Last month, I wrote a sim stats update that compared the Sim Rockies to the Real Rockies through that point (June 2). Now that we have passed the Fourth of July, let’s take another look at how the 2020 Sim Rockies stack up against the 2019 Real Rockies.
Note: All players included in the 2019 table overlap with current Sim Rockies roster members. Players who did not see major league action during this time frame with the Rockies last year are not included.
Initial Notes
The Sim Rockies are currently 43-47 and still last in the NL West — 2.5 games behind the Sim Diamondbacks (who they play starting tonight). They are the fourth worst team in the NL, above the Mets, Cardinals, and Marlins in the Wild Card standings but still 8.5 games out of the second slot.
Sim NL West Standings through July 12, 2020
| Team | W | L | GB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | W | L | GB |
| Dodgers | 57 | 39 | -- |
| Padres | 56 | 41 | 1.5 |
| Diamondbacks | 49 | 47 | 8.0 |
| Giants | 45 | 50 | 11.5 |
| Rockies | 42 | 54 | 15.0 |
Sim NL Wild Card Standings through July 12, 2020
| Team | W | L | GB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | W | L | GB |
| Padres | 56 | 41 | -- |
| Pirates | 51 | 45 | -- |
| Nationals | 50 | 47 | 1.5 |
| Diamondbacks | 49 | 47 | 2.0 |
| Reds | 47 | 49 | 4.0 |
| Cardinals | 46 | 51 | 5.5 |
| Giants | 45 | 50 | 5.5 |
| Marlins | 45 | 51 | 6.0 |
| Cubs | 45 | 51 | 6.0 |
| Phillies | 45 | 51 | 6.0 |
| Rockies | 42 | 54 | 9.0 |
| Mets | 42 | 54 | 9.0 |
At this point in 2019, the Real Rockies were 44-43 and second in the NL West — 14.5 games behind the 60-30 Dodgers and only 5.0 games ahead of the last place Giants. They were also only 1.5 games out of the second Wild Card at this point last year.
NL West standings through July 5, 2019
| Team | W | L | GB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | W | L | GB |
| Dodgers | 60 | 30 | -- |
| Rockies | 44 | 43 | 14.5 |
| Diamondbacks | 44 | 45 | 15.5 |
| Padres | 43 | 45 | 16.0 |
| Giants | 39 | 48 | 19.5 |
NL Wild Card standings through July 5, 2019
| Team | W | L | GB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | W | L | GB |
| Cubs | 46 | 42 | -- |
| Phillies | 46 | 42 | -- |
| Nationals | 45 | 42 | 0.5 |
| Cardinals | 44 | 42 | 1.0 |
| Rockies | 44 | 43 | 1.5 |
| Diamondbacks | 44 | 45 | 2.5 |
| Padres | 43 | 45 | 3.0 |
| Pirates | 42 | 45 | 3.5 |
| Reds | 41 | 44 | 3.5 |
| Giants | 39 | 48 | 6.5 |
| Mets | 39 | 49 | 7.0 |
| Marlins | 32 | 54 | 13.0 |
June was the last good month for the Real Rockies, who finished 15-13. As I’m sure you all remember, they then went on to only win 15 games total in July and August combined.
At this point, Kyle Freeland had been optioned to Albuquerque to “reset” and had been down there since May 31. Drew Butera and Josh Fuentes were also in Albuquerque. All three are currently on our active sim roster, which is why their stats are still listed.
In our sim, there has been some roster shuffling. Charlie Blackmon is currently on the Injured List fighting off COVID-19. Ian Desmond has opted out of the 2020 season and Evan Grills was released. Blackmon has been temporarily replaced by Raimel Tapia, who was selected back from Albuquerque after being outrighted earlier in the season; Grills has been replaced by Jack Wynkoop, who will make his MLB debut tomorrow; and Desmond has been replaced by recent signing Matt Kemp.
