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2011 Rockies Player Review: Jhoulys Chacin

Coming off a season which was, by all counts, excellent for a pitcher of his age/level of experience, Jhoulys Chacin inadvertently created expectations that, while realistic, may have been too much to count on happening. As a 22-year-old rookie in 2010, Chacin posted an astronomically high 142 ERA+ in 137.1 innings. He allowed just 7.5 H/9 and 0.7 HR/9 - while pitching at Coors Field half of the time. In addition, he struck out a batter per inning.

The one thing holding Jhoulys back was fastball command, but it was a problem that most people figured would improve in 2011 since he exhibited little issues with it while in the minors. During the first half of the season, there was some improvement there, as through June 15th Chacin was 8-4 with a 2.81 ERA. Although he had already given up more homers by that point than he did in all of 2010, he still was only allowing 6.3 H/9 and was striking out just under a batter an inning. Most importantly, he had reduced his walk rate to around three per nine innings, and was looking every bit like the ace that Ubaldo Jimenez was supposed to be.

However, things started to go downhill for Chacin from that point forward, most notably his fastball command (although the team's dismal offense wasn't helping, either). By the time the season came to an end, Chacin had posted the exact same walk rate (4.0 BB/9) as he did the season before, but struck out far less batters (7.0 K/9) and allowed twice as many home runs (but was still under 1 per nine innings). To make matters worse, he started to suffer from some run-of-the-mill nagging injuries in late-August, forcing him to miss a start and and more-or-less limiting him to a pitch count for the remainder of the year.

With all of that being said, Chacin still had a solid season for the Rockies (pitcher wins be damned). Chacin was once again well above average in terms of ERA+ (124), while shouldering the unexpected load of being the team's ace in the absence of Ubaldo Jimenez (ineffective/traded) and Jorge De La Rosa (injured). Not to mention, I have a feeling that his decrease in strikeouts and increase in hits/homers allowed could be due to the Bob Apodaca and the Rockies' pitch-to-contact approach, which resulted in Chacin's groundball rate increasing from 46% to 56%. Hopefully, the coaching staff will focus less on that this time around, and more on a consistent delivery.

More after the jump...

Star-divide

Grade

B. Chacin's struggles in the second half prevented this grade from being higher, but there was a point in the season (namely, August and September) when Chacin was the only pitcher on the roster who could be counted on to go out there and toss 6 or 7 effective innings. He obviously had a lot of pressure put on him to perform due to the injuries and roster changes, but he made the most of it for the most part.

2012

Chacin will enter this season as the Rockies' unquestionable ace. And really, he's earned it. If he's able to keep improving his fastball command (keep in mind, he just turned 24 a couple of weeks ago), he has a chance to be up there with the other NL West aces. High praise and expectations? Sure, but Chacin hasn't really given us any reason to think otherwise.

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He's good

and underrated by a lot of people both here and abroad. Can’t wait to see what he can do this year, especially if he can hone that fastball in a little bit.

"There have been only two geniuses in the world. Willie Mays and Willie Shakespeare." ~Tallulah Bankhead
"Love is the most important thing in the world, but baseball is pretty good too." ~Greg, age 8
Assistant GM of the PRMLB Cincinnati Reds
JFK

by jrockies on Jan 23, 2012 5:53 PM MST reply actions  

If he cuts that walk rate a respectable amount, he can remain with the lower k numbers and high gb rate and be great.

"These are thin mints. I put them in the freezer. My favorites. So good."
--Reds outfielder Adam Dunn, on the girl scout cookies he keeps in his locker

PRMLB: The Brew Crew

by Resolution on Jan 23, 2012 7:35 PM MST reply actions  

Agreed on all counts.

Just an average guy with exceptional hair. Nothing more, nothing less.
Bear Naked - My thoughts on sports, music, and life.

by Bryan Kilpatrick on Jan 23, 2012 8:06 PM MST up reply actions  

I'd love to see him do well

and I’ve been tempted in my fantasy league by being offered Chacin for Ian Kennedy who is my one and only solid pitcher. That got me to looking at the divisions aces and I still cannot see a universe where Chacin would be considered one of the top 5 pitchers in the division in his career. I think there is a gigantic gap between Kershaw, Cahill, Kennedy, Cain, and Lincy to where Chacin will ever be.

Wyoming baseball --- GO GHOSTS!

by Kris Hansen on Jan 23, 2012 8:47 PM MST reply actions  

Kershaw, Cain and Lincecum

are definitely in their own category, especially for how long they have been doing it. I think Chacin could be on the same tier as the AZ pitchers though.

"There have been only two geniuses in the world. Willie Mays and Willie Shakespeare." ~Tallulah Bankhead
"Love is the most important thing in the world, but baseball is pretty good too." ~Greg, age 8
Assistant GM of the PRMLB Cincinnati Reds
JFK

by jrockies on Jan 23, 2012 8:53 PM MST up reply actions  

I wouldn't completely rule out that possibility...

Chacin is just 24. I don’t think he’ll be as good as Kershaw, but I think he can be as good (and in some cases, better) than the rest of the pitchers you mentioned.

Just an average guy with exceptional hair. Nothing more, nothing less.
Bear Naked - My thoughts on sports, music, and life.

by Bryan Kilpatrick on Jan 23, 2012 9:48 PM MST up reply actions  

And actually, I think he's already on the same level as Cahill and Kennedy. I really do.

And I think by the end of 2012, he’ll be better than both of them and probably on the same level as Cain.

Just an average guy with exceptional hair. Nothing more, nothing less.
Bear Naked - My thoughts on sports, music, and life.

by Bryan Kilpatrick on Jan 24, 2012 2:13 PM MST up reply actions  

you probably would have said that about Ubaldo when he was Chacin's age

"Self-control is the chief element in self-respect, and self-respect is the chief element in courage." ― Thucydides

by TomCat009 on Jan 24, 2012 7:45 AM MST up reply actions  

Not there yet, but getting there

Chacin does not qualify as an ace yet, although he will obviously be starter #1 when the season kicks in. In time he will likely establish himself as a true ace. This season will be his chance to shine.

by Real Perspective on Jan 26, 2012 11:28 AM MST reply actions  

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