FanPost

2012 Colorado Rockies Milestones: (20th Season Edition)

208588_mariners_rockies_spring_baseball_medium

via cdn0.sbnation.com

Ladies and Gentlemen, spring training has begun which means another season is upon us. The Rockies are searching for their first division title and it would be very fitting for it to happen in the team's 20th season (and about freaking time too might I add). As it is the 20th season I figured it would be a good idea to look at some of the statistics the Rockies have accrued over their young life and see what they will get to this year.

The club is 1437-1579 All-Time with three wild card playoff berths and one National League Pennant. The hitters of Blake street have compiled a triple slash of .276/.344/.445 in the last 19 years while the pitchers have been, on average pretty bad putting up a 5.03 ERA, 6.24 K/9, 3.66 BB/9 and a decent 1.16 HR/9 considering their ball park (LOLCOORZ).

While this is all fine and dandy what about the components that make up these wonderful statistics? Below are tables for both hitting and pitching categories that make up some of the traditional counting statistics showing the current 19 year total, the highest count, lowest count, and an average over the years. For the sake of this small study 1994 and 1995 were intentionally left out of the "high and low" category due to the strike (although there are a couple instances where they weren't the highest/lowest anyway).

Batting:

Hits

Runs

Home Runs

Doubles

Triples

Stolen Bases

Total

28674

15559

3423

5607

809

2024

Highest

1664 (2000)

968 (2000)

239 (1997)

339 (1998)

61 (2001)

201 (1996)

Average

1509.5

818.9

180.2

295.1

42.6

106.5

Lowest

1408 (2009)

735 (2011)

142 (1993)

269 (1997)

28 (2008)

44 (2004)

Pitching:

Strikeouts

Walks

Home Runs Allowed

Hits Allowed

Total

18531

10873

3447

29272

Highest

1234 (2010)

737 (1999)

239 (2001)

1700 (1999)

Average

975.3

572.3

181.4

1540.6

Lowest

866 (2003)

504 (2007)

139 (2010)

1405 (2010)

It is worth pointing out that in 1996 the team had 201 stolen bases, the most in club history, but also had 221 home runs, the third most in club history. This is the middle season of the 1995 to 1997 stretch where the Rockies had a winning season each year. The pitching was pretty bad in 1999 while a Ubaldo led 2010 was more than solid. In 2007 the team had the fewest walks in the 19 years and they went to the WS, there might be something to that.

The Rockies should pass 30000 hits and 3500 home runs this year. I think it would be cool if they could somehow get to 900 triples as well, but with the age of the team I don't think Dexter Fowler is going to get that many. On the pitching side the Rockies could surpass 20000 strikeouts this year but they need the young kids to step up and K people because Jamie Moyer probably isn't going to lead the team in that category (more on that later). I also expect them to pass 3600 home runs allowed and 30000 hits (funny how the offense and pitchers should pass the later in the same year and the former will be close).

Now that I've examined the "milestones" of the team what can expect certain players on the Rockies to do this year?

Let's take a look at the pitchers (except Jamie Moyer) first as they tend to be younger and not reaching for as lofty marks just yet.

Jeremy Guthrie:

Jeremy-guthrie_medium

via cbsbaltimore.files.wordpress.com

Guts is going to reach for his fourth straight 200 inning season he only needs 180 to reach 1200 for his career. 700 strikeouts will be easy for him if he stays healthy but I don't think he will get to 800 from his current 626. If he wins 13 games he will be at 60 for his career, the problem is he already has 65 losses (Baltimore's fault). He also only has 4 complete games in his career, for someone trying to reach 200 innings he needs to do that at least once this year (no shut outs though).

Current

Milestone

JFK's Date

Innings Pitched

1020.1

1200

September 12, 2012

Strikeouts

626

700

All-Star Break

800

May 2013

Wins

47

60

August 10, 2012

Jhoulys Jose (Molina) Chacin:

127233461_medium

via cbsdenver.files.wordpress.com

After another impressive year last year Chacin is ready to move ahead and actually pitch 200 innings, doing so would put him well over 500 for his young career (I think he can get the 168 necessary before August). I don't think he will have a problem striking out 99 people this year but can he strike out 199 to get to 500? Chacin has half as many complete games as Guthrie and one more shut out, I hope he can build on his lead because that puts him in the category of ACE for me. He also needs 20 wins to get to 40 for his career and I really just want to see him double his total wins in a single season.

