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Around SBN: The Amateur Mathematics Of Linsanity

NL West Report: Have We Seen the Last of Russell Nathan Coltrane Jeanson Martin in Dodgertown?

Since becoming the Dodgers' full-time catcher, Russell Martin has started nearly 90% of Los Angeles' games.  Yet the 27-year-old fixture behind the plate may have played his last game as a Dodger last week, something completely inconceivable just three years ago.

At just 24 years old in his first year in the league, Martin was an All-Star, Silver Slugger and Gold Glove winner while posting an .843 OPS in 2007.  He was a top draft choice in fantasy leagues and thought of as a guy to build a franchise around.  So it would be surreal to see a different backstop at Dodger Stadium while Martin plays what should be his prime years elsewhere.

Part one to the story is Martin's steady decline from All-World performance to a below average major league hitter.  While his batted ball profile and walk rate has been almost constant for four seasons, his power has mostly disappeared, with his ISO being cut in half from his huge 2007 season.  That has helped him drop from 3rd in MLB (1st in NL) in wOBA in 2007 to 18th (with 200IP) in 2010.  

Part two is the financial issues facing the Dodgers in light of the McCourt divorce, of course.  Martin's excessive playing time led to his standing as a Super Two player in his third year of arbitration.  That means pay raise from his over $5million salary in 2010, probably between $7-8million.  With Matt Kemp, Jonathan Broxton, Rafael Furcal and Andre Ethier combining for $35million next year and James Loney, Hong-Chih Kuo and Russell Martin looking to increase their collective $10mil salary sizably through arbitration, the Dodgers may have to cut ties with someone somewhere.  Thus, Martin has been bandied about as a potential non-tender or trade candidate.

Russell Martin

#55 / Catcher / Los Angeles Dodgers

 5-10

 230

 R

 R

 Feb 15, 1983

G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG
2010 - Russell Martin 97 331 45 82 13 0 5 26 48 61 6 2 .248 .347 .332

The final aspect of the storm came together this week, as Russell Martin suffered a hip subluxation hip trying to score on a play at the plate.   The injury will necessitate surgery, keeping Martin out the rest of the season and perhaps into next year.

Jon Weisman of ESPNLosAngeles points out how difficult it might be to replace Martin despite his career downslope.   The tone of Sarah Morris' article after Martin's injury seems to suggest Martin may have played his last game in Dodger blue.  

With Brad Ausmus retiring and Martin possibly leaving, the backstop position could see an overhaul in Los Angeles.  A.J. Ellis is the only viable internal candidate, a 29-year-old with a career .200 wOBA in 32 games.  We might see Ned Colletti try to follow Dan O'Dowd's blueprint of hitting the lottery with a veteran catcher in free agency.  

I'll leave you with this commentary from Jon Weisman:

What a sad, unexpected ending that would be. Inside of two years ago, Martin was so important to the Dodgers in my mind that he was the only active player to get a separate chapter in my book - a great catcher, and a great Dodger. Even though he hasn't been the same the past two years, this might be the end of an era, and it shouldn't pass without notice.


Team capsules after the jump.

 

Star-divide

 

NL West Report

Arizona (43-69, 5th, L1, 22 GB)

Last Week: 4-3.  2-2 vs. Nationals.  2-1 vs. Padres.  The Diamondbacks were in position to hand the Padres just their second series sweep of the season and first since May 14-16 against the Dodgers at Petco Park.  But Mat Latos dominated while Joe Saunders failed to reprise the effectiveness from his Arizona debut.

Divisional Change: Gained one game on 1st place San Diego.

This Week: 4 game road series @ Brewers.  3 game road series @ Nationals.  

News:    It turns out Arizona's first round pick didn't just fail his physical.  He outright flunked it at historic levels.  According to Jeff Passan, Barret Loux will not only need surgery to fix a torn shoulder labrum, but there are indications he will need Tommy John surgery as well.  I don't think the D-Backs will want the injuries to Brandon Webb and Jarrod Parker rolled into one arm.  Yikes.

