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Sunday Rockpile: Tulowitzki putting on clinics early, Matt Belisle closer of the future?

Okay, sorry for not being around much since Thursday, I've had some pretty substantial "OT" come up (oh, yeah, since I brought it up, here you go) and while that's mostly been taken care of, the stress apparently weakened my immune system as I've come down with a bug. So we'll be short on analysis again today.

Troy Tulowitzki put on a mini-camp for baseball youth at his Fremont high school alma mater in Sunnyvale, California this week. According to Troy Renck's feature on him this morning in the Denver Post, he gave Rockies prospects Tim Wheeler and Nolan Arenado a much more intense version of that over the winter.

In Spanish, Ubaldo Jimenez says again that he's still is a bit frustrated for not getting 20 wins in 2010 and has it as a goal in 2011. 

Meanwhile, back in English, Jim Armstrong suggests that Matt Belisle could be the Rockies closer of the future if Huston Street doesn't bounce back from a disappointing 2010 season in 2011.

Jim Tracy opened up to 9News about his heart arrythmia that caused him to pass out during the Winter Meetings in Orlando a couple of months ago. When he awoke he drew up the designs for a flux capacitor and a Michael Young trade. Alright, I kid, I'm just glad he's healthy.

Okay, about that MY thing...

I noticed I got called "delusional" yesterday in the Rockpile for thinking Jose Lopez is (was?) in for a rebound with the Rockies. That's okay, I can take it. While I think Lopez would have been fine, and could have been more than fine for the Rockies at second base, the bottom line to me is that Young is an upgrade. He's more certain to have the value I was envisioning as a possibility with Lopez. So count me in the camp of being in favor of working out this trade that just won't die.

As it stands, though, the Sporting News ranked the Rockies off-season moves second best in the division to the Padres. I think I'd agree with their assessment for right now, but if we do manage to get Young, and get Texas to eat a healthy chunk of his due salary, I'd consider putting the Rockies on top.

 

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Re: Tulo article

I like that Tulo says, “I take a lot of pride in being a Rockie,” and then find out that he wants to workout with 10 minor leaguers next offseason. He really is in this for the long haul.

"No Mission Too Difficult, No Sacrifice Too Great—Duty First" - 1st Infantry Division Motto

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by Russ Oates on Feb 6, 2011 7:40 AM MST reply actions  

Buster Olney's article today

quotes 5 MLB execs on Michael Young. Most worry about Young’s ability to hit outside Arlington and his defense if he moves to second base. Most also lauded him as an offensive differencemaker

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2011 7:54 AM MST reply actions  

I have to assume Coors would be an exception

to the whole “can he hit outside Arlington” question…

Adding another bat that has had bad road/home splits is less than ideal, though…

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 11:04 AM MST up reply actions  

Renck says Texas would have to eat $20mil of Young's $48mil left for a deal to take place

Putting Colorado on the hook for $9.3mil/yr for three years. That’s a bit too steep for me still to like it.

link.

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2011 8:10 AM MST reply actions  

You are forgetting....

That we’d also unload Lopez and possibly Cook. If just Lopez, we save $3.6 million this year, bringing the 3 year cost down to 48-20-3.6 mil. Or $24.4 million, an average of $8.1 million per season. For a 2+ WAR player, which I expect Young to be during this contract, it’s decent value and not an overpay. Each WAR is costing well over $5 million this offseason, so you could even make the case that we are getting a bargain at just over $4 million per WAR, and I actually think MY will be closer to 3 WAR this season than 2 WAR, making it even better.

by GoRoxGo on Feb 6, 2011 9:13 AM MST up reply actions  

I'm not really forgetting

I just don’t see Cook going in this deal, and even with Lopez in the deal, it’s a steep hike. It also seems to me you’re taking the most optimistic view of Young’s acquisition at every turn. If it turns out that way, I agree it’s helpful, but there’s a lot of turns away from your scenario that would disrupt it.

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2011 9:48 AM MST up reply actions  

I think you're being too negative...

If this deal is consummated, it is almost by definition an economic deal for us. O’Dowd will not overspend to obtain Young. He doesnt need to.

Don’t forget we’d be getting a six-time All Star, and someone to lock down the 2nd base position for the next two or three years. Those evaluators did NOT seem overly concerned about his ability to play a decent defensive 2nd base, one even saying it’s a more natural position for him than 3rd base. This sure as heck beats the usage of replacement level guys there, and probably upgrades us over Lopez overall.

Again, if we have to shell out $8 million per season for 2 WAR, what’s not to like? I just don’t get the angst around here at all.

by GoRoxGo on Feb 6, 2011 11:14 AM MST up reply actions  

$8.1 million

for the incremental difference betweeen Young and Lopez doesn’t sound that much better to me…

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 11:14 AM MST up reply actions  

It's $4 million, not 8

If Texas pays for half of his contract, and we don’t have to pay Lopez, our incremental outlay in 2011 is $4 million, which I think is worth the extra reliability that Young brings us. He’s an upgrade over Lopez that’s worth that cost for sure.

by GoRoxGo on Feb 6, 2011 11:18 AM MST up reply actions  

Just using your numbers above.

The incremental cost in 2011 is $4 million, which I am still skeptical of for the incremental upgrade. But that still leaves the Rockies on the hook for the remainder of his contract in 2012 and 2013, less the rest of the money from Texas. And I think it’s highly questionable if he’s an $8 million a year 2B now, let alone by the time he’s 36.

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 12:23 PM MST up reply actions  

Correction

We aren’t actually talking about Texas paying half his contract, we’re talking about them paying $20 million. If you want to apply $8 million of that to 2011 to bring his incremental cost over Lopez this year to $4 million, that leaves $12 million of their money to apply to 2012 and 2013. Making his cost over those two years $32-$12=$20 million, or $10 million a year. It’s a major, major stretch to think he’s a $10 million a year guy at 2B at age 35 and 36.

$20 million is simply not enough money from Texas to make this deal make sense for the Rockies. It needs to be closer to $30 million, imo…

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 12:27 PM MST up reply actions  

I think the talk is $20 million or more....

I happen to think it would be more like $24 million, or half the contract. Your math works out to $10 million per year in 2012 and 2013, which Young MIGHT be able to justify, but I doubt that O’Dowd can justify it in his mind. Thus, if a deal is completed, I expect it will come out to no more than $8 million net cost to us per year in those years.

I also happen to to think that Cook may be a part of this, regardless of what Renck and his sources are saying.

by GoRoxGo on Feb 6, 2011 12:40 PM MST up reply actions  

Cook is due $9.5 million this season

Any thought that the Rangers are going to pick up that contract and give us $24 million in the deal is wishful thinking, especially if we’re thinking Lopez would still be part of the deal as well.

If Cook is part of the deal, it will be as a reduction in the amount of cash coming back from Texas.

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 12:45 PM MST up reply actions  

Also, as far as Young justifying $10 million a year

$10 million a year would equal the third highest average annual contract all time for a 2B, according to Cot’s…

Uggla $12.4 million/yr (2011-2015)
Utley $12.14 million/yr (2007-2013)
Roberts $10 million (2010-2013)
Uggla $7.8 million (2010)
Cano $7.5 million (2008-2011)

Thinking that Young can justify $10 million a year at 2B late in his career seems overly optimistic to me.

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 12:52 PM MST up reply actions  

Sorry, forgot to link

Cot’s

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 12:53 PM MST up reply actions  

IF he's a 2 WAR player...

then $10 million per year is not a stretch. In the free agent market, players are signing for over $5 million per WAR. Could we find a cheaper in-house alternative? Maybe, but I don’t know who that is.

by GoRoxGo on Feb 6, 2011 12:55 PM MST up reply actions  

We have one

There’s no reason to think Jose Lopez can’t be a 2 WAR player this year.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 12:57 PM MST up reply actions  

If that's the case

then 2B must generate low WAR numbers, because only 3 of them have ever signed for as much as $10 million a year. Either they’re the only ones generating 2 WAR per year, or 2B are not signing for $5 million per WAR.

The point is that $10 million a year in the FA market would be expected to return an elite 2B, and there is little reason to believe that Young will be an elite overall 2B in 2012 and 2013.

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 12:59 PM MST up reply actions  

And, since his contract is actually $16m a year...

it’s even harder to justify.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 12:56 PM MST up reply actions  

I am assuming Texas has to give up at least $6 million a year

In my mind, more like $8-10 million a year, in order to offset his contract. If that doesn’t happen the deal is a non-starter anyway.

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 1:00 PM MST up reply actions  

Yeah, I think I was just trying to say that he'd still be...

….the highest paid 2nd baseman ever.

And that would be laughable, no matter where the money comes from.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 1:01 PM MST up reply actions  

troo

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 1:04 PM MST up reply actions  

Had to Quit Lurking for a Minute...

And ask this question: The Sporting News says that Lindstrom is slated for the 8th inning role. Is there really any evidence to believe that Raffy would lose his spot to a newcomer, especially given how awesome he pitched last year?

Ubaldo Jimenez is my Daughter's Patron Saint. On Days He Pitches, We Call Her Ubalda.

by thelastspoonbender on Feb 6, 2011 8:29 AM MST reply actions  

Nope

Raffy will be the 8th inning guy. Lindstrom may fill in if Raffy is overworked, but there’s no way Betancourt loses his role without a catastrophic season.

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2011 8:34 AM MST up reply actions  

Kinda What I Figured

Silly mainstream press. They should know better :-p

Ubaldo Jimenez is my Daughter's Patron Saint. On Days He Pitches, We Call Her Ubalda.

by thelastspoonbender on Feb 6, 2011 8:42 AM MST reply actions  

Bleh Reply Fail

Ubaldo Jimenez is my Daughter's Patron Saint. On Days He Pitches, We Call Her Ubalda.

by thelastspoonbender on Feb 6, 2011 8:42 AM MST up reply actions  

They should, but they often don't

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2011 8:48 AM MST up reply actions  

No Doubt...

