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Know Your Foe #32: Brewers Hoping to Rid Themselves of Road Woes in Four-Game Series Against Rockies

PHOENIX, AZ - MARCH 10:  Ryan Braun #8 of the Milwaukee Brewers is congratulated by teammate Prince Fielder#28 after hitting a three run home run against the Colorado Rockies in the third inning of the spring training baseball game at Maryvale Baseball Park on March 10, 2011 in Phoenix, Arizona.  (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)

Milwaukee Brewers (49-43, T-1st in the NL Central)

Last Series vs. Rockies: May 20-22, 2011 (W 3-0 at Miller Park)

Despite only outscoring them by four runs, the Brewers swept a series from the Rockies in Milwaukee during Colorado's well-documented May swoon. The series opener was a 14-inning marathon in which the Brew Crew got a walk-off home run from their All-Star MVP first baseman Prince Fielder. The Rox jumped out to a 4-2 lead against Zack Greinke despite striking out nine times. Part of that was due to Jason Hammel, who hit his first (and only) career big league round-tripper, a two-run shot that gave the Rox their first lead. Chris Iannetta had an RBI single and Jason Giambi hit a solo homer off of Greinke, as well. However, Hammel allowed another run before departing and Rafael Betancourt allowed a game-tying deep fly to Casey McGehee, who is having a very down year. Seth Smith's 13th inning RBI triple was canceled out by a solo homer off the bat of, of all people, Yuniesky Betancourt (courtesy of Huston Street), so the teams would play on. In the 14th, Dexter Fowler hit a bloop single that would score Chris Iannetta. However, the lead was again short-lived, as Felipe Paulino would serve up the deciding two-run homer to Fielder in the bottom-half of the inning.

Game two saw the Brewers' pitchers hold the Rockies' bats to just six hits while racking up ten strikeouts. Shawn Marcum was terrific, as he went eight innings and gave up just a run on four hits while staking claim to eight of those K's. The Brewers only had five hits of their own (all of which came in 6.2 innings against Clayton Mortensen), but a key error by Jose Lopez was likely the difference.

In the series finale, Ubaldo Jimenez pitched an effectively-wild gem, but had a rough fourth inning that cost him the win. Milwaukee had only two hits on the afternoon, but one was a bases-clearing triple off the bat of Ryan Braun after a walk and a hit-by-pitch. Jimenez walked five and struck out four in an eight-inning complete game. Meanwhile, the Rockies continued their seemingly chronic incapability of hitting Randy Wolf, as he allowed just a run on four hits in seven innings.

Latest Series Results: L 1-2 vs. Arizona; W 3-1 vs. Cincinnati

Despite being outscored by a run over the course of the entire season, the Brewers sit atop the NL Central (along with the Cardinals), mostly because of an offense that has the ability to keep them in every single game, no matter who is pitching. In their lineup, you will find five well above-average hitters, one slightly-above-average-hitting catcher (but is well above-average for his position), a guy who has been solid in the past but is down this year, and Yuniesky Betancourt.


Ryan Braun

#8 / Left Field / Milwaukee Brewers

6-1

210

R

R

Nov 17, 1983


AVG OBP SLG
2011 - Ryan Braun .320 .402 .559


Although the Large Prince of Milwaukee leads the team in homers, Braun is the team's most valuable and integral player. In addition to his astronomical 172 wRC+, Braun leads the club in WAR (4.1) and stolen bases (19), plus he doesn't strike out a ton for a power hitter and can draw a walk with the best of them. And, while he is still a below-average fielder (-6.4 UZR/150), he has improved every year of his big league career since finishing 2007 with a -41.5 UZR/150 as a third baseman.

The one major caveat for this team offensively is one that we're all too familiar with ourselves, in that they struggle on the road. While they boast a 123 sOPS+ in the confines of their home ballpark, the Crew has managed just an 89 sOPS+ everywhere else. Since their pitching staff does not have drastic home/road spilts, this can probably be viewed as the biggest reason why Milwaukee is just 16-29 on the road, compared to 33-14 at home.

