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Around SBN: The Amateur Mathematics Of Linsanity

Thursday Morning Rockpile:

Still not much news, the big thing yesterday being Mark Redman and Kip Wells becoming members of the team officially. As discount rotation insurance -possibly found over the Internet or on the midnight commercials of local TV- they aren't terrible options. If Hirsh, Jimenez and Morales don't live up to expectations, we were going to be in a screwy position anyway, but last season at this time we were looking at Brian Lawrence and Byung Hyun Kim in these roles. It's an incremental upgrade, but it still qualifies.

David Pinto, who usually writes for the Baseball Musings website, has another gig at The Sporting News wherein he notes that the Diamondbacks now have the majors best starting tandem when looking at a basic and somewhat flawed stat called Earned Runs Prevented. He goes into the details of its limitations -mainly by unfairly favoring pitchers in hitters parks- but it does provide a quick and dirty gauge of a rotation's effectiveness.

There's a considerable gap between AZ and the field, but the Rockies duo of Jeff Francis and Aaron Cook did rank #3 last year despite missing Cook for a chunk of the season. Again, keep in mind the bias in the stat, but the Rockies had a solid foundation, and we're not as far behind as we could be. Frankly, I think we can forget about a similar trade to help us keep up. The three pitchers rumored to be available who still might qualify, Johan Santana, Joe Blanton and Eric Bedard aren't going to come without cheaply. Where the team needs to make up the ground on Arizona is their weaker 3-5 slots. That means our kids have to step up and we've got to hope for more RJ back troubles and that hitters do a better job of laying off Doug Davis' junk in 2008. I'm telling you, Arizona hand is definitely trouble for next year, but we've got a legitimate shot at beating it.

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You know...
When I hear "reach new heights" I don't really think of Mark Redman or Kip Wells, to be honest...

But seriously, they're very affordable contracts, and if Wells can rebound to be a 4.75 ERA pitcher, I'll take it. And Redman gave us some good innings last season, and I'm assuming most of the money he's looking at is incentive based. Redman is this year's Tom Martin.

As for Marcus Giles, if O'Dowd gets him for like 1 year/3M, I'll take it. Despite the level of "confidence" in the in-house options, he sure seems to be pursuing every available FA...

It's Tricky to rock a rhyme, to rock a rhyme that's right on time It's Tulowitzki!...Tulo-witzki-witzki-witzki ..... rockiesmagicnumber.blogspot.com

by Andrew Martin on Dec 20, 2007 2:01 PM MST reply actions  

Well...
sure, he's gone after all the 2nd base free agents.  But not very hard.  He's obviously unwilling to pay a premium for a veteran 2nd baseman, and I bet that's because he actually does like in-house options, he just doesn't want the whole season riding on them.  He wants insurance.
"I want to live forever or die trying" Yossarian in "Catch-22"

by Dieb on Dec 20, 2007 5:52 PM MST up reply actions  

I will have to endorse...
...the Marcel the Monkey Forcasting System.  Just by name value alone, it seems like something even I could grasp.

by Since1993 on Dec 20, 2007 5:00 PM MST reply actions  

Well, in 10 minutes or so
I am off to commence the grueling all-day slog which it what it takes to get me from Bronxville, NY to Evergreen, CO, for Christmas. If I miss my connection in Cleveland, I'll be sleeping on the terminal floor tonight... any ideas for as how to best amuse myself should that occur?
Get Demented. Mother of the Baby Tulos; subsisting on a football diet until spring. Go Broncos!

by Silverblood on Dec 21, 2007 7:59 AM MST reply actions  

COUNT YOUR
blessings and those of the Rox; but your's first.

by 86 wins in 07 on Dec 21, 2007 9:29 AM MST reply actions  

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