Nick Piecoro discusses the tough-sign draft picks this year that the club can allocate Loux's reported $2million bonus to.  For the main SBNation site, Jim McLennan asks the question in all of this:  Who is the bigger victim - Loux or the Diamondbacks?

Dan Hudson

#41 / Pitcher / Arizona Diamondbacks

6-3

225

R

R

Mar 09, 1987

W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - Dan Hudson 2-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 15.2 6 2 2 1 3 8 1.15 .57

Daniel Hudson followed up his dominant Arizona debut with another fantastic start last week.  Certainly, the D-Backs are having trouble missing Edwin Jackson, but if Hudson continues to pitch this well, he could make the fans feel fine about missing that other Dan.

Brandon Webb has officially given up on returning as a starter this year.  If we see Webb in sedona red, it will be as a reliever.

As long suspected, LHP Tyler Skaggs was officially the PTBNL in the Dan Haren trade.

AZSnakePit posted their rankings of most hated teams, as voted on by the community.  The Rockies are the least hated of the division rivals, while the Rays and Reds are the community's favorite AL and NL teams outside of Arizona.

The Diamondbacks retired Luis Gonzalez' #20 jersey last week, beating the Rockies to the punch of retiring a number.  Interesting fact:  the only Dback other than Gonzo to wear the two-oh was Jeff Suppan.

Diamondbacks' president and CEO Derrick Hall answers questions from fans in his monthly web chat.  This would certainly be an excellent feature for Dan O'Dowd to consider.

Transactions:  Activated OF Ryan Church, optioned IF Tony Abreu to AAA Reno and called up RHP Rafael Rodriguez.

Injuries:  Reliever Juan Gutierrez was placed on the 15-day DL with shoulder inflammation last Tuesday.  He will be out 2-3 weeks.  Brandon Webb still has no timetable for his return.

Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

15-Day

Player Injury Type Injury Date
Juan Gutierrez shoulder 08/03/2010

60 Day DL / Out for the season

Player Injury Type Injury Date
Brandon Webb shoulder 03/26/2010
Kris Benson shoulder 04/29/2010
Leo Rosales foot 04/29/2010
Star-divide

Los Angeles (58-54, 4th, W2, 7.0 GB, 5.0 GB WC)

Last Week:  4-3.  2-2 vs. Padres.  2-1 vs. Nationals.  

Divisional Change:  Gained one game on first-place San Diego.  Gained 1.5 games in the Wild Card.

This Week:  3 game road series @ Phillies.  4 games road series @ Braves.

News MLBTR had a poll asking whether the Dodgers were still legitimately in the playoff race.  40% of respondents believe Los Angeles still has a shot.  That would seem to suggest 40% of voters would advocate waiver trades, which the Dodgers are exploring.  Paul Maholm please?

Adam Dunn

#44 / First Base / Washington Nationals

6-6

285

L

R

Nov 09, 1979

G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG
2010 - Adam Dunn 111 401 65 110 28 2 30 77 50 138 0 0 .274 .362 .579

The Dodgers did put a claim in on Adam Dunn, which would be interesting.  Eric Stephen at TrueBlueLA asks:  Does Dunn Don Done Dodgers Duds?

Andre Ethier played at first base last week.

Scott Podsednik needs 41 PA to void a $2mil club option for 2011.

Ned Colletti claims he never made a call to trade Manny Ramirez, and he only talked to one team (the White Sox) on a possible Manny deal.  It supposedly was not a "real offer."

Check out Eric Stephen's always excellent Week in Review if you're feeling blue.

Transactions:  Optioned RHP Travis Schlichting to AAA Albuquerque.  Activated and recalled RHP Ramon Troncoso.  Optioned OF Xavier Paul and recalled C A.J. Ellis.  LHP Jack Taschner filed for free agency.  Designated OF Garrett Anderson for assignment and purchased the contract of OF Jay Gibbons.  Steve Dilbeck wonders why it took so long, and Gibbons is excited for the opportunity.