Pitching-wise, the Brewers' rotation is led by Marcum, who boasts an ERA+ of 117. He has struck out over eight batters per nine innings while walking under three. Conversely, Zack Grienke has been a very interesting case this season. He has allowed 11 homers in just 74.1 innings, which is part of the reason why he sports a 5.45 ERA (and an unbelievably-low 73 ERA+). However, he is striking out an astonishing 12 batters per nine innings, while walking under two. His K/BB ratio sits at a very healthy 6.19.  My guess is that if he keeps pitching like this in the second half, the relatively high numbers of hits and runs he allows will plummet. Even with the high ERA, Greinke's record is a solid 7-3 so far.

Milwaukee bolstered their bullpen just minutes after the conclusion of Tuesday's All-Star Game by acquiring Francisco Rodriguez from the Mets for two PBTNL's. That shores up an area of concern as, other than John Axford and LaTroy Hawkins, the Brewers' relief corps has been relatively underwhelming so far in 2011.

Star-divide

Friday through Sunday: 4-game series at Coors Field

Expected Pitching Matchups
Thursday, July 14, 2011 @ 6:40 PM MT

W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2011 - Yovani Gallardo 10-5 19 19 1 1 0 0 117.1 116 55 49 13 44 104 3.76 1.36


W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2011 - Ubaldo Jimenez 4-8 17 17 2 1 0 0 104.1 95 55 48 8 41 95 4.14 1.30


Friday, July 15, 2011 @ 6:40 PM MT

W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2011 - Chris Narveson 6-5 18 18 0 0 0 0 102.1 109 55 54 9 40 89 4.75 1.46


W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2011 - Juan Nicasio 3-2 8 8 0 0 0 0 44.0 49 25 24 7 13 34 4.91 1.41


Saturday, July 16, 2011 @ 6:10 PM MT

W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2011 - Zack Greinke 7-3 13 13 0 0 0 0 74.1 77 51 45 11 16 99 5.45 1.25


W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2011 - Jhoulys Chacin 8-7 19 18 1 1 0 0 116.2 85 44 41 15 50 101 3.16 1.16


Sunday, July 17, 2011 @ 1:10 PM MT

W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2011 - Shaun Marcum 7-3 19 19 0 0 0 0 111.2 93 44 42 13 33 101 3.39 1.13


W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2011 - Aaron Cook 0-4 9 6 0 0 0 0 34.0 46 23 22 1 14 13 5.82 1.76

 

Expected Lineup

Name Position AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ HR RBI
Rickie Weeks 2B .278 .351 .486 .366 133 17 39
Nyjer Morgan CF .327 .355 .497 .369 135 3 19
Ryan Braun LF .320 .402 .559 .423 172 16 62
Prince Fielder 1B .297 .415 .575 .420 170 22 72
Corey Hart RF .270 .350 .465 .351 123 10 26
Casey McGehee 3B .223 .279 .315 .263 63 5 36
Yuniesky Betancourt SS .237 .255 .342 .255 57 5 30
Jonathan Lucroy C .280 .323 .415 .324 104 7 36

 

Bench

Name Position AVG OBP SLG wOBA wRC+ HR RBI
George Kottaras C .234 .288 .383 .296 85 2 8
Craig Counsell IF .170 .270 .210 .234 42 0 4
Josh Wilson Util .273 .314 .545 .378 141 2 3
Carlos Gomez OF .225 .273 .387 .305 91 6 18
Mark Kotsay OF .263 .326 .350 .302 89 2 18

Closers

W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2011 - John Axford 2-2 42 0 0 0 23 2 41.1 39 15 13 2 17 53 2.83 1.35


W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
2011 - Francisco Rodriguez 2-2 42 0 0 0 23 3 42.2 44 15 15 3 16 46 3.16 1.41

 

Injuries


Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

Probable

Player Injury Type Injury Date
Ryan Braun calf 07/12/2011

15-Day

Player Injury Type Injury Date
Mitch Stetter hip 05/15/2011
Brandon Kintzler triceps 05/05/2011

60 Day DL / Out for the season

Player Injury Type Injury Date
Manny Parra elbow 03/22/2011

Comment 36 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Pitching matchups are touchhh.

Our two best pitchers against their two best. Cook/Greinke is an obvious mismatch.