But a guy can dream, can’t he? I mean, they don’t all have to be like Woody….

Ubaldo Jimenez is my Daughter's Patron Saint. On Days He Pitches, We Call Her Ubalda.

by thelastspoonbender on Feb 6, 2011 8:52 AM MST up reply actions  

"280-.290 avg with 17-19 HR's" - AL talent evaluation re MY

This is actually very much in the ballpark of what Jose Lopez can give us, in any sort of a bounceback season, given moving away from Safeco.

If this is in fact what Young is capable of now, remind me again why we want to take on any additional salary for him?

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 8:50 AM MST reply actions  

Club House Presence Maybe?

Or perhaps veteran leadership? He must have something going for him for the Rox to leave the door open on this one. You know how they love the intangibles.

Ubaldo Jimenez is my Daughter's Patron Saint. On Days He Pitches, We Call Her Ubalda.

by thelastspoonbender on Feb 6, 2011 8:54 AM MST up reply actions  

Those are very good traits to have, indeed

I’ll check with Tulo, Helton, Cook, et al. to ask why they lack leadership and clubhouse presence ;-)

Those are qualities the Rockies have in abundance already.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 8:56 AM MST up reply actions  

I couldn't read it with a straight face

You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the goddamn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all. ~Earl Weaver
Baseball fans love numbers. They love to swirl them around their mouths like Bordeaux wine. ~Pat Conroy
JFK

by jrockies on Feb 6, 2011 9:21 AM MST up reply actions  

I LOL'd

and rec’d

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 9:38 AM MST up reply actions  

To be fair

From what I’ve read Tulo is the only real leader on this team. Helton kind of keeps to himself, and I"ve never heard anything like this written about Cook. Veteran does equal leader.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 9:08 AM MST up reply actions  

Helton doesn't get the press time for leadership

but when anyone asks about what he does in the clubhouse it’s always high praise for the old guy.

You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the goddamn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all. ~Earl Weaver
Baseball fans love numbers. They love to swirl them around their mouths like Bordeaux wine. ~Pat Conroy
JFK

by jrockies on Feb 6, 2011 9:21 AM MST up reply actions  

Helton isn't as Outspoken Either

He’s more likely to take a rookie hunting with him than he is to invite someone to a hardcore workout and take pride when he makes the rookie puke.

Ubaldo Jimenez is my Daughter's Patron Saint. On Days He Pitches, We Call Her Ubalda.

by thelastspoonbender on Feb 6, 2011 9:44 AM MST up reply actions  

He's also known to set a great example by virtue of his work and preparation

clubhouse presence isn’t all about rah-rah-rah cheerleading.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 9:56 AM MST up reply actions  

I do remember last year

Him and Giambi held a team meeting just before or after he got injured. I think that counts as being a team leader.

You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the goddamn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all. ~Earl Weaver
Baseball fans love numbers. They love to swirl them around their mouths like Bordeaux wine. ~Pat Conroy
JFK

by jrockies on Feb 6, 2011 1:01 PM MST up reply actions  

There are other leaders on the team

Who go about it more quietly. Matt Belisle and a few others in the Rockies pen have said that playing with Betancourt has made a big difference in their performance. Doesn’t make above-the-fold headlines, but that doesn’t mean it’s not significant.

(And I’m not slighting Helton or Tulo here, just giving another example.)

by Rockpile Interloper on Feb 6, 2011 11:24 AM MST up reply actions  

Well

Young would do it with a higher OBP, and is a much safer bet to do it. Weather or not that justifies the financial obligation in addition to the pieces we give up and the probable subtraction in 2B defense, I don’t know.

by mkorpal on Feb 6, 2011 8:55 AM MST up reply actions  

If we trade Esmil Rogers for MY and assume $9mil in salary obligations, I'll be PISSED

That could have been done for Willingham.

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2011 8:59 AM MST up reply actions  

yep,

And with Willingham, we could have let him walk next year and pick up a pick or two. Although, Willingham is a bit more of a risk because of his knee.

by mkorpal on Feb 6, 2011 9:23 AM MST up reply actions  

Agree there

That would be a coup for the Rangers, and exactly what I meant by “overpaying” with talent. I think someone’s going to do it, and I hope it’s not us. I’m thinking at most Blackmon and/or Young Jr (and Lopez of course), and we eat no more than $6m.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 10:09 AM MST up reply actions  

Really?

Huh. Obviously never seen Blackmon play, but his numbers suggest a garden variety 4th OF, and generically you always value pitching more than position players, talent being equal.

What kind of player is Blackmon, then? Does he have a Fowler ceiling? Sure doesn’t look like it from his MiLB experience, but then again Dex barely had a MiLB experience …

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 10:26 AM MST up reply actions  

Well,

Maybe not Dex ceiling, that was massive, but I can see a .260-270 center fielder with average defense and 20-20 potential. Thing is, he has been a position player for only a few years, and has made great strides in pitch recognition. He is under rated as a prospect, mostly because he is under guys with all star potential.

As for Rogers, the potential is still there, but I’m starting to realize that he will probably never reach it with the Rockies, mostly because the rotation has been full as has the back of the pen.

by mkorpal on Feb 6, 2011 10:32 AM MST up reply actions  

OK, so sort of Spillborgh-ian

While Rogers is ready right now to slot in as a 5th starter, wouldn’t you say? With Friedrich and others a year (or possibly less) away, I think I’d be comfortable with Rogers and Paulino filling the 5 hole, and Cook being part of a Young deal too. In any case, that possibility (being a rotation regular) seems like a higher ceiling that Backmon’s.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 10:50 AM MST up reply actions  

I think an above average CF

would hold more value than a 5th starter. But to answer your question, I think Rogers could be slotted as a 5th starter right now, but he would do better to have a full season in the springs to work on control. Problem is, we won’t be trading Cook, it’s just isn’t going to happen, and Rogers will probably never be used in a way to maximize his potential with us.

by mkorpal on Feb 6, 2011 10:56 AM MST up reply actions  

MY = much more reliable

The key thing is what that “talent evaluator” said about MY’s swing. It’s basically locked in, which makes him highly consistent. He’s basically certain to hit those numbers at least. Lopez, otoh, may hit them, and if he does it will in the form of major hot and cold streaks, which is less useful.

Also, Lopez has the reputation of being out of shape and kind of sulky (which could just be the Mariners, but still). Young is the opposite.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 9:07 AM MST up reply actions  

The Other Thing About MY....

Is that the guy has been “Mr. Ranger” for 10 years, doing basically whatever the Rangers have needed and is understandably one of the most popular players there. I don’t know about you, but that makes me feel a bit better than a guy who’s said to be sulky. I’m with A-Fish though, the price really needs to be right for this one to make any sense.

Ubaldo Jimenez is my Daughter's Patron Saint. On Days He Pitches, We Call Her Ubalda.

by thelastspoonbender on Feb 6, 2011 9:37 AM MST up reply actions  

I think that's the crux of our debate here...we don't seem to agree on what the right price here is

and that’s fine to disagree on.

The one point I’d like people to consider is his age.

I don’t mean to come across as high’n’mighty here, but sometimes, it strikes me that a lot of the 20s Rowbots don’t have enough appreciation for the normal declination phase of a player’s career in the pre steroids era. It’s folly to think that MY will perform in his 34-36 seasons the way he did when he was 29-32, which is the years that got him this contract.

Of course he’s not just going to fall off a table, but to just assume “hey, he’s going to retire with 3,000 hits, five time AS, etc”….well, we wouldn’t be getting that Michael Young. And we’re not getting a Michael Young who’s going to be worth anywhere near $16m a year.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 9:43 AM MST up reply actions  

True Story

I would hate to see top shelf prospects given up for MY, he’d be as long for the Rockies at this point as Helton is, optimistically, which in my mind is not a justifiable reason to give up a bunch of talent. I like the idea of MY, but I don’t like what it possibly would take to get him here.

Ubaldo Jimenez is my Daughter's Patron Saint. On Days He Pitches, We Call Her Ubalda.

by thelastspoonbender on Feb 6, 2011 9:51 AM MST up reply actions  

Oh God no

Not $16m a year. But $6m/yr? I’d say so. It’s time to go “all in” and upgrading from Lopez to Young for $6m is part of that process, in my mind.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 10:06 AM MST up reply actions  

At a certain point, eating too much of Young's salary no longer helps Texas in a salary dump

I’d think eating $32mil, allowing us $6mil/yr, would be past the point of being beneficial to Texas.

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2011 10:09 AM MST up reply actions  

I agree, which is why I'm skeptical that the trade ever actually happens

Because I also think that’s what it’s going to take to get DOD to bite. I think if they eat $28m and Lopez, then the deal makes sense, and the deal gets done. I really don’t think it gets done for less than that…which doesn’t mean we can’t thrown in EY2, as well.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 10:17 AM MST up reply actions  

I actually think it has nothing to do with money for the Rangers

It’s not like they need to sell Young to the highest bidder in order to meet payroll. Beltre for Lee was pretty much a wash, and they lost Vlad too. Napoli doesn’t make near that much, AND their ownership is swimming in money anyway. I think for them it’s about a) Not having an unhappy franchise player on the bench, and b)getting something for Young while they still can. It’s also possible Young is now quiety demanding a trade after sleeping on things for a few weeks and talking with his circle (and who knows, maybe with some Rockies guys too).

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 10:22 AM MST up reply actions  

They wouldn't be trading Young if he didn't have $48mil left on his contract

Disagree?

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2011 10:26 AM MST up reply actions  

I think they would

and they’d have traded him long ago. They don’t need him in a starting role anymore, and they know how awkward sitting him on the bench would be. Plus if they wait too long the 10/5 thing kicks in and they’re really behind an 8 ball.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 10:28 AM MST up reply actions  

Yes But...

