Rockies Rewind with Silver: The Good, The Bad, and The Boom
Salutations and adulations, Rowbotlets of Purplerowland. Boy, it's been a long time since we've seen each other, huh? Due to a multiplicity of factors, not least my insane work schedule for my last few months in Asheville and an internet connection that only worked if a butterfly was flapping its wings (or not) in Beijing, my meaningful participation around here has been essentially zero. I can't promise that it's going to tick back up again for good, but I am now back in Denver permanently, have a little off time and (ZOMGZ) a functional connection, so this seemed as good a time as any to compose my first Review Rewind since April.
It won't be a terribly long edition, but it will cover the salient developments of this week. Aka, the good, the bad, and the boom. If you want to check out what those are, agree with my conclusions, and/or object to my classifications, then JUMP!
The Good: Thoroughly astonishing my A's fan friend, who was sad to see Mark Ellis go but thrilled that his pal and classmate Bruce Billings was headed back to the Bay Area, our new second baseman appears to be riding a stick of Purple Dynamite. Now, nobody is expecting Ellis to hit a homer every other game and crank out three doubles on his off-days, but it was certainly a pleasant surprise to a team that had seen the 2B position vanish into the Black Lagoon. Jonathan Herrera, as predicted, couldn't keep playing over his head forever, and EY2... well, um, I'd rather have him there than in CF? Ellis is a sturdy veteran with excellent defense, who should be a little bit better and certainly no worse than the platoon that's been the rule until now, but he may also pan out as being a clone of Clint Barmes. He wasn't exactly lighting the world on fire in Oakland, after all, but sometimes players just benefit, whether in the short or long term, from moving to a new situation. And as discussed in today's Post, the psychological lift of knowing that the team is still intending to make moves and stay in contention can help the guys as well. Obviously, they're all professionals and they didn't get to this point without working very hard and believing in what they can do, but with a prolonged underachieving spell like the Rockies have been waffling along in, lowlighted by their abysmally record-setting May, it's no stretch to say that failure has been catching. I honestly don't know what the problem is with the Rockies and high expectations, but I can safely say that I have been thoroughly unimpressed with their usual shilly-shallying. Here they sit, two games under .500 (and that's surprising enough what with May) but while late-season runs are never out of the question for this lot, they really need to quit putting themselves in the position where miracles are constantly necessary.
Which brings me to: The Bad. The Rockies did win the series with the Royals, but considering how bad the Royals are this year, they really should have swept them. (Although considering what those KC creeps have done to us in the past, this may be an accomplishment in itself.) But instead, they got the holiday weekend started with two straight barbecues of their pitching staff. Today was by fart (typo and it stays) the worst example, as they coughed up 21 hits, 16 runs, and let the Royals run away with the game to pretty epic proportions. I still hold the Rockies are going to have to do some serious work on the pitching staff if they're going to think about contending in the second half; Juan Nicasio and Greg Reynolds do not a championship-calibre stable of arms make. Of course, JDLR going down sent a lot of that kiddywampus, and no team is going to have a rotation of Cy Young, Roy Halladay, pre-roid Roger Clemens, and so forth, but as I've pointed out in numerous previous columns, you generally can't have sixth starters and AAAA fill-ins carry you to success and glory. The non-waiver trade deadline is of course approaching, and while I haven't been able to pay enough attention to suggest a feasible target, I still feel like the Rockies are going to have to get over their favoured plan of in-house remedies and make a move to add an outside starter. Ideas, commentariat?
And then there's The Boom. Aside from the usual splendid fireworks displays over July 1 and 2, there was a serious boom today when CarGo did an equally splendid bug-on-the-windshield imitation, causing everyone in the 303 area code complete heart failure until word came out that he had only suffered a wrist contusion, and thus will be day-to-day instead of 60-day DL. If that happened, I find it very hard to visualize a scenario in which the team could realistically contend, and thus we seriously dodged a bullet. CarGo went down in a game in which he had 6 RBI, too. But with the end of the first half almost upon us, and then the All-Star festivities in 120-degree Phoenix (uh, good thing they've got the roof, amirite?) he should have plenty of time to rest it adequately.
