For obvious reasons, there's been quite a bit of debate around the Row about Ian Stewart's role on the team (or lack thereof) in 2012. Some people seem to have strong opinions, and a lot of people (like me) really don't know what to think about him at this point. I would to get some input to see whereabouts the median opinion about Ian Stewart lies. So, just for fun, lets just say he performs well in spring training, appearing fully healthy and in shape, and is given the starting job out of the gate. Although Tracy can't help but play platoon by starting Pacheco at third sometimes, Ian is generally getting the regular playing time. Meanwhile, Arenado starts in Tulsa, and is doing very well. Not tearing it up like he did in the AFL, but still OPS'ing almost .900, with continued solid defense. It is the end of May, and pressure is mounting to bring up Arenado, and Stewart has definitely had time to audition.
What is your best guess as to the probability he will end up in the following four hypothetical bins (WAR equivalents given as approximations only) :
1) Terribad (negative to 1 WAR over a whole season equivalent) - Ian, for whatever reason, has simply lost it. He can't adjust to those down and away pitches, and strikes out an obscene about of the time. He can't get on base by hit or walk, and although he may (or may not) be playing solid defense, he is contributing little else to the team.
2) Starting Quality ( 1 to 2.5 WAR equivalent) - He may not be playing like we want him to play, but he hasn't been a hole in the lineup.Yes, he strikes out a bit too much and doesn't draw to many walks, but he has played good defense, is able to put the bat on the ball against non-top tier pitchers, and adds enough pop now and then to add a little bit of actual value.
3) Run Producer (2.5 to 4 WAR equivalent) - Ian finally has used that sweet swing of his to spread hard hit balls around the outfield, creating plenty of doubles and homers. While still not the best batter in the league by a long shot, and probably not the best third basemen, he helps build a fearsome bottom half of the order for the ROX and has plenty of opportunity to drive in members from the heart of the order in
4) The Ian Stewart of our Dreams ( above 4 WAR equivalent) That monster power we know he has finally manifests is the big Leagues, and he hits almost or over 40 home runs and is (one of) the offensive star(s) of the Rockies.
Ready, Go! I appreciate your input, RowBots