Thanks to Eric Simon of Amazin' Avenue who received a sneak peek at the 2009 Bill James projections. He graciously offered the information to all the baseball bloggers, and here I present to you how Rockies hitters are projected for 2009 before the book is released on November 1.
Join me after the jump.
Hitter | Age | G | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | RC | BB | SO | SB | CS | Avg | OBP | Slg | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Garrett Atkins | 29 | 158 | 617 | 183 | 41 | 1 | 22 | 90 | 105 | 104 | 57 | 95 | 1 | 1 | 0.297 | 0.359 | 0.473 | 0.832 |
Jeff Baker | 28 | 106 | 285 | 78 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 42 | 47 | 44 | 23 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 0.274 | 0.330 | 0.470 | 0.800 |
Clint Barmes | 30 | 107 | 351 | 96 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 44 | 15 | 49 | 7 | 4 | 0.274 | 0.309 | 0.413 | 0.722 |
Dexter Fowler | 23 | 150 | 564 | 171 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 95 | 63 | 96 | 63 | 112 | 28 | 12 | 0.303 | 0.374 | 0.452 | 0.826 |
Brad Hawpe | 30 | 152 | 540 | 152 | 31 | 3 | 27 | 76 | 99 | 100 | 78 | 146 | 2 | 2 | 0.281 | 0.374 | 0.500 | 0.874 |
Todd Helton | 35 | 131 | 476 | 145 | 36 | 1 | 17 | 79 | 74 | 98 | 93 | 73 | 1 | 1 | 0.305 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.913 |
Matt Holliday | 29 | 154 | 605 | 192 | 43 | 4 | 29 | 111 | 108 | 128 | 66 | 116 | 19 | 6 | 0.317 | 0.392 | 0.545 | 0.937 |
Chris Iannetta | 26 | 133 | 463 | 126 | 29 | 4 | 21 | 71 | 79 | 84 | 74 | 108 | 0 | 0 | 0.272 | 0.382 | 0.488 | 0.870 |
Omar Quintanilla | 27 | 86 | 246 | 65 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 20 | 29 | 19 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 0.264 | 0.317 | 0.366 | 0.683 |
Seth Smith | 26 | 79 | 211 | 60 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 29 | 34 | 21 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 0.284 | 0.349 | 0.464 | 0.814 |
Ryan Spilborghs | 29 | 118 | 370 | 115 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 59 | 53 | 66 | 44 | 60 | 9 | 5 | 0.311 | 0.386 | 0.468 | 0.853 |
Ian Stewart | 24 | 81 | 272 | 72 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 26 | 70 | 5 | 2 | 0.265 | 0.338 | 0.467 | 0.805 |
Willy Taveras | 27 | 134 | 514 | 145 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 77 | 29 | 62 | 35 | 85 | 56 | 12 | 0.282 | 0.335 | 0.337 | 0.672 |
Yorvit Torrealba | 30 | 56 | 134 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0.246 | 0.318 | 0.381 | 0.698 |
Troy Tulowitzki | 24 | 129 | 500 | 144 | 32 | 3 | 17 | 80 | 71 | 82 | 51 | 79 | 4 | 4 | 0.288 | 0.359 | 0.466 | 0.825 |
Here are some thoughts:
- These projections tend to be a bit on the optimistic side. I'm speaking of over the years.
- If Dexter Fowler can come in and have a full season like that we're talking about not only a Rookie of the Year, but also a true leadoff hitter for the Rockies.
- I'm liking the projection for Chris Iannetta. We'll have a season without having to think about Torrealba playing almost every day (being the backup or being traded).
- I don't want to see Brad Hawpe approach 150 K. His highest is 137, from 2007.
- Troy Tulowitzki has a nice 2009 season.
- Todd Helton, Garrett Atkins, and Ian Stewart: Those three are in a situation that will sort itself out during the offseason. Stewart should play in more than half the games.
- Matt Holliday is still a beast but fails to reach or break the 30-homer plateau for a second year in a row.
Feel free to bring up other points of disscussion. We'll compare these projections to others when they are released over the offseason. Later tonight or tomorrow I'll put up the pitcher projections.