Current

Milestone

JFK's Date

Innings Pitched

342.1

500

August 21, 20121

Strikeouts

301

400

July 18, 2012

500

May 2013

Wins

20

40

September 2012

Jorge Alberto (Gonzalez) De La Rosa:

Jorge missed a good portion of last season and, he will miss the beginning of this year. If he were to break camp with the team he would be either second or third in innings pitched with 769.2 (depending on Moyer making the club) and first or second in strikeouts with 682. He would also be one of two pitchers in the rotation with a winning record and the second most wins in camp behind Moyer. The thing is we won't be seeing him until late May or early June, but these are the milestones he will be reaching upon his return.

Current

Milestone

JFK's Date

Innings Pitched

769.2

800

July 4, 2012

Strikeouts

682

700

July 4, 2012

Wins

54

60

August 14, 2012

Juan Ramon Nicasio:

120422394_extra_large_medium

via cdn2.sbnation.com

Nicasio is not only fighting for a rotation spot this spring but also for the biggest story in camp. His competitor is 50 year old Jamie Moyer, possibly for both positions. As a raw kid who came up from AA and pitched pretty well I don't have too many expectations for the big Dominican. He will reach 100 strikeouts and 200 innings pitched for sure but I don't know if there is much else we can count on except quality starts and a big goofy smile.

Thomas Andrew Pomeranz:

124717357_extra_large_medium

via cdn0.sbnation.com

The kid has 18 MLB innings and 13 ks. Nowhere for him to go but up. I would like to see him keep his 2:1 of wins to losses though.

Josh S. Outman:

Assuming he makes the team Outman should reach 200 strikeouts if he pitches more than 150 innings (giving him 300 for his career). Not much else except his previous injuries need to be forgotten if he wants to start here.

Guillermo A. Moscoso:

He's in a very similar boat as Outman statistics-wise. He has fewer innings pitched, fewer strikeouts, the same number of wins and more losses. Neither have a shut out let alone complete game to their credit.

Rafael Jose Betancourt:

121692196_crop_650x440_medium

via cdn.bleacherreport.net

The team's new closer. Here's an interesting fact, if Moyer doesn't make the team out of spring training only Guthrie will have more innings than Betancourt's 560 on the team. He also has 600 strikeouts and 27 career saves with at least one in each year of his MLB career. Assuming he doesn't get injured and Brothers doesn't push him out of his position Betancourt could get to 70 saves and 690 strikeouts. Do you think he can log 100 Ks this year?

Current

Milestone

JFK's Date

Innings Pitched

560

600

July 4, 2012

Strikeouts

27

50

August 8, 2012

Rex Coleman Brothers:

This 2009 draft pick fanned 59 batters in 40.2 innings last year and recorded his first save while compiling a 1-2 record (as stupid as that is). I think he can get to 100 Ks by the end of August and possibly push 120 by the end of the season. He could be the closer by the end of the year if Betancourt doesn't keep a tight reign on the position (among other things).

Matt Thomas Belisle:

The way he's been worked the last two years he might pass Betancourt for career innings pitched, but I wouldn't count on it. He also has an unfair advantage as he has 43 career starts to his name. That being said he could double his career saves to 4 early this year with Bet getting an occasional day off. If he wins 4 games, which isn't impossible as he won 10 last year, he will have 40 career wins. His 36 are already third on the active roster behind Guthrie and Moyer.

Matt Paul Reynolds:

Matt struck out 50 in 50.2 innings last year and he could do similar things this year to pass both 100 career innings and Ks, assuming he doesn't pitch to Freddie Freeman.

It is my opinion that the hitters are significantly more interesting to look at for career statistics. So let's get to them:

Nolan J. Arenado:

118764941_extra_large_medium

via cdn3.sbnation.com

He has yet to play in the big leagues but he's showing that he belongs. If he comes up before June look for him to reach 50 RBI and runs. He could also rap out 120 hits and 20 doubles. I think I'm being very conservative here because we don't know when he's going to make the team.