Injuries:  Activated OF Reed Johnson from the 15-day DL.  Rafael Furcal is day-to-day with a sore back.  He should be fine to return tomorrow.  Russell Martin tore a labrum in his right hip.  That sounds PAINFUL.  He will require surgery and will be out until at least Spring Training next year, potentially throwing a wrench in Ned Colletti's budget-slashing plans this offseason.  Manny Ramirez returned to baseball activities Friday and could return in 2-3 weeks, while Jeff Weaver was placed on the 15-day DL last Tuesday with left knee tendinitis.

Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

Questionable

Player Injury Type Injury Date
Rafael Furcal lower-back 08/08/2010

15-Day

Player Injury Type Injury Date
Manny Ramirez calf 07/17/2010
Russell Martin shoulder 08/04/2010
Jeff Weaver knee 08/03/2010

Star-divide

San Diego (64-46, 1st, W1)

Last Week: 3-4.  2-2 @ Dodgers. 1-2 @ Diamondbacks.

Divisional Change:  Despite their subpar week, the Padres extended their division lead by 0.5 games to two full games.  The Rockies are in third, 6.5 games behind.

This Week:  3 game home series vs. Pirates.  3 game road series @ Giants.

News:  Chris Denorfia hit an "inside-the-park" home run that bounced about eight feet from home plate.  It was the third inside-the-park home run by the Padres this year.  It has just been that kind of year.

Chris Denorfia

#13 / Center Field / San Diego Padres

6-0

205

R

R

Jul 15, 1980

Ryan Ludwick was the big get at the trading deadline, but Ludwick has struggled considerably in the first eight games in a Padre uniform.

G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG
2010 - Ryan Ludwick 8 28 4 5 1 0 0 2 3 7 0 0 .179 .250 .214

According to Jayson Stark, the Padres initially attempted to acquire Jake Westbrook for themselves.

Paul DePodesta talks about the Padres' deadline acquisitions in his blog, adding that he believes Wynn Pelzer and Corey Kluber could pitch in the big leagues next season.  Ken Rosenthal examines the trade in depth, pointing out that the Padres repeatedly pursued Ludwick after backing off Westbrook.  Their early pursuits of Westbrook likely paid off in setting up a three-way deal, given Cleveland ended up receiving Padres' prospect Corey Kluber for Westbrook.

Speaking of DePodesta, he is being played by Jonah Hill in the movie version of Moneyball.  The casting choice is hilarious given their respective physical appearances, but DePodesta found that of "little significance."   Instead, he found the character portayed "was inaccurate and (he was) unable to convince the filmmakers to alter the depiction, DePodesta requested his name be removed from the character."

Everth Cabrera got his first MLB start at second base last week.

Transactions:  Signed RHP Mike Koplove and assigned him to AAA Portland.   Optioned RHP Ryan Webb to AAA Portland.

Injuries:  Activated RHP Mike Adams from the 15-day DL.  Chris Young threw a successful bullpen session on Saturday and could return in September, just in time for Dexter Fowler to steal seven bases off of him.  

San Diego Padres Injuries

15-Day

Player Injury Type Injury Date
David Eckstein calf 07/21/2010
Oscar Salazar achilles-tendon 07/30/2010
Kyle Blanks elbow 05/18/2010

60 Day DL / Out for the season

Player Injury Type Injury Date
Chris Young shoulder 04/07/2010

Star-divide

San Francisco (63-49, 2nd, L2, 2.0 GB Div, Lead WC by 0.5 Gm)

Last Week: 2-4. 1-1 @ Rockies.  1-3 @ Braves.  I'm thrilled with the Giants dropping three of four in Atlanta, though it's hard not to have wanted more.  After all, they "came back" without virtue of a hit in the one game they won.

Divisional Change: Lost 0.5 games to San Diego.  Wild card lead has shrunk to 0.5 games.  Philadelphia and St. Louis are within one game..

This Week:  4 game home series vs. Cubs.  3 game home series vs. Padres.

News:  Jonathan Sanchez is pretty confident:

"We're going to play San Diego, and we're going to beat them three times. If we're going to be in first place, we're not going to look back..."

The fact that the Giants lost three of four to the Braves while scoring just eight runs didn't deter Sanchez, who added, "We are definitely going to make the playoffs."