As someone else pointed out earlier, if the Rangers were to eat a sizable chunk of that contract, say to get him down to $6m/yr for the Rox, they’d want something pretty nice in return, and that’s what I’m not as happy about. This is a deal where the FO needs to tread carefully to make sure we don’t get fleeced.

Ubaldo Jimenez is my Daughter's Patron Saint. On Days He Pitches, We Call Her Ubalda.

by thelastspoonbender on Feb 6, 2011 10:10 AM MST up reply actions  

I think there's actually not a whole lot of likelihood of that happening

The club seems to think Lopez is a good bounceback candidate, and is perfectly willing to go into the season with him unless DOD gets the deal he wants. DOD holds the cards here, not Jon Daniels.

The Rangers made their bets when they picked up Beltre, and especially, Napoli. They were really idiots to make the Napoli deal without already having a deal for Young completed. They have zero leverage now.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 10:19 AM MST up reply actions  

Given our abundance of late inning arms

And his injury problems (along with Texas’s desire to give Feliz a chance to start), why don’t we include Street in the deal instead of Cook? I don’t like the idea of giving up Cook or Rogers in the deal, but I’d probably do Street + Lopez for Young + $20MM.

Wait, what's his real name? We should make a joke out of that.

by BrandonHawpe on Feb 6, 2011 10:59 AM MST reply actions  

That is actually a fairy interesting scenario

He’s also from Texas not that it matters. The 9th inning closer is an overrated responsibility nowadays.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 11:08 AM MST up reply actions  

I don't see it happening

We really like the depth in the Pen, and have been building it for some time. Now that we have good depth, I don’t see us trading it.

by mkorpal on Feb 6, 2011 11:10 AM MST up reply actions  

I don't see it either

But the team does need to shed some payroll here.

As I mentioned yesterday, Millwood is still out there and would cost about $2.5Mil for 2011. He was awful in the AL East last year but had a good year as recently as 2009. Pretty much the same 2 year pattern as Cook. Maybe Rox should take a flyer and include Cook in this deal.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 11:17 AM MST up reply actions  

Rogers Maybe

Paulino no way. I see him as Danny Bautista a big guy who throws hard and can’t locate. Not sure why most seem to think that he is going to come here and be DLR2.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 11:23 AM MST up reply actions  

Because if he experiences an average amount of luck

Then everything else we know points to him being a pretty darn good pitcher.

Rocktober is not a time of year, it is a religion.

by hjrrockies on Feb 6, 2011 1:36 PM MST up reply actions  

Agreed

There’s a lot to be said for bullpen depth, but rotation depth is much more important in my mind. Replacing Street would be kind of tough. Replacing Cook, even if he’s 2010 Cook, would be much much harder.

Wait, what's his real name? We should make a joke out of that.

by BrandonHawpe on Feb 6, 2011 11:28 AM MST up reply actions  

2010 Cook was dime a dozen...

And that level of production is a low hurdle. I’m not at all concerned about replacing the 2010 Cook. More worried about how we get back to the 2008 Cook level of pitching, and I don’t think that the 2011 Cook can do it.

by GoRoxGo on Feb 6, 2011 11:32 AM MST up reply actions  

He doesn't need to get back to 2008 for us to be successful

And frankly, if we move him, who out there who is not currently in our rotation, and is in fact available right now (and cheap) is going to give us 2008 Cook?

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 11:34 AM MST up reply actions  

2011 Cook is not going to be 2008 Cook

His 06 07 and 09 seasons were all fairly similar. That is probably best case scenario.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 11:37 AM MST up reply actions  

And this is still much better than 2011 Millwood is likely to provide

2009 Cook would be one of the better 4th/5th starters around.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 11:39 AM MST up reply actions  

If Cook is so valuable

then why did the 2007 and 2009 teams go on their runs while he was hurt? He contributed nothing to the 2007 run and missed 5 weeks starting in late August of 2009. Obviously he was replaceable then.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 11:43 AM MST up reply actions  

Aaron Cook pitched to a 2.6 WAR in 2009, even missing five weeks

Now you’re just trying to argue for the sake of arguing.

Any, and I mean any reasonable comparison of 2007-2010 Cook to Millwood isn’t even close.

And while Cook pitched to a 1.1 WAR in 2007, Millwood pitched to a 0.0 WAR that year. Yeah. 0 point f*king 0.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 11:48 AM MST up reply actions  

WAR

means nothing to me. Computer generated BS. Fact is the team did just fine while Cook was hurt during both monster runs. The fact that Mark Redman was in the rotation rather than Cook when they made their run speaks volumes to his replaceability.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 11:52 AM MST up reply actions  

"WARmeans nothing to me. "

That’s all you really needed to say. You can stop assessing players now. k thx.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 11:57 AM MST up reply actions  

And you are such an expert

Take your eyes off the spreadsheet and actually watch some games.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 11:58 AM MST up reply actions  

Dude, I go to 15 games a season and watch another 100 more

but keep trolling.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 12:04 PM MST up reply actions  

Trolling?

Because I do not want to hear the latest SABR stats. Give me a break. Throwing up some stats does not impress me.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 12:06 PM MST up reply actions  

Apparently

…neither does logic, or rational thought, or anything else that indicates the use of a brain.

But enjoy that selective memory, hope it works out for ya.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 12:11 PM MST up reply actions  

read the bottom post

and remember who delivered the personal attacks first. Just because I don’t agree with you and don’t believe in the SABR stats does not make me an idiot. Its great that you use them but I am afraid there are times that you over utilize them to try to make a point. There are so many numbers out there now that you can twist them any way you want to.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 12:18 PM MST up reply actions  

Making vague conclusory statements

That don’t have any back up, statistical or otherwise (“Cook’s easy to replace because the team does fine when he’s not around”) doesn’t impress us either. At least meet us halfway and use SOMETHING to back up what you’re saying.

Wait, what's his real name? We should make a joke out of that.

by BrandonHawpe on Feb 6, 2011 12:15 PM MST up reply actions  

You're not doing much better with your side of things

Saying essentially “Stats are terrible and my eye is better than all of them” in so many words isn’t exactly reinforcing anybody’s confidence in your viewpoint.

We get it, you think advanced stats are dumb. You don’t need to post that every time you enter a debate. People are going to cite advanced metrics as a form of evidence, and basically telling those people that they look at spreadsheets and don’t watch games is not only insulting, but just flat out ignorant. 99% of SABR guys started out as just regular “watch the game” baseball fans but wanted deeper ways of analyzing what they were seeing on the field. The stark minority is the Voros McCracken type who saw baseball as a numbers-based moneymaking opportunity.

If you don’t want to be painted as a combative dinosaur who is in capable of engaging in intelligent debate (which doesn’t have to include stats, you realize) without insulting a large group of people, you might want to tone back your rhetoric.

by Andrew Martin on Feb 6, 2011 9:05 PM MST up reply actions   2 recs

I can the wisdom to that approach

but FIP based WAR seems like BABIP Neutralized WRC+ it gives more credit to what the model says should have happened instead of valuing what actually occurred

~ Love is the most important thing in the world, but baseball is pretty good too ~

by TomCat009 on Feb 6, 2011 9:48 PM MST up reply actions  

I agree, somewhat

I like a FIP based WAR, but not an xFIP based WAR. For the record, Fangraphs does NOT use xFIP based WAR, at least as far as I’ve read. Feel free to correct me here.

The difference between Baseball-Reference’s rWAR and Fangraphs’ fWAR is really their valuation of defense. fWAR basically says FIP + park adjustment + IP = WAR (and I’m obviously incredibly oversimplifying it). rWAR uses Runs against (just the basic box score version) and then makes adjustments using TotalZone (defensive metric) to give you an idea of how many runs the pitcher was responsible for. I believe it’s all park adjusted as well.

FG’s rationale for using FIP-based WAR rather than a RA-UZR version was essentially “Fielding Metrics aren’t where they need to be yet. So we’re just going to take defense out of the equation entirely, as we’re pretty content with FIP”

by Andrew Martin on Feb 7, 2011 12:25 AM MST up reply actions  

And

You still have not answered the simple question of why the team did better without Cook in the rotation during their runs. Regurgitating statistics does not answer the question. I am guessing the response will be “They just got lucky”

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 12:02 PM MST up reply actions  

The team didn't do "better" without Cook

Cook was a fine enough pitcher in 2009. If you can’t see that, then it’s time you picked up another sport.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 12:04 PM MST up reply actions  

Yeah they did

He was out for the entire run in 2007 and missed a chunk of the 2009 run. I may not read baseball reference but can remember quite vividly that they won 21 out of 22 with Cook being sidelined.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 12:07 PM MST up reply actions  

The 2009 "run" was in June

And he was a huge part of it.

Wait, what's his real name? We should make a joke out of that.

by BrandonHawpe on Feb 6, 2011 12:08 PM MST up reply actions  

And during the stretch when he was on the DL in August/September

They went 14-13. Got any answers for that?

Wait, what's his real name? We should make a joke out of that.

by BrandonHawpe on Feb 6, 2011 12:09 PM MST up reply actions  

Aaron Cook being available in 2007

Instead of Redmond, Harrakala, et al…

It would not have stopped at 21 of 22.

The Rockies went on an amazing offensive streak to cover up mediocre and young pitching. The pitching failed them in the WS when they have a rookie pitching game 2 and JOSH FRIGGIN FOGG getting blown out in game 3.

Consider how different the WS would be with Cook truely available (he was put in game 4 cause coming off the oblique he needed as much time as possible)

Francis still blown out in game 1 but Cook in game 2 and that game is still a toss up and the end result could only be better for Colorado. Game three is the big one… no way does Ubaldo get torched for 6 runs in an inning the way Fogg did. That actually becomes a game. Game 4 makes sense to use Francis at that point.. run with 3 man rotation.