Willin Arismendy Rosario:

A kid with big power and a cannon of an arm, he could easily hit 25 home runs in the show this year with consistent playing time. The problem is actually hitting the ball. He also runs pretty well with good gap power so a total of 60 XBH are not out of the question, with two or three of those being triples.

William Dexter Fowler:

250940_rockies_moves_baseball_medium

via cdn1.sbnation.com

Fowler has a few milestones coming up this season and if he can finally learn how to steal a bag efficiently he might have another. 500 career hits is well in his sites as are 100 doubles and 50 triples. Should Dexter be on base at a decent clip in the front of the Rockies hearty line up he should eclipse 300 runs by the All-Star break (he only needs 67). If he learns how to steal bases and can get 48 on the year (I'm not counting on this at all) he could reach 100 steals as well. That's not a bad year if he can get those milestones.

Current

Milestone

JFK's Date

Walks

192

200

April 23, 2012

Hits

361

400

May 15, 2012

500

September 10, 2012

Doubles

84

100

June 30, 2012

Triples

39

50

August 2, 2012

Stolen Bases

52

100

April 2013

Runs

233

300

July 26, 2012

Ramon Jose (Marin) Hernandez:

While his 8 career stolen bases aren't worth mentioning his 1295 his are because he is almost guaranteed to get 1400 by the end of July. I think he has the power to get at least 14 home runs to give himself 75 career big flies. I don't see him reaching 800 RBI this year, but definitely next year assuming he still gets significant playing time.

Current

Milestone

JFK's Date

Hits

1295

1300

April 9, 2012

1400

July 28, 2012

Runs

560

600

July 19, 2012

Marcos Scutaro:

178294_red_sox_rockies_baseball_medium

via cdn3.sbnation.com

Marco comes in to the season reaching for 400 walks, 1200 hits, 75 home runs and 250 doubles. While it isn't likely that he gets 170 hits (I won't rule it out) I can see him getting 7 home runs and 35 doubles this year.

Current

Milestone

JFK's Date

Hits

1019

1100

All Star Break

1200

May 2013

Walks

388

400

May 15, 2012

William Casey Blake:

196493_dodgers_rockies_baseball_medium

via cdn0.sbnation.com

Blake comes into the season needing 55 walks to reach 500, 114 hits to get 1300, 36 doubles to reach 300. If he can drive in 84 he could have 700 RBI at the end of the year and 700 runs if he's driven in 56 more times. The keys for Blake are to stay healthy and hope that Nolan doesn't break down the door leading to his MLB debut and subsequent ROY campaign. If he can stick all year Blake could reach all of these milestones.

Current

Milestone

JFK's Date

Hits

1186

1200

April 25, 2012

1300

August 5, 2012

Doubles

264

300

September 24, 2012

Runs

644

700

August 3, 2012

RBI

616

700

September 28, 2012

Michael Brent Cuddyer:

20111214__twins-michael-cuddyer-121411a_p1_medium

via extras.mnginteractive.com

Cuddyer comes into the season with the same number of steals as Fowler but by the end of the year I would argue Fowler has him beat. The Rockies are banking on Cuddyer hitting 20 home runs (or maybe that's just me), the first 9 would put him at 150 for his career. With a quick start Michael could have 600 RBI by the middle of May (he only needs 20). With a 200 hit campaign he could end the season with 1300 for his career, otherwise I think he will have his 1200th hit by the end of July. With 445 at bats this year Michael will have 5000 for his career.

Current

Milestone

JFK's Date

Hits

1106

1200

July 25, 2012

Home Runs

141

150

June 14, 2012

RBI

580

600

May 28, 2012 (G2)

Troy Trevor Tulowitzki:

208585_mariners_rockies_spring_baseball_medium

via cdn3.sbnation.com

Troy is chasing Dexter for stolen bases, 51 compared to Dex's 52, and I think he will have 75 by the end of the year but Dex will be higher than that. Other milestones Troy is chasing include: 400 walks, this might not happen this year but he only needs 15 to be at 300 and he might get walked more often this year; 900 hits, I think he can have this by August 3 if he stays healthy because he only needs 130 to get there; 150 home runs, by September he will have hit 30 putting him at 152 for his career; 500 RBI and Runs, needing approximately 60 for each of these the All-Star break is a good estimate to hit these two milestones. By April 8 Troy will have 700 games played in the majors, as he's sitting at 697 right now.

