Vegas Over/Unders vs. PECOTA vs. Chaos Theory
The Vegas Over/Unders are out. So are PECOTA's season predictions. Which would you bet on?
pecota
Change Scope
Filter By
Tuesday Rockpile: PECOTA Not Bullish on 2013 Rox
The first aspects of Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA forecasts came out yesterday. One would not expect them to be optimistic regarding the Rockies, but it may be worse than you thought.
PECOTA Beta Projections Available
PECOTA projections are only available to beta testers right now, but come check out the few we snuck away for your viewing.
12
Dave Allen at The Baseball Analysts provides a graph of projected wins for NL East teams according...
Dave Allen at The Baseball Analysts provides a graph of projected wins for NL East teams according to various projection systems. The Mets projections range from 75 to 85 wins, with ~80 being the consensus. The graph is near identical to last year's, which turned out to be pretty spot on.
PECOTA Hates The Mets, Loves Johan Santana
Baseball Prospectus's forecasting system thinks the Mets are dreck, but has an irrational love affair with Johan.
The Mets Are Who The Computers Thought They Were
The Mets are living up to their mediocre expectations.
2007-2010 American League differentials in actual and preseason PECOTA projections for wins. (2010...
2007-2010 American League differentials in actual and preseason PECOTA projections for wins. (2010 adjusted for games played so far.)
Dave Allen at The Baseball Analysts provides this graph of projected wins for NL East teams per the...
Dave Allen at The Baseball Analysts provides this graph of projected wins for NL East teams per the various systems. 75-80 wins is the general consensus and all but one system projects 4th place. Trying hard to remain objective, 80-85 wins is my prediction.
First Look At 2010 PECOTA Depth Charts
First Look At 2010 PECOTA Depth Charts
Livan Strikes Out Pujols
Livan Hernandez's strikeout of Albert Pujols gives me hope in miracles.
