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The Rockies’ splits are starting to make sense, and that’s a good sign

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The Rockies have a much better record away from Coors Field, but do the stats tell the same story?

The Rockies have played 78 games so far in 2018 — almost half of the season. They sit at 38-40 and in fourth place in the NL West behind the Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles Dodgers, and San Francisco Giants. Notably, and uncharacteristically, they have a better team on the road (23-18) than at Coors Field (15-22). That’s unusual. In 2017 as a whole, the team finished 87-75: 46-35 at home and 41-40 on the road. In 2016, they finished 75-87 with a record of 42-39 at home and 33-48 on the road. The last time they finished below .500 at home was 2015, when they finished 36-45 at home and 68-94 as a whole. Even when they lost 96 games in 2014, they finished with a winning record at home (they didn’t in 2012 when they lost 98, but that would have been quite an accomplishment).

The Rockies’ home/road record split is pretty clear, but what do the stats say? We’re about halfway through the season now, with 18 games until the All-Star Break and 84 games left in the season, so it’s about time to take a look at the Rockies’ home and road splits.

★ ★ ★

Team Batting Statistics

Initially, the team started off much better on the road before going 4-3 on their last homestand — the first winning homestand of 2018. Now, with 4 less games played at home than on the road, the team has more or less normalized. Many of their stats show that they are better at home now. However, they still have three more home runs on the road than at home.

Team Batting Statistics

Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Overall 371 (2nd) 125 (8th) 17 (4th) 97 (3rd) 8.40% (5th) 23.20% (9th) .251 (5th) .319 (6th) .421 (3rd)
Home 196 64 15 47 8.30% 22.70% 0.276 0.341 0.463
Road 175 61 2 50 8.50% 23.60% 0.229 0.3 0.383
Difference (home-road) 21 3 13 -3 -0.20% -0.90% 0.047 0.041 0.08

Offensively, the Rockies are all over the map in terms of where they place amongst their 14 National League peers. They only rank in the top third in runs scored, triples, home runs, walk percentage, batting average, and slugging percentage. The only category in which they fall in the lower half of the National League is in strikeouts. Below are individual batting statistics.

Individual Batting Statistics (starters)

Chris Iannetta is much better on the road than at home, except for doubles and batting average. However, many of his categories even out or are within one point (or less) of each other. Iannetta is a pretty consistent overall player.

Chris Iannetta

Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Overall 18 9 0 5 12.60% 24.70% 0.234 0.343 0.39
Home 8 7 0 2 9.60% 27.70% 0.25 0.337 0.431
Road 10 2 0 3 15.20% 22.20% 0.22 0.347 0.354
Difference (home-road) -2 5 0 -1 -5.60% 5.50% 0.03 -0.01 -0.077

Ian Desmond started off much better on the road than at home and that still remains the case in a lot of regards, but the splits aren’t as dramatic as they were before this home stand. He has walked more at home, thanks in part to nine walks in his last seven games. Those walks also helped even out his on base percentage to almost even.

Ian Desmond

Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Overall 41 8 1 15 9.40% 25.90% 0.213 0.296 0.422
Home 17 4 1 4 12.20% 26.50% 0.184 0.293 0.328
Road 24 4 0 11 6.70% 25.30% 0.239 0.3 0.507
Difference (home-road) -7 0 1 -7 5.50% 1.20% -0.055 -0.007 -0.179

DJ LeMahieu is an interesting case. His only majorly dramatic splits are slugging percentage and home runs. Other than those two, his splits are fairly even across the board, leaning ever so slightly one way or another.

DJ LeMahieu

Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Overall 40 15 0 7 7.60% 14.90% 0.279 0.331 0.438
Home 21 7 0 1 5.70% 15.00% 0.282 0.321 0.259
Road 19 8 0 6 10.10% 14.70% 0.274 0.343 0.547
Difference (home-road) 2 -1 0 -5 -4.40% 0.30% 0.008 -0.022 -0.288

Nolan Arenado is off on another hot streak, but he is currently feeling the Coors Field Effect with only his doubles and walk percentage, and strikeout percentage being more prevalent on the road. His home runs are double at home than on the road, thanks in part to five home runs in his last seven games. That also dramatically skewed his slugging percentage towards Coors Field.

Nolan Arenado

Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Overall 52 18 2 18 12.90% 18.60% 0.318 0.403 0.595
Home 32 7 2 12 11.40% 16.50% 0.357 0.43 0.693
Road 20 11 0 6 14.40% 20.60% 0.276 0.375 0.493
Difference (home-road) 12 -4 2 6 -3.00% -4.10% 0.081 0.055 0.2

Trevor Story, like Nolan Arenado, heavily favors Coors Field. All of his stats are skewed heavily, except for doubles (even) and strikeout percentage (8.6% less at Coors).

Trevor Story

Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Overall 41 20 4 16 8.40% 26.00% 0.264 0.332 0.518
Home 25 10 4 13 10.80% 21.50% 0.313 0.399 0.739
Road 16 10 0 3 6.30% 30.10% 0.223 0.273 0.339
Difference (home-road) 9 0 4 10 4.50% -8.60% 0.09 0.126 0.4

Gerardo Parra’s numbers favor the road for the most part, but he is also pretty even across the board. The only dramatic splits are runs, walk percentage, and slugging percentage.

Gerardo Parra

Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Overall 31 13 0 5 4.90% 16.40% 0.304 0.342 0.427
Home 10 4 0 2 1.90% 19.20% 0.298 0.384 0.682
Road 21 9 0 3 7.10% 14.30% 0.32 0.374 0.461
Difference (home-road) -11 -5 0 -1 -5.20% 4.90% -0.022 0.01 0.221

Charlie Blackmon is having a rare year where he’s been playing better on the road than at home — as evidenced mostly by his 8 more home runs on the road than at home.

