Wednesday Rockpile: Colorado's Salary Arbitration Scorecard
With Ian Stewart in the fold on a one year, $2.2875 million deal, Colorado's offseason as far as the 2011 payroll goes is basically over. All that remains is for us to find out how much the pre-arbitration guys like Dexter Fowler are receiving (the minimum in 2011 is $420,000. Well, that and we need to find out who will make the Opening Day roster, but that's getting a little ahead of ourselves.
One of the more important details of any team's offseason is the often unpleasant task of dealing with its arbitration eligible players. I've written about the perils of salary arbitration before, but as I wrote two weeks ago, the Rockies seemed to have done quite well for themselves this offseason.
Here's the pay raises the Rockies handed out to their six arbitration-eligible players this offseason:
|
Player Name |
ML Service Time |
2010 Salary |
2011 Salary |
Diff. from 2010 |
|
3.153 |
$1,900,000 |
$3,000,000 |
58% |
|
|
5.02 |
$850,000 |
$2,350,000 |
176% |
|
|
5.14 |
$3,000,000 |
$3,600,000 |
20% |
|
|
4 |
$1,625,000 |
$2,800,000 |
72% |
|
|
2.163 |
$415,000 |
$790,000 |
90% |
|
|
Ian Stewart |
2.154 |
$406,000 |
$2,287,500 |
463% |
|
Total |
|
$8,196,000 |
$14,827,500 |
81% |
Considering that the salary arbitration process artificially inflates salaries, much as the first three years of team control artificially deflates salaries, the Rockies still make out pretty well here -- about as well as they can in this awful system, anyway.
Getting on my soapbox for a minute: it should be noted the inflation of salaries due to the arbitration process far outstrips the actual rate of inflation--it's an unsustainable economic model in which reform (perhaps a free market system or pegging to the rate of inflation) is needed. I mean, in the salary arbitration process, even when the player loses the hearing, causes salaries to rise quickly at an exorbitant rate. Those costs get passed onto someone, and that someone is you and I, the consumers.
A couple of years ago I calculated that if all wins were theoretically available in a free market, players would be valued at $2.7 million per win instead of the going rate of $4 million at the time. I think that a move towards a free market system (say, reducing years under team control to three and doing away with arbitration altogether) in which such inefficiencies were to be reduced would ultimately be beneficial to teams in the long run, though in the short run it would favor those teams with the means to spend on the free market. It's my own little pipe dream.
But I digress. $14.83 million for two starting position players, three bullpen pieces, and a back-end starting pitcher is a pretty good deal for the Rockies -- even if as a group the players are getting paid almost double what they received last year.
PuRPs Update
Not sure if you saw this, but PuRP #28 Samuel Deduno is no longer with the organization, as the Padres have claimed him off of waivers. Deduno had been placed on waivers because the Rockies replaced him on the 40 man roster with newly acquired pitcher Clayton Mortenson -- meaning that the Rockies essentially traded Ethan Hollingsworth and Deduno for the services of Mortenson. I hope that he's worth it.
Speaking of PuRPs, Mike Newman of Scouting the Sally has a scouting report on our #26 PuRP, OF Eliezer Mesa. Also, as Andrew linked yesterday, Fangraphs released their top 10 Rockies prospects list. In all, I believe that it's a decent look at the top prospects in the system.
In other news, Steve Foster of ITR continues his offseason review series with a look at starting pitching, which seems pretty set heading into Spring Training (a mere two weeks away!).
Finally, in case you missed it, Rob Neyer, formerly of ESPN, has joined the SB Nation family. Russ comments on Neyer's first article over at SB Nation Denver.
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Deduno what role he will play on the Padres staff?
(sorry, last one)
two Icehouse 24 oz beers = $3.20 two "fancy" Bud Light 24 oz beers = $5.00
NOW who comes out on top?
by frightened inmate #2 on Feb 2, 2011 8:18 AM MST reply actions
Unless I'm mistaken,
and I could be. They could still put him in AAA he just has to be on their 40 man roster.
by Chacinisthefuture on Feb 2, 2011 8:52 AM MST up reply actions
Yes. Deduno has one option year left, so they can put him down there.