Chances are the Rockies lose the series, but not in 4 straight. It would have been much more competitive with a healthy Cook heading into the WS.

The rotation depth or lack thereof was what killed Colorado in the ’07 series and Cook would have certainly helped a ton.

less than 8 days of a layoff due to stupid scheduling would have helped as well.

Wyoming baseball --- GO GHOSTS!

by Kris Hansen on Feb 6, 2011 3:49 PM MST up reply actions  

Ubaldo only allowed 2 runs in game 2 of the WS

Schilling only allowed the one. I don’t think Game 2 goes any better than it did with Cook rather than Ubaldo. Fact is, Josh Fogg remains in that rotation.

by Andrew Martin on Feb 7, 2011 12:26 AM MST up reply actions  

OK smart/tough guy

I’ve been down in my mom’s basement (because I hate going outside! I’ve never even watched a baseball game!) sorting through 2009 gamelogs, and here’s what I found. That year the Rox were at their hottest in June, going 21-7 with an 11 game win streak. Guess who was a big part of that? Aaron Cook, going 5-1 in the month.

Wait, what's his real name? We should make a joke out of that.

by BrandonHawpe on Feb 6, 2011 12:07 PM MST up reply actions  

Sure, it's computer generated BS

And your “well hmm let’s see if I remember right the team did OK with him out therefore he’s very replaceable” is just BS BS. Care to back that up any better? With anything besides vague conclusions? I know the Row’s rules and regs discourage comments like this one, but I’m just trying to speak your language since you don’t want to speak mine.

Wait, what's his real name? We should make a joke out of that.

by BrandonHawpe on Feb 6, 2011 11:58 AM MST up reply actions  

Isn't that about average for a SP?

I though 2.5 was about what the avg guy produced.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 12:00 PM MST up reply actions  

Yup, and probably above avg for a 4th/5th starter, though I haven't checked that

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 12:05 PM MST up reply actions  

One thing I've never liked about WAR

The average 25 man team must total something lik 30 WAR. So it really isn’t “wins above replacement,” because then every team would win 95 games (30 wins over 500).

Someone teach me something here.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 12:31 PM MST up reply actions  

Replacement level doesn't mean 65ish wins

It means 40ish wins. What a team of run-of-the-mill AAA players would do at the MLB level.

Wait, what's his real name? We should make a joke out of that.

by BrandonHawpe on Feb 6, 2011 12:44 PM MST up reply actions  

I agree WAR isn't the be all end all

And I’m probably the least “advanced” of the statheads around here. By far.

However, it’s not that hard to be cognizant of their existence and generally speaking, what they refer to.

But I’ll take WAR any day and twice on Sundays over some “well the team won when he was hurt, so it’s not like he actually did anything good”.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 12:48 PM MST up reply actions  

Mondo

Fair enough but when I throw out that Millwood has won a couple more games since 2006 than Cook do not come back at me with Pitchers Wins is a meaningless statistic. A lot of folks on the board like to throw that out at me. Anybody saying Wins is meaningless should not be offended when I say WAR is meaningless. Its which stats you use and how you care to interpret them.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 1:05 PM MST up reply actions  

Pitching wins is a largely meaningless statistic

Exhibit A:

1986, Nolan Ryan led the NL in innings, strikeouts AND ERA.

And had only 8 wins to show for it.

Exhibit B: Last year’s AL Cy Young winner.

Exhibit C: The year before’s AL Cy Young winner.

Exhibit D: 1991 or 1992 when Scott Erickson won 20 games. With an ERA of 5.

I can go on.

To say that WAR is meaningless and then trumpet pitching wins is laughable. It just is. Because one indicates how a pitcher actually pitched. The other reflects how many runs your own team managed to score when you happened to be pitching.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 1:09 PM MST up reply actions  

There you go

The stat I use is meaningless and the one you use should be used as gospel. I feel you are being a bit hypocritical here. Felix Hernandez outstanding WAR did not help the Mariners win any games last year.

Pitcher wins have been around for a long long time and are not going away. One can only hope this SABR fad disappears sometime soon.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 1:13 PM MST up reply actions  

just ignorant.

i don’t even feel like arguing.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 1:15 PM MST up reply actions  

When did I say it should be used as gospel

In fact, I explicitly said otherwise, in this very thread. You’re not making an effective argument at all, when you try to put words in other people’s mouth.


Felix Hernandez outstanding WAR did not help the Mariners win any games last year.

And yet, he was the very best pitcher in the AL, despite only winning 12 games.

I don’t have the energy in my life to suffer fools, bye.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 1:17 PM MST up reply actions  

The issue with pitching wins is oversimplification

When you’re evaluating whether a TEAM is good or not, of course wins is all you should look at. Over 162 games, good teams will win a lot of games and bad teams will not. But when you’re looking at individual pitchers, wins and losses don’t tell you much about whether or not that pitcher is good. You’re right, Hernandez didn’t win a lot of games for the Mariners last year. Does that make him not a great pitcher? No, because he was really awesome. He just kept losing 2-1 and 1-0 and 3-2 games because the M’s offense was atrocious and their bullpen let him down a few times. But that doesn’t tell us whether or not he was any good. WAR does tell us that. It tells us how good he was at getting guys out and preventing runs relative to the rest of the pitchers in the league. And if you have a guy with a 5 ERA but he’s backed by the best offense and bullpen in the league and he wins 20 games but has a small WAR, same story. The pitching wins tell us how the whole team worked together. The WAR tells us how good that pitcher was on his own.

If you have 2010 Felix and imaginary guy with 20 wins and a 5 ERA, and the question is “which guy is the better pitcher,” stats like WAR tell us it’s Felix, which is right. If the question is “which guy was part of a team that did better as a whole,” then the answer is 20 wins/5 ERA game, and that’s right. Attributing the success or failure of the team solely to the pitcher is dumb. Don’t do it. He’s a big part of it, but he’s not all of it.

Wait, what's his real name? We should make a joke out of that.

by BrandonHawpe on Feb 6, 2011 1:21 PM MST up reply actions   1 recs

hahahahahaha

what?

A little rudeness and disrespect can elevate a meaningless interaction to a battle of wills and add drama to an otherwise dull day.

by A.J. Haefele on Feb 6, 2011 1:29 PM MST up reply actions  

This is just like the Cook argument

that because the Rockies won without him, he is no good. It completely ignores what is going on around the pitcher. Sure the Mariners didn’t win with Felix on the mound. They won even less without him on the mound. The question is not “did they win every time he pitched”, it is “what would they have been like without him pitching”. You completely ignore the fact that sometimes great pitchers don’t get wins because they are on bad teams, sometimes teams go on runs when a player is out because the rest of the team gets red hot when, coincidentally, a player is hurt, and sometimes guys don’t pitch all that well but win games because they happen to be on great offensive teams.

I’m no SABR head either, but to argue that wins as a stand alone stat are equal to something like WAR is just not a winning argument.

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 1:35 PM MST up reply actions  

Wow.

This comment makes zero sense.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 1:14 PM MST up reply actions  

How can someone have SO little understanding of something

And yet completely dismiss it?

I suggest you find out what WAR means (and what pitching wins mean in relation to an individual player), then come back and defend your position with something other than a set of memories so appallingly off the mark as to be actually, verifiably wrong.

by biondino on Feb 6, 2011 1:30 PM MST up reply actions  

Secondly, SABR stats

They may be flawed, they may even be misleading, but the WHOLE POINT of them is to find a way of accurately and OBJECTIVELY measuring the contribution of a player.

Which is why pitcher wins – which are massively influenced by what players other than the pitcher do – is a stat so inaccurate as to be essentially useless.

On the other hand, WAR is made up of a combination of stats which have been demonstrated through the most rigorous of real-life experimenting so as to be really quite accurate.

by biondino on Feb 6, 2011 1:33 PM MST up reply actions  

It's easy to replace in the abstract

But right now, in February 2011, how are the Rockies going to do it? By giving 33 starts to Paulino or Rogers? No thanks. By signing someone off the scrap heap (Milwood included)? Nnnnnnnnnnnnope. I don’t see us replacing Cook for 2011 at this point. Keep him. Street is much more replaceable.

Wait, what's his real name? We should make a joke out of that.

by BrandonHawpe on Feb 6, 2011 11:44 AM MST up reply actions  

Street more replaceable than Cook?!?

I’m glad you aren’t running my favorite baseball team. :)

Seriously, Cook isn’t going to give us 33 starts of pitching anyway, so your analysis is flawed. We don’t have to find pitcher(s) to replace 33 starts if we trade Cook. All we need are pitchers to go 140 innings or so (which is ALL I expect of Cook anymore) of 4.70 ERA level production. That shouldn’t be so hard to find, either internally or with a late Spring Training acquistion. Heck, Claudio Vargas might be able to step in and do this!

by GoRoxGo on Feb 6, 2011 11:49 AM MST up reply actions  

Cook is 32

He’s not some dinosaur. The odds of him only throwing 140 innings (when last year was the first time in 5 seasons he failed to clear 155 innings) are probably the same as him throwing 180 innings. And yes, much as you keep saying “sure, that’ll be easy to find!” I’m not buying it. Especially with the degree to which Cook is a sure thing and guys like Paulino and Rogers are not sure things. It’s like Young vs. Lopez. They MIGHT have the same exact season, but Young is a much safer bet. Cook and your imaginary Cook replacements MIGHT have identical seasons… but it’s pretty unlikely.