Current

Milestone

JFK's Date

Hits

770

800

May 4, 2012

900

August 3, 2012

Home Runs

122

150

May 16, 2012

RBI

443

500

July 4, 2012

Runs

438

500

July 18, 2012

Walks

285

300

May 20, 2012

Carlos "Cargo" Eduardo Gonzalez:

9484904-large_medium

via media.silive.com

I think Carlos can be a 40-40 guy this year, but he only needs 23 home runs and 34 stolen bases to have 100 of each in his young major league career. I think he hits the 30-30 mark around August 10 with a home run. He's also approaching: 500 hits, sitting at 491 he will have this before April is over; 400 RBI, hey Galarraga had 140 for the team not once but twice and Cargo only needs 136; 400 runs, I think he will score 113 runs by the end of the season; 100 doubles, this will be easy as he currently has 97 but can he get to 150 (the Toddfather once hit 59 and he's slow).

Current

Milestone

JFK's Date

Hits

491

500

April 18, 2012

600

June 29, 2012

Home Runs

77

100

July 23, 2012

Doubles

97

100

April 12, 2012

RBI

264

300

June 22, 2012

400

April 2013

Runs

287

300

May 2, 2012

400

April 2013

Stolen Bases

66

100

August 31, 2012

Now that I've covered all of the "young" players we can get to the "old" ones: Jamie Moyer, Jason Giambi and Todd Helton:

Jamie Moyer:

022012-jamie-moyer-sw-pi_20120221020810687_660_320_jpg_medium

If Moyer makes the team not only will he instantly be the oldest player in baseball but he will also be the active leader in games started (628) innings pitched (4020.1), wins (267), losses (204), and second in strikeouts (2405, Javier Vaquez has 2536 and Sabathia in third has 2017). Not only can he look forward to hitting more highs but he can also look to move up the All-Time list in a number of categories. By pitching 115 innings he would tie Randy Johnson for 38th All-Time (4135.1). If he can get 60 strikeouts (not unreasonable) he would be alone at 32 All-Time. With 6 wins he moves from 36 to a tie for 32nd with Red Ruffing and with 6 losses he move up 6 slots to 36th All-Time by himself (210). If you want to be even more impressed with Roy Halladay, Moyer has 33 career complete games while Roy has 66 in 10 fewer years. The only other active player with more complete games is Livan Hernandez with 50 (must be something about slow pitchers).

Current

Milestone

JFK's Date

Wins

267 (36th)

273 (32nd)

August 2, 2012

Losses

204 (42nd)

210 (36th)

June 29, 2012

Innings Pitched

4020.1 (40th)

4135 (38th)

June 29, 2012

Strikeouts

2405 (37th)

2465 (32nd)

September 21, 2012

Jason Gilbert Giambi:

C190944c-e762-421b-9d54-07760a1f7645-big_medium

via cbsphilly.files.wordpress.com

Obviously everyone calls him "G" because of his middle name but us fans think it's because of his last name, how wrong we are. The big man, entering his 18th season and 4th with the Rockies is not only getting up there in age but he's quietly moving up some All-Times lists. The hard part for him is that he is strictly a part-time player with pinch hit opportunities and not many base-running chances late in games. He has 1314 career walks, which is good enough for 39th A-T, but with 19 more he would be tied with Eddie Murray for 34th A-T (1333) and Willie McCovey is sitting in 33rd with 1345. If he can get 52 hits, and he only had 34 last year, he would reach the "magic" marker of 2000 career hits. His 428 home runs is good enough for 42nd A-T. 10 more would move him into a tie with Andre Dawson for 39th (438) and 21 more would tie him with Jeff Bagwell for 37th (449). Giambi only had 6 doubles last year but if he gets 9 this year he will have 400 for his career (the next guy on our list laughs at how low that number is but the opposite is true for home runs). With just 3 RBI Jason will have 1400 for his illustrious career, although he won't move from his current rank of 71. He could get 28 on the season though and move into a tie with Andres Galarraga for 64th All-Time (1428). With 4 runs on the season Giambi reaches 1200 which, while not in the top 100 All-Time is still second only to Helton on the Rockies current roster by almost 120 with the next closest being ~500 runs away. Giambi should reach the 7000 at bat marker by July as he currently sits at 6932.