Speaking of which: Troy Tulowitzki is the Rockies' only All-Star, losing out on a starting spot thanks to a late push from Jose Reyes. (Boooooo.) Todd Helton has a chance to join him via the Final Vote, which would be a fitting recognition for the Toddfather's 2011 renaissance. This sounds about right to me, but frankly I'm just glad that we DON'T have a pitcher going, as both Aaron Cook in 2008 and Ubaldo Jimenez in 2010 were apparently jinxed hardcore by their ASG appearances. Hopefully Tulo will buck the trend.
The Rockies close out the first half with three games in equally steamy Atlanta, where Ubaldo will return to the site of his no-hitter. Here's hoping they can get a little momentum stored up for the second half.
Go ROCKIES!
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surprising to see that vote so close
given the monster year reyes is having, he completely deserves it
the only organization of humans responsible for more evil in the universe than the philadelphia phillies is the boston red sox
maybe firing tracy isn't the answer, but something's just not clicking out there
It seems
as though every time a Colorado Rockies starter makes the All-Star team he crashes. The two you mention and then you’ve also got Chacon and Hampton on the list. Fuentes didn’t do too bad after his appearance but the starters have flopped pretty good.
"There have been only two geniuses in the world. Willie Mays and Willie Shakespeare." ~Tallulah Bankhead
"Love is the most important thing in the world, but baseball is pretty good too." ~Greg, age 8
JFK
insane heat in Phoenix this weekend
118? I saw a kid pushing carts at the grocery, wearing oven mitts, kid you not.
As a resident Zonie I can’t understand anyone wanting to come here in July, much less play a game that is pretty much meaningless. The days off are probably a better thing for our would be all-stars.
"I seek not to know the answers, but to understand the questions"
Kwai Chang Caine
/raises hand
I’mma stay here.
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by Andrew Martin on Jul 3, 2011 11:11 PM MDT up reply actions
Rox are going nowhere with this bullpen.
Today was embarrassing, but it wasn’t a surprise. Another starter would be nice, but I’d rather see a couple of dependable arms join the fray out in the pen.
As for the All-Star game, I’d love to see Todd go but, otherwise, I have a hard time getting excited about anyone in Purple receiving honors right about now. Let them all go home and spend a few days thinking about how they’re performing their jobs.
But hey, I just spent all day in the heat watching a really awful ballgame, so maybe I’m just cranky. :)
I would rather
see our starters go 6 or 7 innings every game rather than 3 and 5 like the last two. That would help the bullpen a lot right now.
"There have been only two geniuses in the world. Willie Mays and Willie Shakespeare." ~Tallulah Bankhead
"Love is the most important thing in the world, but baseball is pretty good too." ~Greg, age 8
JFK
True, but this isn't just overwork
It’s really unusual to get more than a couple of good years out of non-elite relievers, and we’ve had a couple out of Belisle and Betancourt. Who knows where they go from here? I’d like some reinforcements in case their current trend continues.
betancourt is a pretty elite reliever...
since his rookie year in 03, he’s 7th in WAR for relievers, behind rivera, k-rod, nathan, wagner, papelbon, and cordero. ahead of broxton, street, brad lidge, heath bell, matt thornton, saito, soria, marmol….
the only organization of humans responsible for more evil in the universe than the philadelphia phillies is the boston red sox
maybe firing tracy isn't the answer, but something's just not clicking out there
It's a lot of work to compare players' performances
Much easier to just post, “_ was terrible yesterday. He’s the reason our team is bad.”
by Northsider1964 on Jul 4, 2011 7:11 AM MDT up reply actions
Northsider was terrible yesterday. He’s the reason our team is bad.
;-)
"Your classless organization in your unholy city accused our Team of an unspeakable act. It was baseless, the Giants are classless, and I have no sympathy for your eternal damnation."
HA! You could always DFA me
But you’ll have to get in line.
by Northsider1964 on Jul 4, 2011 9:26 AM MDT up reply actions
Betancourt is struggling something fierce the past month.
I don’t see it as something to replace, he struggled mighty hard in April/May in 2010 and April 2009. He’ll get through it.