Wait, what's his real name? We should make a joke out of that.

by BrandonHawpe on Feb 6, 2011 11:56 AM MST up reply actions  

The team doesn't need to shed payroll, it just needs to not really take on any

Millwood has a great chance to be absolutely awful this year. And 2009 has been his only decent season since 2006. In other words, 2009 is much likelier to be the aberration at this point in his career than 2010.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 11:22 AM MST up reply actions  

Maybe so

but he would be facing the Pads and DBax a bunch as opposed to the Yanks, Rays, and Bosox. Its not like replacing Cook’s 2010 season would be that difficult.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 11:25 AM MST up reply actions  

He was also in the AL West in 2007 and 2008 and was awful.

And for Cook, 2010 is more likely the anomaly, given he was injured a good bit of the year.

Millwood started 60 games in 2007 and 2008 and pitched to a TOTAL of 0.7 WAR in those years combined.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 11:29 AM MST up reply actions  

Yeah, if Cook's in this deal (which actually makes sense to me at least)

Then getting a mediocre 5th starter like MIllwood would be dumb. Either let Rogers sink or swim, or make another deal (is Gavin Floyd still available? maybe Joe Blanton). Millwood would be released by mid-season, I’d guess.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 11:36 AM MST up reply actions  

Yes

but who would have expected the seasons we got out of Marquis and Fogg. This is a fairly weak hitting division so you never know who could surprise. I don’t love a Millwood type but Cook should not be a deal breaker – he simply is not that good.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 11:39 AM MST up reply actions   1 recs

The deal breaker isn't Cook, it's the $48m left on the contract

That you’re trying to use Cook to negate. And Cook doesn’t negate that, and still creates another lineup hole. You’re simply trading holes and taking on money here, in this.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 11:42 AM MST up reply actions  

One man's "hole"

is another man’s opportunity for prospects to shine.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 11:51 AM MST up reply actions  

"opportunity for prospects"

Is not the M.O. for a team with actual WS aspirations this year.

You planning on giving Friedrich 15 starts this year in a pennant race? Of course not.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 11:53 AM MST up reply actions  

Was thinking more Paulino and Rogers

Plus the chance we can acquire someone mid-season with our prospects as bait.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 11:59 AM MST up reply actions  

I personally feel those guys are better suited as the depth

And not what we want in our opening day rotation. I’m also not really sold on Rogers, to begin with (though I still don’t want him involved in an MY trade).

I think Paulino will be okay, I just prefer Cook and have Paulino #6.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 12:06 PM MST up reply actions  

In that case

we have 2B prospects who would not get an opportunity to shine if we make this deal.

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 12:39 PM MST up reply actions  

Right

I’m not saying Cook is a dealbreaker, we can’t do the deal if he’s involved, etc. But unless the Rangers knock us over in terms of how much cash they’re willing to send I’d really rather not deal Cook given how tough his production is going to be to replace. See above for my explanation as to why I think it’ll be tough. Milwood or an equivalent empty tank scrap heap guy is not the answer.

Wait, what's his real name? We should make a joke out of that.

by BrandonHawpe on Feb 6, 2011 11:46 AM MST up reply actions  

Bingo

If Francis were still available, then this becomes possible. But he’s not. Cook is in our starting rotation this year, and there he will stay.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 11:49 AM MST up reply actions  

I think you guys

are seriously overrating Cook. This team needs some sure things at the plate as right now we have 2 and are hoping for bounce back and improvements. As they are constituted right now, they very well might have serious issues scoring on the road. Unless they pick up a bat, I can not see how this team is much better on the road. The Rox need Young more than most are willing to admit.

Sounds like it is a mute point anyway since the Rangers really want Rogers.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 11:50 AM MST up reply actions  

Hmm ... that better come with $25m plus of salary relief

Otherwise no deal from my perspective. Especially if Lopez goes too. That’s a big haul for the Rangers, more than they should hope to get.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 11:57 AM MST up reply actions  

This Cook love has me puzzled...

He is not the 2009 Cook anymore, much less the 2008 version. He’s emminently replaceable. As you said upthread, we got better years from guys like Marquis and Fogg in the past than what we are likely to get from Cook this year. IF the Rangers will take is obscene contract off our hands, we should jump on it.

by GoRoxGo on Feb 6, 2011 11:53 AM MST up reply actions  

The whole reason a lot of people here seem to really want Young

Is because Lopez/EYJr/Herrera/whoever are not sure things but Young is. Why doesn’t the same logic apply to Cook? From 2006-2009 he was rock solid and steady- I’m not saying he was an ace but he was a dependable #3/#4 guy. Last year he was down but he’s only 32. He’s a very good bet to bounce back to being a dependable #3/#4 guy again. Giving his starts to guys who have no track record (Rogers) or are almost certainly completely out of gas (Milwood) is just a foolish as counting on the mystery 2B candidates to produce the kind of season Young is likely to have.

Wait, what's his real name? We should make a joke out of that.

by BrandonHawpe on Feb 6, 2011 12:03 PM MST up reply actions  

Exactamundo

All you’re doing is shifting the risk and lineup hole to a different position, and taking on millions in salary for the right to do so. That’s silly.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 12:10 PM MST up reply actions  

Deep Breath

I think where we are in disagreement is to how much the Rox need Young.

I think the offense is needed far more than our 4th or 5th starter. Yes he is a decent 4th or 5th starter but he is not a front of the rotation guy.

This team has not addressed their road offensive woes from last year. I would love for Stewart to break out but there are no guarantees. Nor are there guarantees from CDI, Smith, Lopez, and even Helton. Young is fairly close to a sure thing at the plate. At least thats what all the folks Olney interviewed today said.

The lack of offense on the road is a problem for 81 games. The 5th starter is used 32-33 games. So maybe you create a hole but it is not as gaping as the one that desperatly needs attention.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 12:15 PM MST up reply actions  

I agree with everything you've said

However, there’s also no guarantees that Young will help our offense on the road (in fact, scouts think he’ll suffer away from Arlington), and there’s no guarantees that who we plug into Cook’s spot will even match what he’s likely to do.

So, given no guarantees in either direction, why should we be taking on any payroll or risk at all in this deal?

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 12:50 PM MST up reply actions  

Again fair comment

But outside of locking up the core and adding Lindstrom, I do not see how this team is markedly better than last year. We can hope SF comes down a bit or we can TRY to improve. The salary is hard to chew on but it is not my money so if the Monforts take it on so be it. Most of the players are locked up through 2012 anyway. I guess the worse case scenario is adding Young falling flat on their arses and deiding that they need to shed payroll when the season ends.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 1:09 PM MST up reply actions  

We will be better than last year just by...

Street, JDLR, Tulo, Cook, and Helton being healthier than last year.

Easy to forget how much DL time our players spent.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 1:10 PM MST up reply actions  

And

The Giants will have Posey and Bumgarner all season (plus hippie boy won’t take the month of August off).

Street, Cook, and DLR do not address the road hitting issue. Helton can not be counted on to bounce back offensively. I will give you Tulo and add that they will benefit for a full year of Cargo being in the 3 hole.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 1:15 PM MST up reply actions  

yet another comment that doesn't make sense.

Okay, so our players can’t be counted on to bounceback, yet the Giants Posey and Bumgarner absolutely will not have the famous ‘sophomore slump’? Give me a break. And Lincecum won’t take August off? This is not 100% certain. Neither is the fact that rotation is going to last all season after that postseason run.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 1:17 PM MST up reply actions  

Makes complete sense

Cali – exactly how have we fixed our road hitting issues?

We can get better pitching and all our players can stay healthy but if the Rox can not hit on the road, they simply are not going to win the division. They have largely stood pat this off season. Lopez MIGHT be a big improvement on Barmes but he might not be.

If you need to give up Cook to help fix the offense, I think you have to do it. Banking on Stewart and the others to improve is very wishful thinking.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 1:22 PM MST up reply actions  

Michael Young's road OPS last year was a whopping .679

How does a .679 OPS fix our road hitting issues?

It doesn’t.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 1:24 PM MST up reply actions  

Do you think

standing pat is the way to go here? Maybe Young isn’t the answer Pujols would be. However, he is an attempt to address the issue.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 1:27 PM MST up reply actions  

Who stood pat?

We picked up Lidstrom, Lopez, Wigginton….

Lopez is an attempt to address the issue. To argue we’ve stood pat is to deny the facts.

If the Rockies are paying more than $6m per year of Young’s salarly, then I don’t want him, it’s that simple.

But tell me, you say our road hitting is our big problem…how does Young fix our road hitting at all? If you can actually answer that question with facts that would bolster a case for getting Young, then you may have something there.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 1:31 PM MST up reply actions  

I am not going to

look at baseball reference and look at his career road OPS. However, if you disregarded the salary would you honesly not trade Lopez for Young? I know you need to consider the dollar commitment but honestly who knows what can be expected from Lopez. Wiggy is a utility player (who I do like) and Lindstrom adds to an already strong area. I think the Lindstrom pickup could be huge if he pitches like he did early in 2010. Look I believe Young will hit just as you believe Cook will rebound. I could be wrong but am willing to send the Monforts money to see if I am.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 1:36 PM MST up reply actions  

spend

the Monforts money. I send them enough money when I buy the damn Tornedoughs three times a game!!

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 1:39 PM MST up reply actions  

Here we go with the CHEAPFARTZ again

I’m done.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 1:41 PM MST up reply actions  

I was not calling them

Cheapfartz – I do not believe I have ever criticized the Monforts.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 1:43 PM MST up reply actions  

Its like the Denver Post comments section

came to life and started posting on Purple Row.

by Shoemaker on Feb 6, 2011 1:45 PM MST up reply actions  

Here's the thing

You don’t get to disregard the salary. Because that salary does, in fact, exist.

Young’s hit on the road only one year in the past three. And you’ve already indicated your wilingness to disregard actual facts and statistics, so why your opinion should matter is irrelevant.

