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Comparing the 2019 Real Rockies with the 2020 Sim Rockies, Part 2

Sim Rockies news and statistics from June 29-July 5, 2020

Last month, I wrote a sim stats update that compared the Sim Rockies to the Real Rockies through that point (June 2). Now that we have passed the Fourth of July, let’s take another look at how the 2020 Sim Rockies stack up against the 2019 Real Rockies.

Note: All players included in the 2019 table overlap with current Sim Rockies roster members. Players who did not see major league action during this time frame with the Rockies last year are not included.

Initial Notes

The Sim Rockies are currently 43-47 and still last in the NL West — 2.5 games behind the Sim Diamondbacks (who they play starting tonight). They are the fourth worst team in the NL, above the Mets, Cardinals, and Marlins in the Wild Card standings but still 8.5 games out of the second slot.

Sim NL West Standings through July 12, 2020

Team W L GB
Team W L GB
Dodgers 57 39 --
Padres 56 41 1.5
Diamondbacks 49 47 8.0
Giants 45 50 11.5
Rockies 42 54 15.0

Sim NL Wild Card Standings through July 12, 2020

Team W L GB
Team W L GB
Padres 56 41 --
Pirates 51 45 --
Nationals 50 47 1.5
Diamondbacks 49 47 2.0
Reds 47 49 4.0
Cardinals 46 51 5.5
Giants 45 50 5.5
Marlins 45 51 6.0
Cubs 45 51 6.0
Phillies 45 51 6.0
Rockies 42 54 9.0
Mets 42 54 9.0

At this point in 2019, the Real Rockies were 44-43 and second in the NL West — 14.5 games behind the 60-30 Dodgers and only 5.0 games ahead of the last place Giants. They were also only 1.5 games out of the second Wild Card at this point last year.

NL West standings through July 5, 2019

Team W L GB
Team W L GB
Dodgers 60 30 --
Rockies 44 43 14.5
Diamondbacks 44 45 15.5
Padres 43 45 16.0
Giants 39 48 19.5

NL Wild Card standings through July 5, 2019

Team W L GB
Team W L GB
Cubs 46 42 --
Phillies 46 42 --
Nationals 45 42 0.5
Cardinals 44 42 1.0
Rockies 44 43 1.5
Diamondbacks 44 45 2.5
Padres 43 45 3.0
Pirates 42 45 3.5
Reds 41 44 3.5
Giants 39 48 6.5
Mets 39 49 7.0
Marlins 32 54 13.0

June was the last good month for the Real Rockies, who finished 15-13. As I’m sure you all remember, they then went on to only win 15 games total in July and August combined.

At this point, Kyle Freeland had been optioned to Albuquerque to “reset” and had been down there since May 31. Drew Butera and Josh Fuentes were also in Albuquerque. All three are currently on our active sim roster, which is why their stats are still listed.

In our sim, there has been some roster shuffling. Charlie Blackmon is currently on the Injured List fighting off COVID-19. Ian Desmond has opted out of the 2020 season and Evan Grills was released. Blackmon has been temporarily replaced by Raimel Tapia, who was selected back from Albuquerque after being outrighted earlier in the season; Grills has been replaced by Jack Wynkoop, who will make his MLB debut tomorrow; and Desmond has been replaced by recent signing Matt Kemp.

