How much better is the Rockies lineup than the rest of the West?
The answer might surprise you, and I know it will surprise many outside observers. First of all, let's get the obvious question out of the way:
Is the Rockies' lineup better than those in the rest of the NL West?
Yes. It is. It's deeper, too.
Let's just go position by position by RC/G (Runs Created per Game) according to the ZiPS (you can download the complete Excel files from BBTF at this link here) of each team's likely starter:
Catcher
- Chris Iannetta 5.9
- Josh Bard 5.5
- Russell Martin 5.4
- Miguel Montero 4.9
- Eliezer Alfonso 3.7 (Matheny's at 3.3)
First Base:
- Todd Helton 8.8
- Nomar Garciaparra 6.1
- Adrian Gonzalez 6.0
- Conor Jackson 5.9
- Rich Aurillia 5.3
Second Base:
- Jeff Kent 5.9
- Ray Durham 5.6
- Orlando Hudson 5.4
- Marcus Giles 5.2
- Kaz Matsui 4.5
Shortstop:
- 1a. Rafael Furcal 5.5
1b. Stephen Drew 5.5 - Troy Tulowitzki 5.4
- Khalil Greene 4.7
- Omar Vizquel 4.2
Third Base:
- Garrett Atkins 7.6
- Chad Tracy 5.8
- Kevin Kouzmanoff 5.3
- Wilson Betemit 5.1
- Pedro Feliz 4.0
Right Field:
2a. Brian Giles 6.1
2b. Andre Ethier 6.1
2c. Carlos Quentin 6.1
5. Randy Winn 4.8
Center Field:
- Chris Young 6.0
- Mike Cameron 5.2
- Dave Roberts 5.0
- Willy Taveras 4.8
- Juan Pierre 4.5
Left Field
- Barry Bonds 9.9
- Matt Holliday 8.2
- Eric Byrnes 5.3
- Termel Sledge 5.1
- Luis Gonzalez 5.0
Average for the starting eight:
- Colorado 6.4625
- Arizona 5.6125
- Los Angeles 5.45
- San Diego 5.3875
- San Francisco 5.3125

The Rockies' average represents an 18.6% premium on the Dodgers average. If you look at only last season's park factors (Coors Field 107, Dodger Stadium 102) the difference is significant, but if you look at only 2005's (Coors Field 112, Dodger Stadium 95) it's negligible. I'm going to take the optimistic middle road, and say we're still a bit ahead of LA. As for Arizona, Chase Field has played at park factors of 107 and 104 the last two seasons, which would drop them below Los Angeles in a neutral setting.
In short, the offensive end seems taken care of at this point as far as our starters are concerned. If the Dodgers make some moves with players they already have (replacing Juan Pierre with Matt Kemp, for example) that could change. As far as the bench goes, this is where Arizona actually could make up some ground:
Outfield/Corner Bench 1 (DH/PH):
- Jeff Baker 6.2
- Scott Hairston 6.1
- Olmedo Saenz 5.8
- Ryan Klesko 5.7
- Russell Branyan 5.4
DH/PH Bench #2
- Ryan Spilborghs 5.6
- Tony Clark 5.2
- Todd Linden 5.0
- Marlon Anderson 4.8
- Jose Cruz Jr. 4.2
Backup Catcher:
- 1. Chris Snyder 4.4
1b. Mike Lieberthal 4.4 - Javy Lopez 4.3
- Rob Bowen 3.5
- Mike Matheny 3.3
Backup Infielder:
- Todd Walker 4.6
- Alberto Callaspo 4.5
- Kevin Frandsen 4.3
- Jamey Carroll 4.1
- Ramon Martinez 3.7
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SI's top prospect list
You can see how loaded the Rockies system is:
Iannetta #64
Stewart #51
Fowler #48
Morales #44
Hirsh #36
Tulo must be in the top 15.
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2007/baseball/mlb/01/22/prospects.partiv/index.html
by Rox Fan in TN on
Jan 22, 2007 12:59 PM MST
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I'll do something similar with pitchers later
by Rox Girl on
Jan 22, 2007 2:35 PM MST
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Maybe
by rockiesfan4ever on
Jan 22, 2007 5:28 PM MST
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Minor Correction
I'm also not offended by you ranking Ianetta above Martin, they seem like pretty similar players, and Ianetta has the park factor rating.
I think Martin is heading down the Paul LoDuca path. A guy that's going to be an above average catcher but is going to get overvalued because he has the "heart and soul" tag attached to him. Of course, I'm pretty much the only Dodger fan that isn't gaga about the guy, so I'm sure anyone else would take offense.
by regfairfield on
Jan 22, 2007 8:51 PM MST
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That's great...
There is an infusion of new players which brings hope but seriously, how much of a difference can we expect from this batch of guys?
by InToddwetrust on
Jan 23, 2007 1:17 PM MST
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The Rockies are not going to finish last this year
by Rox Girl on
Jan 23, 2007 1:27 PM MST
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WRONG
by Franchise26 on
Jan 24, 2007 12:16 AM MST
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