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by Andrew Martin on Jul 4, 2011 2:26 AM MDT up reply actions
Belisle hadn't given up an earned run
In almost a month. Came into the game with a 2.17 ERA. If one bad outing is a trend, should Chacin be on the chopping block too?
by Northsider1964 on Jul 4, 2011 7:09 AM MDT up reply actions
Pretty much everyone except for Mark Ellis is getting DFAd soon here.
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by Andrew Martin on Jul 4, 2011 10:54 AM MDT up reply actions
Bullpen reinforcements are clearly the top priority
And anyone has to be better than Belisle. Quick, let’s make a deal for Manny Delcarmen and Octovio Dotel.
by Northsider1964 on Jul 4, 2011 12:05 PM MDT up reply actions
So, your bottom line is that.....
….you feel good about where the bullpen is? Fine. But forgive me for not sharing your enthusiasm.
I'm saying there aren't many bullpens that would have fared any better
Given their workload and the park they play in. And I’m saying that if you think there are loads of relievers out there who would pitch better than Belisle has this year, you’re wrong. (But hey, you went to a game and he sucked – argument over.)
Want to know the actual number of games this year in which the Rockies’ bullpen has been handed a lead, and lost it?
A: Four
At Milwaukee, at San Francisco, at home against the Padres and Thursday against the White Sox. So had they blown zero leads all season long – zero – the Rockies would be one game over .500. Woo hoo – we’ve found the team’s weak link.
by Northsider1964 on Jul 4, 2011 1:02 PM MDT up reply actions
I didn't specify Belisle in my OP.
He’s not really the problem, regardless of yestarday’s disaster. It’s the lack of a dependable 8th inning guy (if Betancourt doesn’t pull it together) and long guy that will kill this team.
And it’s the overwork that’s caused the bullpen in general to be unreliable of late. My point: let’s get some fresh arms out there rather than just shrug our shoulders and say “well they’re overworked. This is what it is given their workload and the park they play in.”.
As for how great the pen has been:
- They rank 29 out of 30 in opp. BA (.277)
- They rank 26 out of 30 on opp slugging (.425)
- They rank 23 out of 30 in ERA
- They’ve blown 9 saves (tied for 9th worst in ML)
- They rank 22nd in WHIP
- They’re tied for 2nd in ML in hits allowed
But yeah, we don’t need to try to upgrade there.
Sorry, where on Earth did I get the idea
we’ve had a couple [good years] out of Belisle and Betancourt. Who knows where they go from here? I’d like some reinforcements in case their current trend continues.
That you were implying Belisle was on a downward spiral after one bad outing?
by Northsider1964 on Jul 4, 2011 4:10 PM MDT up reply actions
Nope, I was making a separate point....
which is that you always have to be on guard for regression in veteran relievers. Matt Belisle is a veteran reliever. So it Matt Lindstrom. So is Rafael Betancourt. My alarm about the bullpen’s recent performance (which is borne out in the numbers I quoted) is that they they may be teetering on the brink of ineffectiveness, and we should look for upgrades now while we still can.
Belisle’s outing yesterday notwithstanding, I was pointing out not that he’s been bad but that, historically speaking, he’s the kind of guy we need to keep an eye on.
and by "their current trend"....
I was referring to the pen in general, not Belisle. But yeah, I can see why the wording would lead you to think I was going after Belisle in particular.
Gotcha, thanks
I think the team did the prudent thing with Betancourt, which was to move him out of the 8th inning role for now. And his age is a legitimate concern, because you always wonder if he’s going to bounce back this time.
I just think finding an 8th inning guy who’s a real upgrade from the internal fill-ins (Reynolds and Lindstrom) will be difficult. Certainly don’t want to go reaching the like last year, when we ended up with two guys who gave us nothing. There are better setup guys out there like Adams, Robertson, Vetters etc., but they obviously are not going anywhere.
Ironic, too, that we have a discussion about an overworked pen on a night when Ubaldo throws 117 pitches in 5.1 innings. Oy vey.
by Northsider1964 on Jul 4, 2011 7:28 PM MDT up reply actions

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