• Google+

FanPost

PRESENTED BY
PRESENTED BY

Friday Rockpile: Faith-Based Management - In God, Rox Trust

Doug Pensinger

Stay connected for news and updates

Editor's Note: The following post is a part of the 2013 Purple Row Writer Search -- our quest to find some great new contributors to Purple Row.

Faith is a loaded word. Recently, in a comment related to the lack of player movement this off season, and after the dismal 2012 season, the Rockies general manager, Dan O'Dowd, indicated that he had "faith" in his roster. Looking at the many definitions of faith in the dictionary I am struck by this one definition, "firm belief in something for which there is no proof." It is honorable that our general manager has faith in the players he drafts and in the team he fields. It is another thing to put blind trust into something because you think your underlying belief leads to a better ball club.

The Colorado Rockies have a strong religious undertone. It has been well documented (here, here, here) that the team places religion at the forefront in deciding how the major league roster is constructed. Having a foundation of morally astute ball players is a fine way to construct a ballclub. With today's athletes in the news for felonies, misdeamors, and drug problems, it is a relief not to see our Rockies in the newspaper for the wrong reasons. This belief then must start in the front office. In the linked articles, it starts at the top with the Monforts. While this post is not meant to denigrate anyone's belief, I do have issue with a baseball team believing that "God" will make them successful. First off, I love my Rockies, but I honestly hope "God" has better things to do then steer a baseball team to success. Additionally, to place faith in this "God" to make your team more successful over opposing teams is both pompous and disingenuous.

As a sport's fan I continuously cringe when player's put forth their talents and wins as a direct result of God's blessing. I would hope God would bless all the player's on the field, not just the one who hit the homer or scored the winning touchdown. Religious fervor on the playing field should be an athlete's personal matter and not thrust upon the fans. This should then carry over to any organization. The fact that Rockies field a "Faith Day" each year (doing so twice in 2013) should indicate the level of hypocrisy the team wishes to display.

I, for one, would hope that instead of having "faith," the Rockies would take a more scientific approach to fielding a ball club. This winter's quiet off season should concern many Rockies's faithful. In November 2012, Rockies traded an effective left handed reliever, Matt Reynolds, to a team within their own division, the Diamondbacks. They then traded a key component of the Ubaldo Jimenez trade, Alex White, to the Astros for a potential injured reliever in Wilton Lopez. In addition, they brought back head case Manuel Corpas and signed a couple of scrap heap starting pitchers in Batista and Volstad. Finally, this past weekend, they brought in Yorvit Torrealba even though they already have three catcher's on the MLB roster in Rosario, Hernandez, and Pacheco. With moves like these, one has to wonder why Colorado fans have so much "faith" in this organization.

When we look back at the 2012 season, we can only have "faith" that the 49 different players the Rockies trotted out onto the field last year will have grown and matured during the off season. Specifically - Josh Rutledge, Christian Friedrich, and Rob Scahill, who will be entering their Sophomore seasons. In addition, some players will be taking to their third season including Rex Brothers, Jordan Pacheco, Wilin Rosario, Juan Nicasio, Drew Pomeranz, and Adam Ottavino. The Rockies 25 man roster will have 9 players that Dan O'Dowd is staking his "faith" on that they will improve. For a team with only 64 wins last year, O'Dowd's "faith" is enormous. The table below shows, historically, the jump player's make from their freshmen year (at least 90 at bats or 35 innings) to their second season in WAR values. Note: Some data below is taken from player's second season to their third season if their first season did not meet the defined criteria.

Player

Debut

Age

Games

At Bats

WAR

Games

At Bats

WAR

Change

Troy Tulowitzki

2006

21

25

96

-0.4

155

609

6.5

6.9

Chris Iannetta

2006

23

67

197

0.3

104

333

3.0

2.7

Juan Pierre

2000

22

51

200

0.2

156

617

2.9

2.7

Seth Smith

2007

24

67

108

-0.4

133

335

2.2

2.6

Matt Holliday

2004

24

121

400

0.3

125

479

2.6

2.3

Ryan Spilborghs

2005

25

67

167

0.0

97

264

1.0

1.0

Carlos Gonzalez

2007

22

85

302

0.9

89

278

1.7

0.8

Brad Hawpe

2004

25

42

118

-0.7

101

305

0.1

0.8

Charlie Blackmon

2011

24

27

98

-0.7

42

113

0.1

0.8

Dexter Fowler

2008

22

135

433

1.0

132

439

1.6

0.6

Brent Butler

2001

23

53

119

-0.3

113

344

0.0

0.3

Tim Olson

2004

25

48

97

-0.3

3

2

0.0

0.3

Omar Quintanilla

2005

23

39

128

-0.1

11

34

0.0

0.1

Eric Young

2009

24

51

172

-0.2

77

198

-0.3

(0.1)

Chris Nelson

2010

24

63

180

-0.8

111

345

-1.0

(0.2)

Luis Gonzalez

2004

25

102

322

0.4

128

404

0.2

(0.2)