Charlie Blackmon

Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Overall 60 9 4 14 10.00% 19.40% 0.282 0.361 0.483
Home 30 5 3 3 9.80% 21.60% 0.299 0.373 0.445
Road 30 4 1 11 10.20% 17.50% 0.268 0.35 0.516
Difference (home-road) 0 1 2 -8 -0.40% 4.10% 0.031 0.023 -0.071

Carlos González is fairly even across the board as well, with his only major home skews are in his slash line.

Carlos González

Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Location R 2B 3B HR BB% SO% BA OBP SLG
Overall 29 9 2 7 7.90% 24.10% 0.274 0.329 0.447
Home 15 5 2 5 7.60% 30.40% 0.329 0.38 0.612
Road 14 4 0 2 8.10% 19.40% 0.232 0.29 0.321
Difference (home-road) 1 1 2 3 -0.50% 11.00% 0.097 0.09 0.291

Overall, the Rockies have some players who favor one place over another, which is completely normal. As mentioned earlier, they started the year much better on the road than at home. Their win/loss record still shows that, but a lot of their offensive statics have normalized. Their pitching statistics show a different story, however.

★ ★ ★

Team Pitching Statistics

As a complete pitching staff, including starters and relievers, they favor the road almost everywhere. Their road ERA is almost a full two points lower and they’ve also surrendered fewer hits, runs (earned or not), and home runs on the road. They’ve walked only a few fewer batters on the road, but have struck out far less at home. For the most part, their starters are doing fairly well. However, Chad Bettis and German Márquez have been struggling heavily at Coors, as referenced in the individual stats section below.

Team Pitching Statistics

Location ERA IP HR BB% SO% WHIP
Location ERA IP HR BB% SO% WHIP
Overall 5.13 694.2 97 9.20% 22.20% 1.424
Home 6.16 336 57 9.30% 21.10% 1.595
Road 4.17 358.2 40 9.10% 23.20% 1.263
Difference (home-road) 1.99 -22.1 17 0.20% -2.10% 0.332

Individual Pitching Statistics (starters)

Jon Gray seems to be finding himself at home. After his performance against the Marlins on Friday in which he pitched seven innings of one run ball and struck out 12 batters, his stats are leveling out.

Jon Gray

Location ERA IP HR BB% SO% WHIP
Location ERA IP HR BB% SO% WHIP
Overall 5.52 88 10 6.90% 28.60% 1.455
Home 5.64 44.2 6 6.50% 30.40% 1.522
Road 5.4 43.1 4 7.40% 26.80% 1.385
Difference (home-road) 0.24 1.1 2 -0.90% 3.60% 0.137

Tyler Anderson favors the road with a much lower ERA, but his stats are not skewed as heavily as some of his peers.

Tyler Anderson

Location ERA IP HR BB% SO% WHIP
Location ERA IP HR BB% SO% WHIP
Overall 4.62 85.2 15 8.20% 21.10% 1.342
Home 5.26 39.1 9 8.70% 20.80% 1.551
Road 4.08 46.1 6 7.80% 21.40% 1.165
Difference (home-road) 1.18 -7 3 0.90% -0.60% 0.386

German Márquez heavily favors the road. His ERA is almost double at Coors Field than on the road, and he has been hit a lot more at home (28 more times). He has a lower walk rate at home, but a higher strikeout rate on the road.

Germán Márquez

Location ERA IP HR BB% SO% WHIP
Location ERA IP HR BB% SO% WHIP
Overall 5.53 73 14 9.30% 22.20% 1.554
Home 7.93 42 9 10.10% 20.20% 1.952
Road 3.07 41 5 8.20% 24.70% 1.146
Difference (home-road) 4.86 1 4 1.90% -4.50% 0.806

Chad Bettis also heavily favors the road. He has yet to record a decision at home, but owns an almost quadruple ERA at Coors than on the road. He’s been hit a lot more and surrendered more runs, but his walks and strikeouts are also fairly even.

Chad Bettis

Location ERA IP HR BB% SO% WHIP
Location ERA IP HR BB% SO% WHIP
Overall 5.23 86 14 8.70% 17.20% 1.384
Home 8.75 36 8 8.30% 17.20% 1.778
Road 2.7 50 6 9.10% 17.30% 1.1
Difference (home-road) 6.05 -14 2 -0.80% -0.10% 0.678

Kyle Freeland appears to be the Rockies statistically best overall pitcher. His ERA is the only one in the starting rotation that is lower at home than on the road, which can probably be credited to the fact that he has spent his whole life pitching in Colorado and hasn’t had to make adjustments to the altitude and climate like some of the other guys. That could also be part of the reason why he struggles a little bit more on the road - surrendering twice as many runs there than at Coors Field.

Kyle Freeland

Location ERA IP HR BB% SO% WHIP
Location ERA IP HR BB% SO% WHIP
Overall 3.55 91.1 11 8.20% 20.40% 1.259
Home 2.95 36.2 6 10.50% 22.40% 1.282
Road 3.95 54.2 5 6.70% 19.10% 1.244
Difference (home-road) -1 -18 1 3.80% 3.30% 0.038

★ ★ ★

As mentioned earlier, the Rockies really seemed to be on a trajectory where they heavily favored playing on the road than at home. They were two completely different teams in those two settings, which would be normal if it weren’t backwards. Luckily, things seem to be evening out, and the Rockies have still played .500 ball. If they can take advantage of Coors Field like their individual stats suggest they can, the Rockies can hopefully make up some ground going into the All-Star Break and into the playoff race.