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Monday Pebble Report: Modesto Goes Nuts, Kyle Parker Starting to Power Up

Eye On: Kyle Parker, OF - Low-A

After focusing on football last fall, the reasonable expectation for Colorado's 1st round pick in 2010 was early rust, followed by increasingly effective production. In reality, he has shown the exact opposite, producing a .987 OPS in April, .759 OPS in May and .691 OPS in June. He has rebounded with a boom and smashing July, posting a .333/.403/.667 line this month. That includes seven of his 16 home runs on the season. Last night, he hit two dingers, his second 2HR game in eight days, both against Greensboro. He has also gone yard in three straight games. This is the type of power that the Rockies were hoping they were going to get out of their first round selection, and the power that made Baseball America list him as the best power prospect in 2010's draft. 


AAA Colorado Springs - W 9-7 (48-54, 3rd, 13.5 GB)

Clayton Mortensen (2011, trade) held the Fresno Grizzlies to three runs in six innings of work, earning his first win in 2011 at the AAA level. Mike Paulk (2005, 13th round) had three hits, including a double, improving his batting average to a quiet .367.  Mike Jacobs (2011, MiLB FA) doubled twice hit a 3-run bomb, and Matt Pagnozzi (2011, MiLB FA) hit a solo home run.  Scott Beerer (2003, 2nd round) made his AAA debut, getting hit by a pitch while pinch-hitting. He then stole second base and scored on a bunt and throwing error. The Sky Sox have won 6 of 7.

 

AA Tulsa - L 1-5 (15-13, t-1st)

After a comebacker to start the game, Dan Houston (2008, 7th round) allowed four straight Arkansas Travelers to reach base, plating three early runs. That deficit proved to be too much for the Drillers to overcome, whose only offense came on a Lars Davis (2007, 3rd round) groundout, driving in Bronson Sardinha (2010, MiLB FA). #10 PuRP Tim Wheeler (2009, 1st round) went hitless and struck out once, his 10th K in his last 24 AB. #17 PuRP Casey Weathers lowered his ERA to 5.57 by allowing one run in two innings....without allowing a hit. He allowed a walk, stolen base, fly out and wild pitch. He worked a scoreless eighth despite hitting the first two batters.

 

Star-divide

 

High-A Modesto -  W 13-9 (15-15, t-3rd, 4.0 GB)

You wouldn't know it from the name, but High Desert is the highest park in the California League, where offense rules more than any other place in the league. #21 PuRP Edwar Cabrera (2008, DR) did more than survive, allowing 3ER in 6IP to improve to 2-0 with a 3.99 ERA after his midseason promotion to Modesto. He allowed two solo home runs, which comes with the territory in High Desert, but he prevented further damage by striking out 11 and walking just one. Good old Edwar. Charlie77 was on scene and provided this unique video of Edwar.

The Mavericks' pitchers weren't so good. Kent Matthes (2009, 4th round) went nuts on the Mariners' affiliates, clubbing three home runs, doubling and driving in seven. Angelys Nina (2007, DR) also went PlayStation on High Desert, homering twice and collecting a single. #24 PuRP Josh Rutledge (2010, 3rd round) fell a triple shy of the cycle, and Beau Seabury (2007, 13th round) hit a home run as well. Granted, offense in High Desert is often a mirage, but it was encouraging nonetheless to take advantage of the offensive oasis as is.

 

Low-A Asheville - W 11-6 (17-13, 3rd, 2.0 GB)

#12 PuRP Rafael Ortega (2009, DR), #15 PuRP Corey Dickerson (2010, 8th round) and #3 PuRP Kyle Parker (2010, 1st round) drove in all 11 runs for the Tourists. Parker's 2HR/5RBI night led the way. Ortega homered to lead off the game and later singled home two, while Dickerson doubled, singled, stole a base and drove in three. #28 PuRP Josh Slaats (2010, 5th round) improved to 6-1 by allowing just one run in six innings, his sixth consecutive start going 5+ IP and allowing 2 or less runs.

 

Short Season-A Tri-City - W 10-4 (21-16, 1st)

Congratulations are in order for the Dust Devils, who clinched a playoff spot by winning the Eastern Division first half title. They certainly celebrated last night.  Tri-City took a commanding lead early, piecing together four singles and two walks into a 5-run third inning, capped by a two-run single by Taylor Featherston (2011, 6th round), who was thrown out trying to reach second. He also walked and singled home a run later in the game, and David Hernandez (2009, undrafted) drove in two from the 9-spot in the order. Every member of the line-up drove in a run except Tim Smalling (2011, 15th round) and Tyler Massey (2008, 14th round), who reached base five times between them. Vianney Mayo (2007, VZ) worked 5.2 effective innings for the W.

