FanPost

Fangraphs WAR projections for NL West

I went through the Fangraphs series on Positional Power Rankings and pulled out the WAR projections for each team in the NL West. This isn't the most scientific approach to projections, but I think it gives a good starting point to a topic I've wanted to ask people about for a while: what do you expect the Rockies to produce in terms of WAR?


SP

RP

C

1b

2b

3b

SS

LF

CF

RF


ARI

10.5

3

5

2.5

2

2.5

2

3.5

4.5

6.5

42

COL

8.5

1.5

2.5

1.2

3

2

6.5

4.5

4

2.5

36.2

LAD

14

3

1.5

1.4

1.5

2.5

2.5

1.5

6

3

36.9

SDP

7

3

3

0.7

2

3.5

2.5

2.5

4.5

1.5

30.2

SFG

15

3

4.5

2

2

5

2.5

2.5

3

3

42.5

This would have the Rockies in third, behind the Dbacks and Gints but in a tier above the Dodgers. In general I think this is probably accurate, but as we've discussed the Rockies are a hard team to project this year. I think it would be interesting to come up with a range of WAR for each position rather than a single number. What values do you think would correspond to 20% (floor) and 80% (ceiling) likelihoods for each position? For example, I think there's only a 20% chance that the Rockies get less than 4 WAR from shortstop, but there's an 80% chance they'll get less than 7 WAR. The positions I can see varying greatly from the Fangraphs numbers are 3B, LF, 1B, and starting pitcher.

Eat. Drink. Be Merry. But the above FanPost does not necessarily reflect the attitudes, opinions, or views of Purple Row's staff (unless, of course, it's written by the staff [and even then, it still might not]).

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