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by Greg Stanwood on Feb 2, 2011 8:58 AM MST up reply actions
I'm a film major
so I could be 100% wrong, but Hammel’s %age number in the table above seems off, cause according to the table his salary is increasing this offseason.
Unless I’m missing something?
by oo_nrb on Feb 2, 2011 8:57 AM MST via mobile reply actions
It's not 58% OF his 2010 salary, but a 58% increase
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"The highest form of human excellence is to question oneself and others." - Socrates
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by Greg Stanwood on Feb 2, 2011 9:01 AM MST up reply actions
forgot to flip my ballpark calendar yesterday. This month is Wrigley Field. Notable February birthdays:
Hank Aaron (5)
Babe Ruth (6)
Vlad Guerrero (9)
Sparky Anderson (22)
two Icehouse 24 oz beers = $3.20 two "fancy" Bud Light 24 oz beers = $5.00
NOW who comes out on top?
by frightened inmate #2 on Feb 2, 2011 9:05 AM MST reply actions
I like the idea of ditching arbitration all together
It seems like it would open up so many more opportunities for players and teams as well as the make all of MLB generally more competitive.
No, it would make free agency more competitive...
…between Boston, LA, New York, Philly, and Chicago.
Just an average guy with exceptional hair. Nothing more, nothing less.
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by Bryan Kilpatrick on Feb 2, 2011 10:10 AM MST up reply actions
Those five can't sign everybody, though...
…they might wind up in position to get all the apparent best players, but the diamonds in the rough below tier-I talent will be less expensive for everyone else.
I think, though, that the real key is, if we’re going to go directly from team control to free agency, there has to be an additional year of dues for the player to put in first at least. What does everyone say to 4 years with no choices, THEN unrestricted free agency for everyone?
...or those eight, even...
…although somehow I don’t think you can really count the Mets or the WSox as threats to abuse their power if they had that system
He's very, very good.
Who knew that Muzia’s love is like a rock tied to your feet, dragging you to the bottom of the ocean?
Some days, I feel like I’ve accidentally entered the Church of Tulowitzki on Baseball Easter.
Do good, Galiardi. Seriously.
SB Nation Denver
i remember when i wanted to trade Aberle for him and you didn't.
two Icehouse 24 oz beers = $3.20 two "fancy" Bud Light 24 oz beers = $5.00
NOW who comes out on top?
by frightened inmate #2 on Feb 2, 2011 11:04 AM MST up reply actions
does this mean I have to wear a Tulo jersey now?
Who knew that Muzia’s love is like a rock tied to your feet, dragging you to the bottom of the ocean?
Some days, I feel like I’ve accidentally entered the Church of Tulowitzki on Baseball Easter.
Do good, Galiardi. Seriously.
SB Nation Denver
I may have a gambling problem.
Who knew that Muzia’s love is like a rock tied to your feet, dragging you to the bottom of the ocean?
Some days, I feel like I’ve accidentally entered the Church of Tulowitzki on Baseball Easter.
Do good, Galiardi. Seriously.
SB Nation Denver
What's your view on Stupor Bowl prop bets?
Is it ApRil yet?
Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports
Super huh?
Who knew that Muzia’s love is like a rock tied to your feet, dragging you to the bottom of the ocean?
Some days, I feel like I’ve accidentally entered the Church of Tulowitzki on Baseball Easter.
Do good, Galiardi. Seriously.
SB Nation Denver
you have to buy a broncos jersey and personalize it to be #2, Galiardi.
two Icehouse 24 oz beers = $3.20 two "fancy" Bud Light 24 oz beers = $5.00
NOW who comes out on top?
by frightened inmate #2 on Feb 2, 2011 11:17 AM MST up reply actions
uh...
et tu Brute?
The writer formerly known as Jabberwocky
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by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 2, 2011 11:01 AM MST via mobile up reply actions
I actually enjoyed that. Enjoyed their comment section, too. Those dudes seem pretty chill over there.
"You spend a good piece of your life gripping a baseball and in the end it turns out that it was the other way around the whole time." - Jim Bouton
You know how I can tell they're chill over there?
I’m not banned there.
LOL
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TBLA's not bad
unless you inadvertently start another Colorado v California slapfight.
by Andrew Martin on Feb 2, 2011 11:21 AM MST up reply actions
I would never start that
However, I wouldn’t mind if many of the 90s California refugees decided to go back. The driving here would be improved.