Batting stats
Real Rockies batting stats through July 5, 2019
| Name | AB | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | R | H | OBP | SLG | OPS | BB | K | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | AB | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | R | H | OBP | SLG | OPS | BB | K | Notes |
| Nolan Arenado | 333 | 20 | 67 | 2 | 0.318 | 61 | 106 | 0.382 | 0.574 | 0.956 | 35 | 52 | |
| Charlie Blackmon | 307 | 20 | 57 | 2 | 0.336 | 67 | 103 | 0.384 | 0.642 | 1.026 | 20 | 57 | IL from 5/27-6/7 |
| Drew Butera | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.176 | 4 | 3 | 0.222 | 0.294 | 0.516 | 1 | 4 | In ABQ since 5/6 |
| David Dahl | 294 | 12 | 51 | 2 | 0.316 | 55 | 93 | 0.360 | 0.544 | 0.904 | 20 | 83 | |
| Josh Fuentes | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.111 | 2 | 2 | 0.111 | 0.111 | 0.222 | 0 | 8 | In ABQ since 4/18 |
| Garrett Hampson | 128 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0.203 | 17 | 26 | 0.237 | 0.289 | 0.526 | 6 | 38 | In ABQ 5/13-6/2 and 6/7-6/23 |
| Ryan McMahon | 234 | 7 | 36 | 2 | 0.256 | 36 | 60 | 0.333 | 0.402 | 0.735 | 27 | 74 | |
| Daniel Murphy | 213 | 6 | 43 | 1 | 0.272 | 25 | 58 | 0.325 | 0.437 | 0.761 | 18 | 35 | |
| Trevor Story | 308 | 17 | 48 | 12 | 0.289 | 66 | 89 | 0.355 | 0.532 | 0.887 | 28 | 90 | IL from 6/20-7/2 |
| Raimel Tapia | 249 | 6 | 27 | 3 | 0.265 | 34 | 66 | 0.302 | 0.446 | 0.747 | 13 | 66 |
Sim Rockies Batting Stats through July 12, 2020
| Name | AB | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | R | H | OBP | SLG | OPS | BB | K | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | AB | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | R | H | OBP | SLG | OPS | BB | K | WAR |
| Nolan Arenado | 359 | 27 | 68 | 0 | 0.326 | 65 | 117 | 0.402 | 0.632 | 1.035 | 46 | 66 | 5.2 |
| Charlie Blackmon* | 305 | 17 | 42 | 1 | 0.298 | 49 | 91 | 0.351 | 0.570 | 0.931 | 30 | 70 | 2.4 |
| Drew Butera | 92 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0.283 | 10 | 26 | 0.383 | 0.370 | 0.753 | 14 | 19 | 0.8 |
| David Dahl | 353 | 13 | 46 | 1 | 0.249 | 42 | 88 | 0.303 | 0.470 | 0.773 | 27 | 79 | 0.7 |
| Yonathan Daza | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 1 | 2 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 0.500 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Elias Díaz | 154 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0.273 | 8 | 42 | 0.315 | 0.383 | 0.698 | 10 | 30 | 1.2 |
| Garrett Hampson | 150 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 0.247 | 25 | 37 | 0.323 | 0.400 | 0.723 | 15 | 31 | -0.1 |
| Sam Hilliard | 124 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 0.234 | 17 | 29 | 0.291 | 0.565 | 0.856 | 10 | 38 | 1.0 |
| Matt Kemp | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.320 | 5 | 8 | 0.393 | 0.560 | 0.953 | 3 | 4 | 0.3 |
| Ryan McMahon | 329 | 24 | 53 | 0 | 0.240 | 52 | 79 | 0.324 | 0.535 | 0.858 | 38 | 112 | 0.8 |
| Brian Mundell | 32 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.344 | 8 | 11 | 0.421 | 0.375 | 0.796 | 5 | 3 | 0.3 |
| Daniel Murphy | 318 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 0.261 | 31 | 83 | 0.310 | 0.396 | 0.706 | 21 | 47 | 0.0 |
| Trevor Story | 374 | 24 | 59 | 11 | 0.251 | 56 | 94 | 0.316 | 0.543 | 0.858 | 36 | 112 | 2.6 |
| Raimel Tapia | 68 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0.162 | 6 | 11 | 0.247 | 0.235 | 0.482 | 8 | 11 | -0.3 |
| *IL |
The biggest observation here is Nolan Arenado. By this time last year, he was “only” hitting .318 with 20 homers. In our simulation, he has six more home runs and is hitting 43 points better on his average. He is also slugging nearly 100 points better than he was in real life last year. Just think if he was actually playing in real games right now (soon enough, though)...
David Dahl and Trevor Story are still recovering from slumps early in the season. By this time last year, Dahl was tearing the cover off the ball — hitting .316/.360/.544 with 12 home runs en route to his All-Star selection. In the sim, he his slashing just .252/.304/.459 but does still have 10 home runs. Story was hitting .289/.355/.532 at this point last year with 12 stolen bases. Of the Real Rockies who overlap with the Sim Rockies, they had 27 stolen bases combined. 12 of them belonged to Trevor Story at this point in 2019. Right now, Sim Trevor Story is hitting .261/.325/.559 with 10 stolen bases. He has more stolen bases than the entire team combined (7).