Current

Milestone

JFK's Date

Hits

1948

2000

August 29, 2012

Runs

1196

1200

May 11, 2012

RBI

1397 (71st)

1400

May 2, 2012

1425 (64th)

July 31, 2012

2B

391

400

September 14, 2012

HR

428 (42nd)

438 (39th)

August 16, 2012

449 (37th)

Retires First

BB

1314 (39th)

1333 (34th)

July 8, 2012

1345 (33rd)

September 18, 2012

Todd Lynn Helton (Mr. Rockie):

Mlb_a_helton_600_medium

via a.espncdn.com

The longest tenured Colorado Rockies' player Todd enters the year in a place to hit some personal milestones in games played, plate appearances and at-bats. He needs 46 games to reach 2100 (all with the Rockies). If he plays in 90 games and averages slightly more than 3 plate appearances per game he have 9000 for his career and if 175 of those 272 necessary plate appearances are actually at-bats he will have 7500 at-bats in his career.

As nobody cares about Helton's at-bats and plate appearances there are some other milestones approaching for him. With 4 stolen bases he will have 40 in his long career (probably not going to happen, but still possible). He only needs 44 walks to reach 1300 and 56 to catch Ken Griffey Jr. at 40th All-Time (1312). Unless Mr. Helton is injured all year it is very likely that he gets the 47 hits necessary to give him 2400 in his career. The question becomes whether he can reach that magic 2500 milestone this year with 147 hits, and I think it will be close but ultimately he will come up a little short, giving us something to look forward to in 2013 from the King of Cracker Barrel. Sitting at 347 home runs he only needs three to tie Chili Davis for 83rd All-Time and 14 to catch Joe DiMaggio. If he reaches 375 by some means he will be alone at 68th on the All-Time list. Bobby Abreu is currently tied with Helton for 24th All-Time in doubles (554) but Helton is looking to pull ahead with his sites set on Jeff Kent and Eddie Murray (22nd) at 560 and Ivan Rodriguez (21st) with 572. If Helton can get to 575 doubles he would be alone at 20th All-Time. I think this is not only possible but he will have matched this by August 17th. Already in the top 100 in RBI Helton is looking to move up from his 1308 (99th) to catch Larry Walker (96th) at 1311 and eventually Brooks Robinson (80th All-Time) at 1357. If he's good enough and Jason Giambi doesn't improve his count Helton could catch him at 1397. Todd is looking to catch Walker in another prominent category this year, runs. With just 27 runs Helton passes Walker for 100th All-Time in search of some loftier names (Tony Gywnn is 93rd with 1383). If Helton reaches the 1400 run marker he will be alone at 90th All-Time.

Current

Milestone

JFK's Date

Hits

2363 (124th)

2400 (116th)

June 2, 2012

2500 (94th)

2013

Home Runs

347 (86th)

350 (83rd)

May 22, 2012

361 (73rd)

September 7, 2012

375 (68th)

August 2013

Doubles

554 (24th)

560 (22nd)

May 16, 2012

572 (21st)

July 14, 2012

574 (20th)

July 31, 2012

578 (19th)

August 29, 2012

RBI

1308 (99th)

1311 (96th)

April 18, 2012

1357 (80th)

July 28, 2012

1400 (90th)

2013

Runs

1329 (108th)

1355 (100th)

June 29, 2012

1383 (93rd)

August 2, 2012

1392 (90th)

September 26, 2012

1400 (90th)

April 2013

Walks

1256 (48th)

1312 (40th)

August 18, 1012

The team is entering it's 20th season with a lot of fanfare and few expectations. But the entire season isn't about the team as a whole. Tulowitzki and Gonzalez could contend for an MVP while it's possible Arenado is in the running for ROY. The old guys are moving up the All-Time lists and making cases for being in the Hall of Fame. What are your thoughts and expectations for each of these players? Was I too conservative or are my expectations too high for a player?

Team statistics from Fangraphs
Individual statistics from Baseball Reference

Eat. Drink. Be Merry. But the above FanPost does not necessarily reflect the attitudes, opinions, or views of Purple Row's staff (unless, of course, it's written by the staff [and even then, it still might not]).

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