Batting stats

Real Rockies batting stats through July 5, 2019

Name AB HR RBI SB AVG R H OBP SLG OPS BB K Notes
Name AB HR RBI SB AVG R H OBP SLG OPS BB K Notes
Nolan Arenado 333 20 67 2 0.318 61 106 0.382 0.574 0.956 35 52
Charlie Blackmon 307 20 57 2 0.336 67 103 0.384 0.642 1.026 20 57 IL from 5/27-6/7
Drew Butera 17 0 0 0 0.176 4 3 0.222 0.294 0.516 1 4 In ABQ since 5/6
David Dahl 294 12 51 2 0.316 55 93 0.360 0.544 0.904 20 83
Josh Fuentes 18 0 0 0 0.111 2 2 0.111 0.111 0.222 0 8 In ABQ since 4/18
Garrett Hampson 128 1 8 3 0.203 17 26 0.237 0.289 0.526 6 38 In ABQ 5/13-6/2 and 6/7-6/23
Ryan McMahon 234 7 36 2 0.256 36 60 0.333 0.402 0.735 27 74
Daniel Murphy 213 6 43 1 0.272 25 58 0.325 0.437 0.761 18 35
Trevor Story 308 17 48 12 0.289 66 89 0.355 0.532 0.887 28 90 IL from 6/20-7/2
Raimel Tapia 249 6 27 3 0.265 34 66 0.302 0.446 0.747 13 66

Sim Rockies Batting Stats through July 12, 2020

Name AB HR RBI SB AVG R H OBP SLG OPS BB K WAR
Name AB HR RBI SB AVG R H OBP SLG OPS BB K WAR
Nolan Arenado 359 27 68 0 0.326 65 117 0.402 0.632 1.035 46 66 5.2
Charlie Blackmon* 305 17 42 1 0.298 49 91 0.351 0.570 0.931 30 70 2.4
Drew Butera 92 1 8 1 0.283 10 26 0.383 0.370 0.753 14 19 0.8
David Dahl 353 13 46 1 0.249 42 88 0.303 0.470 0.773 27 79 0.7
Yonathan Daza 8 0 0 0 0.250 1 2 0.250 0.250 0.500 0 1 0.0
Elias Díaz 154 3 17 0 0.273 8 42 0.315 0.383 0.698 10 30 1.2
Garrett Hampson 150 5 14 2 0.247 25 37 0.323 0.400 0.723 15 31 -0.1
Sam Hilliard 124 10 20 1 0.234 17 29 0.291 0.565 0.856 10 38 1.0
Matt Kemp 25 1 1 0 0.320 5 8 0.393 0.560 0.953 3 4 0.3
Ryan McMahon 329 24 53 0 0.240 52 79 0.324 0.535 0.858 38 112 0.8
Brian Mundell 32 0 4 0 0.344 8 11 0.421 0.375 0.796 5 3 0.3
Daniel Murphy 318 6 30 1 0.261 31 83 0.310 0.396 0.706 21 47 0.0
Trevor Story 374 24 59 11 0.251 56 94 0.316 0.543 0.858 36 112 2.6
Raimel Tapia 68 1 7 0 0.162 6 11 0.247 0.235 0.482 8 11 -0.3
*IL

The biggest observation here is Nolan Arenado. By this time last year, he was “only” hitting .318 with 20 homers. In our simulation, he has six more home runs and is hitting 43 points better on his average. He is also slugging nearly 100 points better than he was in real life last year. Just think if he was actually playing in real games right now (soon enough, though)...

David Dahl and Trevor Story are still recovering from slumps early in the season. By this time last year, Dahl was tearing the cover off the ball — hitting .316/.360/.544 with 12 home runs en route to his All-Star selection. In the sim, he his slashing just .252/.304/.459 but does still have 10 home runs. Story was hitting .289/.355/.532 at this point last year with 12 stolen bases. Of the Real Rockies who overlap with the Sim Rockies, they had 27 stolen bases combined. 12 of them belonged to Trevor Story at this point in 2019. Right now, Sim Trevor Story is hitting .261/.325/.559 with 10 stolen bases. He has more stolen bases than the entire team combined (7).