Pitching stats
Real Rockies pitching stats through July 5, 2019
| Name | W | L | IP | K | ERA | WHIP | SV | BB | G | GS | R | ER | K/9 | BB/9 | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | W | L | IP | K | ERA | WHIP | SV | BB | G | GS | R | ER | K/9 | BB/9 | Notes |
| Wade Davis | 1 | 3 | 26.0 | 27 | 5.54 | 1.69 | 12 | 16 | 29 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 9.35 | 5.54 | IL from 5/22-6/7 |
| Carlos Estevéz | 1 | 0 | 39.1 | 49 | 4.35 | 1.45 | 0 | 15 | 41 | 0 | 23 | 19 | 11.21 | 3.43 | |
| Kyle Freeland | 2 | 6 | 59.1 | 49 | 7.13 | 1.57 | 0 | 25 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 7.43 | 3.79 | In ABQ since 5/31 |
| Chi Chi González | 0 | 1 | 9.0 | 6 | 6.00 | 1.89 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6.00 | 6 | Selected from ABQ 6/25 |
| Jon Gray | 9 | 5 | 103.0 | 111 | 3.84 | 1.35 | 0 | 40 | 18 | 17 | 46 | 44 | 9.70 | 3.50 | |
| Jeff Hoffman | 1 | 3 | 33.1 | 36 | 6.75 | 1.56 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 9.72 | 3.51 | Optioned to ABQ on 6/23 |
| Germán Márquez | 8 | 3 | 121.1 | 120 | 4.38 | 1.23 | 0 | 27 | 19 | 19 | 62 | 59 | 8.90 | 2.00 | |
| Scott Oberg | 5 | 1 | 42.2 | 46 | 1.27 | 0.94 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 9.70 | 3.59 | |
| Antonio Senzatela | 7 | 6 | 86.1 | 48 | 5.32 | 1.64 | 0 | 41 | 16 | 16 | 57 | 51 | 5.00 | 4.27 |
Sim Rockies Pitching Stats through July 12, 2020
| Name | W | L | IP | K | ERA | WHIP | SV | BB | G | GS | R | ER | WAR | K/9 | BB/9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | W | L | IP | K | ERA | WHIP | SV | BB | G | GS | R | ER | WAR | K/9 | BB/9 |
| Tim Collins | 2 | 1 | 29.0 | 30 | 3.41 | 1.620 | 0 | 19 | 34 | 0 | 12 | 11 | 0.1 | 9.3 | 5.9 |
| Wade Davis | 1 | 3 | 37.1 | 39 | 6.51 | 1.580 | 3 | 12 | 47 | 0 | 27 | 27 | 0.5 | 9.4 | 2.9 |
| Carlos Estevéz | 1 | 4 | 54.0 | 77 | 4.50 | 1.130 | 0 | 14 | 56 | 0 | 28 | 27 | 0.3 | 12.8 | 2.3 |
| Kyle Freeland | 3 | 8 | 89.0 | 47 | 4.15 | 1.290 | 0 | 21 | 17 | 17 | 49 | 41 | 0.6 | 4.8 | 2.1 |
| Jon Gray | 2 | 9 | 77.0 | 69 | 5.84 | 1.520 | 0 | 39 | 15 | 15 | 50 | 50 | 0.2 | 8.1 | 4.6 |
| Joe Harvey | 0 | 2 | 9.2 | 8 | 14.90 | 2.170 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 17 | 16 | -0.3 | 7.5 | 0.9 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 5 | 1 | 74.1 | 55 | 5.45 | 1.450 | 0 | 27 | 44 | 2 | 45 | 45 | 0.5 | 6.7 | 3.3 |
| Tyler Kinley | 3 | 0 | 29.2 | 36 | 2.12 | 0.910 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0.6 | 10.9 | 3.3 |
| Germán Márquez | 7 | 8 | 89.2 | 87 | 6.22 | 1.670 | 0 | 33 | 18 | 18 | 65 | 62 | 0.1 | 8.7 | 3.3 |
| Scott Oberg | 0 | 1 | 23.0 | 28 | 2.35 | 1.090 | 16 | 13 | 26 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0.6 | 11.0 | 5.1 |
| James Pazos | 1 | 1 | 51.2 | 52 | 3.14 | 1.350 | 0 | 18 | 50 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 1.0 | 9.1 | 3.1 |
| Antonio Senzatela | 5 | 4 | 74.2 | 61 | 4.70 | 1.500 | 1 | 24 | 25 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 0.5 | 7.4 | 2.9 |
| Jack Wynkoop | 0 | 0 | 12.0 | 9 | 2.25 | 0.670 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0.4 | 6.8 | 1.5 |
At this time last year, Kyle Freeland was in Albuquerque working on things after posting a 7.13 ERA through May. Now, he is the best pitcher in the Rockies’ starting rotation with the only ERA under 5.
Germán Márquez is struggling this year still, even after his simulated trip to Albuquerque. He has posted a 6.53 ERA so far in his 17 starts. Last year, he was second only to Jon Gray (who is having his own issues this year) in terms of pitching stats.
Scott Oberg continues to pitch well for the Sim Rockies, but he was on fire at this point last year with a 1.27 ERA and 0.94 WHIP for the Real Rockies.
Looking ahead
The Sim Rockies begin a three-game set against the Sim Diamondbacks this evening. Jack Wynkoop will make his MLB debut on Tuesday, so tune in for that. Then, they travel north for a four game set against the Brewers. We will broadcast Monday, Tuesday, and Thursday at the very least.
As always, check out Ben Kouchnerkavich’s YouTube channel for all the Sim Rockies action and for updates on the Sim Season now that the real season is potentially right around the corner.