“Belief” here equates to “wishing and hoping”.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 1:41 PM MST up reply actions  

But

we are expected to expect that Lopez will rebound to 2009 level when work ethic and attitude is supposedly part of the issue. We are expected to think that after 2 1/2 years Stewart will finally start making consistent contact (if he ever did than watch out). Me believing that Young will hit is no different than some of the other rose colored projections that others have come up with to explain where the increase in road scoring is coming from.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 1:46 PM MST up reply actions  

The thing is,

do you honestly believe that Michael Young will hit well enough to make up for his inferior defense and increase in price over Jose Lopez?

Because, depending upon just how much that price increase is, I have a hard time seeing it.

by Shoemaker on Feb 6, 2011 1:48 PM MST up reply actions  

I have no idea what to expect from Lopez

That is the problem. He could rebound or he could give you absolutely nothing. I do like the fact that his entire contract is not guaranteed. That is very good news because I think the team would eat the guaranteed money if they need to.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 1:50 PM MST up reply actions  

Road hitting issue

Michael Young’s OPS on the road last year: .679

That’s not going to get us very far. It certainly won’t address our road hitting issue.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 1:21 PM MST up reply actions  

Young has not hit well on the road either

you can’t just say “we need to address the road hitting problems” and “we can acquire Young” and pretend that one automatically addresses the other.

Also, the Monforts do, and should, have a payroll budget. You can hope they will just add $8 million dollars a year (realistically, more) without cutting back elsewhere. In the real world, it isn’t likely to work that way.

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 1:38 PM MST up reply actions  

5th starters are overrated...

One thing people wanting Cook to stay here overlook is that 5th starters can be covered for by the other four.

By that, I mean that the 5th spot in the rotation can be skipped in weeks when there is an off-day, and the other four can go on their regular 5 days rest. No reason to give good pitchers 6 days rest anyway, and if the falloff from the top four to the fifth starter is steep, it’s better not to use the #5 guy.

So, if we trade Cook in this deal and our other 5th starters suck, we can just skip over them when there are Monday or Thursday off-days. In reality, 5th starters don’t have to be used more than 25 to 30 times a season, and the games can be picked up by the others. This is why some rotations have starters going 33, 34, or 35 times in a season.

by GoRoxGo on Feb 6, 2011 12:51 PM MST up reply actions  

Dollars to donuts that as of this very moment

You don’t even know how many off days the team has this season. I’ll wait while you check.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 12:59 PM MST up reply actions  

And the correct answer is 16

And clearly, you can’t skip your 5th starter 16 times.

No reason to give good pitchers 6 days rest anyway,

You’re right, because Ubaldo showed absolutely no signs of fatigue last September. None at all.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 1:12 PM MST up reply actions  

Yeah, let's just give him more innings

That’s the smart thing to do.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 1:17 PM MST up reply actions  

I agree

with you here. Current pitchers do not seem to have the stamina/conditioning to make 40 start without showing decline towards the end of the season.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 1:24 PM MST up reply actions  

And that's all the reason to give a guy an extra day once in a while

And why your 5th starter will still get between 26-30 starts.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 1:26 PM MST up reply actions  

No he didn't fatigue...

His run support abandoned him. If Ubaldo was so tired, how do you explain his 10k shutout effort in a loss to the Cards in Game #162?

Ubaldo was just as strong at the end of the season as he was at the beginning. The point is starters are fine going on 5 days rest, and most do not need that 6th day, even once in a while.

But modern managers don’t manage this way and will stick the team with a lousy start from a 5th guy over getting his top four guys in the games on their normal rest. Off days are an ASSET that are rarely used in this day and age.

by GoRoxGo on Feb 6, 2011 1:29 PM MST up reply actions  

Ubaldos final start was amazing

But it also was done knowing it was the last game he would pitch that season and his last shot at 20 wins. He didnt have to save anything for another start cause in his mind it was the last game he would ever pitch. He had all the motivation to take it to another level without worrying about the consequences. In reality there are consequences for pitching that way and that is why the whole month before that start he looked tired, pitched tired, played tired. He was trying to save something for a hopeful playoff run in September, but was showing fatigue in the process. Only when the guarantee “This is my last game of the season” came up did he kick in that extra adrenalene gear and show what rested Ubaldo had before the ASG.

Don’t use game #162 as reasoning Ubaldo wasn’t tired from overuse at the end of 2010.

Wyoming baseball --- GO GHOSTS!

by Kris Hansen on Feb 6, 2011 3:59 PM MST up reply actions   2 recs

I guarantee you that good managers...

skip their inferior starter and go to four-man rotations if their team is contending in September. If no inferior weak link starter exists, then they stick with the 5-man rotation.

by GoRoxGo on Feb 6, 2011 1:30 PM MST up reply actions  

One thing to do it in September

another thing to plan on doing it for the full 6 month season.

If the 5th starter isn’t necessary, why did every team in MLB switch from 4 man rotations to 5 man rotations?

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 1:45 PM MST up reply actions  

Partially

because Managers are sheep who seem more and more afraid to do anything that deviates from the book. The days of the 4 man rotation are dead as are the days of having 2 guys who are labeled as your closer.

I dislike Larussa tremendously but at least he does mix it up with his pitcher batting 8th.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 1:48 PM MST up reply actions  

So 30 major league managers

(at this moment in time, hundreds over the years) are all wrong about the need for a fifth starter, while you have it figured out?

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 1:51 PM MST up reply actions  

I was not

the one advocating the 4 man rotation. I was just saying that no manager is going to put his ass on the line and actually try it.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 1:53 PM MST up reply actions  

A couple managers

have tried it for a month over the last couple years and the pitchers were coming up to them and telling them they were tired. It was also evident that the bullpens were being used more with the 4-man rotation. I think the Rox tried this in 2006 or 2008 at some point and it was a terrible experiment.

You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the goddamn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all. ~Earl Weaver
Baseball fans love numbers. They love to swirl them around their mouths like Bordeaux wine. ~Pat Conroy
JFK

by jrockies on Feb 6, 2011 1:56 PM MST up reply actions  

Sorry if I confused your position with somebody else's

but my thought remains that every team converted from the 4 man rotation to the 5 man rotation. If it didn’t make sense, it seems like it would have died out pretty quickly after 1 or 2 teams tried it.

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 2:33 PM MST up reply actions  

Oh pft.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 2:13 PM MST up reply actions  

We're just not in a position to judge that

I would think Apodaca and Tracy are in the best position to say whether Cook’s sinker command is gone forever (which does happen), or is likely to come back.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 12:16 PM MST up reply actions  

Aside from the injuries,

was there anything disappointing about Street’s 2010 season?

Also, as good as Belisle was last season he is probably someone that should be used only in very specific close situations.

by deacs on Feb 6, 2011 12:21 PM MST reply actions  

The walkoff homers

were troubling but I agree with you here. There is a distinct possibility that 2010 was a career year for Belisle. I hope not but asking him to replicate 2010 is asking a lot out of him.

by RoxandRoll on Feb 6, 2011 12:22 PM MST up reply actions  

Sigh...

Can it be Monday already so we can figure out whether or not this actually happens, and how bad it’s going to be?

I’m really beginning to long for the cliches of Spring Training over off-season pissing-matches.

by Yokel on Feb 6, 2011 12:45 PM MST reply actions  

can' t wait to read it

You can't sit on a lead and run a few plays into the line and just kill the clock. You've got to throw the ball over the goddamn plate and give the other man his chance. That's why baseball is the greatest game of them all. ~Earl Weaver
Baseball fans love numbers. They love to swirl them around their mouths like Bordeaux wine. ~Pat Conroy
JFK

by jrockies on Feb 6, 2011 1:26 PM MST up reply actions  

It's going to take a while to write

because there is still off season left to happen. But it should be good.

by mkorpal on Feb 6, 2011 1:30 PM MST up reply actions  

Sigh...

Can we just clone Ubaldo, turn him into a 1-man 5-man rotation, then we can trade whatever other pitcher we need to get the best starting 8 in baseball then mop up the rest of the league. I don’t think that’s too much to ask, and at this point sounds easier than landing MY for a reasonable cost.

Ubaldo Jimenez is my Daughter's Patron Saint. On Days He Pitches, We Call Her Ubalda.

by thelastspoonbender on Feb 6, 2011 1:14 PM MST reply actions  

My point in this back-and-forth debate...

on the merits of keeping Cook is that we are in more need of improving the road offense than we are in having Cook as our 5th starter. Whether Young makes it a better road offense is a better debate to have than whether we can get by without Cook, which RoxandRoll and I believe we surely can.

Young is a bit of an Arlington creation, just as some of our guys are Coors creations. He’s a career .322 hitter at home, and .279 on the road. But even Young can cause an improvement on our .226 road batting average last season.

by GoRoxGo on Feb 6, 2011 1:34 PM MST reply actions  

Young's road OPS last year was .679, and .680 in 2008

That’s horrific, and barely replacement-level.

2009 would appear to be the aberration, not 2010.

Jose Lopez’ road OPS last year was .652. Also horrific.

But at about 1/15th the cost of Michael Young, on their remaining contracts.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 1:39 PM MST up reply actions  

There is still the issue of defense to consider

There is a chance Young might be somewhat better offensively on the road. There is an even better chance he is a downgrade home and road defensively.

Also, the additional contract cost is bound to show up elsewhere on the diamond at some point.

In no way is this deal only about improving the offense at no expense to any other part of the team. Especially if we take somebody out of the rotation to get it done.

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 1:49 PM MST up reply actions  

From MLBTR:

Young has apparently told the Rangers he “wants out of Texas.”

And since the article says either the Angels or us are the most likely destinations, I have a feeling we’ve got plenty of leverage in this deal.

by Shoemaker on Feb 6, 2011 2:13 PM MST reply actions  

wow the ANGELS LOL.

Rangers: “Okay we’ll give you Michael Young for free.. Just take his contract.”