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I didn't say "all"
And I’m pretty sure you’re young enough that it was your parents who emigrated from City State by falling into the Sea and not you?
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Colorado > California
Its a known fact.
People ask me what I do during the winter when there is no baseball. I tell you what I do, I stare out the window and wait for spring.
by The Lodo Magic Man on Feb 2, 2011 1:04 PM MST via mobile up reply actions
Colorado can't beat this weather in SoCal right now ;)
I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P
by CentralCaliRox on Feb 2, 2011 1:13 PM MST via mobile up reply actions
Whenever I think of the whole CA vs. CO thing....
my mind goes immediately back to the fact that through much of the 90s, something like 5,000 people were moving from California to Colorado. Per week.
It’s never been the other way around, except for maybe the gold rush 150 years ago….
Is it ApRil yet?
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Yeah, but wouldn't they prospectors just go from strike to strike?
Or was the CO rush after the CA rush, I forget…
Either way, sure looks like the big wave of immigration was one way, in recent years.
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Colorado gold rush starts in 1859
A decade after the famous ’49ers rushed California.
Ignorance of the American League is a sign of good moral character.
I used to be normal until I met these losers I now call my friends.
"Cheap tacos are rightous!"-My Daughter
Hahah...so even then, the immigration was from left to right
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Working in law you should know better than to exaggerate that much
5,000 per week… come on. So if I take “much” to mean seven years then in the nineties then that would be an influx of 1,820,000 Californians into Colorado. In case you were wondering from 1990 to 1998 Colorado had a net migration of 368,000 (all states included). So did a lot of people leave?
UZR can suck it!!
"Don't be pushed by your problems. Be led by your dreams."
Not exaggerating, may be misremembering. May have been 5,000 per month
But I have specific recollection of the news stories which discussed the flowing tide of Californians to Colorado over that time.
Here’s an article that discusses the political implications of what took place
“We began to see it in 1996 with the presidential and House elections, but it was dramatic in 1998,” says Sherry Bebitch Jeffe, political analyst with the Center of Politics and Policy in Claremont, Calif. “The Reagan Democrats are leaving the state, moving to Colorado, Arizona, and they’re being replaced by the new immigrants: Latinos who are turned off by what they see as the GOP’s anti-immigration, antiminority policies.”
It doesn’t go into # specifics, because it’s not that kind of article.
http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m1571/is_14_15/ai_54442605/
However, there was certainly a noticeable trend specifically of people moving from California to Colorado, that was not at all notable in the other direction. I’ll try to find a couple more articles.
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I personally know a lot of midwesterners who moved to Colorado
Here is what I found at city-data
Place of birth for U.S.-born residents: (Denver)
This state: 222,531
Northeast: 33,351
Midwest: 89,984
South: 56,085
West: 50,167
Population: 554,636, 17.4% foreign born.
UZR can suck it!!
"Don't be pushed by your problems. Be led by your dreams."
city-data won't tell you...
how many people were born in one state…fled to California looking for their rainbow, then gave up and moved to Colorado.
Is it ApRil yet?
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Anecdotal, but....
A losing streak that long hasn’t happened in California since the recession of the early 1990s, when departures outstripped arrivals from other states by 362,000 in 1994 alone.
- http://www.denverpost.com/breakingnews/ci_11437650
“Don’t Californicate Us!
. – ”http://www.themountainmail.com/main.asp?SectionID=6&SubSectionID=6&ArticleID=20874" target="_blank">http://www.themountainmail.com/main.asp?SectionID=6&SubSectionID=6&ArticleID=20874
That message appeared on billboards around Colorado in the early 1990s because so many Californians were moving to Colorado
And perhaps most salient of all:
Yet the addition of more than 100,000 Californians played only a secondary role in the suburban explosion of the 1990s that prompted Colorado residents to rank growth as the state’s No. 1 problem.
To study how Colorado’s population spread during the decade, The Post analyzed Internal Revenue Service migration data from 1990 to 1997. Derived from income tax returns, the data can be used to trace the yearly movement of people from county to county within the United States.
