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Monday Rockpile: The "Two Games Played" Overreactions

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It's the perfect time of year for it: Small Sample Size overreactions. Teams are 2-4 games in and things don't look perfect for them, so the world is clearly over. Or other teams are performing far better than expected; they are clearly bound for the championship.

Troy Tulowitzki is 0fer so far, as is Ian Stewart, and Stewart looks especially lost over his 4PA, having struck out in 3 of 4 of them.

On the other side, Chris Iannetta, Jose Lopez, and Seth Smith are all raking. As a big Iannetta fan, I want to believe that he's really turned a corner and is really taking ownership of the job

By that logic, the Rockies are going to have to reschedule 54 of their 162 games.

True as those things may be about Iannetta, he's not going to keep up at a .593 wOBA pace (where .330 is about average) and neither is Jose Lopez going to post a .495 wOBA nor Seth Smith a .423.

Seriously though, it's been 2 games for the Rockies so far, and I do think that most of the fanbase has been relatively well-behaved in the form of not flipping out over a couple of players' poor performances thus far. I mean, at least Root Sports isn't beginning the postgame show with a sign-on saying "The Season Is Not Over". Well, I guess at .500 thus far they wouldn't really need to.

But the fact is that there's no way to know anything definitive after 2 games. As Ken Tremendous put it:

Here's What We've Learned From the First Two Days

Nothing. You can't learn anything from the first two days. Everyone should stop trying to tell me what we've learned from the first two days.

Fact is, I could find you any number of 2-game stretches over the past several years where Tulo and Stewart have done just as poorly, and I could probably do the same for Lopez, Iannetta, and Smith where they succeeded as mightily. 2 games. That's it.

So don't worry.  Ubaldo's going to regain grip of his fastball. Tulo and Stewart are not going to go 0-for-the season. Check back in May and we'll reassess the situation.

Off Topic


Rockies game postponed, no makeup date announced | All Things Rockies — Colorado Rockies news — Denver Post
The good news is that Ubaldo's finger is healing and the DLR finger blister is already taken care of. There is something more important to note though, for anyone StubHubbing tickets to yesterday's game:

Tickets purchased via StubHub need to be returned to StubHub for refund or exchange. StubHub tickets are not valid for exchange at Coors Field or the Rockies Dugout Stores.


MLB "authenticator" at Coors Field will monitor baseballs from humidor to game use - The Denver Post

"The Rockies could not have been more cooperative about this," Joe Garagiola Jr., MLB's senior vice president of standards and on-field operations, told The Denver Post.

Bunch of lying cheating snakes, cheating with the cheatingest of cheaters. Whatever, haters gonna hate, I'm sure there'll be a new "reason" to gripe soon enough.