Angels: “Hmmm… Well we’ve already taken on Wells.. We need to make up for the A’s bullpen signings… Okay DEAL.”

But seriously, does this surprise anyone?

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 2:27 PM MST up reply actions  

Pretty much is going to happen

There just seems to be way too much momentum. Now, we just need to make sure we get a good deal on this.

by mkorpal on Feb 6, 2011 2:27 PM MST up reply actions  

Not necessarily.

There’s a lot of stuff to work out. I’m just not sure if the Rox can add even more payroll.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 2:30 PM MST up reply actions  

Well, yeah

it’s still a complicated situation. But, Dan seems to want him, the Rangers have to trade him, and we are the only team that has actually talked about it. They will find a way to get it done.

by mkorpal on Feb 6, 2011 2:35 PM MST up reply actions  

well

I would be shocked at this point if he doesn’t get traded. And the Rockies seem to be the only probable location.

by mkorpal on Feb 6, 2011 2:46 PM MST up reply actions  

I understand.

I just have a really hard time seeing how it could work.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 2:47 PM MST up reply actions  

However, I think we are being way too narrow in our focus in thinking Young can ONLY come to Colorado.

I bet we start hearing a few more teams jump in on this by tomorrow.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 3:04 PM MST up reply actions  

Especially that it's now known he wants out

Because that opens up more things, such as:

1. He’s far more likely to waive his no trade clause to all the taems he can’t presently be traded to;
2. He’ll go to the team most willing to take on the most dollars and give up the most talent.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 4:32 PM MST up reply actions   1 recs

Exactly.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 4:44 PM MST up reply actions  

Agreed

and here’s what I love about these debates. In some ways I’m excited about the idea, but because of the way the discussion has unfolded, I’ve done nothing but argue against it so far.

The idea of Young hitting second behind Fowler and in front of CarGo and Tulo gives me a great big….. happy. I’m not counting on him to be the savior of the road offense, but that doesn’t mean he wouldn’t upgrade the offense.

My problems with the deal are a couple of things I’ve seen too much of in my Rockies fandom. I’ve seen enough of opponents getting extra at bats because we couldn’t convert ground balls into outs. Part of the improvement in the pitching has been giving them plus defense behind them. If Young doesn’t have the range or the instincts to be effective at 2B at this point, it could do some real damage. Extra outs turn into runs pretty often at Coors.

I’ve also seen enough of this team in bad contract hell. Right now they’ve maneuvered themselves into position to be aggressive, to retain the key guys they want, to pick up late season help. I don’t want to see them lose that by pushing the payroll to the limit.

That doesn’t mean I’m against the deal. It means I’m cautious about whether we have a defensive position for him, and I want to see what the deal looks like financially…

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 2:43 PM MST up reply actions  

Look at his numbers away from Arlington.

I think those might change your mind. He is definitely not going to suddenly be the “savior” for the road offense. Will he be an improvement over what we had last year? Well, I’d hope so. Over Lopez? Probably, but not $20 million more for just a few more average points, some more OBP, and more errors.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 2:51 PM MST up reply actions  

Those are exactly my concerns

His road numbers aren’t encouraging, and the Rangers are going to have to include a lot of money to get the incremental cost over Lopez (or other replacement for 2012/2013) down to a level that makes sense to me.

Add in the defensive concerns and my excitement over seeing him batting #2 turns into me making mostly negative arguments on the deal…

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 2:59 PM MST up reply actions  

Where are the majority of his road numbers?

Safeco, Oakland Collesium, The Big A…. Face it, Texas is the AL version of Colorado. Great home hitting park in a division of major pitchers parks. ALL Rangers face an uphill battle in home/road splits. It isnt as prominent as Coors and definately not publicized as much, but it still exists.

If anything Colorado should be a team that can digest his home/road splits and figure out what they are worth more than most other franchises in MLB.

Wyoming baseball --- GO GHOSTS!

by Kris Hansen on Feb 6, 2011 4:07 PM MST up reply actions  

But if those splits are because of

home park factors and road park factors similar to what the Rockies face, is it reasonable to assume that he won’t have the same issues with the Rockies?

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 4:29 PM MST up reply actions  

Why would we be worried about his road numbers?

It isn’t as if his home numebers with Colorado would be very different than his road numbers in Texas

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Feb 6, 2011 4:47 PM MST up reply actions  

You're too stuck in numbers-land

Admittedly, not being the clubhouse, that’s all we have to go on, but it’s certainly not all there is. Lopez has always worried me because of his off-field issues. Not Milton Bradley style, more Carlos Lee. Mosey on over to a Mariners blog and search for his name. These are the people who have seen him every day for several years. The words you hear are “fat,” “lazy,” “uncoachable,” “terrible hitting approach,” even the dreaded “bad attitude.” Yeah, when he was younger and hungry, he had a couple very good years. But that and a couple bucks buys you half a latte …

The Rox have a bunch of young veteran players with potential who are battling to get to sort of a “professional hitter” level, and are notably prone to long cold streaks, mechanical failures, and other things that are as much mental as physical. Michael Young is by all reports the consummate, hard working, consistent professional. I think he makes everyone better.

Yes, there’s no “evidence” in this post. But the best baseball judgments are mostly subjective anyway. Ask any scout.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 3:22 PM MST up reply actions  

Eh, maybe.

But you don’t know that. Craig Counsell, who is notably a great guy, could come in and make us a better team, based on what you’re saying? You absolutely cannot disregard the numbers, like what you are doing here. You just can’t.

And like I’ve said before, I’ve seen reports saying Jose Lopez has been going to the gym everyday in his Rockies gear. Just saying..

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 3:28 PM MST up reply actions  

Hell yeah

Craig Counsell, nearer to his prime (is he retired yet?) would definitely make the Rox better. Eckstein too. Both would be preferable to Lopez IMO, unless the stories about him getting serious for his contract year are accurate. And again, that’s something we don’t know but DOD surely does.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 3:40 PM MST up reply actions  

Oh come on.

You know what I was trying to get at.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 3:53 PM MST up reply actions  

This Rockpile has totally steered away from Tulo's actions

He is just a professional. Completely understands what he needs to do and is taking prospects under his wing. Gotta love him.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 2:28 PM MST reply actions  

Tulo is awesome and the sun rises in the East :)

2011 Colorado Zombies-DeadWalking to the NL West crown
Todd and Troy: Because they ARE Rockies.
QPU #4, YHEG #4, Proud Member PR Gynocracy

by SDcat09 on Feb 6, 2011 2:32 PM MST up reply actions  

I think our Tulo love is a given at this point

Well, for the majority of us, anyway….

We're trying to win a (#)(*@$%#)@#&$#)^ argument here!!!!

Bazinga!!

In line for seats at the Grand Junction Rockies 2012 home opener

by Junction Rox on Feb 6, 2011 2:34 PM MST up reply actions  

This

Ubaldo Jimenez is my Daughter's Patron Saint. On Days He Pitches, We Call Her Ubalda.

by thelastspoonbender on Feb 6, 2011 2:38 PM MST up reply actions  

I think O'Dowd is just giving the Rowbots what they want

Remember when everybody was pissed that we didn’t get Uggla? Well, this might be O’Dowd’s re-do. Hell, he might just be giving us Rowbots something to help us pass the boring hours of the offseason. Lol.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 2:49 PM MST reply actions  

All in All

The FO really has given the fanbase and the team in general something to look forward to this year, MY or not. For the years of long suffering, the team seems to be committed to helping us forget about those times of unpleasantness. I’m just really looking forward to Spring, I’m getting all twitchy.

Ubaldo Jimenez is my Daughter's Patron Saint. On Days He Pitches, We Call Her Ubalda.

by thelastspoonbender on Feb 6, 2011 3:14 PM MST up reply actions  

My post was in jest

I have a feeling Tulo was a huge part of a few of the things the Rockies did this offseason.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 3:19 PM MST up reply actions  

Oh I know it was in Jest.

I’m just happy with the direction of the club right now. It’s a great time to be a Rox fan :)

Ubaldo Jimenez is my Daughter's Patron Saint. On Days He Pitches, We Call Her Ubalda.

by thelastspoonbender on Feb 6, 2011 3:20 PM MST up reply actions  

Of course.

And it will be for many years to come.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 3:28 PM MST up reply actions  

Great Renck quote from twitter

“Lopez is coming off terrible season. He was really good in 2009. But he’s not Michael Young. Young is a special player and leader”

Carlos Gonzalez has a tendency to amplify light through stimulated emission of radiation.
Shoulder-to-Shoulder for life!
Hollidayrain Music

by Hollidayrain on Feb 6, 2011 3:43 PM MST reply actions  

Tulo is a special player

Ubaldo is a special player. Young? Young is a good player.

by mkorpal on Feb 6, 2011 4:20 PM MST up reply actions  

Renck Mis-Tweeted

He meant to type “Speshul” player

Ubaldo Jimenez is my Daughter's Patron Saint. On Days He Pitches, We Call Her Ubalda.

by thelastspoonbender on Feb 6, 2011 4:26 PM MST up reply actions  

I think that's a fair statement

Carlos Gonzalez has a tendency to amplify light through stimulated emission of radiation.
Shoulder-to-Shoulder for life!
Hollidayrain Music

by Hollidayrain on Feb 6, 2011 4:28 PM MST up reply actions  

Agreed.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 4:45 PM MST up reply actions  

Agreed

He’s also an aging good player.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 4:47 PM MST up reply actions  

Young was once to the Rangers what Tulo is to us

Young is a 6 time all star and has had close to 200 hits every year since 2003. What exactly is your definition of a special player?

by arpagamos on Feb 6, 2011 9:21 PM MST up reply actions  

It's more matter of Young was a special player

He’s certainly not, now. Now, he’s merely pretty good, and declining somewhat. Not bad. Not worth $16m a year.