Of course, Sanchez only has so much control playing every fifth day.

Jonathan Sanchez

#57 / Pitcher / San Francisco Giants

6-2

190

L

L

Nov 19, 1982

W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2010 - Jonathan Sanchez 8-7 24 23 0 0 0 0 132.0 106 58 52 15 68 140 3.55 1.32
According to Andrew Baggarly, the Giants are thinking seriously of adding Jose Guillen.  I hope they do.
Robert Weintraub of ESPN recants in great detail the Race of 1994, where the Giants fought the Braves until the end for the NL West championship.
The Giants open their 2011 season in Taiwan.  The San Francisco Chronicle's John Shea has player reactions to the trip overseas.

Transactions:   DFAed RHP Denny Bautista and optioned IF Ryan Rohlinger to AAA Fresno.  Activated RHP Ramon Ramirez.

Injuries:  Dan Runzler threw a simulated game on Saturday.  Activated RHP Todd Wellemeyer from the 15-day DL.  

San Francisco Giants Injuries

15-Day

Player Injury Type Injury Date
Dan Runzler knee 07/09/2010
Jeremy Affeldt oblique 07/21/2010
Eugenio Velez concussion 07/25/2010

60 Day DL / Out for the season

Player Injury Type Injury Date
Mark DeRosa wrist 05/09/2010

Comment 36 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Jay Gibbons, eh

He used to be super awesome with Baltimore, good to hear that he’s back in bigs (despite it being the Dodgers)

Yes, I actually do like cricket. I'm Indian.
Hollidayrain Music

by Hollidayrain on Aug 9, 2010 12:06 PM MDT reply actions  

He was also super on the roids...one of the featured players in the Mitchell Report.

Watching the purple row from high atop the big brown monolith on California Ave

by Mondogarage on Aug 9, 2010 1:41 PM MDT up reply actions  

That is the great embarrassment of Jay Gibbons' career.

Dude did ’roids, yet still only produced more than 2 WARP once in his career.

Mr. Science Boy

by DbacksSkins on Aug 9, 2010 2:26 PM MDT up reply actions  

He doing it wrong, you don't pour them into your protien shakes.

Watching the purple row from high atop the big brown monolith on California Ave

by Mondogarage on Aug 9, 2010 5:40 PM MDT up reply actions  

We finally have the Dodgers behind us for a while!

Sarah Morris said: “Over the course of Martin’s time in the Majors, the Dodgers have compiled a winning record when he’s been behind the plate, but the Dodgers are thirty games below .500 in games in which Martin has rested.” The early Rox had a similar split with/without Joe Girardi.

Now to get ahead of the two Sans.

by DenverGregg on Aug 9, 2010 12:42 PM MDT reply actions  

Funny

A dodgerfan and I had a long debate right before 2009 spring training about who would flinch in a Martin/Iannetta trade discussion. Seems like CDI might win now, if only for economics. Stars fall…

by Teekalong on Aug 9, 2010 1:39 PM MDT reply actions  

If Ianetta doesn't improve his hitting overall...

 we may wind up continuing this discussion. Yeah I like his power too; but a used up Jorge Posada is still out performing him IMHO.

"Why are they outlawin' the spit pitch? The curveball is a cheap 'n easy pitch; the spitter aint" Ty Cobb
"When I was pitching 90's in the seventies; I never thought I'd be pitching 70's in the nineties!" Frank Tanana

by Oldfoagie on Aug 9, 2010 1:48 PM MDT up reply actions  

Don't think this was noted a week or so ago,

but former Rockie farmhand Everth Cabrera got a faceful of Mark Reynolds 2 weeks ago.

Slid into 3rd, was tagged out, kicked Mark, Mark shoved him, Cabera got up and elbowed Mark, who punched him in the face and walked towards him as Cabrera ran away and hid behind the rest of his team when the benches cleared.

Cabrera ended up getting ejected.

Mr. Science Boy

by DbacksSkins on Aug 9, 2010 2:31 PM MDT reply actions  

Evereth

was acting bigger than he is? That’s funny. Thanks for the info DBS.

