taking a shortstop coming from a great school with tremendous pedigree 7th overall is a particularly slick pick.

It also wouldn’t surprise me if the 22 other teams would have taken Tulo in that spot too, and it doesn’t surprise me that he went 7th overall – there were some pretty serious names ahead of him drafted (except you Ricky Romero) so I still don’t see it as a great pick.

Of course to make this issue more complicated, how do we view the Matzek pick. For thought’s sake, lets imagine he becomes an extremely good #2 pitcher. Do we view that pick as really good? We’re talking about a left-handed pitcher that some scouts had as the #2 talent behind Strasburg but he fell to us because he wanted a ton of money. Is it a good pick because we successfully called his bluff or is it not because its nothing special to say the #2 talent overall in the draft worked out well for us.

"These are thin mints. I put them in the freezer. My favorites. So good."
--Reds outfielder Adam Dunn, on the girl scout cookies he keeps in his locker

by Resolution on Feb 6, 2010 11:32 PM MST up reply actions  

I would advance that calling the bluff was a risk nine other teams wouldn't take

We did have protection in what became Wheeler/Brothers though

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 7, 2010 9:09 AM MST up reply actions  

Helton's better than the last 5 guys on that list

But I understand your point. There are a lot more elite-hitting first basemen out there than good-hitting elite-fielding shortstops.

by controlled_slide on Feb 6, 2010 9:37 AM MST up reply actions  

You need to have JJ in the conversation...

he did win ROTY and was an above average pitcher for his time…Tulo IMHO needs more time to establish his value like Todd Helton did.

Making facetious trade rumors since 2012AD

by lizardlad01 on Feb 7, 2010 3:16 AM MST up reply actions  

If you click

“up” you’ll see that he’s responding to my post about best draft pick (franchise).

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by Russ Oates on Feb 7, 2010 9:38 AM MST up reply actions  

esp.

Fowler…I love the guy as much as the next gal, but he doesn’t have enough time with us to show us how good he really is….Tulo is the heart and the future of this team….how could he not be #1 from this list?

Ninety feet between home plate and first base may be the closest man has ever come to perfection. ~Red Smith

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by Maria M on Feb 6, 2010 9:11 AM MST up reply actions  

Best draft pick or best player drafted?

I voted for Hawpe, only because of the level of production we’ve received from an untouted 11th round pick. Tulo is easily the best player drafted in the decade (as of right now), but I expect good things from 1st round picks.

by WanderingRoxFan on Feb 6, 2010 9:26 AM MST reply actions  

For me it was between Hawpe and Tulo

Do you go with the best value or best player? Ultimately, I had to go with Tulo. He’s such a rare, irreplaceable player. His type comes around only once a generation. The Rockies were lucky to get him, and I’m sure glad they did.

by controlled_slide on Feb 6, 2010 9:44 AM MST reply actions  

At least for the Rockies,

best value and best player have the same answer in this question.

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by Russ Oates on Feb 6, 2010 9:48 AM MST up reply actions  

I was tossed up between Tulo and Hawpe

and went with Tulo as well.

Hawpe was a great value considering he was an 11th rd pick. And you know, what you said about Tulo :)

Troy Tulowitzki - Best SS in the MLB - 2010 MVP
"With a guy like Melo, it’s tough to stop him with one person. You can’t. I don’t know one guy who can stop Melo on a consistent basis."-CP3
Brad Hawpe - Will prove the doubters wrong

PS Let's win the NL West in 2010, shall we?

by SDcat09 on Feb 6, 2010 10:53 PM MST up reply actions  

Nice thread Mr. Oates

Had to go with Tulo. Sure, Dex was a steal in the 14th round, but I agree with Russ the best draft pick has to be the best player we drafted. Tulo is far and away the best draft pick of the decade, and second best draft pick in franchise history. Toddfather’s career here is unparalleled compared to any other Rockie, but hey, Tulo could surpass Todd in the later years, but certainly not yet.

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2010 1:47 PM MST reply actions  

Mr. Oates is my father.

Y’all can still call me Russ.

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by Russ Oates on Feb 6, 2010 7:21 PM MST up reply actions  

You got it Russell

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2010 7:25 PM MST up reply actions  

There's only one person

who can call me that—and it’s not you.

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by Russ Oates on Feb 6, 2010 7:30 PM MST up reply actions  

I know who it is

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2010 7:32 PM MST up reply actions  

You and anyone from here

who follows my intermittent status updates concerning that subject on Facebook.