 

Rookie Casper -  L 4-7  (9-24, 4th, 12.0 GB)

Benjamin Hughes (2011, 10th round) has his fourth rocky appearance in his four career trips to hill, getting touched up for three runs on seven hits, getting chased in the fourth inning. Patrick Johnson (2011, 25th round) lowered his season ERA with 2 ER in 1.1 innings of relief. The offense was sparse, but it came from the most interesting suspects. Rosell Herrera (2009, DR) came a home run shy of the cycle, and Trevor Story (2011, sandwich) and Julian Yan singled twice. Will Swanner (2010, 15th round) walked twice, and Carl Thomore (2011, 2nd round) hit his first professional home run, a two-run blast in the ninth inning. 

 

DSL Rockies - DSL AL All-Stars 5, DSL NL All-Stars 3  (28-19, 3rd, 3.0 GB)

Yep, that's right. The DSL has an All-Star game too. 19-year-old Franmy Pena (.315/.344/.461) was the starting catcher for the NL, but he struck out in his only plate appearance. 18-year-old Miguel Dilone (.311/.454/.370) got two plate appearances as a replacement at shortstop, and he walked in both. Of the 32 other players who represented the NL in the game, none were Rockies property.

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It's an 18 game hit streak for Rutledge now, and a 3 game HR streak.

He’s had at least one hit in 25 of 27 games since the Cal/Car All-Star break and multiple hits in 12 of those games.

by Rox Girl on Jul 25, 2011 6:49 AM MDT reply actions  

as fluky as his HR last night probably was

I’m still 100% on this bandwagon with you.

Some days, I feel like I’ve accidentally entered the Church of Tulowitzki on Baseball Easter.
SB Nation Denver | On Twitter | Random Music Writings

by Muzia on Jul 25, 2011 8:38 AM MDT up reply actions  

Yeah,

move him up to Tulsa for the last month of the season.

by mkorpal on Jul 25, 2011 9:01 AM MDT up reply actions  

Whoops..

They were do frustrated with JR’s success against them that they were playing female walkup music everytime he came to the plate; Beyonces All the single ladies, Lady GaGa, and Dancing Queen. Didn’t stop him, he still mashed.

by Charlie77 on Jul 25, 2011 9:38 AM MDT via mobile up reply actions  

I can't believe he's homered in three straight games

He had only one in his first 72. He must be in some kind of zone right now.

I'm pretty disgusted right now!

by RhodeIslandRoxfan on Jul 25, 2011 10:24 AM MDT up reply actions  

he's just finally putting all the skill points he's earned to use,

he saw a youtube video about how to access the ‘edit player’ page, and his world changed forever

the only organization of humans responsible for more evil in the universe than the philadelphia phillies is the boston red sox

i dont care if it's tracy's fault or not, i want heads to roll

by papality on Jul 25, 2011 1:05 PM MDT up reply actions   1 recs

Maybe it's his more aggressive style that's leading to this surge in production (and if it is there's no reason to change his approach)

But one thing worth noting with Rutledge’s July is that he has now gone 10 straight games without a walk – This from a guy who had a decent BB% of 10% going into this month.

The next test for Rutledge (and I think it will come very soon) will be how he handles being thrown junk as pitchers start to fear his bat. You can only hit .446 in a month for so long before the opponent is going to make an adjestment. If he passes this, Rutledge is probably ready for AA.

I'm pretty disgusted right now!

by RhodeIslandRoxfan on Jul 25, 2011 10:22 AM MDT up reply actions  

He's ready for AA now.

That’s one thing that a high minor league BABIP like he has will tell you. You’re right he will have to adjust there, but he’s not going to see enough of the borderline pitches in Modesto to make it mean anything.

by Rox Girl on Jul 25, 2011 10:27 AM MDT up reply actions  

I'd love to see Bettis promoted to Tulsa

and Slaats to Modesto, at least for the last few starts of the season.

Some days, I feel like I’ve accidentally entered the Church of Tulowitzki on Baseball Easter.
SB Nation Denver | On Twitter | Random Music Writings

by Muzia on Jul 25, 2011 8:13 AM MDT reply actions  

Bettis is pitching tonight..

And I would loves to see him. But I don’t want to drive another 2 hrs in LA traffic to one of the ugliest places on earth just to watch him. My wife would kill me.

by Charlie77 on Jul 25, 2011 9:40 AM MDT via mobile up reply actions  

I have seen posts like this lately

but do the Rockies normally move players around for the last couple weeks of a minor league season?