Pitching stats

Real Rockies pitching stats through July 5, 2019

Name W L IP K ERA WHIP SV BB G GS R ER K/9 BB/9 Notes
Name W L IP K ERA WHIP SV BB G GS R ER K/9 BB/9 Notes
Wade Davis 1 3 26.0 27 5.54 1.69 12 16 29 0 16 16 9.35 5.54 IL from 5/22-6/7
Carlos Estevéz 1 0 39.1 49 4.35 1.45 0 15 41 0 23 19 11.21 3.43
Kyle Freeland 2 6 59.1 49 7.13 1.57 0 25 12 12 50 47 7.43 3.79 In ABQ since 5/31
Chi Chi González 0 1 9.0 6 6.00 1.89 0 6 2 2 6 6 6.00 6 Selected from ABQ 6/25
Jon Gray 9 5 103.0 111 3.84 1.35 0 40 18 17 46 44 9.70 3.50
Jeff Hoffman 1 3 33.1 36 6.75 1.56 0 13 7 7 25 25 9.72 3.51 Optioned to ABQ on 6/23
Germán Márquez 8 3 121.1 120 4.38 1.23 0 27 19 19 62 59 8.90 2.00
Scott Oberg 5 1 42.2 46 1.27 0.94 3 17 37 0 10 6 9.70 3.59
Antonio Senzatela 7 6 86.1 48 5.32 1.64 0 41 16 16 57 51 5.00 4.27

Sim Rockies Pitching Stats through July 12, 2020

Name W L IP K ERA WHIP SV BB G GS R ER WAR K/9 BB/9
Name W L IP K ERA WHIP SV BB G GS R ER WAR K/9 BB/9
Tim Collins 2 1 29.0 30 3.41 1.620 0 19 34 0 12 11 0.1 9.3 5.9
Wade Davis 1 3 37.1 39 6.51 1.580 3 12 47 0 27 27 0.5 9.4 2.9
Carlos Estevéz 1 4 54.0 77 4.50 1.130 0 14 56 0 28 27 0.3 12.8 2.3
Kyle Freeland 3 8 89.0 47 4.15 1.290 0 21 17 17 49 41 0.6 4.8 2.1
Jon Gray 2 9 77.0 69 5.84 1.520 0 39 15 15 50 50 0.2 8.1 4.6
Joe Harvey 0 2 9.2 8 14.90 2.170 0 1 13 0 17 16 -0.3 7.5 0.9
Jeff Hoffman 5 1 74.1 55 5.45 1.450 0 27 44 2 45 45 0.5 6.7 3.3
Tyler Kinley 3 0 29.2 36 2.12 0.910 9 11 29 0 7 7 0.6 10.9 3.3
Germán Márquez 7 8 89.2 87 6.22 1.670 0 33 18 18 65 62 0.1 8.7 3.3
Scott Oberg 0 1 23.0 28 2.35 1.090 16 13 26 0 6 6 0.6 11.0 5.1
James Pazos 1 1 51.2 52 3.14 1.350 0 18 50 0 18 18 1.0 9.1 3.1
Antonio Senzatela 5 4 74.2 61 4.70 1.500 1 24 25 12 42 39 0.5 7.4 2.9
Jack Wynkoop 0 0 12.0 9 2.25 0.670 0 2 2 2 5 3 0.4 6.8 1.5

At this time last year, Kyle Freeland was in Albuquerque working on things after posting a 7.13 ERA through May. Now, he is the best pitcher in the Rockies’ starting rotation with the only ERA under 5.

Germán Márquez is struggling this year still, even after his simulated trip to Albuquerque. He has posted a 6.53 ERA so far in his 17 starts. Last year, he was second only to Jon Gray (who is having his own issues this year) in terms of pitching stats.

Scott Oberg continues to pitch well for the Sim Rockies, but he was on fire at this point last year with a 1.27 ERA and 0.94 WHIP for the Real Rockies.

Looking ahead

The Sim Rockies begin a three-game set against the Sim Diamondbacks this evening. Jack Wynkoop will make his MLB debut on Tuesday, so tune in for that. Then, they travel north for a four game set against the Brewers. We will broadcast Monday, Tuesday, and Thursday at the very least.

As always, check out Ben Kouchnerkavich’s YouTube channel for all the Sim Rockies action and for updates on the Sim Season now that the real season is potentially right around the corner.