NEVER SURRENDER DREAMS

Purple Row - Covering all your Rockies needs!
Diplomatic and Military History Book Review - My other blog where I go all historical on you.

by Russ Oates on Feb 6, 2010 7:34 PM MST up reply actions  

intermittent constant status updates ;-p

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2010 7:43 PM MST up reply actions  

I haven't had one about that in a couple of weeks!

NEVER SURRENDER DREAMS

Purple Row - Covering all your Rockies needs!
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by Russ Oates on Feb 6, 2010 7:54 PM MST up reply actions  

My sympathies

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2010 8:01 PM MST up reply actions  

Maybe I'll have one tomorrow night.

This has gone as far as it should.

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Purple Row - Covering all your Rockies needs!
Diplomatic and Military History Book Review - My other blog where I go all historical on you.

by Russ Oates on Feb 6, 2010 8:05 PM MST up reply actions  

If this article was written in 2000, eliminating 1997-99 instead of 2007-2009

Our notable picks:
1999:
1 – Jason Jennings – P
3 – Josh Bard – C
12 – Craig House – P
28 – Justin Hampson – P
33 – Darren Clarke – P

1998:
1- Choo Freeman – CF
2 – Jody Gerut – OF
5 – Ryan Shealy – 1B
7 – Matt Holliday – 3B
13 – Juan Pierre – OF
42 – Nyjer Morgan – OF
44 – Alfredo Amezaga – IF
(Strangely, thebaseballcube says Pierre is the best pick of this draft)

1997:
2 – Aaron Cook – P
3 – Todd Sears – 1B
4 – Chone Figgins – SS
5 – Justin Miller – P
36 – Alfredo Amezaga – IF

Unfortunately, more than half of those players made their mark at the MLB level with other teams, due either to trade or failure to sign after the draft

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2010 2:22 PM MST reply actions  

None

of the players mentioned, that are still with the Rockies should even be given consideration for this poll. Depending on stats, this poll could change every year, and proves what?

by roxtalk on Feb 6, 2010 2:29 PM MST up reply actions  

Josh Byrnes had some interesting comments on his Pit interview..

Concerning the Harrington draft and how his choice led to drafting Hawpe, Atkins and Barmes in the later rounds.

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by Charlie77 on Feb 6, 2010 6:11 PM MST reply actions  

I certainly didn't read it that way

I don’t think drafting Harrington had anything to do with drafting Hawpe, Atkins and Barmes anymore than drafting Tyler Matzek led to taking Ben Paulsen

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2010 7:33 PM MST up reply actions  

Yeah.

Byrnes seems to be saying that for every Matt Harrington you draft, you can find hidden gems later on to make up for it.

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by Russ Oates on Feb 6, 2010 7:35 PM MST up reply actions  

That was my inference

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2010 7:44 PM MST up reply actions  

Two words

Evan Longoria

Heard a singer on the radio late last night
He says he's gonna kick the darkness
'til it bleeds daylight

by TomCat009 on Feb 9, 2010 12:06 AM MST reply actions  

I agree . . . for the Devil Rays.

"Shall it be peace, or a sword?" - Excised line from Lincoln's First Inaugural Address

Purple Row - Covering all your Rockies needs!
Diplomatic and Military History Book Review - My other blog where I go all historical on you.

by Russ Oates on Feb 9, 2010 6:41 AM MST up reply actions  

OH MAN I WISH WE COULD'VE PICKED THAT GUY

HOW MUCH MORE AWESOME WOULD WE BE NOW OH MY GOD

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by Andrew Martin on Feb 9, 2010 12:24 PM MST up reply actions  

and funny thing, its still a true point.

We would be that much better :)

Troy Tulowitzki - Best SS in the MLB - 2010 MVP
"With a guy like Melo, it’s tough to stop him with one person. You can’t. I don’t know one guy who can stop Melo on a consistent basis."-CP3
Brad Hawpe - Will prove the doubters wrong

PS Let's win the NL West in 2010, shall we?

by SDcat09 on Feb 9, 2010 3:32 PM MST up reply actions  

and it's been beaten into the ground by now

I’m not even trying to defend Reynolds, but

YEAH LINCECUM AND LONGORIA WE GET IT

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by Andrew Martin on Feb 10, 2010 9:20 AM MST up reply actions  

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