Time for some of this Rockies: "One of the beautiful things about baseball is that every once in a while you come into a situation where you want to, and where you have to, reach down and prove something." Nolan Ryan

by dsmba on Jul 25, 2011 9:54 AM MDT up reply actions  

The Rockies tend not to

But it would be a good idea to move some guys up.

by mkorpal on Jul 25, 2011 9:56 AM MDT up reply actions  

It's not a bad idea for guys like Bettis and Slaats

who were college picks and should move through the system a bit faster.

Some days, I feel like I’ve accidentally entered the Church of Tulowitzki on Baseball Easter.
SB Nation Denver | On Twitter | Random Music Writings

by Muzia on Jul 25, 2011 9:58 AM MDT up reply actions  

I also think

we could see Rutledge, Dickerson, and perhaps Parker moved up a level.

by mkorpal on Jul 25, 2011 10:17 AM MDT up reply actions  

I highly doubt it on Dickerson. Parker I still doubt it, just not as much as he fits the pattern of who the Rockies will promote.

I’d also be willing to bet that Slaats stays, but if you do have that chain of him replacing Bettis, and if the Dust Devils weren’t contending, I could see somebody like Alsup getting bumped to Asheville.

by Rox Girl on Jul 25, 2011 10:25 AM MDT up reply actions  

For a few select prospects they sometimes do for a few days at the end of a season.

And this High A to AA jump is one where it happens most frequently, but it usually also has something to do with the respective teams’ playoff chances. If Tulsa’s close to a playoff appearance, but Modesto’s not, I’d expect it. If the reverse was true, I wouldn’t.

by Rox Girl on Jul 25, 2011 10:05 AM MDT up reply actions  

speaking of offensive mirage...

How much of Kyle Parker’s success is due to playing in Asheville? He only has 4 HRs on the road.

by DenverBears on Jul 25, 2011 8:13 AM MDT reply actions  

In essentially the same number of PA

he has similar strikeout and walk numbers home and away, less HR but more 2B on the road.

It’s certainly helped his slugging, but his road numbers look pretty solid too.

Some days, I feel like I’ve accidentally entered the Church of Tulowitzki on Baseball Easter.
SB Nation Denver | On Twitter | Random Music Writings

by Muzia on Jul 25, 2011 8:20 AM MDT up reply actions  

Up until July, his splits were pretty even.

He’s hit .364/.461/.879 at home this month, but that’s not necessarily a mirage. It could still be a breakout as he hadn’t hit that well at home up to this point. There’s just not a big enough recent road sample to make me feel real confident either direction. 2 of his 4 road HR’s were hit this month, and he does have 3/8 multihit games on the road in July, so I’m leaning breakout, but I just haven’t seen enough away from McCormick to say for sure right now.

by Rox Girl on Jul 25, 2011 8:40 AM MDT up reply actions  

I'm kind in this boat too

10 of his last 16 games have been at home so it’s very possible that he just happened to get hot when the Tourists were playing a bunch of home games.

Parker’s LD% is interesting. On the year he has a 17% LD rate on the road but just a 13% LD rate at home. Considering that his LD rate has jumped to 19% for the month of July and that most of his games have been at home this month, it’s possible that he’s been a better hitter on the road for much of the year (maybe just through fluke) and now his home numbers (which Ashville will inflate) are catching up.

Of course looking at both Parker’s home/road HR splits and home/road LD% splits as well as having seen in person how inviting McCormick Field looks for a HR hitter, it is also possible that Parker is just swinging for the fences too much at home (although still having some success) and is concentrating on hitting more line drives on the road where the fences are a little deeper.

This is the part where looking at a boxscore and not seeing him in person really limits you.

I'm pretty disgusted right now!

by RhodeIslandRoxfan on Jul 25, 2011 10:40 AM MDT up reply actions  

We really need to get people from Asheville, Tri City, and Modesto on this site

for some consistent first hand knowledge. The Casper and Tulsa stuff has been gold.

Some days, I feel like I’ve accidentally entered the Church of Tulowitzki on Baseball Easter.
SB Nation Denver | On Twitter | Random Music Writings

by Muzia on Jul 25, 2011 10:43 AM MDT up reply actions  

Holly only lives an hour or two from Modesto..

Why can’t she just commute to every home game? It’s really not too much to ask IMO.

by Charlie77 on Jul 25, 2011 3:15 PM MDT via mobile up reply actions  

Tyler Matzek makes another start tonight for Asheville

first pitch at 5pm MDT

Some days, I feel like I’ve accidentally entered the Church of Tulowitzki on Baseball Easter.
SB Nation Denver | On Twitter | Random Music Writings

by Muzia on Jul 25, 2011 8:27 AM MDT reply actions  

Wow,

Matthes is putting up some insane numbers this year. He is pretty old for the level,(24 right now in high A) But, he was also a fairly high draft pick. Could be a sleeper who surprises everyone and becomes a major league player.

by mkorpal on Jul 25, 2011 9:05 AM MDT reply actions  

In addition to the altitude and 99° temp..