The only difference between love and baseball is a "G."
JFK

by jrockies on Aug 9, 2010 3:02 PM MDT up reply actions  

At Snakepitfest saturday night,

everytime he came to bat, we chanted, “RUN AWAY! RUN AWAY!!”

Mr. Science Boy

by DbacksSkins on Aug 9, 2010 9:09 PM MDT up reply actions  

awesome

With those who don't give a damn about baseball, I can only sympathize. I do not resent them. I am even willing to concede that many of them are physically clean, good to their mothers and in favor of world peace. But while the game is on, I can't think of anything to say to them. ~Art Hill
JFK

by jrockies on Aug 9, 2010 10:37 PM MDT up reply actions  

thats funny

I knew he was ejected from a game, but I didn’t really look into why. I’m pretty sure I know who your favorite Snake is

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Aug 9, 2010 3:46 PM MDT via mobile up reply actions  

Pretty much.

We just finished “Mark Week” at the Snakepit.

Mr. Science Boy

by DbacksSkins on Aug 9, 2010 10:03 PM MDT up reply actions  

Hahaha

Watching the purple row from high atop the big brown monolith on California Ave

by Mondogarage on Aug 10, 2010 7:20 AM MDT up reply actions  

the replay i saw

was much less definitive. it started with reynolds rolling over cabrera during/after the tag, then there were some shenanigans.

It was weird that reynolds didn’t get thrown out too, given that he threw a punch. and at a tiny young boy, too.

by hbar on Aug 9, 2010 5:51 PM MDT up reply actions  

Well, yeah, in a scrum like that

it’s not usually so cut-and-dry to describe the gestures involved.

We were relieved Mark didn’t get thrown out, presumably because Cabrera started it unprovoked.

Mr. Science Boy

by DbacksSkins on Aug 9, 2010 10:02 PM MDT up reply actions  

Not that

we won the game. :-\

Mr. Science Boy

by DbacksSkins on Aug 10, 2010 12:43 AM MDT up reply actions  

The Dodgers did put a claim in on Adam Dunn

I don’t believe you have a credible source saying that the Dodgers did in fact claim Dunn. The link you posted is of an article that explains how the Dodgers could use Dunn if in fact they did claim him, but never says that they in fact did. I hope he stays where he is so he can go to the Red Sox or Yankees next year. Either way, get him out of the NL and on an AL team where he can DH.

Suspend disbelief, open your eyes and see the world as new.

Xbox gamertag: DippedOChronic1

by OC3O on Aug 9, 2010 4:17 PM MDT reply actions  

There are several sources out there that indicate that the Dodgers did in fact put in a claim on Dunn

I can’t get to all of them since I am currently mobile, but one is the next link after the LA Times link in this article. There, Eric Stephen quotes Henry Schulman as saying the Dodgers may have even had the winning claim over the Giants and Rockies, who also placed a claim on Dunn. Of course, none of it matters, as the Nationals are sure to pull Dunn off waivers unless they are completely blown away with a trade offer.

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Aug 9, 2010 4:39 PM MDT via mobile up reply actions  

End of an era????

What a sad, unexpected ending that would be. Inside of two years ago, Martin was so important to the Dodgers in my mind that he was the only active player to get a separate chapter in my book – a great catcher, and a great Dodger. Even though he hasn’t been the same the past two years, this might be the end of an era, and it shouldn’t pass without notice.
 
Not sure about the rest of y’all but to me an era should last more than 3 years.

Baseball statistics are like a girl in a bikini. They show a lot, but not everything. ~Toby Harrah, 1983

by pedalpusher on Aug 9, 2010 4:24 PM MDT reply actions  

but Martin started, like 14 years worth of games in those 4 years

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Aug 9, 2010 4:40 PM MDT via mobile up reply actions  

That's what happens when you over use a catcher. It's a miricle that Pudge Rodriguez lasted so long.

 Btw IS Pudge HOF?

