I've repeatedly referenced my 2013 projections recently, might as well put them out there for all to see:
2013 Projected Standings and Depth Charts (current rosters, i.e. free agents excluded)
- De La Rosa is listed in the bullpen on our projected roster because he projects terribly. He was awful last year, both on his rehab assignment and during his 3 MLB starts. Now, you could say "if he's healthy, he'll obliterate that projection", and you'd be right. NEIFI is essentially saying that he doesn't project to be healthy, which I think is entirely understandable.
- Chacin will end up projecting a bit worse than this when it's all said and done; he's been stinking it up down in Venezuela (yes, NEIFI incorporates stats from offseason leagues). Right now he has a 23/15 K/BB in 31 IP, in a league that rates between High-A and AA in terms of quality of competition. That ain't pretty.
- LeMahieu is listed as the starter at 3B simply because he has the best overall projection of any of the options; this should not be interpreted as a prediction that he'll actually get the 3B job. I've tried to be generous to teams in compiling the depth charts, giving more playing time to better players, on the assumption that while they might start the year with suboptimal alignments, ultimately, talent will win out. In any case, tweaking the depth charts makes very little difference to the projected standings.
So yeah, I've got us at 76 wins right now. I don't think that number will be particularly controversial, but some of the other teams' projected win totals are pretty eye-catching (Detroit, Toronto... wow). Questions, comments? Happy browsing...