The numbers show that California certainly contributed to Colorado’s overall growth. Of the four counties that sent the most newcomers to the state, three are in Southern California. California contributed far more people than any other state, helping to push up housing costs – one factor that drove some Colorado residents into the suburbs and the countryside.
- http://extras.denverpost.com/news/gro0207a.htm
That’s an average of 10,000 a year. Or, roughly, 8,250 per month. Or, roughly 200 per week. And that’s not accounting for the point that this phenomenon didn’t really get going until a couple years into the decade.
Is it ApRil yet?
Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports
Sorry for OT in Rockpile
To quote your last paragraph, 200 per week or 10,000 per year seems reasonable. If you want to continue in OT we can.
UZR can suck it!!
"Don't be pushed by your problems. Be led by your dreams."
Ya, didn't even notice this was RP for a while, lol
But anyway, I think we’ve got it sorted
Is it ApRil yet?
Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports
I'd love to live in Denver
More than LA. But that’s because I’m a Rockies fan, and I love the cold weather and snow. So I’m not going to deny that CO > CA, but I’m just saying California has better weather right NOW. That’s it. I could care less about migration and stuff.
I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P
by CentralCaliRox on Feb 2, 2011 5:10 PM MST up reply actions
And I realize I kind of contradicted myself with the weather thing..
I mean, most people would prefer this 68 degree, blue skies day to the temps in Denver.
I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P
by CentralCaliRox on Feb 2, 2011 5:13 PM MST up reply actions
Well, maybe to *today's* temps in Denver
I’m pretty sure the weather in Siberia is preferable today.
Is it ApRil yet?
Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports
by Mondogarage on Feb 2, 2011 5:23 PM MST up reply actions 1 recs
It was freezing today
but the sky was a blue as ever. Perfect winter/non-baseball weather.
You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the goddamn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all. ~Earl Weaver
Baseball fans love numbers. They love to swirl them around their mouths like Bordeaux wine. ~Pat Conroy
JFK
Hard to navigate
Is it ApRil yet?
Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports
seriously, they have the self deprecating humor over there I wish we had sometimes
But then again, when the biggest offseason mistake in my eyes was overpaying a utility guy, it’s kind of hard to REALLY get down on the organization.
by Andrew Martin on Feb 2, 2011 11:43 AM MST up reply actions
hey, remember 2008?
that was fun.
Who knew that Muzia’s love is like a rock tied to your feet, dragging you to the bottom of the ocean?
Some days, I feel like I’ve accidentally entered the Church of Tulowitzki on Baseball Easter.
Do good, Galiardi. Seriously.
SB Nation Denver
The last two weeks of last season were pretty bitchin'
Just an average guy with exceptional hair. Nothing more, nothing less.
Bear Naked - My thoughts on sports, music, and life.
by Bryan Kilpatrick on Feb 2, 2011 1:48 PM MST up reply actions
we need laurels that are
better than getting swept in the 2007 WS… then we’ll be able to poke fun at ourselves…
"These are thin mints. I put them in the freezer. My favorites. So good."
--Reds outfielder Adam Dunn, on the girl scout cookies he keeps in his locker
That was a very good write-up.
I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P
by CentralCaliRox on Feb 2, 2011 11:28 AM MST up reply actions
I ran over the numbers Jeff, but I'm still confused
how did the cops know that internal affairs was setting them up?
"These are thin mints. I put them in the freezer. My favorites. So good."
--Reds outfielder Adam Dunn, on the girl scout cookies he keeps in his locker
They could just see it in their eyes. IA had to be using PEDs because they looked like they were that kind of person.
The writer formerly known as Jabberwocky
READ and LEARN about the business of baseball at Purple Row Academy
Eschew Obfuscation!
Thank you Jeffrey
I am forever indebted to you for this clarification.
"These are thin mints. I put them in the freezer. My favorites. So good."
--Reds outfielder Adam Dunn, on the girl scout cookies he keeps in his locker
And if the question is, "Woody Paige unfairly targeted"?
A.: No.
B.: Hell no.
C.: Absolutely not.
D.: Lemme think about it….no.
Is it ApRil yet?
Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports
Its not working for me
Its giving me error messages for whatever I put in
...