@CentralCaliRox

by CentralCaliRox on Jul 14, 2011 2:23 PM MDT via mobile reply actions  

Tough*

And yes, Greinke may be better than Gallardo I know.

@CentralCaliRox

by CentralCaliRox on Jul 14, 2011 2:24 PM MDT via mobile up reply actions  

huh?

"I have no special talents. I am only passionately curious." - Albert Einstein

by Andrew T. Fisher on Jul 14, 2011 2:48 PM MDT via mobile up reply actions  

The first three matchups are fascinating

The last one is painful. Looks like Aberle’s streak is hitting lucky 13

Some days, I feel like I’ve accidentally entered the Church of Tulowitzki on Baseball Easter.
SB Nation Denver | On Twitter | Random Music Writings

by Muzia on Jul 14, 2011 3:25 PM MDT up reply actions  

Isn't Cook a junky RHer?

Sinkers, sliders and/or changeups? That is potential for domination anytime versus the Brewers.

by Salty on Jul 14, 2011 3:28 PM MDT up reply actions  

Used to be sinkersinkersinker

Now he’s “89 mph sinking fastball at the belt”

A shell of his former self.

Some days, I feel like I’ve accidentally entered the Church of Tulowitzki on Baseball Easter.
SB Nation Denver | On Twitter | Random Music Writings

by Muzia on Jul 14, 2011 3:29 PM MDT up reply actions  

How are the Brewers not throwing Randy Wolf?

Is he injured, or does Milwaukee not know that he dons a Superman cape in every appearance agains the Rockies?

by Northsider1964 on Jul 14, 2011 2:26 PM MDT reply actions  

Just not his turn in the rotation,

luckily.

Just an average guy with exceptional hair. Nothing more, nothing less.
Bear Naked - My thoughts on sports, music, and life.

by Bryan Kilpatrick on Jul 14, 2011 2:28 PM MDT up reply actions  

Yup

He pitched on Sunday, and the Brewers weren’t going to mess with their rotation over the break.

by Cheeseandcorn on Jul 14, 2011 2:41 PM MDT up reply actions  

One key to the series for the Brewers that's not mentioned here

Ryan Braun has been out for 12 days with a pulled calf/hamstring. He’s supposed to come back tonight, but he may be pretty rusty all weekend.

by Cheeseandcorn on Jul 14, 2011 2:42 PM MDT reply actions  

It's the same deal with Carlos Gonzalez.

Hopefully, it ends up being a push in that regard.

Just an average guy with exceptional hair. Nothing more, nothing less.
Bear Naked - My thoughts on sports, music, and life.

by Bryan Kilpatrick on Jul 14, 2011 2:44 PM MDT up reply actions  

John Axford - which is he?

1.) a decent closer
2.) a setup man for K-Rod
3.) your sporadically employed neighbor who works on his car all the time

by Northsider1964 on Jul 14, 2011 3:00 PM MDT reply actions  

Well, 3) is a given.

But I’m going with more 1) than 2). Axford predominantly setting up for K-Rod would mean K-Rod reaches his $17.5m vesting option for next year, and there’s no way the Brewers let that happen.

by Cheeseandcorn on Jul 14, 2011 3:24 PM MDT up reply actions  

How sad is that a team might make a on-field playing time/matchup decision based only on a horrible contract clause.

What if Axford breaks down or gets injured and K-rod is the best late inning option? Well, winning is secondary to that horrendous $17.5 milllion option!

"My eyes! The goggles do nothing!" - Rainier Wolfcastle

by BittenAnkles on Jul 14, 2011 5:52 PM MDT up reply actions  

i heard something of the same from a homeless man on the corner…he also said 24 of 28

A baseball park is the one place where a man's wife doesn't mind his getting excited over somebody else's curves

by waterboy31321 on Jul 14, 2011 3:31 PM MDT up reply actions  

if it isnt the Rockpile

1. Ryan Spilborghs® CF
2. Mark Ellis® 2B
3. Todd Helton (L) 1B
4. Troy Tulowitzki® SS
5. Seth Smith (L) RF
6. Ty Wigginton® LF
7. Ian Stewart (L) 3B
8. Chris Iannetta® C
9. Ubaldo Jimenez® P