"Why are they outlawin' the spit pitch? The curveball is a cheap 'n easy pitch; the spitter aint" Ty Cobb
"When I was pitching 90's in the seventies; I never thought I'd be pitching 70's in the nineties!" Frank Tanana

by Oldfoagie on Aug 9, 2010 9:21 PM MDT up reply actions  

with out a doubt

With those who don't give a damn about baseball, I can only sympathize. I do not resent them. I am even willing to concede that many of them are physically clean, good to their mothers and in favor of world peace. But while the game is on, I can't think of anything to say to them. ~Art Hill
JFK

by jrockies on Aug 9, 2010 10:38 PM MDT up reply actions  

I think the only place I've seen him linked to roids was in Cansaco's book

That’s not enough evidence for me. If it does come out that he guilty though then I don’t want him the Hall.

If the 2007 Rockies can win 21 out of 22 to reach the World Series and the 2009 Rockies can come from 12 games under .500 in June to make the playoffs, why can't the 2010 Rockies make the postseason after being 51-50?

Yankee Haters Encouragement Group Member #1

by RhodeIslandRoxfan on Aug 10, 2010 8:42 AM MDT up reply actions  

Well his offensive numbers are not that great

Pudge only has a .335 career OBP and a 107 career OPS+. Offensively Puge was just mediocre at getting on base and while he did have some pop in his bat, he only more than 20 home runs four times in his career while playing in one of the most offensively dominant eras in major league history.

Now I give him a huge pass here because he was a catcher and I value any offensive production at positions like catcher an shortstop consideribly more than I do from let’s say a 1B. When you combine this with his truly remarkable defense then yes I think he’s a HOF but I don’t think it’s as much of a slam dunk as most people make it out to be.

If the 2007 Rockies can win 21 out of 22 to reach the World Series and the 2009 Rockies can come from 12 games under .500 in June to make the playoffs, why can't the 2010 Rockies make the postseason after being 51-50?

Yankee Haters Encouragement Group Member #1

by RhodeIslandRoxfan on Aug 10, 2010 8:40 AM MDT up reply actions  

Just checked the Rockies ESPN stats page

For every team, they put a picture of the team leader in each of the following, categories: Batting average (must be qualified), homers, RBI, OBP (must be qualified) and Hits

Yes, I actually do like cricket. I'm Indian.
Hollidayrain Music

by Hollidayrain on Aug 10, 2010 1:27 AM MDT reply actions  

This is funny.

And he looks so happy…

This is R year!

by prettyinpurple on Aug 10, 2010 1:40 AM MDT via mobile up reply actions  

Cargo is our OBP leader?

That’s a slightly depressing surprise…

by biondino on Aug 10, 2010 4:32 AM MDT up reply actions  

Tulo, Giambi and Mora are ahead of him, though none of the three qualify

Fowler, believe it or not, is right behind Gonzalez at .354

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Aug 10, 2010 7:52 AM MDT up reply actions  

if he would walk more...

With those who don't give a damn about baseball, I can only sympathize. I do not resent them. I am even willing to concede that many of them are physically clean, good to their mothers and in favor of world peace. But while the game is on, I can't think of anything to say to them. ~Art Hill
JFK

by jrockies on Aug 10, 2010 8:55 AM MDT up reply actions  

he would homer less?

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Aug 10, 2010 9:31 AM MDT up reply actions  

it's quite possible

With those who don't give a damn about baseball, I can only sympathize. I do not resent them. I am even willing to concede that many of them are physically clean, good to their mothers and in favor of world peace. But while the game is on, I can't think of anything to say to them. ~Art Hill
JFK

by jrockies on Aug 10, 2010 10:11 AM MDT up reply actions  

MArtin

deal him…..he isn’t worth the $5 million he made this year nor the raise he will get next year.

John Buck from Toronto is available now that Arencibia is up. And Ivan Rodriguez could be available with the NAts dealing for Wilson Ramos…..

raygu
www.faketeams.com
www.sbnation.com

by Ray Guilfoyle on Aug 10, 2010 10:27 AM MDT reply actions  

Fun fact -

Martin has a higher WAR this season than both Buck and Pudge.

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Aug 10, 2010 9:14 PM MDT up reply actions  

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