Jose Ortiz

2000

23

64

246

0.0

65

192

-0.3

(0.3)

Cory Sullivan

2005

25

139

378

0.7

126

386

0.1

(0.6)

Jonathan Herrera

2008

23

76

222

0.9

104

281

0.3

(0.6)

JD Closser

2004

24

36

113

0.2

92

237

-0.4

(0.6)

Rene Reyes

2003

25

53

116

0.0

28

61

-0.7

(0.7)

Jorge Piedra

2004

25

61

112

0.1

43

59

-0.7

(0.8)

Ian Stewart

2007

22

81

266

1.3

147

425

0.5

(0.8)

Aaron Miles

2003

26

134

522

0.9

99

324

-1.0

(1.9)

Juan Uribe

2001

21

72

273

1.5

155

566

-0.4

(1.9)

Jordan Pacheco

2011

25

132

475

-0.7

Josh Rutledge

2012

23

73

277

-0.2

Andrew Brown

2011

26

46

112

-0.1

DJ LeMahieu

2011

22

81

229

1.2

Wilin Rosario

2011

22

117

426

1.9

Average

24

74

230

0.2

97

305

0.7

0.5

Year 1

Year 2

Player

Debut

Age

Games

IP

WAR

Games

IP

WAR

Change

Aaron Cook

2002

23

43

124

-0.9

16

96

2.2

3.1

Ubaldo Jimenez

2006

22

15

82

0.7

34

198

3.6

2.9

Jeff Francis

2004

23

33

183

0.1

32

199

3.0

2.9

Taylor Buchholz

2006

24

22

113

-1.0

41

93

0.8

1.8

Alex White

2011

22

10

51

-1.0

23

98

0.6

1.6

Jason Jennings

2001

22

7

39

0.3

32

185

1.9

1.6

Jason Hirsh

2006

24

9

44

-0.5

19

112

0.9

1.4

Jhoulys Chacin

2009

21

28

137

2.4

31

194

3.6

1.2

Tyler Chatwood

2011

21

27

142

-0.6

19

64

0.4

1.0

Greg Reynolds

2008

22

14

62

-1.2

13

32

-0.3

0.9

Matt Reynolds

2010

25

73

50

0.4

71

57

1.0

0.6

Rex Brothers

2011

23

48

40

0.9

75

67

1.4

0.5

Chin-hui Tsao

2003

22

9

43

0.0

10

9

0.2

0.2

Esmil Rogers

2009

23

28

72

-1.7

18

83

-1.6

0.1

Matt Daley

2009

27

57

51

0.5

28

23

0.2

(0.3)

Allan Simpson

2004

26

32

39

0.0

11

7

-0.4

(0.4)

Juan Nicasio

2011

24

13

71

1.0

11

58

0.5

(0.5)

Scott Dohmann

2004

26

41

46

0.7

32

31

-0.4

(1.1)

Franklin Morales

2007

21

8

39

1.0

5

25

-0.1

(1.1)

Javier Lopez

2003

25

75

58

0.9

64

40

-0.8

(1.7)

Manuel Corpas

2006

23

78

78

2.8

76

79

0.8

(2.0)

Ramon Ramirez

2006

24

61

67

1.4

22

17

-0.7

(2.1)

Greg Smith

2008

24

32

190

1.7

8

39

-0.4

(2.1)

Shawn Chacon

2001

23

27

160

1.6

21

119

-0.6

(2.2)

Victor Santos

2001

24

33

76

1.3

24

26

-1.3

(2.6)

Christian Friedrich

2012

24

17

84

0.2

Drew Pomeranz

2011

22

22

96

1.4

Adam Ottavino

2011

24

53

79

1.1

Average

23

33

83

0.5

29

78

0.6

0.1

Based on the above analysis, science would suggest reliance on sophomores is not an effective plan to get better. The jump in contribution averages 0.5 for non pitchers and 0.1 for pitchers. Fundamentally, the Rockies should be better, assuming the injured Tulo comes back and Cuddyer and Helton can scrape together decent seasons. If O'Dowd "faith" in his team works, baseball experts suggest the Rockies will still only finish with approximately 68 wins (two early predictions have 66 and 71 wins). At this point it would appear his "faith" and the Rockies reliance on such a "faith" management style might have it limits. This Rockies fan is tired of the same tried and true excuses. The organization's inability to understand the market and how to win is tiresome. I applaud the Rockies for wanting a team with integrity but when will Rockies fan's "faith" finally send a message that we want a winner too.

Off-topic

Eat. Drink. Be Merry. But the above FanPost does not necessarily reflect the attitudes, opinions, or views of Purple Row's staff (unless, of course, it's written by the staff [and even then, it still might not]).

In This FanPost

Topics
Teams
Players

Stay connected for news and updates

There are 360 Comments. Load Now. Loading

Shortcuts to mastering the comment thread. Use wisely.

C - Next Comment
X - Mark as Read

R - Reply
Z - Mark Read & Next

Shift + C - Previous
Shift + A - Mark All Read

Comment Settings

Live comment alert: Hide it!

Comments for this post are closed.