How do you get your kids to behave? Threaten not to take them to a Rockies game. They straighten up REAL QUICK.
Self taught and falling in love with this game is very easy to do, you can never hate it, and that is something that not one person can take away from anybody. The love of baseball and OUR COLORADO ROCKIES.

by Roxman4ever on Jul 14, 2011 3:13 PM MDT reply actions  

The Happy Days OF

Of Wiggy, Spilly and Smitty rides again.

by Northsider1964 on Jul 14, 2011 3:17 PM MDT up reply actions  

Remember the good ol' days

when the defensive outfield included Cargo, Dex, and Smitty.

by 3nS on Jul 14, 2011 3:29 PM MDT up reply actions  

The whitest lineup in the world

Worshiping the holy trinity of Cargo, Tulo, and Ubaldo

by squalene203 on Jul 14, 2011 4:14 PM MDT up reply actions  

we need cook pitching to make it complete

Worshiping the holy trinity of Cargo, Tulo, and Ubaldo

by squalene203 on Jul 14, 2011 4:15 PM MDT up reply actions  

Stewie still playing?

I thought we sent him down for a reason. We all love him, but he still is not batting very well. Aren’t there any options? When does Cargo come back?

by Real Perspective on Jul 14, 2011 3:28 PM MDT reply actions  

Last 7 days

He is 3 for 12 and 2 walks. That and his 3B Defense is worth it.

by 3nS on Jul 14, 2011 3:31 PM MDT up reply actions  

we don’t have a whole lot of options…its either Stew or Wiggy or Wiggy and Garner…let Stew ride this one out…I got a good feeling about this

A baseball park is the one place where a man's wife doesn't mind his getting excited over somebody else's curves

by waterboy31321 on Jul 14, 2011 3:32 PM MDT up reply actions  

And whether he's here or in the Springs

Stewart needs to play, because he’s not going to turn it around sitting on the bench and he’s a terrible PH.

So if he’s on the 25-man, run him out there every day.

by Northsider1964 on Jul 14, 2011 3:34 PM MDT up reply actions  

At this point, what do we have to lose?

Some days, I feel like I’ve accidentally entered the Church of Tulowitzki on Baseball Easter.
SB Nation Denver | On Twitter | Random Music Writings

by Muzia on Jul 14, 2011 3:38 PM MDT up reply actions  

Exactly

and that’s exactly why Dex should be up here now too, I believe

--On Sale Now-- TracyLogix™ Managerial Simulation System - Now featuring the new and improved Situational Emulator with ContextTrak. Preorder Transformers 3 to redeem your Lefty Neutralizer Cheat Code **not available in North America**

by bishoPurple on Jul 14, 2011 3:43 PM MDT up reply actions  

Can't really disagree with you at this point

We aren’t going to win with an OF of Garner and Wiggy

Some days, I feel like I’ve accidentally entered the Church of Tulowitzki on Baseball Easter.
SB Nation Denver | On Twitter | Random Music Writings

by Muzia on Jul 14, 2011 3:47 PM MDT up reply actions  

Yep, time for Dexter to rejoin the team.

Just an average guy with exceptional hair. Nothing more, nothing less.
Bear Naked - My thoughts on sports, music, and life.

by Bryan Kilpatrick on Jul 14, 2011 3:55 PM MDT up reply actions  

I looked at Dex's stats

He’s batting about the same from right side and left side and the last 10 games he’s batting .385

by 3nS on Jul 14, 2011 4:07 PM MDT up reply actions  

Would be nice to see him hit that well for the Rox

Is this 10-game thing going to continue? Might be nice to see him back if he can keep it up.

With things the way they are, Dex would probably bat less than 200 at CF. The Rox have been living on bad luck alley lately.

by Real Perspective on Jul 14, 2011 5:14 PM MDT up reply actions  

The question is ...

can he deliver every day? Or is he going to rack up more strike outs? Don’t we have someone that can do better at the plate while Stewie improves his swing down south?

by Real Perspective on Jul 14, 2011 5:16 PM MDT up reply actions  

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