The wind was blowing a steady 20 MPH out to left-center all night. Which makes Edwars game a little more special.

Some other game notes:
- Edwar was untouchable the first time through the lineup, with 6k’s and 3 GO by my count. He also has the worst pickoff move I’ve seen from a lefty. Probably hasn’t needed to practice it very often.
- Nolan Arenado’s family was at the game. His mom knows how to show her pride. He might have been a little jacked up from them being there, because he was swinging for the fences his first 2 ABs resulting in warning track flyballs. He hit a LD in the 7th to center though that was amazing. He caught the CF flatfooted and it zoomed straight over his head before bouncing over the wall for a ground rule double. He’s like watching Holliday hit liners. Looked stiff in the field however, maybe cause of his family being there threw him off, he was slow to react to sharply hit balls and had an error. Its hard to judge defense based on one game, but he looked really stiff to me which was strange because he was so effortless at the plate.
- Rutledge looks like Tulo at the plate, stands straight up, has quick hands through the zone. Was very smooth in the field.
- Delta Cleary hit a nice gap double in his first AB and later beat out a bunt single. Was nearly thrown out of the game for arguing a close call at first, he looked out to me.
- Poor Kiel Roling was the selected BeerBoy of the game. Everytime he struckout beers were half off for the next ten minutes. Lets just say he contributed to a lot of alcohol abuse last night and he wasn’t happy about it.

by Charlie77 on Jul 25, 2011 9:34 AM MDT via mobile up reply actions  

Power Numbers at Modesto

If you want to see an example of what Modesto’s home park does to power numbers in comparison to the rest of the Cal League, check out Matthes’ home/away splits.

He’s got pretty great power numbers this year, but his home splits look pretty paltry. I think this needs to be something we keep in mind when rating our Modesto players when they may look like they’re having down years.

by gershwen on Jul 25, 2011 9:37 AM MDT up reply actions  

It's something we've frequently said in relation to Arenado, as a lot of people seemed to expect him to hit

as many HR’s as he did at McCormick Field. When you move from a stadium as small as that one is at 2134 feet above sea level to one as big as Thurman Field, 91 feet above sea level, it’s going to have an effect on your HR numbers.

by Rox Girl on Jul 25, 2011 9:40 AM MDT up reply actions  

I don't know about paltry...

He’s still slugging over .500 at home and for 162 games he is on a 52 2B pace with his home numbers—-of course, that doesn’t compare that well to the 90+ 2B pace on the road.

I wonder about Matthes being a sleeper too. He had good power in college and was forgotten about largely because of injury. He really needs to be promoted.

by DenverBears on Jul 25, 2011 10:57 AM MDT up reply actions  

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Top 30 PuRPs

  1. Drew Pomeranz, LHP - AAA
  2. Nolan Arenado, 3B - AA
  3. Wilin Rosario, C - MLB
  4. Chad Bettis, RHP - AA DL
  5. Tyler Matzek, A (Adv)
  6. Alex White, MLB
  7. Kyle Parker, OF - A (Adv)
  8. Tim Wheeler, OF - AAA DL
  9. Josh Rutledge, SS - AA
  10. Charlie Blackmon, OF - AAA DL
  11. Rosell Herrera, SS/3B - A
  12. Trevor Story, SS/3B - A
  13. Edwar Cabrera, LHP - AA
  14. Tyler Anderson, LHP - A
  15. Rafael Ortega, OF - A (Adv)
  16. Peter Tago, RHP, unassigned
  17. Christian Friedrich, LHP - MLB
  18. Joe Gardner, RHP - AA
  19. Corey Dickerson, OF - A (Adv)
  20. Thomas Field, 2B - AAA
  21. Will Swanner, C - A
  22. Kent Matthes, OF - AA
  23. Albert Campos, RHP - released (4/19/12)
  24. Jordan Pacheco, C/UT - MLB
  25. Cristhian Adames, SS - A (Adv)
  26. Ben Paulsen, 1B - AA
  27. Josh Slaats, RHP - A (Adv)
  28. David Kandilas, CF - A
  29. Jayson Aquino, LHP - unassigned
  30. Hector Gomez, SS - DL
HM:
Edgmer Escalona, RHP - MLB
Dillon Thomas, OF - unassigned
Sam Mende, IF - A
Mike Zuanich, 1B - AA
Dan Houston, RHP - AA

updated 10/25/2011.


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