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2009 Bill James Handbook Projections (Hitters)

By Russ Oates

Thanks to Eric Simon of Amazin' Avenue who received a sneak peek at the 2009 Bill James projections. He graciously offered the information to all the baseball bloggers, and here I present to you how Rockies hitters are projected for 2009 before the book is released on November 1.

Join me after the jump.

 

2009 Bill James Projections
Hitter Age G AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI RC BB SO SB CS Avg OBP Slg OPS
Garrett Atkins 29 158 617 183 41 1 22 90 105 104 57 95 1 1 0.297 0.359 0.473 0.832
Jeff Baker 28 106 285 78 19 2 11 42 47 44 23 69 3 1 0.274 0.330 0.470 0.800
Clint Barmes 30 107 351 96 21 2 8 45 36 44 15 49 7 4 0.274 0.309 0.413 0.722
Dexter Fowler 23 150 564 171 38 8 10 95 63 96 63 112 28 12 0.303 0.374 0.452 0.826
Brad Hawpe 30 152 540 152 31 3 27 76 99 100 78 146 2 2 0.281 0.374 0.500 0.874
Todd Helton 35 131 476 145 36 1 17 79 74 98 93 73 1 1 0.305 0.421 0.492 0.913
Matt Holliday 29 154 605 192 43 4 29 111 108 128 66 116 19 6 0.317 0.392 0.545 0.937
Chris Iannetta 26 133 463 126 29 4 21 71 79 84 74 108 0 0 0.272 0.382 0.488 0.870
Omar Quintanilla 27 86 246 65 17 1 2 31 20 29 19 43 2 1 0.264 0.317 0.366 0.683
Seth Smith 26 79 211 60 15 1 7 28 29 34 21 34 5 2 0.284 0.349 0.464 0.814
Ryan Spilborghs 29 118 370 115 24 2 10 59 53 66 44 60 9 5 0.311 0.386 0.468 0.853
Ian Stewart 24 81 272 72 18 2 11 40 41 42 26 70 5 2 0.265 0.338 0.467 0.805
Willy Taveras 27 134 514 145 16 3 2 77 29 62 35 85 56 12 0.282 0.335 0.337 0.672
Yorvit Torrealba 30 56 134 33 9 0 3 14 17 15 10 26 0 0 0.246 0.318 0.381 0.698
Troy Tulowitzki 24 129 500 144 32 3 17 80 71 82 51 79 4 4 0.288 0.359 0.466 0.825

Here are some thoughts:

  • These projections tend to be a bit on the optimistic side. I'm speaking of over the years.
  • If Dexter Fowler can come in and have a full season like that we're talking about not only a Rookie of the Year, but also a true leadoff hitter for the Rockies.
  • I'm liking the projection for Chris Iannetta. We'll have a season without having to think about Torrealba playing almost every day (being the backup or being traded).
  • I don't want to see Brad Hawpe approach 150 K. His highest is 137, from 2007.
  • Troy Tulowitzki has a nice 2009 season.
  • Todd Helton, Garrett Atkins, and Ian Stewart: Those three are in a situation that will sort itself out during the offseason. Stewart should play in more than half the games.
  • Matt Holliday is still a beast but fails to reach or break the 30-homer plateau for a second year in a row.

Feel free to bring up other points of disscussion. We'll compare these projections to others when they are released over the offseason. Later tonight or tomorrow I'll put up the pitcher projections.

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