If he were a special player in 2011, the Rangers would not have spent all winter collecting players who play infield positions. Not when they already had a special player under contract.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 9:29 PM MST up reply actions  

"Michael Young has "grown disillusioned with his diminished role" on the Rangers and wants out of Texas"

Hopefully this could force the Rangers into eating more money.

Carlos Gonzalez has a tendency to amplify light through stimulated emission of radiation.
Shoulder-to-Shoulder for life!
Hollidayrain Music

by Hollidayrain on Feb 6, 2011 4:29 PM MST reply actions  

Michael Young to Rockies trade

Campaigning for more day baseball games since 2006

by djmbluemoon on Feb 6, 2011 4:40 PM MST reply actions   1 recs

Whoa, you scared me.

Thought the link meant the trade was completed.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 4:44 PM MST up reply actions  

hmmm

yeah I wasn’t going for that, but I can see how it looks, sorry!

Campaigning for more day baseball games since 2006

by djmbluemoon on Feb 6, 2011 4:45 PM MST up reply actions  

Rec'd a million times

Wonder what part Ken Rosenthal is playing…oh, he’s actually Limahl.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 4:46 PM MST up reply actions  

heh

just looked up Limahl on Wikipedia, turned out he was born in Wigan in England, which is about ten minutes from my house here. I knew nothing at all about him apart from he sung that song…..weird

Campaigning for more day baseball games since 2006

by djmbluemoon on Feb 6, 2011 4:49 PM MST up reply actions  

Dude, there's an 80s revival festival in the UK every year now that's filmed...

…and Limahl looks pretty much exactly the same. Just some aging makeup and a Ken Rosenthal lapel mic.

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 5:00 PM MST up reply actions  

I just don't see this happening...

With the money issue and all. I am fairly happy with the make-up of the team right now. As much as I would love to see Young as a Rockie it just doesn’t work right now. Should had been done back in December when Francis was still available and we haven’t sign Wigginton or Lopez yet.

Ubaldo "Iron Arm" Jimenez
Seth Smith’s beard looks on in anticipation.
Zomtober!!!

by Colsportsfan on Feb 6, 2011 4:47 PM MST reply actions  

I would have agreed with you

But now Michael Young has basically demanded a trade, and the only other true suitor at this point is within the AL West. This will be an interesting few days.

Carlos Gonzalez has a tendency to amplify light through stimulated emission of radiation.
Shoulder-to-Shoulder for life!
Hollidayrain Music

by Hollidayrain on Feb 6, 2011 4:53 PM MST up reply actions  

This news certainly makes it more likely

I want to again say I am in favor of this deal. He may be only a 2.5 or 3 war player, the money is too much and is defense is suspect. I get that, but the perfect contract probably isn’t going to drop into our hands. Sure I would rather have Uggla or Willingham or others, but again it’s not going to happen. What I like about Young is that he is a leader. I haven’t watched a lot of him and I don’t know what is average is with risp, but I feel like he is the kind of guy that can get a hit when he needs to; and I really believe thats what the Rockies need to make a run.

by arpagamos on Feb 6, 2011 5:24 PM MST up reply actions  

My thoughts exactly

Carlos Gonzalez has a tendency to amplify light through stimulated emission of radiation.
Shoulder-to-Shoulder for life!
Hollidayrain Music

by Hollidayrain on Feb 6, 2011 5:55 PM MST up reply actions  

Hmm..

You may have won me over with this.

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 6:38 PM MST up reply actions  

I guess the best way to describe how I feel is

in 16 ab with the bases loaded young has 20 rbis and an avg of 438 with an ops of 1.139. Most impressively his avg is .290 with a man on 3rd

by arpagamos on Feb 6, 2011 9:11 PM MST up reply actions  

16 at bats

Remind me of any other context in which this is a meaningful sample size?

by biondino on Feb 7, 2011 4:21 AM MST up reply actions  

here's the thing though

DOD isn’t going to make a trade for Young just because he can. He’s going to wait until the Rangers offer something that he can’t refuse that works monetarily. B/c the Rangers have basically put themselves in a terrible position with how they have dealt with this situation publicly, and the fact that they have so little leverage, that deal might just come along. Then again, it might not, but it obviously doesn’t hurt for DOD to wait and find out.

by black_knight101 on Feb 6, 2011 8:08 PM MST up reply actions  

WOOOOT PACKERS!

It’s BASEBALL SEASON NOW BABY! GOOOOO ROCKIESSSSSSSSSSSSSSS

I'm GoRockies!! everybody :P

by CentralCaliRox on Feb 6, 2011 8:11 PM MST reply actions   1 recs

don't foget about college basketall :)

anyway, I’m pumped for baseball this year…probably will have lots of time to watch the Rockies on MLB.tv

by black_knight101 on Feb 6, 2011 8:21 PM MST up reply actions  

YEAHHHHHHHHHHH

Carlos Gonzalez has a tendency to amplify light through stimulated emission of radiation.
Shoulder-to-Shoulder for life!
Hollidayrain Music

by Hollidayrain on Feb 6, 2011 8:24 PM MST up reply actions  

Almost we still have two weeks of NFL wrap up

and then it’s the NFL draft with a little college basketball, but soon after that it will be baseball time shortly followed by the NFL preseason.

by arpagamos on Feb 6, 2011 8:36 PM MST up reply actions  

the possibility of baseball without the concern of the NFL looming is....

……..intriguing.

Carlos Gonzalez has a tendency to amplify light through stimulated emission of radiation.
Shoulder-to-Shoulder for life!
Hollidayrain Music

by Hollidayrain on Feb 6, 2011 9:40 PM MST up reply actions  

Troy Renck just tweeeted

in response to mkorpal that the deal could take a few days, but nothing would surprise him. Also that the deal could include Esmil Rogers, Lopez and a minor leaguer. At any rate how ever you feel about the deal I think this will get done. Not that I’m any kind of expert.

by arpagamos on Feb 6, 2011 8:44 PM MST reply actions  

Wow...

either the Rangers are shipping over a Brinks truck full of hundred dollar bills or the minor leaguer better be pretty insignificant for this to be considered a Win.

JD’s like, "you want some fucking pitching? Here’s all the pitching you can stand. Now choke on it, bitches!"- RCCook

LSB: "Oh shit, JD. You crazy!"

by laxtonto on Feb 6, 2011 8:47 PM MST up reply actions  

this deal will not happen...

if the money is not right. DOD is not stupid.

I will also say that Rogers and Lopez are expendable, and don’t expect the third player, if any at all, to be any higher than AA.

by roxintober on Feb 6, 2011 9:02 PM MST up reply actions  

Rogers has serious upside

I wish I had some say in this, cause that’s a deal breaker for me.

Rocktober is not a time of year, it is a religion.

by hjrrockies on Feb 6, 2011 9:16 PM MST up reply actions  

He has really good stuff

Still not sure if he’d be a better starter or reliever at this point though. I think he’s expendable though—there’s a very good chance he won’t break out roster this year in either role, and he’ll turn 26 in August.

Carlos Gonzalez has a tendency to amplify light through stimulated emission of radiation.
Shoulder-to-Shoulder for life!
Hollidayrain Music

by Hollidayrain on Feb 6, 2011 9:39 PM MST up reply actions  

Eww ... that's REALLY close to the line

Maybe over it. Not that I’m super high on Esmil (although I like his arm) but he’s our primary insurance if one of our SP goes down. If we trade him, it’s Paulino or bust. Or Greg Smith. Yikes.

Renck says he’s speculating, so let’s hope that’s the case. If we make this deal, even if the minor leaguer is nobody, the Rangers have done quite well for themselves all things considered. I still do it, but I’m not in love with it anymore.

by BostonTransplant on Feb 6, 2011 10:08 PM MST up reply actions  

Or we'll have to count on a Friedrich rebound

Then throw him into the fire…..:/

Carlos Gonzalez has a tendency to amplify light through stimulated emission of radiation.
Shoulder-to-Shoulder for life!
Hollidayrain Music

by Hollidayrain on Feb 6, 2011 10:15 PM MST up reply actions  

Yep

It’s gonna take boatloads of cash (like 80% of the contract) or a real (pitching) prospect along the way to “make change” for our 6th SP and Lopez.

by Yokel on Feb 6, 2011 10:25 PM MST up reply actions  

I noticed that the Rangers fans that posted here yesterday talked about Young at first base.

Was that just another way of saying “his defense is bad; put him at a position where it’s less important,” or would Young fit the right-handed-Todd-insurance role? (I know Wiggington was brought on partly for that role; would Young be as good or better at it?)

"Are they called the Rockies because they rock?" - 7 y.o.

by glaucophane on Feb 6, 2011 9:25 PM MST reply actions  

Never played first before

has soft hands though

Moving him to 1st is more insurance for Moreland than anything else. I don’t think he has had a lot of time practicing at first and it would be unlikely that Col would use him there

JD’s like, "you want some fucking pitching? Here’s all the pitching you can stand. Now choke on it, bitches!"- RCCook

LSB: "Oh shit, JD. You crazy!"

by laxtonto on Feb 6, 2011 9:27 PM MST up reply actions  

The other thing I'm liking about Young

he consistently plays a ton of games right around 150 or above on avg

by arpagamos on Feb 6, 2011 9:30 PM MST reply actions  

That is certainly a positive

Is it ApRil yet?

Any number above zero is way too many days before Pitchers and Catchers Reports

by Mondogarage on Feb 6, 2011 9:34 PM MST up reply actions  

LOL, Keith Law:
Heard the breaking point for Michael Young was when he found one of his uniforms on a wire hanger

by holly96 on Feb 7, 2011 10:01 PM MST reply actions  

Oops.

Thought this was Monday’s.

by holly96 on Feb 7, 2011 10:04 PM MST up reply actions  

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