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I can't do this on mobile, just wait til I get home
People ask me what I do during the winter when there is no baseball. I tell you what I do, I stare out the window and wait for spring.
by The Lodo Magic Man on Feb 2, 2011 1:09 PM MST via mobile up reply actions
What is in his teeth?
2011 Colorado Zombies-DeadWalking to the NL West crown
Todd and Troy: Because they ARE Rockies.
QPU #4, YHEG #4, Proud Member PR Gynocracy
i did the eyes half closed with “where’s my cocktail?” but our computers went down before I could post it. not going to do it again. but you can imagine.
two Icehouse 24 oz beers = $3.20 two "fancy" Bud Light 24 oz beers = $5.00
NOW who comes out on top?
by frightened inmate #2 on Feb 2, 2011 2:01 PM MST up reply actions
no, I cannot imagine.
"These are thin mints. I put them in the freezer. My favorites. So good."
--Reds outfielder Adam Dunn, on the girl scout cookies he keeps in his locker
.

People ask me what I do during the winter when there is no baseball. I tell you what I do, I stare out the window and wait for spring.
by The Lodo Magic Man on Feb 2, 2011 4:36 PM MST up reply actions
Great write up, Jeff
One quibble: Clearly someone is benefitting, and that someone is the players who make it to arbitration. The only way the rule changes is if the cost of arbitration outpaces the economic growth of enough clubs to matter to them.
At this rate, what point do you think that will happen?
Yeah, I mention that in my linked arbitration article.
With revenue streams growing at the rate that they are, it’s really up to the willingness of the consumer to handle the increased burdens of player salary.
I’d say within 20 years it comes to a breaking point, but that’s wild speculation.
The writer formerly known as Jabberwocky
READ and LEARN about the business of baseball at Purple Row Academy
Eschew Obfuscation!
wait, what?
$14.83 million for two starting position players, three bullpen pieces, and a back-end starting pitcher is a pretty good deal for the Rockies — even if as a group the players are getting paid almost double what they received last year.
Even if we went with your 2.7 million per-win price, they’d only have to contribute 5 and a half wins to earn their keep. Collectively, these players contributed 9.1 WARP/10.2 WAR last year.
I cant really understand why you think a “free market” system would in any way be “beneficial to teams in the long run,” when the current system allows them to exploit youthful labor so egregiously. Just because these guys got a 2x salary increase does not mean they are somehow now being overpaid through the arbitration system.
Quickly rising salaries
Doesn’t mean in just one year. Over the whole of arbitration, however, the line screams from way below the mean to way above the mean.
I’d like to see the integral of team control and arbitration, though, where the mean value of a player is 0, to see where the total payout ends up in relationship to the mean value of a player.
Yeah, the exploitation of young players is great for the team over the first three years but the arbitration process also makes marginal players much more expensive.
E.g. Garrett Atkins and Clint Barmes by the end of their arb-years.
Re: Yokel, I’d do that study if I had a lot of free time on my hands. Alas, this is not the case.
The writer formerly known as Jabberwocky
READ and LEARN about the business of baseball at Purple Row Academy
Eschew Obfuscation!
Mr. Carlos Gonzalez?
You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the goddamn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all. ~Earl Weaver
Baseball fans love numbers. They love to swirl them around their mouths like Bordeaux wine. ~Pat Conroy
JFK
Just how they treated the whole thing.
And the way Carlos treated the guys was indicative of the organization. It’s just really cool to see the Rockies in a way the fans usually don’t see it as – an organization. And a classy one at that.
I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P
by CentralCaliRox on Feb 2, 2011 7:07 PM MST up reply actions
Great find
You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the goddamn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all. ~Earl Weaver
Baseball fans love numbers. They love to swirl them around their mouths like Bordeaux wine. ~Pat Conroy
JFK
Lol CarGoMedia5 on twitter posted it BTW.
So it wasn’t exactly a great find :P
I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P
by CentralCaliRox on Feb 2, 2011 7:23 PM MST up reply actions
Not sure about the shiny suit!
Ansd surprised that Dan calls him Cargo rather than Carlos – not sure how I’d feel about that!
Oh, it's okay...MLBN says they'll keep calling him Little Pony, so it balances out.
Is it ApRil yet?
Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports
Okay I want baseball right now.
I keep watching the highlights from 2010.
I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

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